Gabriel Reyes

P West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 24 LHP 6'1" / 170 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #886

ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	MIX2 levels	17	13	66	3.97	2.66	31.1%	7.2%	—	K 22.6% · BB 8.6% · FIP 3.82
2025	22	ADET	19	16	79	2.40	3.02	22.5%	8.9%	—	K 16.6% · BB 10.5% · FIP 4.07
2026	23	A+DET	9	8	33	4.91	6.25	15.5%	21.1%	—	K 12.0% · BB 24.3% · FIP 6.87
2027PROJ	24	MLBDET	10	10	57	5.80	5.80	15.1%	15.7%	-0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBDET	5	5	31	5.48	5.37	17.2%	13.7%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBDET	8	8	48	5.29	5.22	18.5%	13.3%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command50FB velo40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsSeth Lonsway (age 24) · Dante Biasi (age 24) · Erik Rivera (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127135vR 143

ERA5.80

FIP5.80

K%15.1%

BB%15.7%

K-BB%-0.6%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CMD4050

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers	15	5	24	100	32	3	0	33%	1.6	21.8%	3.8%	18.0%	0.0%	3.42	1.74	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers	15	5	24	100	32	3	0	33%	1.6	32.0%	3.0%	29.0%	0.0%	3.42	0.78	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	10	6	32	141	29	9	2	60%	3.2	14.0%	8.0%	6.0%	2.0%	5.29	4.03	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	10	6	32	141	29	9	2	60%	3.2	20.6%	6.4%	14.2%	1.4%	5.29	2.95	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	13	66	264	82	19	6	76%	3.9	22.6%	8.6%	14.0%	2.8%	3.97	3.82	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	13	66	264	82	19	6	76%	3.9	22.6%	8.6%	14.0%	2.8%	3.97	3.82	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	13	66	264	82	19	6	76%	3.9	31.1%	7.2%	23.9%	2.3%	3.97	2.66	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	19	16	79	316	71	28	4	84%	4.1	16.6%	10.5%	6.2%	1.9%	2.40	4.07	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	19	16	79	316	71	28	4	84%	4.1	16.6%	10.5%	6.2%	1.9%	2.40	4.07	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	19	16	79	316	71	28	4	84%	4.1	22.5%	8.9%	13.6%	1.3%	2.40	3.02	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	9	8	33	161	25	34	4	89%	3.7	12.0%	24.3%	-12.3%	3.1%	4.91	6.87	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	9	8	33	161	25	34	4	89%	3.7	12.0%	24.3%	-12.3%	3.1%	4.91	6.87	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	9	8	33	161	25	34	4	89%	3.7	15.5%	21.1%	-5.6%	2.5%	4.91	6.25	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	DET	10	10	57	241	36	38	7	100%	5.7	15.1%	15.7%	-0.6%	2.9%	5.80	5.80	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	DET	12	12	72	303	52	41	9	100%	6.0	17.2%	13.7%	3.5%	2.9%	5.48	5.37	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	DET	12	12	72	303	56	40	9	100%	6.0	18.5%	13.3%	5.1%	2.9%	5.29	5.22	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	DET	12	12	71	298	56	39	9	100%	5.9	18.7%	13.2%	5.5%	3.0%	5.22	5.21	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	DET	11	11	68	289	54	38	9	100%	6.2	18.7%	13.2%	5.5%	3.1%	5.24	5.27	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	DET	11	11	65	276	51	37	9	100%	5.9	18.4%	13.5%	5.0%	3.2%	5.34	5.40	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	DET	10	10	62	260	47	36	9	100%	6.2	18.1%	13.8%	4.3%	3.4%	5.48	5.58	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	DET	5	5	31	131	23	18	4	100%	6.2	17.2%	13.7%	3.5%	2.9%	5.48	5.37	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	DET	8	8	48	203	37	27	6	100%	6.0	18.5%	13.3%	5.1%	2.9%	5.29	5.22	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	DET	9	9	55	232	43	31	7	100%	6.1	18.7%	13.2%	5.5%	3.0%	5.22	5.21	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	DET	10	10	58	245	46	32	8	100%	5.8	18.7%	13.2%	5.5%	3.1%	5.24	5.27	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	DET	10	10	57	241	44	32	8	100%	5.7	18.4%	13.5%	5.0%	3.2%	5.34	5.40	-0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	DET	9	9	55	232	42	32	8	100%	6.1	18.1%	13.8%	4.3%	3.4%	5.48	5.58	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	51	303	1280	235	172	40	100%	5.9	18.4%	13.4%	4.9%	3.1%	5.33	4.96	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	155	113	26	100%	6.0	18.4%	13.4%	4.9%	3.1%	5.33	4.96	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		70	48	233	982	173	110	21	69%	3.3	17.6%	11.2%	6.4%	2.2%	3.70	4.22	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	41	200	842	148	94	18	69%	3.3	17.6%	11.2%	6.4%	2.2%	3.70	4.22	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabriel Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.80	15.1%	15.7%	2.9%	—	5.27	18.1%	4.7%	214	-0.53	—	—	—
Seth Lonsway L 2023 · 5.20 FIP	24	SP-	5.20	13.8%	15.3%	2.4%	.317	4.17	15.5%	4.7%	321	-1.03	3.35	506	85
Dante Biasi L 2022 · 4.91 FIP	24	SP-	4.91	18.7%	15.9%	2.5%	.288	6.65	20.1%	1.7%	69	+1.74	4.91	224	82
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	80
Bryce Hubbart L 2024 · 5.45 FIP	23	SP-	5.45	15.5%	13.8%	3.5%	.313	5.14	19.9%	6.3%	82	-0.31	4.79	194	75
Nate Savino L 2024 · 5.85 FIP	22	SP	5.85	16.8%	18.8%	3.2%	.244	4.83	14.9%	2.0%	130	-1.02	4.26	176	75
Brooks Gosswein L 2023 · 5.61 FIP	24	SP-	5.61	15.2%	17.9%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	165	75
John Koronka L 2005 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP-	4.77	13.2%	10.5%	2.6%	.304	4.81	10.5%	2.2%	135	+0.04	3.99	151	74
Doug Davis L 2000 · 5.12 FIP	24	SW	5.12	14.7%	12.2%	3.1%	.302	4.41	13.0%	4.1%	355	-0.71	3.47	1,713	74
Matt Imhof L 2016 · 5.68 FIP	22	SP-	5.68	15.9%	21.3%	2.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	131	74
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	73
Dan Meyer L 2007 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	13.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.316	4.35	20.6%	11.8%	86	-0.41	3.73	112	73
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	73
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	73
Cole Kirschsieper L 2023 · 5.07 FIP	22	SP-	5.07	15.2%	12.0%	3.2%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	105	73
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.54	14.3%	5.8%	242	-0.58	2.95	313	70
Brian Tallet L 2003 · 4.65 FIP	25	SP-	4.65	10.3%	9.2%	2.3%	.309	4.43	16.2%	4.4%	54	-0.22	2.59	443	70
Adam Loewen L 2008 · 6.87 FIP	24	SP-	6.87	13.7%	17.6%	4.9%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	340	70
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	69
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	69
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	67	17.9%	13.7%	1.19	5.40
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*