Alexander Alberto
P
Montgomery Biscuits
Age 24
RHP
6'8" / 203 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.65
FIP4.65
K%23.2%
BB%13.5%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 95 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays 1 | 14 | 2 | 26 | 123 | 21 | 19 | 0 | 14% | 1.8 | 11.6% | 19.3% | -7.7% | 0.0% | 4.21 | 4.57 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays 1 | 14 | 2 | 26 | 123 | 21 | 19 | 0 | 14% | 1.8 | 17.1% | 15.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 4.21 | 3.68 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Rays | 13 | 10 | 36 | 169 | 40 | 22 | 1 | 77% | 2.8 | 16.1% | 16.3% | -0.2% | 1.0% | 6.44 | 4.37 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Rays | 13 | 10 | 36 | 169 | 40 | 22 | 1 | 77% | 2.8 | 23.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 0.6% | 6.44 | 3.07 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 11 | 3 | 28 | 121 | 32 | 23 | 0 | 27% | 2.5 | 18.0% | 23.8% | -5.8% | 0.0% | 5.79 | 4.59 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 11 | 3 | 28 | 121 | 32 | 23 | 0 | 27% | 2.5 | 26.4% | 19.0% | 7.4% | 0.0% | 5.79 | 3.28 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 34 | 143 | 37 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.5% | 16.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 2.67 | 3.58 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 34 | 143 | 37 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.9% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 0.0% | 2.67 | 2.60 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 49 | 209 | 64 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 0.7% | 2.59 | 2.98 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 49 | 209 | 64 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.6% | 10.0% | 20.6% | 0.5% | 2.59 | 2.03 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 29 | 1 | 38 | 156 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 3% | 1.3 | 28.0% | 7.8% | 20.2% | 0.0% | 2.39 | 1.73 | +1.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 56 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 95 | 397 | 104 | 46 | 6 | — | — | 26.2% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 1.6% | 3.75 | 3.49 | +2.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 23.2% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 58 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 4.55 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 58 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 57 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 4.55 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 44 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 104 | 0 | 109 | 462 | 110 | 57 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.51 | 4.12 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 104 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.51 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 133 | 16 | 210 | 921 | 182 | 139 | 3 | 12% | 1.6 | 19.8% | 15.1% | 4.6% | 0.3% | 3.86 | 3.54 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 127 | 15 | 200 | 877 | 173 | 133 | 3 | 12% | 1.6 | 19.8% | 15.1% | 4.6% | 0.3% | 3.86 | 3.54 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alexander Alberto (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 23.2% | 13.5% | 2.6% | — | 4.49 | 23.8% | 11.4% | 172 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 93 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 92 |
| Aaron Kurcz R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 22.4% | 13.6% | 2.4% | .331 | 4.29 | 16.1% | 8.0% | 105 | +0.06 | 3.44 | 213 | 91 |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 90 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 90 |
| Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 22.4% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .327 | 4.57 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 163 | -0.31 | 3.44 | 224 | 90 |
| Logan VanWey R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.06 | 23.9% | 14.0% | 2.2% | .301 | 4.32 | 26.4% | 12.7% | 125 | +0.26 | 3.63 | 172 | 90 |
| Todd Van Steensel R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.69 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.33 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 157 | -0.36 | 2.87 | 223 | 89 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.71 | 22.7% | 13.6% | 1.5% | .270 | 4.00 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 108 | +0.29 | 3.58 | 169 | 89 |
| Peter Tago R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 1.7% | .303 | 3.43 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 39 | -0.30 | 3.24 | 207 | 89 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 88 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.18 | 22.1% | 15.2% | 1.9% | .314 | 4.59 | 18.2% | 2.0% | 53 | +0.41 | 4.18 | 103 | 88 |
| Johnny Barbato R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 22.4% | 11.2% | 2.0% | .282 | 4.95 | 21.1% | 11.6% | 105 | +1.22 | 2.65 | 304 | 88 |
| Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 87 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 87 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.00 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .284 | 2.56 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.44 | 1.52 | 452 | 87 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 87 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 87 |
| Dakota Mekkes R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 1.8% | 70 | +0.30 | 2.99 | 246 | 87 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 87 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 23.6% | 12.6% | 1.02 | 4.55 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |