A.J. Shaver — OGILVIE

A.J. ShaverOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .252 / .265

PA76

HR1

K%39

BB%7

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	38	32	2	0	0	0	2	24	4	3	1	62	211	62	273		250	63	5	160	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	38	30	4	0	0	1	4	16	4	3	1	133	316	233	549	100	231	42	11	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	101	88	6	2	0	1	8	56	4	6	2	68	180	125	305	57	161	55	8	151	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	101	84	10	3	0	2	12	39	4	6	2	119	260	226	486	107	186	39	12	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	PHI	—	76	69	11	2	0	1	5	29	2	1	0	159	237	232	469	72	289	38	7	241	42	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	PHI	30%	131	117	22	4	1	2	10	49	3	3	1	188	269	291	560	103	290	37	8	251	50	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
2027	25	MLB	PHI	30%	39	35	6	1	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	171	256	286	542	114	292	36	8	238	40	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	39	35	6	1	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	171	256	286	542	114	250	36	8	238	40	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	101	17	0	17	50	233	17	17	0	173	258	290	548	117	252	36	8	238	40	-44	+3	+0	-4	+18	-2.7
Career	—			—	346	306	41	8	1	4	25	158	13	13	4	134	230	206	436	72	255	46	7	209	18	-32	+1	+0	-2	+10	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	78	15	2	8	47	297	24	24	8	136	231	210	441	75	257	46	7	209	18	-60	+2	+0	-4	+18	-4.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	38	30	4	0	1	4	16	4	3	1	133	316	233	549	100	231	42	11	277	70	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	58	5	0	2	4	27	2	0	2	86	172	190	362	103	103	42	6	171	-11	-8	-1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	22	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	36	26	5	3	0	8	12	2	6	0	192	417	308	724	115	357	33	22	353	128	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
A.J. Shaver (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	176/252/265	89	289	1	1	39%	7%	42	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→31	43→50	46→50	34	189/235/299	110	285	10	11	36%	5%	42	-2.3	188/238/321	133	290	15	12	39%	5%	50	-1.8	159/216/313	154	231	21	14	41%	7%	37	-1.4
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	36→24	39→40	54→55	40	166/257/253	87	306	7	18	44%	9%	42	-2.3	177/257/259	82	368	6	20	48%	9%	43	-2.2	92/195/135	43	236	2	38	55%	10%	-16	-1.7
✕Jeremy Eierman 2021 · A	24	34→26	42→60	50→45	32	173/219/273	100	285	9	9	41%	5%	28	-3.2	189/243/362	173	300	24	10	44%	5%	63	-0.8	166/224/353	186	246	28	10	44%	5%	50	-0.7
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	43→45	51→40	35	174/245/285	111	285	11	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	197/254/306	109	317	9	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	196/252/314	118	301	9	0	36%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	34→27	39→45	48→40	31	168/215/247	79	290	6	6	43%	5%	20	-3.8	182/228/291	109	286	11	4	38%	5%	37	-2.7	177/222/290	113	265	13	2	37%	5%	33	-1.8
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	39→36	39→40	51→50	37	180/246/265	85	318	6	10	43%	8%	38	-2.6	186/240/282	96	380	9	13	50%	6%	40	-2.4	117/163/189	72	288	7	20	59%	4%	-20	-1.7
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→37	40	52→50	37	175/253/268	93	281	8	17	38%	6%	43	-2.2	176/256/285	109	322	11	13	45%	7%	49	-1.8	110/204/224	114	226	14	10	54%	8%	11	-1.7
✕Demi Orimoloye 2021 · A	24	36→35	41→40	52→55	33	181/233/274	94	291	9	16	40%	5%	35	-2.8	202/239/306	104	332	10	15	40%	4%	45	-2.1	186/212/289	103	307	10	18	42%	3%	24	-1.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Matt Gorski 2022 · A	24	37→33	44→55	54→55	34	187/237/301	114	293	12	16	40%	6%	43	-2.2	195/245/352	157	279	20	20	37%	6%	61	-1.0	186/231/364	178	245	24	19	35%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Gunnar Heidt 2017 · A	24	38→39	41→45	48→50	39	188/245/290	102	278	8	15	34%	6%	44	-2.1	192/247/294	102	293	9	12	36%	6%	46	-2.0	188/243/286	98	278	10	9	34%	6%	40	-1.8
✕David Harris 2016 · A	24	39	42→45	47→50	32	195/235/294	99	289	10	9	35%	4%	40	-2.4	198/245/293	95	308	8	10	36%	5%	44	-2.1	157/197/226	69	262	5	10	40%	3%	4	-0.9
✕Brandon Downes 2017 · A	24	38→36	45→55	49→50	33	191/239/317	126	298	12	13	39%	5%	49	-1.8	199/254/361	162	300	20	9	39%	6%	68	-0.5	185/245/375	190	258	27	6	39%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Doran Turchin 2021 · A	24	39	42→45	48→50	39	189/258/296	107	292	9	7	37%	7%	52	-1.6	195/267/310	115	335	11	10	42%	7%	59	-1.1	154/238/266	112	277	11	11	45%	7%	34	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Lucas Dunn 2023 · A	24	41→38	41→40	50	44	189/278/292	103	311	7	11	38%	10%	59	-1.1	187/266/281	94	293	9	12	36%	8%	52	-1.6	171/251/255	84	263	9	13	36%	8%	37	-1.6