Jonny McGill

OF Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs A K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2361ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	24	A+/ALAA	344	.277/.416/.417	7	20	89	—	.233/.337/.344
2027PROJMLE	25	MLBLAA	380	.213/.306/.326	7	8	81	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBLAA	62	.214/.305/.329	1	1	83	-0.0
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBLAA	101	.214/.305/.330	2	2	83	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed81

ISO61

K%57

wRC+55

BB%48

wOBA45

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRiver Town (age 25) · Isaac Ballou (age 25) · Quincy Hamilton (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 182 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .303 / .323

PA182

HR3

K%27

BB%10

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	24	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	53	46	11	3	1	1	6	12	1	1	0	239	340	413	753	174	303	23	11	338	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	291	232	66	11	1	6	52	53	7	19	6	284	430	418	848	134	347	18	18	389	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	53	48	9	2	1	1	4	16	1	1	0	188	264	333	597	146	261	30	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	291	249	60	9	1	5	35	72	7	19	6	241	351	345	696	104	315	25	12	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	344	297	69	12	2	5	39	88	8	20	6	232	337	337	674	104	314	26	11	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	344	278	77	14	2	7	58	65	8	20	6	277	416	417	833	140	340	19	17	381	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	344	294	69	12	2	5	39	88	8	20	6	235	337	340	677	105	307	26	11	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	344	294	69	12	2	5	39	88	8	20	6	235	337	340	677	105	307	26	11	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	380	332	71	13	2	7	40	102	5	8	2	213	306	326	631	113	283	27	11	288	81	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAA	30%	206	180	39	7	1	4	21	55	3	4	1	215	306	330	637	116	283	27	10	290	83	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAA	42%	244	214	46	8	1	5	25	65	3	5	1	215	306	332	638	116	283	27	10	291	83	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAA	48%	272	239	50	9	1	5	28	72	3	5	2	215	305	331	636	116	282	26	10	290	82	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAA	49%	280	247	52	10	1	5	28	74	3	5	2	214	303	328	631	114	281	26	10	288	81	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAA	30%	62	55	11	2	0	1	6	16	1	1	0	214	305	329	634	115	281	26	10	289	83	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAA	42%	101	89	19	3	1	2	10	27	1	2	1	214	305	330	635	116	280	27	10	289	83	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAA	48%	129	113	24	4	1	2	13	34	2	2	1	214	304	329	633	115	280	26	10	288	82	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAA	49%	138	121	27	5	1	3	14	37	2	2	1	213	302	327	628	114	279	27	10	286	81	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	430	378	81	14	3	8	43	114	6	7	3	214	304	331	635	116	282	27	10	288	84	-9	+0	-1	-3	+9	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	123	21	5	12	65	172	9	11	5	215	305	333	638	117	283	26	10	288	84	-14	+0	-2	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1528	1336	290	52	7	27	160	403	22	43	13	217	311	327	638	110	289	26	10	292	84	-25	+2	-2	-7	+26	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	123	22	3	11	68	171	9	18	6	217	310	324	634	107	289	26	10	292	84	-14	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 291 PAwOBA .379 → .308 (−70)K% 18.2% → 24.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.21%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	24.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.53%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.980	11.85%
HBP% /PA	2.41%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	1.84%
Singles /BIP	26.82%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.033	×0.980	24.98%
Doubles /BIP	6.15%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.033	×0.980	5.17%
Triples /BIP	0.56%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.033	×0.980	0.51%
Home runs /BIP	3.35%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.980	2.63%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .379 → .308; ISO .134 → .109; BABIP .347 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 53 PAwOBA .329 → .255 (−74)K% 22.6% → 30.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.64%	÷1.000	×1.350	—	—	30.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.32%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.988	7.94%
HBP% /PA	1.89%	—	×0.810	—	×0.988	1.51%
Singles /BIP	17.65%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×0.988	15.87%
Doubles /BIP	8.82%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.988	7.24%
Triples /BIP	2.94%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.988	2.38%
Home runs /BIP	2.94%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.988	2.41%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .329 → .255; ISO .174 → .133; BABIP .303 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Max Venable'79-'91 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	18	64	238*	301*	371*	-11	-1	0.9	1.9
/162	664	8	27	-4.6	-0.3	0.4	pk7: 3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	0.9	613	11	12	215	303	330	-4	+0	0.1	0.1
/162	664	12	13	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonny McGill (OGILVIE)	25	43	39	55	60	211/303/323	112	283	3	4	27%	10%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕River Town 2024 · A	25	44→38	42→40	54→50	49	216/299/317	102	268	10	18	22%	8%	78	-0.3	215/304/301	86	265	6	11	20%	9%	76	-0.4	191/302/252	61	231	2	5	16%	11%	65	-0.5
✕Isaac Ballou 2015 · A	25	45→48	42→45	53→50	45	218/281/333	115	275	9	14	23%	6%	74	-0.6	221/278/324	103	287	7	13	24%	7%	70	-0.8	217/274/314	97	284	6	12	25%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Quincy Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	45	46→50	53→50	49	225/307/354	128	288	14	18	26%	9%	89	+0.5	207/285/346	139	265	15	12	27%	9%	79	-0.2	185/264/323	139	233	15	10	27%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Nick Baligod 2013 · A	25	47	44→40	49→45	46	230/287/345	115	286	11	7	23%	7%	78	-0.3	231/283/318	87	263	6	7	14%	6%	70	-0.8	231/284/306	75	258	5	6	12%	6%	65	-0.7
✕Luis González 2021 · AA	25	46→51	43→45	47→50	45	224/276/334	110	278	10	12	23%	6%	72	-0.7	230/299/344	114	295	12	18	24%	8%	83	+0.1	233/309/345	112	298	11	22	24%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Reid Fronk 2011 · A	25	44→47	40→45	47→50	48	210/298/310	100	284	6	9	26%	9%	76	-0.4	200/280/287	87	290	5	8	30%	9%	63	-1.3	169/254/245	76	255	4	4	32%	9%	43	-1.8
✕Cal Stevenson 2022 · AA	25	46→56	43→45	50→60	51	225/299/334	109	288	11	16	25%	10%	81	-0.1	236/322/347	111	309	10	24	24%	11%	93	+0.8	243/336/358	114	313	9	30	23%	12%	99	+0.7
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A	24	48→52	41→45	54→50	46	227/298/334	107	309	8	11	28%	8%	80	-0.1	243/308/371	128	315	11	15	25%	8%	93	+0.8	250/316/388	137	318	12	17	24%	8%	97	+0.7
✕Matthew Acosta 2022 · A	24	44	43→45	53→50	47	215/288/332	117	296	10	9	29%	9%	76	-0.4	204/270/309	105	294	10	13	32%	8%	65	-1.2	179/248/270	91	259	9	16	33%	8%	46	-1.6
✕Brad McElroy 2011 · A	25	45→55	41→40	55	45	217/279/318	101	285	8	17	26%	7%	70	-0.9	228/286/313	85	296	5	21	23%	6%	71	-0.8	235/295/309	74	301	3	29	22%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Michael Gigliotti 2022 · A	26	45	42→40	54→55	44	214/289/325	111	301	9	20	30%	8%	76	-0.4	210/306/317	107	286	9	20	27%	10%	81	-0.1	201/307/298	97	269	8	24	26%	11%	76	-0.2
✕Anthony Norman 2011 · AA	26	42→41	46→50	54→55	48	211/290/342	131	264	13	14	24%	8%	80	-0.1	212/271/313	101	297	6	10	29%	6%	65	-1.2	229/270/343	114	336	0	12	30%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Sherman Johnson 2016 · AA	26	42→49	43→45	52→50	53	206/286/321	114	251	10	14	22%	10%	73	-0.6	203/282/306	103	262	8	14	24%	9%	68	-1.0	200/275/291	91	273	7	11	27%	9%	59	-0.9
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→46	44→50	51→40	43	211/270/330	119	277	11	9	28%	7%	69	-0.9	228/285/369	141	298	16	5	28%	6%	84	+0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Nathan Panther 2006 · AA	25	44→43	44→45	47→45	48	220/286/337	116	272	12	9	24%	8%	77	-0.3	219/285/335	116	273	11	7	23%	8%	76	-0.4	217/285/336	119	267	11	5	22%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	45→44	42→45	52→50	42	220/270/327	107	284	8	13	25%	6%	68	-1.0	225/271/360	135	292	15	18	27%	5%	76	-0.4	220/264/362	141	281	16	22	27%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Jacob Rhinesmith 2021 · A	25	42	42→45	50	46	208/268/315	106	256	9	11	22%	7%	65	-1.2	209/273/312	103	274	9	9	25%	7%	66	-1.1	207/276/325	118	263	10	8	24%	8%	68	-0.8
✕Caleb Roberts 2024 · AA	24	45→46	45→50	52→50	46	213/298/343	131	314	11	12	33%	9%	83	+0.1	205/286/332	127	282	12	11	30%	8%	76	-0.4	190/278/312	121	255	12	11	29%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	195/273/300	105	283	8	8	32%	9%	63	-1.3	215/297/319	104	298	10	14	29%	8%	78	-0.3	219/303/314	95	294	10	19	27%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Yoel Yanqui 2021 · A	25	46→52	40	50	43	221/276/318	97	303	7	13	28%	7%	68	-1.0	214/278/323	109	306	10	9	31%	8%	70	-0.8	199/268/303	104	282	11	6	31%	8%	59	-0.8

Jonny McGill

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps