Mason Miller

P Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 25 LHP 6'3" / 205 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	14	0	29	7.76	4.76	20.0%	12.4%	—	K 12.4% · BB 15.9% · FIP 4.81
2025	23	MIX2 levels	32	11	84	2.35	2.33	28.2%	9.0%	—	K 21.2% · BB 10.5% · FIP 3.22
2026	24	A+KC	26	5	64	5.37	5.35	19.0%	14.1%	—	K 14.6% · BB 16.3% · FIP 6.29
2027PROJ	25	MLBKC	67	0	70	5.39	5.39	17.3%	13.3%	-0.7
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBKC	31	0	33	5.24	5.21	18.6%	12.9%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBKC	45	0	47	5.18	5.19	19.0%	12.7%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control50Command55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAlec Gamboa (age 25) · Nick Dombkowski (age 25) · Connor Oliver (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 136

ERA5.39

FIP5.39

K%17.3%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%3.9%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	29	145	29	18	4	0%	2.1	12.4%	15.9%	-3.5%	1.3%	7.76	4.81	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	29	145	29	18	4	0%	2.1	12.4%	15.9%	-3.5%	1.3%	7.76	4.81	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	29	145	29	18	4	0%	2.1	20.0%	12.4%	7.6%	2.8%	7.76	4.76	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	11	84	355	100	32	3	34%	2.6	21.2%	10.5%	10.7%	1.1%	2.35	3.22	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	11	84	355	100	32	3	34%	2.6	21.2%	10.5%	10.7%	1.1%	2.35	3.22	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	11	84	355	100	32	3	34%	2.6	28.2%	9.0%	19.2%	0.8%	2.35	2.33	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	26	5	64	290	55	41	10	19%	2.4	14.6%	16.3%	-1.7%	4.3%	5.37	6.29	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	26	5	64	290	55	41	10	19%	2.4	14.6%	16.3%	-1.7%	4.3%	5.37	6.29	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	26	5	64	290	55	41	10	19%	2.4	19.0%	14.1%	4.8%	3.4%	5.37	5.35	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	KC	67	0	70	296	51	39	9	0%	1.0	17.3%	13.3%	3.9%	3.1%	5.39	5.39	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	KC	72	0	76	320	60	41	10	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.9%	5.8%	3.1%	5.24	5.21	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	KC	71	0	75	316	60	40	10	0%	1.1	19.0%	12.7%	6.3%	3.1%	5.18	5.19	-0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	KC	69	0	73	307	58	39	10	0%	1.1	19.1%	12.7%	6.4%	3.2%	5.19	5.23	-0.6
2031	29	MLB MLE	KC	66	0	69	293	55	37	10	0%	1.1	18.9%	12.8%	6.2%	3.3%	5.27	5.34	-0.6
2032	30	MLB MLE	KC	62	0	65	275	51	36	10	0%	1.0	18.6%	13.1%	5.5%	3.5%	5.42	5.51	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	KC	31	0	33	139	26	18	4	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.9%	5.8%	3.1%	5.24	5.21	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	KC	45	0	47	198	38	25	6	0%	1.0	19.0%	12.7%	6.3%	3.1%	5.18	5.19	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	KC	52	0	55	232	44	29	7	0%	1.1	19.1%	12.7%	6.4%	3.2%	5.19	5.23	-0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	KC	53	0	56	236	45	30	8	0%	1.1	18.9%	12.8%	6.2%	3.3%	5.27	5.34	-0.5
2032	30	MLB CTX	KC	53	0	56	236	44	31	8	0%	1.1	18.6%	13.1%	5.5%	3.5%	5.42	5.51	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		235	0	247	1041	196	133	34	0%	1.0	18.9%	12.8%	6.0%	3.3%	5.27	4.93	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	108	28	0%	1.1	18.9%	12.8%	6.0%	3.3%	5.27	4.93	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		72	16	177	790	136	107	18	22%	2.5	17.2%	13.6%	3.6%	2.3%	4.32	4.64	-3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	18	200	893	153	121	21	22%	2.5	17.2%	13.6%	3.6%	2.3%	4.32	4.64	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mason Miller (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.39	17.3%	13.3%	3.1%	—	5.21	18.9%	6.2%	223	-0.18	—	—	—
Alec Gamboa L 2022 · 5.36 FIP	25	SW	5.36	14.8%	13.1%	3.4%	.287	3.92	16.3%	4.4%	169	-1.44	1.46	444	80
Nick Dombkowski L 2024 · 4.92 FIP	25	SW	4.92	16.5%	10.9%	3.3%	.273	5.17	18.2%	10.6%	183	+0.25	3.71	425	79
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	79
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	79
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.35	164	78
T.J. Sikkema L 2023 · 6.04 FIP	25	SU	6.04	16.1%	13.2%	4.8%	.245	3.86	17.2%	9.6%	159	-2.18	3.57	300	78
Houston Harding L 2023 · 5.74 FIP	25	SU	5.74	17.9%	15.0%	4.1%	.307	4.82	14.5%	3.2%	142	-0.92	3.41	239	78
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	77
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	77
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	77
Kyle Hunter L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	26	SW	4.32	12.5%	11.5%	1.5%	.258	4.49	12.6%	4.6%	144	+0.17	4.32	188	77
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	76
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	76
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	76
Anderson Polanco L 2018 · 5.95 FIP	25	SW	5.95	19.9%	20.9%	3.4%	.298	5.09	18.9%	2.6%	47	-0.86	4.10	316	76
Stephen Peterson L 2015 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	13.0%	9.5%	2.5%	.284	3.04	17.3%	6.3%	55	-1.55	3.04	120	76
Will Lamb L 2016 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	15.3%	11.7%	4.3%	.280	5.78	20.0%	6.0%	67	+0.12	3.64	178	76
Trent Szkutnik L 2019 · 4.38 FIP	25	SU	4.38	18.4%	11.8%	2.5%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	429	75
Cam Alldred L 2021 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	17.7%	11.9%	3.0%	.213	4.24	18.8%	9.5%	206	-0.55	3.70	332	75
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	71	18.6%	12.9%	1.24	5.28
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*