Jose Luis Reyes

P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	MIX2 levels	13	9	52	5.16	3.79	18.0%	7.9%	—	K 12.9% · BB 9.5% · FIP 4.72
2024	21	MIX2 levels	24	18	93	5.90	3.51	20.4%	7.3%	—	K 15.2% · BB 8.6% · FIP 4.51
2025	22	A+SD	9	9	39	5.54	4.15	17.0%	9.3%	—	K 13.1% · BB 10.7% · FIP 4.96
2027PROJ	24	MLBSD	5	5	31	4.88	4.88	17.3%	9.7%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBSD	3	3	15	4.75	4.70	18.8%	9.3%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsCarlos Torres (age 26) · Andrew Quezada (age 24) · Jeff Niemann (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.88

FIP4.88

K%17.3%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%7.6%

Proj IP31

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	12	0	22	100	25	13	1	0%	1.8	17.0%	16.2%	0.8%	1.4%	3.68	4.49	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	12	0	22	100	25	13	1	0%	1.8	25.0%	13.0%	12.0%	1.0%	3.68	3.19	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	5	0	4	24	4	4	0	0%	0.9	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	0.0%	2.08	3.80	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	5	0	4	24	4	4	0	0%	0.9	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	0.0%	2.08	4.02	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	52	239	43	19	5	69%	4.0	12.9%	9.5%	3.4%	2.7%	5.16	4.72	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	9	52	239	43	19	5	69%	4.0	18.0%	7.9%	10.0%	2.1%	5.16	3.79	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	18	93	422	86	31	9	75%	3.9	15.2%	8.6%	6.6%	2.9%	5.90	4.51	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	18	93	422	86	31	9	75%	3.9	15.2%	8.6%	6.6%	2.9%	5.90	4.51	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	18	93	422	86	31	9	75%	3.9	20.4%	7.3%	13.0%	2.1%	5.90	3.51	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	9	9	39	182	31	17	4	100%	4.3	13.1%	10.7%	2.4%	2.9%	5.54	4.96	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	9	9	39	182	31	17	4	100%	4.3	13.1%	10.7%	2.4%	2.9%	5.54	4.96	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	9	9	39	182	31	17	4	100%	4.3	17.0%	9.3%	7.7%	2.2%	5.54	4.15	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	SD	5	5	31	131	23	13	4	100%	6.2	17.3%	9.7%	7.6%	3.0%	4.88	4.88	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	6	6	36	150	28	14	4	100%	5.9	18.8%	9.3%	9.5%	3.0%	4.75	4.70	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	3	3	15	63	12	6	2	100%	5.0	18.8%	9.3%	9.5%	3.0%	4.75	4.70	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	15	64	12	6	2	100%	5.1	18.8%	9.3%	9.5%	3.0%	4.75	4.32	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	157	79	26	100%	5.9	18.8%	9.3%	9.5%	3.0%	4.75	4.32	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		63	36	211	967	140	99	26	57%	3.3	14.5%	10.2%	4.2%	2.6%	5.34	4.62	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	34	200	918	133	94	24	57%	3.3	14.5%	10.2%	4.2%	2.6%	5.34	4.62	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Luis Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.88	17.3%	9.7%	3.0%	—	4.70	18.8%	9.5%	36	-0.18	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	85
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	85
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	85
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	84
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	83
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	83
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	82
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	82
Chad Bettis R 2013 · 4.38 FIP	24	SP-	4.38	14.4%	8.7%	2.6%	.318	3.81	17.4%	10.4%	365	-0.57	3.67	672	82
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	81
Darrell Rasner R 2006 · 4.07 FIP	25	SP-	4.07	13.3%	6.0%	2.4%	.246	4.56	12.5%	5.2%	138	+0.49	4.07	158	81
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	80
Matt Marsh R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	24	SW	4.14	15.5%	10.7%	1.8%	.275	3.65	20.5%	11.4%	70	-0.49	3.13	143	79
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	79
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	79
Cha Seung Baek R 2004 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP-	4.77	14.4%	7.2%	3.6%	.288	3.95	15.7%	10.0%	108	-0.82	3.35	280	78
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	78
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	78
Zach Miner R 2006 · 4.35 FIP	24	SP-	4.35	14.8%	7.8%	2.8%	.300	4.24	13.8%	4.6%	264	-0.11	3.55	386	78
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	18.1%	9.5%	1.15	4.81
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Randy Flores ('10)	1.2	42	17.7%	9.3%	1.04	4.61
Jeff Manship ('16)	1.1	32	16.5%	9.3%	1.05	4.82
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*