Luis Marinez — OGILVIE

Luis MarinezC ACL Athletics

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 155 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 80 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .258 / .285

PA6

HR0

K%35

BB%7

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	80	59	8	0	1	3	16	22	4	1	1	136	354	322	676	186	143	28	20	320	103	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	98	87	8	2	0	1	9	48	2	2	0	92	194	149	343	57	184	49	9	173	3	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2023	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	40	35	4	1	0	3	4	19	1	1	0	114	225	400	625	286	77	48	10	276	73	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	177	139	25	7	0	3	30	58	6	1	1	180	349	295	644	115	275	33	17	306	93	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.2
2025	23	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	19	16	3	1	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	188	316	438	753	250	400	53	16	335	113	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	80	65	6	0	1	2	10	32	4	1	1	92	253	215	469	123	117	40	12	223	37	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2023	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	98	90	5	1	0	1	6	65	2	2	0	56	133	100	233	44	160	66	6	109	-40	-16	+0	—	—	+2	-1.4
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	40	37	1	0	0	1	2	27	1	1	0	27	100	108	208	81	50	68	5	142	-18	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	177	151	17	4	0	2	18	84	6	1	1	113	234	179	413	66	207	47	10	200	22	-17	-0	—	—	+4	-1.3
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	19	17	0	0	0	0	2	15	0	0	0		105		105		290	79	11	139	-20	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	80	65	6	0	1	2	10	32	4	1	1	92	253	215	469	123	125	40	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	80	59	8	0	1	3	16	22	4	1	1	136	354	322	676	186	143	28	20	320	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	138	126	6	1	0	2	9	91	3	3	0	48	130	103	234	56	121	66	7	119	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	138	122	12	3	0	4	13	67	3	3	0	98	203	221	424	123	157	49	9	203	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	177	151	17	4	0	2	18	84	6	1	1	113	234	179	413	66	224	47	10	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	177	139	25	7	0	3	30	58	6	1	1	180	349	295	644	115	275	33	17	306	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	19	17	0	0	0	0	2	15	0	0	0		105		105			79	11	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	19	16	3	1	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	188	316	438	753	250	400	53	16	335	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	80	66	6	0	1	2	10	32	4	1	1	91	253	212	465	121	117	40	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	138	125	6	1	0	2	9	91	3	3	0	48	130	104	234	56	128	66	7	119	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	177	151	17	4	0	2	18	84	6	1	1	113	234	179	413	66	207	47	10	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	19	17	0	0	0	0	2	15	0	0	0		105		105		290	79	11	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	138	125	6	1	0	2	9	91	3	3	0	48	130	104	234	56	128	66	7	119	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	177	151	17	4	0	2	18	84	6	1	1	113	234	179	413	66	207	47	10	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	19	17	0	0	0	0	2	15	0	0	0		105		105		290	79	11	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		286	33	0	250	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	OAK	30%	138	125	26	5	1	3	10	47	2	2	1	208	277	336	613	128	287	34	7	261	63	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	OAK	44%	241	217	43	8	1	5	19	80	3	3	1	198	272	313	585	115	288	33	8	268	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	OAK	49%	303	272	55	10	2	6	24	99	4	4	1	202	277	320	597	118	288	33	8	271	69	-11	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	OAK	51%	343	309	63	12	2	7	27	111	4	4	1	204	276	324	600	120	287	32	8	271	70	-12	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	OAK	51%	361	325	65	12	2	7	29	118	4	4	1	200	274	314	588	114	286	33	8	269	68	-14	+0	-1	+6	+8	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	OAK	30%	42	38	7	1	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	184	262	289	551	105	293	33	7	255	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	OAK	44%	106	96	20	4	1	2	8	35	1	1	0	208	276	333	610	125	293	33	8	262	67	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	OAK	49%	148	133	27	5	1	3	12	48	2	2	1	203	279	323	602	120	293	32	8	265	69	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	OAK	51%	177	159	33	6	1	4	14	57	2	2	1	208	280	333	613	126	293	32	8	265	70	-6	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	OAK	51%	186	167	35	7	1	4	15	61	2	2	1	210	283	335	618	126	292	33	8	263	68	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	659	593	122	23	4	14	52	215	8	8	3	206	279	329	608	123	293	33	8	263	53	-25	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	121	23	4	14	51	212	8	8	3	207	280	332	611	125	295	33	8	263	53	-24	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1806	1613	282	52	9	34	148	679	30	22	7	175	257	281	538	107	272	38	8	247	53	-53	+1	-2	+25	+30	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	101	19	3	12	53	244	11	8	3	174	256	279	535	105	271	38	8	247	53	-25	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.1	739	15	9	201	271	318	+13	+12	0.6	0.6
/162	664	13	8	+11.9	+10.8	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Marinez (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	188/258/285	98	286	1	1	35%	7%	55	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gerrion Grim 2017 · A	23	34	41→55	46→40	31	169/216/260	92	299	9	6	45%	5%	33	-3.6	196/236/332	136	286	18	5	37%	4%	57	-1.8	183/216/336	152	239	24	2	35%	3%	47	-1.6
✕Ulrich Bojarski 2022 · A	23	36→41	39→45	46→45	29	172/214/251	79	311	7	6	45%	4%	29	-3.8	183/240/301	118	390	13	8	53%	6%	52	-2.2	108/175/276	168	193	27	4	60%	5%	22	-0.8
✕Jordan Renz 2006 · A	23	35→28	41→45	43→45	34	174/225/260	86	291	10	7	42%	6%	36	-3.4	175/222/310	135	295	18	5	45%	5%	47	-2.5	160/205/305	145	260	21	4	46%	4%	39	-2.4
✕Isaac Galloway 2013 · A	23	35→42	42→45	47→55	28	182/208/284	102	282	10	10	39%	3%	34	-3.5	195/221/288	93	287	7	16	34%	3%	40	-3.1	209/257/350	142	277	17	25	31%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Ben Verlander 2016 · A	24	36→34	37→40	46→40	37	180/224/248	68	255	5	4	31%	5%	32	-3.6	199/246/279	80	276	5	5	28%	6%	48	-2.5	198/244/277	79	269	5	2	27%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Drew Lugbauer 2021 · A	24	33→34	45→60	46→30	31	170/221/287	117	296	14	3	46%	6%	41	-3.0	188/258/364	176	315	24	2	45%	8%	74	-0.5	182/258/377	195	292	28	1	46%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Colin Roberson 2007 · A	24	37	38→45	46→55	30	180/212/256	75	300	5	11	41%	4%	29	-3.8	191/232/291	100	313	8	13	39%	5%	45	-2.7	160/198/273	113	259	10	18	41%	4%	26	-1.6
✕Lucas LeBlanc 2012 · A	23	39	37→40	49→50	30	186/218/256	70	298	4	12	38%	3%	31	-3.7	200/250/283	83	296	6	8	33%	4%	51	-2.3	186/243/258	72	270	5	3	31%	4%	40	-1.4
✕Daniel Montano 2021 · A	22	35→45	39→45	48→50	36	176/216/262	86	249	6	10	32%	5%	32	-3.6	210/275/311	101	320	8	8	34%	8%	66	-1.1	203/278/309	107	310	9	6	35%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Anthony Hewitt 2011 · A	22	34→39	42→45	46→55	25	173/207/271	98	304	11	8	46%	3%	32	-3.7	188/221/300	112	313	12	16	43%	3%	43	-2.8	172/205/268	96	292	11	16	44%	3%	27	-2.2
✕Tyler Massey 2012 · A	23	37→47	37→45	46→50	34	180/217/254	73	265	4	8	33%	4%	30	-3.8	220/262/326	106	287	10	14	26%	5%	65	-1.2	224/266/331	107	283	11	16	24%	5%	64	-1.0
✕Ian Gac 2008 · A	22	34→42	45→55	46→40	26	173/210/290	117	315	14	5	48%	4%	37	-3.3	208/258/369	161	311	22	3	39%	5%	75	-0.5	205/259/363	158	285	19	2	34%	6%	71	-0.7
✕Steve Laurino 2017 · A	24	36	38→30	43→30	42	180/241/257	77	251	6	3	30%	7%	42	-2.9	190/244/276	86	290	8	5	35%	6%	47	-2.6	150/196/212	62	247	7	0	40%	4%	12	-1.4
✕LG Castillo 2021 · A	22	38	38→40	47→45	29	186/215/260	74	300	7	6	40%	3%	31	-3.7	209/247/312	103	359	11	10	43%	4%	56	-1.9	199/229/297	98	347	13	11	45%	3%	41	-1.3
✕Ryan Roberson 2007 · A	23	43→46	36→50	49→40	31	191/240/255	64	345	3	8	43%	5%	40	-3.1	215/262/349	134	314	15	5	35%	5%	71	-0.8	213/260/352	139	298	17	4	33%	5%	69	-0.7
✕Travis Ozga 2010 · A	23	40	35→40	45	36	184/241/243	59	316	3	9	40%	6%	38	-3.2	210/258/283	73	282	6	6	26%	6%	53	-2.1	205/253/273	69	263	7	4	24%	6%	46	-0.9
✕Brian Navarreto 2018 · AA	23	37	37→45	43→30	37	183/224/248	65	243	5	3	27%	4%	32	-3.6	197/235/284	87	242	8	3	22%	4%	45	-2.7	200/249/314	115	246	14	1	25%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Drew Hedman 2011 · A	25	39	37→40	47→45	34	188/231/259	71	300	5	6	38%	5%	37	-3.3	197/262/300	103	288	9	9	33%	7%	60	-1.6	186/261/298	112	263	11	10	32%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Montrell Marshall 2018 · A	22	36	39→40	48→40	36	179/229/264	85	280	7	4	37%	6%	38	-3.2	179/240/270	91	314	6	4	42%	7%	45	-2.7	126/200/212	86	246	4	1	47%	7%	15	-2.1
✕Kristian Brito 2017 · A	22	39→32	41→50	47→40	32	187/227/278	91	317	9	5	42%	5%	40	-3.0	197/244/302	105	345	11	6	43%	6%	53	-2.1	145/191/237	91	265	11	0	48%	5%	14	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps