Luis Sánchez

P Aberdeen IronBirds

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 167 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	ABAL	15	22	4.43	2.43	29.1%	14.6%	—	K 21.6% · BB 17.2% · FIP 3.46
2024	21	A+Aberdeen Iron…	24	24	6.85	5.97	20.9%	24.8%	—	K 16.1% · BB 28.5% · FIP 6.39
2027PROJ	24	MLBBAL	13	14	5.19	5.19	21.9%	15.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBBAL	9	9	4.99	4.91	22.4%	13.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsFrancisco Del Rosario (age 25) · Hunter Parsons (age 24) · Grayson Thurman (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.19

FIP5.19

K%21.9%

BB%15.2%

K-BB%6.7%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 1	17	8	37	182	39	29	1	47%	2.2	14.6%	19.9%	-5.3%	0.8%	7.23	4.81	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles 1	17	8	37	182	39	29	1	47%	2.2	21.4%	15.9%	5.5%	0.5%	7.23	3.69	—
2023	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	15	0	22	103	30	15	0	0%	1.5	21.6%	17.2%	4.4%	0.0%	4.43	3.46	—
2023	20	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	15	0	22	103	30	15	0	0%	1.5	29.1%	14.6%	14.6%	0.0%	4.43	2.43	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	24	0	24	129	27	32	2	0%	1.0	16.1%	28.5%	-12.4%	1.9%	6.85	6.39	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	24	0	24	129	27	32	2	0%	1.0	16.1%	28.5%	-12.4%	1.9%	6.85	6.39	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	24	0	24	129	27	32	2	0%	1.0	20.9%	24.8%	-3.9%	1.6%	6.85	5.97	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	BAL	13	0	14	59	13	9	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	15.2%	6.7%	3.0%	5.19	5.19	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	19	11	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.4%	9.0%	3.0%	4.99	4.91	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	9	0	9	38	9	5	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	13.4%	9.0%	3.0%	4.99	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	5	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.4%	9.0%	3.0%	4.99	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	116	23	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.4%	9.0%	3.0%	4.99	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		56	8	83	414	70	91	4	14%	1.5	16.8%	21.9%	-5.1%	0.9%	6.37	4.97	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	19	200	994	167	218	9	14%	1.5	16.8%	21.9%	-5.1%	0.9%	6.37	4.97	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Sánchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.19	21.9%	15.2%	3.0%	—	4.91	22.4%	9.0%	20	-0.28	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	87
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	86
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	85
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	84
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	84
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	84
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	84
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	84
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	84
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	84
Tyler Schimpf R 2019 · 4.04 FIP	23	SU	4.04	24.3%	15.9%	1.8%	.300	5.63	24.1%	7.1%	58	+1.59	3.37	126	83
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	83
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	83
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	83
Kasey Ford R 2022 · 5.12 FIP	24	SU	5.12	21.3%	14.7%	3.6%	.302	3.83	22.2%	5.5%	65	-1.29	2.53	114	82
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	82
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	82
Bryce McGowan R 2024 · 5.11 FIP	24	SU	5.11	19.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.304	3.71	18.8%	6.7%	55	-1.40	3.71	178	81
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	81
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	81