César Prieto — OGILVIE

César Prieto2B Memphis Redbirds

Age 27 L/R 5'9" / 195 lbs AAA Svc 0.180 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION264 act + 176 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.258 / .305 / .399

PA176

HR4

K%16

BB%5

BABIP288

ISO141

MLB%40%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

867.3%

xwOBA

100.186

POWER40

Barrel%

275.2

Avg EV

1067.4

Bat Spd

4470.7

EYE30

Chase%

9016.9%

SPEED40

Sprint

1025.4

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.180 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.2	$1.0M	+$0.6M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$10M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$8M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$7M	+$5M
2030	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.4M
2031	Arb-3	$3M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$30M	+$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	AA	3 teams	—	554	528	127	25	0	9	16	110	8	6	7	241	274	339	613	98	287	20	3	266	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	3 teams	—	554	518	137	30	2	12	26	88	8	6	7	264	310	400	709	135	298	16	5	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	3 teams	—	595	561	168	24	3	9	22	72	7	10	7	299	334	401	735	102	329	12	4	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	3 teams	—	595	546	175	29	5	10	37	59	7	10	7	321	371	447	818	126	343	10	6	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	647	613	159	42	3	13	19	101	8	8	7	259	291	401	692	142	291	16	3	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	647	604	167	38	4	14	28	75	8	8	7	276	317	422	739	146	295	12	4	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	562	513	138	29	5	11	33	101	9	14	16	269	324	409	734	140	314	18	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	562	501	149	35	4	9	45	77	9	14	16	297	366	437	803	140	334	14	8	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	STL	—	264	240	61	13	1	9	12	40	6	3	1	254	306	429	735	175	264	15	5	324	106	+2	+0	+0	+1	+7	1.1
YTD	27	AAA	STL	—	264	230	64	15	1	10	22	34	6	3	1	278	357	483	839	204	281	13	8	363	136	+11	+0	+0	+1	+7	2.0
ROS	27	AAA	STL	40%	176	163	42	9	1	4	8	28	3	2	2	258	305	399	703	141	288	16	5	316	100	+0	-0	-1	+1	+5	0.4
ROS	27	MLB	STL	40%	70	66	17	4	0	2	3	11	1	1	1	258	300	409	709	152	288	16	4	303	90	-1	-0	-0	+0	+2	0.1
FULL	27	AAA	STL	—	334	306	78	17	1	11	15	51	7	4	2	255	305	425	730	170	268	15	4	319	103	+1	+0	-0	+1	+9	1.1
TOT	27	AAA	STL	—	440	403	103	22	2	13	20	68	9	5	3	256	306	417	722	161	274	15	5	321	104	+2	-0	-1	+2	+12	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	STL	48%	566	523	135	29	3	14	29	96	9	7	5	258	308	405	714	147	289	17	5	317	101	+0	-1	-4	+2	+16	1.4
2028	29	MLB	STL	51%	555	511	131	28	3	14	30	97	9	6	5	256	309	405	714	149	289	17	5	315	100	-0	-1	-5	+2	+16	1.2
2029	30	MLB	STL	53%	544	501	128	27	3	14	30	98	8	6	4	255	308	405	713	150	288	18	6	313	98	-1	-0	-5	+2	+15	1.1
2030	31	MLB	STL	55%	533	490	122	26	2	13	30	98	8	5	3	249	303	390	693	141	286	18	6	309	95	-3	-0	-6	+2	+15	0.8
2031	32	MLB	STL	56%	522	480	118	25	2	12	29	98	8	4	3	246	300	381	681	135	283	19	6	303	90	-6	-0	-7	+2	+15	0.4
2027	28	MLB	STL	48%	273	253	65	14	1	7	14	46	4	3	2	257	306	403	709	146	289	17	5	304	91	-3	-0	-2	+1	+8	0.4
2028	29	MLB	STL	51%	285	263	66	14	1	7	15	50	5	3	2	251	304	392	696	141	289	18	5	303	90	-3	-0	-2	+1	+8	0.3
2029	30	MLB	STL	53%	290	267	67	14	1	7	16	52	5	3	2	251	306	390	695	139	288	18	6	301	89	-4	-0	-3	+1	+8	0.3
2030	31	MLB	STL	55%	292	270	67	14	1	7	16	54	4	3	2	248	300	385	685	137	286	18	5	298	86	-5	-0	-3	+1	+8	0.1
2031	32	MLB	STL	56%	290	268	66	14	1	7	16	55	4	2	2	246	299	384	683	138	283	19	6	292	82	-6	-0	-4	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1500	1387	348	74	5	37	80	268	23	15	11	251	303	391	694	141	286	18	5	300	88	-21	-1	-15	+5	+42	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	151	32	2	16	35	116	10	6	5	251	303	391	694	140	287	18	5	300	88	-9	-1	-6	+2	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	5254	4883	1268	264	25	113	246	899	77	68	59	260	306	393	699	134	296	17	5	306	93	-43	-10	-28	+19	+149	8.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	157	33	3	14	30	111	10	8	7	260	306	394	700	134	296	17	5	306	93	-5	-1	-4	+2	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	389	368	94	22	0	4	15	58	6	2	5	255	296	348	643	92	294	15	4	290	80	-9	-2	—	—	+11	0.1
2022	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	105	97	33	6	0	7	5	16	2	3	1	340	385	619	1.003	278	347	15	5	432	188	+11	+0	—	—	+3	1.4
2022	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	60	53	10	2	2	1	6	14	0	1	1	189	271	358	630	170	231	23	10	276	70	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	291	267	77	13	2	6	15	35	5	4	1	288	338	419	757	131	310	12	5	334	114	+5	+0	—	—	+8	1.3
2023	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	249	231	84	12	1	4	15	17	2	5	6	364	407	476	883	113	379	7	6	393	159	+17	-1	—	—	+7	2.3
2023	24	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	55	48	14	4	2	0	7	7	0	1	0	292	382	458	840	167	341	13	13	373	143	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	535	501	140	35	3	14	23	63	6	5	5	279	319	445	764	166	296	12	4	335	114	+9	-1	—	—	+15	2.3
2024	25	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	112	103	27	3	1	0	5	12	2	3	2	262	309	311	620	49	293	11	4	279	72	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	515	460	138	35	4	9	39	70	9	12	14	300	366	452	818	152	335	14	8	360	134	+20	-3	—	—	+15	3.2
2025	26	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	47	41	11	0	0	0	6	7	0	2	2	268	362	268	630		324	15	13	301	88	-1	-0	—	—	+1	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Yangervis Solartelast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,645 PA	6	2,645	75	6	258	315	408	+9	+3	9.4	9.4
	/162	664	19	2	258	315	408	+2.4	+0.7	2.4	pk7: 9
#2Brett Lawrielast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,417 PA	6	2,417	71	41	261	315	419	+9	+1	9.4	9.4
	/162	664	20	11	261	315	419	+2.4	+0.3	2.6	pk7: 9
#3Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#4Casey McGeheelast yr '16 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,061 PA	7	3,061	67	7	258	318	386	+3	+7	8.3	8.3
	/162	664	15	2	258	318	386	+0.7	+1.4	1.8	pk7: 8
#5Benito Santiagolast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,932 PA	5	1,932	47	12	271	312	415	+3	+4	6.5	6.5
	/162	664	16	4	271	312	415	+1.1	+1.3	2.2	pk7: 6
#6Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	5	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
	/162	664	24	5	248	301	431	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,530	37	16	255	304	399	+5	-2	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	7	255	304	399	+2.4	-0.9	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
César Prieto (OGILVIE)	27	55	40	40	30	256/306/417	161	274	13	5	15%	5%	104	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian Buscher 2008 · MLB	27	50→57	44→45	43→45	48	247/299/366	119	279	12	5	17%	6%	86	+0.8	249/314/366	117	283	12	4	16%	8%	93	+1.3	246/317/353	107	278	11	1	15%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Jordy Mercer 2014 · MLB	27	52→59	47→50	43→45	46	257/309/399	141	302	13	8	19%	6%	99	+1.7	253/307/373	120	293	11	5	17%	7%	92	+1.2	254/324/387	133	291	12	1	16%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Harold Castro 2021 · MLB	27	56→61	42→45	44→55	40	272/300/374	102	338	10	7	22%	4%	88	+0.9	268/300/368	100	331	8	4	21%	4%	86	+0.8	264/294/351	87	327	7	1	21%	4%	77	+0.1
●Hector Garanzuay 2008 · AAA	27	55→61	43→45	42→50	48	267/313/384	117	298	10	9	15%	6%	97	+1.5	251/301/363	112	282	10	10	14%	6%	86	+0.8	281/324/385	103	317	10	4	14%	5%	99	+1.1
✕Grant Green 2015 · MLB	27	55→61	44→45	43→45	41	266/301/389	123	324	11	8	22%	4%	93	+1.3	253/282/358	105	323	8	5	23%	4%	76	+0.1	250/279/343	93	323	6	2	24%	4%	68	-0.3
●James McCann 2016 · MLB	26	53→56	44→50	46→45	40	258/294/379	122	316	11	5	22%	4%	87	+0.8	243/294/382	139	304	17	3	25%	6%	89	+0.9	252/308/402	150	319	18	2	26%	6%	98	+1.2
✕Emmanuel Avila 2016 · AAA	27	51→58	43→45	43→45	40	251/290/363	112	294	11	7	19%	3%	82	+0.5	255/289/343	88	286	8	6	14%	4%	76	+0.0	268/309/352	83	293	9	4	12%	4%	85	+0.5
✕José Godoy 2022 · MLB	27	51	43→45	47→30	41	250/293/361	111	310	11	4	23%	5%	82	+0.5	217/267/325	108	279	12	6	26%	6%	63	-0.9	188/244/287	99	241	14	3	28%	6%	41	-0.7
✕Mitch Maier 2009 · MLB	27	50→56	43→50	47→50	43	247/285/361	114	286	11	10	18%	5%	79	+0.3	249/317/356	107	301	8	10	18%	9%	91	+1.1	250/333/354	104	307	6	8	19%	11%	93	+0.7
✕Dean Anna 2014 · AAA	27	51→55	44→45	40→45	49	250/314/374	124	289	11	5	18%	7%	95	+1.4	223/297/317	94	264	6	5	17%	9%	73	-0.1	240/307/309	69	283	3	7	15%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Aledmys Díaz 2018 · MLB	27	51→58	48→55	43→45	47	253/304/401	148	279	16	8	16%	6%	98	+1.6	252/306/422	170	268	20	6	15%	6%	105	+2.1	252/313/418	165	272	19	3	15%	7%	102	+1.1
✕Luis Gonzalez 2006 · MLB	27	56→58	48→50	36→40	45	278/320/422	144	310	15	5	16%	5%	110	+2.4	250/300/381	131	283	12	7	16%	5%	91	+1.1	235/279/348	112	269	8	4	15%	3%	72	-0.1
●Jose Castillo 2008 · MLB	27	51→61	45→50	42→50	45	251/293/377	126	290	12	5	18%	5%	86	+0.8	244/292/372	128	290	10	6	19%	6%	85	+0.7	292/319/438	146	306	19	13	12%	3%	112	+1.7
✕Brendan Harris 2008 · MLB	27	54→58	46→50	47→45	47	265/320/402	137	312	13	6	19%	7%	105	+2.1	251/309/372	121	300	10	3	19%	7%	92	+1.2	221/306/334	113	260	11	1	18%	9%	80	+0.2
●Chris Johnson 2012 · MLB	27	51→61	48→50	45	39	253/293/397	144	319	14	5	26%	4%	92	+1.2	277/318/418	141	353	14	5	24%	5%	108	+2.3	284/322/414	130	361	13	4	24%	5%	104	+1.9
✕Buck Britton 2013 · AAA	27	52→54	43→50	43→45	45	254/296/371	117	296	9	7	18%	5%	86	+0.8	249/286/374	125	283	12	7	16%	5%	82	+0.5	245/280/369	123	274	13	7	16%	4%	76	+0.1
●Adam Frazier 2019 · MLB	27	56→66	45→50	45→50	52	270/332/403	133	302	10	9	14%	8%	110	+2.4	273/333/408	135	303	11	6	13%	7%	111	+2.5	285/346/410	126	315	9	6	12%	7%	113	+2.2
✕Colin Moran 2020 · MLB	27	55→57	49→55	35→30	47	272/325/423	151	324	17	2	21%	7%	112	+2.6	250/316/408	158	312	19	3	25%	8%	105	+2.1	230/303/380	150	291	19	1	27%	9%	91	+0.6
✕Francisco Mejía 2023 · MLB	27	48→58	48→55	47→40	42	241/284/390	149	283	14	3	20%	4%	87	+0.8	241/284/395	154	287	18	4	22%	5%	88	+0.9	234/276/382	149	275	20	2	23%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Alex Cintron 2006 · MLB	27	55→63	44→50	42→45	49	269/305/398	130	281	11	4	10%	5%	97	+1.5	261/297/371	110	289	10	9	13%	4%	86	+0.8	267/300/358	91	300	8	10	14%	4%	81	+0.2