Émilien Pitre2B Bowling Green Hot Rods
Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION326 act + 217 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†98
AVG/OBP/SLG.251 / .334 / .366
PA217
HR3
SB11
K%19
BB%10
BABIP303
ISO115
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+7BATRUN: +3.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +15.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+15REPTotal WAR: +2.80+2.8WAR
0.01.42.70.01.82.12.22.22.01.81.51.30.9+$112M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.2$13M+$12M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.0$11M+$10M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.8$9M+$9M
2033Arb-1$3M+1.5$7M+$6M
2034Arb-2$4M+1.3$6M+$4M
2035Arb-3$4M+0.9$2M+$0.1M
Totals $15M $48M +$41M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 ACharleston RiverDogs 9282 19510 7162 72 232308317625 85284 178 264 60
202421 ACharleston RiverDogs 9277 23610 12112 72 299407403809 104343 1213 366 138
202522 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods 524468 1061739 421375 146 226297333630 107293 268 277 70
202522 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods 524448 1202339 611075 146 268361393754 125326 2012 336 116
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 A+TB 326276 781435 39484 298 283379409789 127322 1512 341 119 +7 +3 +0 +1 +9 2.0
YTD23 A+TB 326257 771535 58364 298 300436440875 140327 1118 389 156 +21 +3 +0 +1 +9 3.4
ROS23 A+TB 0% 217191 48923 22412 113 251334366700 115299 1910 314 98 -0 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.8
ROS23 MLBTB 0% 11 0000 000 00 303 00 308 94 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL23 A+TB 327277 781435 39484 298 282378408786 126320 1512 341 119 +7 +3 +0 +1 +9 2.0
TOT23 A+TB 543467 1262358 61896 4011 270361392753 122314 1611 330 111 +7 +4 +0 +2 +15 2.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBTB 30% 563496 1232249 571065 196 248332363694 115296 1910 312 97 -2 +1 +0 +2 +16 1.8
202825 MLBTB 44% 578510 12723410 581105 175 249332369700 120296 1910 317 101 +0 +1 +0 +2 +16 2.1
202926 MLBTB 51% 583513 12823411 591126 154 250334374708 125295 1910 319 102 +1 +1 +0 +2 +17 2.2
203027 MLBTB 52% 582512 12723411 591126 134 248333373706 125295 1910 319 102 +2 +1 +0 +2 +16 2.2
203128 MLBTB 53% 577507 12623411 591126 123 249334375709 126295 1910 318 102 +1 +1 -1 +2 +16 2.0
203229 MLBTB 53% 570501 12422411 591125 103 248333373706 126294 2010 316 100 +0 +1 -1 +2 +16 1.8
203330 MLBTB 52% 561493 11921310 581125 93 241327357684 116293 2010 313 98 -1 +1 -2 +2 +16 1.5
203431 MLBTB 52% 552485 11721310 571115 82 241327359686 118290 2010 309 95 -3 +1 -3 +2 +16 1.3
203532 MLBTB 56% 542476 1132039 561125 72 237324349673 111287 2110 303 90 -6 +1 -4 +2 +15 0.9
202724 MLBTB 30% 171150 38713 17322 62 253337373711 120300 1910 307 93 -1 +0 +0 +1 +5 0.5
202825 MLBTB 44% 256226 571024 26492 72 252335367702 115300 1910 312 97 -1 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.8
202926 MLBTB 51% 296261 661126 30573 82 253337379716 126299 1910 313 98 -1 +1 +0 +1 +8 1.0
203027 MLBTB 52% 305268 681226 31593 72 254338381718 127299 1910 313 98 -1 +1 +0 +1 +9 1.0
203128 MLBTB 53% 308271 681226 31603 62 251334376711 125299 1910 312 97 -1 +0 -0 +1 +9 0.9
203229 MLBTB 53% 299263 651125 31593 52 247333361695 114298 2010 311 96 -1 +0 -1 +1 +8 0.8
203330 MLBTB 52% 292257 631125 30583 51 245331362693 117297 2010 308 94 -2 +1 -1 +1 +8 0.7
203431 MLBTB 52% 286252 621125 29583 41 246331365696 119294 2010 304 91 -3 +0 -1 +1 +8 0.5
203532 MLBTB 56% 303266 641125 31623 41 241327353680 113291 2010 298 87 -5 +0 -2 +1 +9 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 25172215 551961745 25649425 5215 249333368702 120300 2010 309 94 -16 +4 -6 +9 +71 6.5
/ 162G 650572 14225412 661286 134 248332369701 121299 2010 309 94 -4 +1 -1 +2 +18 1.7
Career 59415234 127722939104 593119357 14243 244327362690 118295 2010 310 96 -30 +11 -10 +21 +168 16.3
/ 162G 650573 13925411 651316 165 243326358684 115294 2010 310 96 -3 +1 -1 +2 +18 1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 ACharleston RiverDogs 9277 23610 12112 72 299407403809 104343 1213 366 138 +4 +1 +3 0.7
202522 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods 524448 1202339 611075 146 268361393754 125326 2012 336 116 +9 +0 +15 2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jason Kipnislast yr '20
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA
104,984126136260333416+18-1122.621.9
/1626641718+2.4-1.43.0pk7: 21
#2Austin Jacksonlast yr '18
career totals — 9 seasons, 4,653 PA
94,65365114273333396+17+1319.519.5
/162664916+2.4+1.92.8pk7: 19
#3César Hernándezlast yr '22
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,797 PA
104,7977191267341375+17+117.818.0
/1626641013+2.4+0.22.5pk7: 18
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10
#5Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA
63,1508634246304402-0+239.79.7
/162664187-0.0+4.92.1pk7: 10
#6Brett Lawrielast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,417 PA
62,4177141261315419+9+19.49.4
/1626642011+2.4+0.32.6pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
42,5184652247327368+9+47.87.2
/1626641214+2.4+1.12.0pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Émilien Pitre (OGILVIE) 23 45 35 45 50 270/361/392 122314 840 16% 11% 111 +2.8
Greg Garcia
2013 · AA
23 51→54 40 46→50 50 242/317/339 97301 79 21% 8% 87 +0.8 238/311/330 92308 612 23% 8% 82 +0.5 242/351/334923096321%13%98+0.8
Terrin Vavra
2021 · A
24 45→44 41→45 47→50 47 217/272/316 99263 812 21% 7% 62 -0.9 245/319/353 108323 811 24% 9% 92 +1.2 262/341/36810634571124%9%100+0.6
Anthony Dimino
2017 · A
23 51 36→40 48→50 50 237/305/304 67301 39 21% 8% 73 -0.1 243/306/311 68313 313 21% 8% 75 -0.0 253/315/3146232131721%8%75-0.0
Braiden Ward
2022 · A
23 48→45 37→40 47→70 46 223/310/297 75312 410 28% 8% 75 -0.0 211/301/295 84308 644 31% 6% 72 -0.2 223/313/32410130666426%6%79+0.2
Conner Crumbliss
2010 · A
23 49→50 40→45 50 50 230/314/332 102296 610 23% 9% 85 +0.7 220/323/314 94280 614 21% 13% 85 +0.7 213/318/332118262121621%12%85+0.6
Alan Roden
2023 · A
23 47→56 41→45 51→50 51 223/308/322 99268 812 19% 8% 80 +0.4 254/328/377 123297 1114 17% 8% 102 +1.9 257/332/384128298121417%8%102+1.4
Kobe Kato
2023 · A
24 47 41→30 46→55 54 223/310/322 99281 910 22% 11% 80 +0.4 215/294/301 86303 622 28% 9% 68 -0.5 198/284/2818328662930%10%55-0.5
Collin Burns
2023 · A
23 50 40→45 49→55 43 240/292/333 93305 713 23% 6% 75 -0.0 203/260/282 79282 617 28% 6% 48 -1.9 173/233/2366324842130%6%22-1.7
Devan Ahart
2016 · A
23 50 40 49→50 48 240/289/337 98281 714 17% 6% 74 -0.1 220/271/316 96295 711 26% 6% 61 -1.0 212/258/3029129161128%5%50-0.9
Noah Mendlinger
2023 · A
22 48→58 37→40 47→45 55 224/318/299 75276 49 19% 10% 79 +0.3 257/340/332 75308 38 16% 8% 95 +1.4 272/355/343713232815%8%101+1.3
Tyler Black
2023 · A
23 46→54 41→50 50→60 55 216/317/322 106289 714 26% 12% 84 +0.6 241/332/395 154315 1430 26% 10% 108 +2.3 242/335/399157317143526%10%107+1.7
Shawn Zarraga
2012 · A
23 50 40 50→45 45 239/299/331 92302 79 23% 6% 77 +0.1 253/313/348 95300 67 17% 6% 88 +0.9 277/347/362843224214%8%106+0.8
Mitchell Tolman
2018 · A
24 45→50 41→45 45→50 49 217/288/308 91266 99 22% 8% 67 -0.5 208/282/301 93298 810 30% 8% 63 -0.8 221/294/35012929013827%7%77+0.1
Jonathan Wyatt
2009 · A
24 46 41→40 48→50 48 226/287/323 98277 912 22% 8% 70 -0.3 216/266/287 71276 510 22% 6% 51 -1.7 208/251/248402662822%6%31-2.2
Michael Turconi
2023 · A
24 50→44 40→45 45→50 50 239/316/330 91296 89 21% 8% 85 +0.7 206/287/298 92310 68 32% 9% 64 -0.8 187/274/269822945735%10%50-0.9
Eric Sogard
2009 · A
23 52→57 43→45 46→55 53 250/311/363 114280 910 15% 8% 91 +1.1 254/313/356 102287 711 13% 8% 89 +1.0 250/336/373123285111015%11%100+1.1
Steve Tolleson
2007 · A
23 46→53 42→45 44→50 51 225/299/332 107273 99 21% 9% 78 +0.2 242/309/344 102308 814 22% 8% 85 +0.7 255/312/378123303111219%7%91+0.9
Brandon Trinkwon
2016 · AA
24 48→50 40 47→50 53 230/298/316 86272 810 18% 9% 73 -0.1 225/289/308 83274 78 19% 8% 67 -0.5 217/281/287712605518%8%55-1.0
Kevin Encarnacion
2015 · A
23 45 42→40 44→55 49 217/291/322 105276 910 24% 8% 72 -0.2 217/271/300 83294 68 27% 6% 57 -1.2 213/265/281672855726%5%45-0.8
Drew Macias
2006 · A
23 50→52 39→45 44→50 45 241/290/331 90292 611 20% 6% 72 -0.2 231/294/335 104286 98 21% 7% 76 +0.1 231/303/34311228010820%8%80+0.3