Leonard Garcia

P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 23 LHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.2 · 2029

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	A+LAA	28	1	53	3.71	3.62	23.4%	12.1%	—	K 18.0% · BB 13.9% · FIP 4.64
2025	21	MIX2 levels	41	0	60	3.77	3.54	32.7%	11.7%	—	K 24.1% · BB 12.2% · FIP 5.25
2026	22	MIX2 levels	51	0	59	4.76	3.46	33.2%	13.1%	—	K 27.4% · BB 13.1% · FIP 4.22
2027PROJ	23	MLBLAA	86	0	90	4.51	4.51	26.3%	12.6%	0.0
2028PROJ44% MLB	24	MLBLAA	38	0	40	4.40	4.32	26.5%	11.1%	0.1
2029PROJ67% MLB	25	MLBLAA	59	0	62	4.27	4.19	26.5%	10.2%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.6M2033Ext$0.7M2034Ext$7M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Control40Command55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 89%

CompsGarrett Irvin (age 24) · Héctor Santiago (age 24) · R.C. Orlan (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.51

FIP4.51

K%26.3%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%13.7%

Proj IP90

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD5555

K†6060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	12	5	40	190	48	18	5	42%	3.4	17.2%	11.8%	5.3%	3.1%	4.24	4.86	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	12	5	40	190	48	18	5	42%	3.4	25.3%	9.5%	15.8%	2.6%	4.24	3.67	—
2022	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	6	58	281	71	34	5	29%	2.7	18.0%	14.5%	3.5%	2.6%	7.02	4.86	—
2022	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	6	58	281	71	34	5	29%	2.7	25.3%	12.1%	13.2%	1.8%	7.02	3.53	—
2023	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	22	20	102	458	98	50	8	91%	4.6	15.8%	12.9%	3.0%	2.5%	5.38	4.78	—
2023	19	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	22	20	102	458	98	50	8	91%	4.6	21.4%	10.9%	10.5%	1.7%	5.38	3.67	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	28	1	53	231	54	28	4	4%	1.9	18.0%	13.9%	4.1%	2.4%	3.71	4.64	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	28	1	53	231	54	28	4	4%	1.9	18.0%	13.9%	4.1%	2.4%	3.71	4.64	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	28	1	53	231	54	28	4	4%	1.9	23.4%	12.1%	11.3%	1.7%	3.71	3.62	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	60	257	84	30	8	0%	1.5	24.1%	12.2%	11.9%	4.8%	3.77	5.25	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	60	257	84	30	8	0%	1.5	24.1%	12.2%	11.9%	4.8%	3.77	5.25	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	60	257	84	30	8	0%	1.5	32.7%	11.7%	21.0%	3.1%	3.77	3.54	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	59	259	86	34	7	0%	1.2	27.4%	13.1%	14.3%	3.2%	4.76	4.22	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	59	259	86	34	7	0%	1.2	27.4%	13.1%	14.3%	3.2%	4.76	4.22	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	59	259	86	34	7	0%	1.2	33.2%	13.1%	20.1%	2.7%	4.76	3.46	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	LAA	86	0	90	380	100	48	11	0%	1.0	26.3%	12.6%	13.7%	3.0%	4.51	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	LAA	88	0	92	389	103	43	12	0%	1.0	26.5%	11.1%	15.4%	3.0%	4.37	4.29	+0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	LAA	89	0	93	394	105	40	12	0%	1.0	26.5%	10.2%	16.4%	3.0%	4.24	4.16	+0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	LAA	89	0	93	394	105	39	12	0%	1.0	26.5%	10.0%	16.5%	3.0%	4.18	4.14	+0.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	LAA	88	0	92	388	102	39	12	0%	1.0	26.4%	10.0%	16.4%	3.0%	4.18	4.18	+0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	LAA	85	0	89	377	99	38	12	0%	1.0	26.3%	10.2%	16.1%	3.1%	4.23	4.27	+0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	LAA	81	0	85	360	94	37	12	0%	1.1	26.0%	10.4%	15.6%	3.3%	4.33	4.40	+0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	LAA	76	0	80	338	87	36	12	0%	1.1	25.7%	10.7%	15.0%	3.5%	4.48	4.58	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	LAA	38	0	40	169	45	19	5	0%	1.1	26.5%	11.1%	15.4%	3.0%	4.40	4.32	+0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	LAA	59	0	62	262	69	27	8	0%	1.1	26.5%	10.2%	16.4%	3.0%	4.27	4.19	+0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	LAA	70	0	74	312	83	31	9	0%	1.1	26.5%	10.0%	16.5%	3.0%	4.21	4.17	+0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	LAA	75	0	79	334	88	33	10	0%	1.1	26.4%	10.0%	16.4%	3.1%	4.21	4.21	+0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	LAA	75	0	79	334	88	34	11	0%	1.1	26.3%	10.2%	16.1%	3.2%	4.26	4.30	+0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	LAA	73	0	77	325	85	34	11	0%	1.1	26.0%	10.4%	15.6%	3.3%	4.37	4.44	+0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	LAA	70	0	74	312	80	33	11	0%	1.1	25.7%	10.7%	15.0%	3.5%	4.52	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		463	0	487	2055	539	212	66	0%	1.1	26.2%	10.3%	15.9%	3.2%	4.32	3.95	+3.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	222	87	27	0%	1.1	26.2%	10.3%	15.9%	3.2%	4.32	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		175	32	372	1676	330	220	51	18%	2.1	19.7%	13.1%	6.6%	3.1%	4.92	4.77	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	17	200	902	178	118	28	18%	2.1	19.7%	13.1%	6.6%	3.1%	4.92	4.77	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Leonard Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.51	26.3%	12.6%	3.0%	—	4.20	26.5%	16.1%	279	-0.31	—	—	—
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	84
Héctor Santiago L 2012 · 4.30 FIP	24	SU	4.30	25.8%	12.7%	3.2%	.247	4.22	20.6%	11.2%	457	-0.08	4.07	1,059	83
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	80
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	79
Wesley Moore L 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	25.9%	13.2%	1.9%	.254	4.18	18.3%	5.6%	58	+0.56	3.62	111	79
Shane McCain L 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.8%	9.7%	3.0%	.324	4.75	16.6%	10.0%	125	+0.41	4.34	201	79
Jimmy Burnette L 2022 · 3.59 FIP	23	SU	3.59	29.8%	15.2%	2.0%	.297	3.82	22.1%	6.7%	101	+0.23	3.00	158	78
Trey Cumbie L 2019 · 3.44 FIP	23	SU	3.44	22.5%	12.6%	1.2%	.318	4.78	24.4%	8.7%	91	+1.34	3.44	152	78
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	78
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	78
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	78
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	471	77
Chazz Martinez L 2023 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	22.2%	12.7%	1.7%	.361	3.40	20.8%	7.9%	135	-0.36	3.06	199	77
Michael Johnson L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	24	SU	3.92	20.6%	9.4%	2.5%	.260	4.70	17.6%	7.7%	185	+0.78	3.92	256	77
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	77
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	77
Michael Theofanopoulos L 2016 · 3.70 FIP	23	SU	3.70	23.0%	14.0%	1.4%	.252	3.60	21.0%	11.2%	67	-0.10	3.59	201	76
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	76
Jakob Hernandez L 2019 · 3.47 FIP	23	SU	3.47	21.7%	10.9%	1.5%	.232	3.96	27.9%	18.6%	102	+0.49	2.99	266	76
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.26	33.2%	19.8%	102	-1.31	2.95	256	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.6	89	26.3%	10.6%	1.20	4.31
Frank Lange ('10-'13, 4 WAR*)	2.5	125	26.5%*	11.1%*	1.30*	4.20*
Ken Kravec ('75-'82, 5 WAR*)	4.3	123	23.6%*	10.7%*	1.11*	4.73*
Duster Mails ('15-'26, 4 WAR*)	2.6	129	26.5%*	10.4%*	1.24*	4.23*
Danny Salazar ('19)	3.0	118	27.7%	8.6%	1.14	3.82
Tylor Megill ('25)	2.0	82	24.3%	9.1%	1.27	4.46
John Patterson ('07)	2.3	76	21.2%	9.1%	1.19	4.32