Pedro Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Pedro Rodriguez P Tampa Tarpons

Age 23 LHP 5'10" / 145 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100108vR 116

ERA4.38

FIP4.38

K%23.2%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%13.6%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 1	16	0	20	104	30	13	2	0%	1.2	19.6%	15.6%	4.0%	2.2%	9.00	4.62	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees 1	16	0	20	104	30	13	2	0%	1.2	28.8%	12.5%	16.3%	1.9%	9.00	3.35	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	13	0	21	95	25	12	1	0%	1.6	17.9%	15.8%	2.1%	0.9%	3.92	4.09	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	13	0	21	95	25	12	1	0%	1.6	26.3%	12.6%	13.7%	1.1%	3.92	3.05	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	16	0	28	115	36	10	0	0%	1.8	21.3%	10.9%	10.4%	0.0%	1.93	2.68	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	16	0	28	115	36	10	0	0%	1.8	21.3%	10.9%	10.4%	0.0%	1.93	2.68	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	16	0	28	115	36	10	0	0%	1.8	31.3%	8.7%	22.6%	0.0%	1.93	1.60	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	8	0	10	44	11	5	1	0%	1.3	25.0%	11.4%	13.6%	2.3%	5.23	3.68	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	8	0	10	44	11	5	1	0%	1.3	25.0%	11.4%	13.6%	2.3%	5.23	3.68	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	8	0	10	44	11	5	1	0%	1.3	25.0%	11.4%	13.6%	2.3%	5.23	3.68	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	29	0	29	129	34	15	4	0%	1.0	19.5%	13.7%	5.8%	4.0%	5.52	5.40	—
YTD	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	29	0	29	129	34	15	4	0%	1.0	19.5%	13.7%	5.8%	4.0%	5.52	5.40	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	NYY	29	0	29	129	34	15	4	0%	1.0	26.4%	11.6%	14.7%	3.1%	5.52	4.05	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYY	28	0	29	124	30	11	4	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.2%	14.6%	3.0%	4.30	4.26	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYY	12	0	13	55	13	5	2	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.2%	14.6%	3.0%	4.30	4.26	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	53	13	5	2	0%	1.0	23.8%	9.2%	14.6%	3.0%	4.30	3.88	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	207	80	32	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.2%	14.6%	3.0%	4.30	3.88	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		82	0	108	487	98	66	9	0%	1.3	20.1%	13.6%	6.5%	1.9%	4.90	4.18	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		151	0	200	899	181	123	17	0%	1.3	20.1%	13.6%	6.5%	1.9%	4.90	4.18	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Pedro Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.38	23.2%	9.7%	3.0%	—	4.26	23.8%	14.6%	29	-0.12	—	—	—
Andrew Mitchell L 2018 · 3.75 FIP	23	SU	3.75	21.8%	7.5%	2.8%	.333	2.71	23.8%	15.8%	78	-1.04	2.51	119	90
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	85
Garvin Alston L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	22	SU	4.29	19.7%	6.6%	3.7%	.333	4.74	16.4%	2.9%	84	+0.45	4.01	232	84
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	452	83
Easton Lucas L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	23.6%	9.2%	3.7%	.316	4.03	21.2%	11.6%	184	-0.26	3.43	311	83
Wyatt Short L 2018 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.4%	8.4%	2.5%	.262	4.01	20.5%	10.3%	91	+0.18	2.74	288	82
Mason Melotakis L 2016 · 3.32 FIP	25	SU	3.32	23.6%	9.2%	1.9%	.379	4.35	18.2%	7.1%	80	+1.03	3.32	142	82
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.61	24.0%	15.0%	149	+0.93	3.68	206	81
Jerry Vasto L 2015 · 3.28 FIP	23	SU	3.28	21.2%	9.5%	1.4%	.265	3.52	23.3%	12.8%	147	+0.24	2.89	206	81
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.2%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	81
Bryan Magdaleno L 2023 · 3.40 FIP	22	SU	3.40	23.9%	8.8%	2.2%	.375	3.84	25.0%	4.6%	122	+0.44	3.40	191	81
Daniel Zamora L 2016 · 3.57 FIP	23	SU	3.57	20.3%	10.8%	1.5%	.294	2.75	24.7%	16.8%	135	-0.82	2.15	310	80
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	80
Wesley Moore L 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	25.9%	13.2%	1.9%	.254	4.18	18.3%	5.6%	58	+0.56	3.62	111	80
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	80
Chris Cotton L 2015 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	20.7%	7.0%	2.6%	.288	4.17	9.7%	3.3%	61	+0.48	3.69	128	80
Michael Johnson L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	24	SU	3.92	20.6%	9.4%	2.5%	.260	4.70	17.6%	7.7%	185	+0.78	3.92	256	79
Hunter Schryver L 2018 · 3.58 FIP	23	SU	3.58	23.2%	6.8%	2.9%	.259	4.22	19.9%	7.5%	106	+0.64	3.58	206	79
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	79
Andrew Tomasovich L 2017 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.04	20.3%	6.9%	52	+0.05	3.87	126	78