Javier Fuenmayor prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Javier Fuenmayor P FCL Phillies

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.58

FIP4.58

K%22.8%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%12.0%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	15	9	49	217	37	15	1	60%	3.3	11.6%	8.6%	3.0%	0.6%	3.47	3.54	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	15	9	49	217	37	15	1	60%	3.3	17.1%	6.9%	10.1%	0.5%	3.47	2.78	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	12	4	38	163	27	10	1	33%	3.1	11.3%	7.7%	3.6%	1.0%	3.82	3.68	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	12	4	38	163	27	10	1	33%	3.1	16.6%	6.1%	10.4%	0.6%	3.82	2.81	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	17	0	28	117	27	14	3	0%	1.6	15.7%	15.0%	0.7%	3.5%	2.89	5.59	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	17	0	28	117	27	14	3	0%	1.6	15.7%	15.0%	0.7%	3.5%	2.89	5.59	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	17	0	28	117	27	14	3	0%	1.6	23.1%	12.0%	11.1%	2.6%	2.89	4.06	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	PHI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.8%	10.9%	12.0%	3.0%	4.58	4.58	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PHI	19	0	20	84	20	9	3	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.1%	13.4%	3.0%	4.47	4.41	+0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	PHI	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.1%	13.4%	3.0%	4.47	4.41	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.1%	13.4%	3.0%	4.47	4.03	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.1%	13.4%	3.0%	4.47	4.03	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		44	13	115	497	62	49	7	30%	2.6	12.5%	9.8%	2.6%	1.4%	3.44	4.07	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	23	200	864	108	85	12	30%	2.6	12.5%	9.8%	2.6%	1.4%	3.44	4.07	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Javier Fuenmayor (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	22.8%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.41	23.4%	13.4%	20	-0.17	—	—	—
Yunior Montero R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	23	SW	3.65	21.9%	11.9%	1.6%	.239	5.21	21.3%	3.7%	54	+1.56	3.65	127	84
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	83
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	83
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	82
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	82
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	81
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	81
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	81
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	80
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	80
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	79
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	79
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	79
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	78
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	78
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	78
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	77
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	77
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	76
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	76