Juan Garcia — OGILVIE

Juan GarciaSS FCL Nationals

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .258 / .279

PA3

HR0

K%34

BB%7

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	202	163	36	8	2	1	28	48	10	10	3	221	368	313	681	92	304	24	14	322	104	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2022	19	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	159	138	26	6	1	4	19	48	2	3	1	188	296	333	629	145	256	30	12	289	82	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2023	20	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	51	43	13	0	0	1	7	12	1	2	0	302	412	372	784	70	400	24	14	364	132	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	21	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	46	42	11	0	0	3	3	15	1	0	1	262	326	476	802	214	333	33	7	355	126	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	202	174	27	5	1	1	17	70	10	10	3	155	269	213	481	57	247	35	8	223	37	-15	+1	—	—	+4	-1.0
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	159	145	17	3	1	3	12	70	2	3	1	117	195	214	409	97	196	44	8	182	9	-17	+0	—	—	+3	-1.4
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	51	46	10	0	0	1	4	17	1	2	0	217	294	283	577	65	331	33	8	258	61	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	46	43	7	0	0	2	2	22	1	0	1	163	217	302	520	140	261	48	4	223	37	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	202	174	27	5	1	1	17	70	10	10	3	155	269	213	481	57	250	35	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	202	163	36	8	2	1	28	48	10	10	3	221	368	313	681	92	304	24	14	322	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	159	145	17	3	1	3	12	70	2	3	1	117	195	214	409	97	194	44	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	159	138	26	6	1	4	19	48	2	3	1	188	296	333	629	145	256	30	12	289	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	51	46	10	0	0	1	4	17	1	2	0	217	294	283	577	65	321	33	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	51	43	13	0	0	1	7	12	1	2	0	302	412	372	784	70	400	24	14	364	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	46	43	7	0	0	2	2	22	1	0	1	163	217	302	520	140	263	48	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	46	42	11	0	0	3	3	15	1	0	1	262	326	476	802	214	333	33	7	355	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	202	173	27	5	1	1	17	70	10	10	3	156	269	214	483	58	247	35	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	159	144	17	3	1	3	12	70	2	3	1	118	195	215	410	97	196	44	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	51	46	10	0	0	1	4	17	1	2	0	217	294	283	577	65	331	33	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	46	43	7	0	0	2	2	22	1	0	1	163	217	302	520	140	261	48	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	51	46	10	0	0	1	4	17	1	2	0	217	294	283	577	65	331	33	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	46	43	7	0	0	2	2	22	1	0	1	163	217	302	520	140	261	48	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						287	33	0	248	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	30%	104	95	20	2	1	2	7	34	1	1	0	211	272	316	588	105	288	33	7	258	61	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	44%	220	200	41	5	1	4	16	70	2	3	1	205	271	300	571	95	289	32	7	264	65	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	WSH	51%	304	276	57	7	1	6	22	95	3	4	1	207	272	304	577	98	289	31	7	268	67	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	351	318	67	9	2	7	26	109	4	4	1	211	279	318	596	107	289	31	7	269	68	-13	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	380	345	72	9	2	8	28	118	4	4	1	209	276	316	592	107	289	31	7	268	68	-15	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	WSH	30%	31	29	6	1	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	207	258	345	603	138	287	32	6	248	61	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	44%	97	89	18	2	0	2	7	31	1	1	0	202	268	292	560	90	287	32	7	254	65	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	WSH	51%	154	140	30	4	1	3	11	48	2	2	1	214	281	321	602	107	287	31	7	258	67	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	184	166	35	4	1	4	14	57	2	2	1	211	280	319	599	108	288	31	8	260	68	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	203	184	38	5	1	4	15	63	2	2	1	207	274	310	583	103	287	31	7	259	68	-8	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	669	608	127	16	3	14	49	209	7	7	3	209	276	314	590	105	291	31	7	258	58	-26	+0	-0	+7	+14	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	124	16	3	14	48	203	7	7	3	210	278	318	596	108	292	31	7	258	58	-25	+0	-0	+7	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1820	1645	318	40	9	34	134	606	28	31	9	193	266	291	556	97	280	33	7	253	58	-54	+2	-1	+15	+30	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	113	14	3	12	48	216	10	11	3	192	265	287	552	95	278	33	7	253	58	-26	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.1	713	15	8	208	273	313	+8	+9	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	14	8	+7.1	+8.4	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Garcia (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	195/258/279	84	287	1	1	34%	7%	54	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→45	49→40	39	180/241/289	109	274	11	4	37%	7%	49	-2.4	201/257/318	117	274	12	4	30%	6%	62	-1.4	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	181/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	211/265/312	101	293	9	3	29%	6%	63	-1.4	217/276/324	107	289	10	0	27%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→40	44→50	45→50	43	180/261/297	117	271	11	7	36%	9%	59	-1.6	201/279/356	155	288	17	9	34%	9%	80	-0.2	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	43→50	46→45	38	201/248/313	112	281	10	7	32%	5%	57	-1.8	196/259/294	98	295	9	10	34%	8%	57	-1.8	166/232/250	84	247	9	10	35%	8%	35	-0.9
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	36	186/240/271	86	298	6	9	38%	6%	44	-2.8	182/266/288	106	256	11	5	31%	9%	59	-1.6	164/257/264	101	226	11	3	30%	10%	49	-1.3
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	37	42→40	46→40	40	180/259/284	104	282	9	8	37%	8%	55	-1.9	203/277/297	94	309	7	5	34%	7%	65	-1.2	203/279/289	86	310	6	2	34%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	183/257/279	96	281	10	6	36%	8%	53	-2.1	199/261/302	103	329	8	6	39%	7%	59	-1.6	183/243/303	120	312	8	3	41%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A	23	35	42→50	43→30	38	176/239/285	109	279	9	6	39%	7%	47	-2.5	200/272/335	135	323	12	4	38%	9%	72	-0.7	196/274/342	145	318	14	1	39%	9%	71	-0.4
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	174/222/255	81	277	7	4	39%	5%	34	-3.5	184/241/265	81	306	8	5	40%	6%	44	-2.8	141/191/216	75	260	9	0	47%	5%	11	-1.0
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	36→34	44→50	47→50	32	186/229/299	113	278	11	13	37%	4%	47	-2.6	195/241/315	120	305	12	12	38%	5%	55	-2.0	189/239/340	151	271	18	12	36%	5%	59	-1.1
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	5	5	33%	4%	31	-3.7	206/261/282	76	313	5	6	33%	6%	54	-2.0	206/271/236	30	326	0	0	34%	7%	47	-0.4
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	40→35	42→45	49→40	44	198/269/304	106	269	10	4	29%	7%	63	-1.3	179/252/275	96	301	10	4	41%	8%	51	-2.3	159/236/248	88	274	11	3	43%	8%	37	-2.3
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	39	201/255/297	96	286	8	8	32%	6%	55	-1.9	198/263/285	87	291	7	9	32%	7%	57	-1.8	182/254/257	75	267	7	8	32%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A	23	39	41→45	48→30	32	192/231/285	93	290	9	6	36%	4%	44	-2.8	198/248/282	84	293	6	6	33%	4%	50	-2.3	152/200/202	49	235	0	0	33%	2%	10	-1.2
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/284/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	197/291/331	134	305	14	5	37%	10%	79	-0.2	181/287/328	147	281	17	4	38%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Chris Hudgins 2019 · A	23	39	44→50	49→40	35	197/244/320	123	291	11	3	35%	5%	57	-1.8	198/251/322	124	295	14	4	36%	6%	60	-1.6	172/228/295	123	260	15	2	39%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2018 · A	23	35	42→45	44→45	46	175/265/284	109	271	9	5	36%	10%	58	-1.7	184/252/283	99	266	8	7	31%	8%	52	-2.2	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	35	38→50	49→40	35	174/226/251	77	275	5	7	37%	5%	34	-3.5	188/272/333	145	263	18	6	34%	9%	72	-0.7	166/252/300	134	233	18	4	36%	9%	55	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps