Luis Marinez — OGILVIE

Luis MarinezC ACL Athletics

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 155 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 80 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .258 / .287

PA80

HR1

K%35

BB%7

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	80	65	7	0	1	3	10	32	4	1	1	108	266	277	543	169	129	40	12	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	80	59	8	0	1	3	16	22	4	1	1	136	354	322	676	186	143	28	20	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	138	126	6	1	0	2	9	91	3	3	0	48	130	103	234	56	121	66	7	120	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	138	122	12	3	0	4	13	67	3	3	0	98	203	221	424	123	157	49	9	203	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	177	151	17	4	0	3	18	84	6	1	1	113	234	199	433	86	212	47	10	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	177	139	25	7	0	3	30	58	6	1	1	180	349	295	644	115	275	33	17	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	19	17	0	0	0	0	2	15	0	0	0		105		105			79	11	134	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	19	16	3	1	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	188	316	438	753	250	400	53	16	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	OAK	—	80	73	13	3	0	1	6	28	1	1	0	178	250	260	510	82	286	35	8	251	50	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	OAK	30%	138	124	26	5	1	3	11	47	2	2	1	210	285	339	623	129	287	34	8	261	58	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	OAK	44%	241	217	43	8	1	5	19	80	3	3	1	198	272	313	585	115	288	33	8	268	63	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2029	27	MLB	OAK	49%	303	272	55	10	2	6	24	99	4	4	1	202	277	320	597	118	288	33	8	271	66	-12	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.3
2030	28	MLB	OAK	51%	343	309	63	12	2	7	27	112	4	4	1	204	276	324	600	120	288	33	8	271	66	-13	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.2
2027	25	MLB	OAK	30%	42	38	7	1	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	184	262	289	551	105	285	33	7	250	50	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	OAK	44%	106	96	19	3	1	2	8	35	1	1	0	198	267	312	579	115	286	33	8	257	55	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	27	MLB	OAK	49%	148	133	27	5	1	3	12	48	2	2	1	203	279	323	602	120	286	32	8	260	57	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2030	28	MLB	OAK	51%	177	159	33	6	1	4	14	58	2	2	1	208	280	333	613	126	285	33	8	260	57	-9	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	473	426	86	15	3	10	37	155	6	6	2	202	275	322	597	120	288	33	8	258	56	-24	+0	-0	+8	+13	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	119	21	4	14	51	213	8	8	3	203	276	325	601	121	290	33	8	258	56	-32	+0	-0	+12	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	1519	1354	230	43	7	30	126	588	27	19	6	170	254	278	533	109	268	39	8	243	44	-96	+1	-1	+27	+43	-2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	98	18	3	13	54	252	12	8	3	169	254	278	532	109	267	39	8	243	44	-41	+0	-0	+12	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	80	59	8	0	1	3	16	22	4	1	1	136	354	322	676	186	143	28	20	320	103	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	98	87	8	2	0	1	9	48	2	2	0	92	194	149	343	57	184	49	9	173	-10	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2023	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	40	35	4	1	0	3	4	19	1	1	0	114	225	400	625	286	77	48	10	276	70	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	177	139	25	7	0	3	30	58	6	1	1	180	349	295	644	115	275	33	17	306	92	-2	-0	—	—	+5	0.3
2025	23	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	19	16	3	1	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	188	316	438	753	250	400	53	16	335	114	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	553	11	7	201	271	318	+10	+12	0.2	0.3
	/162	664	14	9	201	271	318	+11.9	+14.4	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Marinez (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	188/258/287	99	286	1	1	35%	7%	50	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	43→45	51→40	35	174/245/285	111	285	11	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	197/254/306	109	317	9	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	196/252/314	118	301	9	0	36%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	36	45→50	49→40	37	188/243/307	119	268	12	5	34%	6%	49	-1.8	209/267/348	139	309	13	5	35%	6%	69	-0.4	200/257/342	141	301	13	3	36%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Chad Stevens 2023 · A	24	34→42	42→45	47→50	34	170/231/269	99	302	11	12	45%	7%	33	-2.9	190/257/305	115	308	11	15	39%	7%	54	-1.4	210/277/334	124	312	12	15	34%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	37	44→50	45→30	40	186/252/307	121	288	11	6	38%	8%	52	-1.6	203/274/338	135	336	14	3	40%	8%	69	-0.4	193/269/328	135	322	14	1	41%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Carter Aldrete 2022 · A	24	41→40	43→50	47→45	39	202/257/309	107	296	12	10	35%	7%	54	-1.4	210/259/358	148	290	18	5	33%	6%	68	-0.5	196/241/340	144	262	19	2	33%	5%	54	-0.9
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Mat Nelson 2023 · A	24	38→29	41→45	47→40	35	180/250/276	96	308	9	4	42%	6%	43	-2.2	181/265/295	114	265	15	5	35%	7%	56	-1.3	170/263/287	117	236	17	3	34%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	37→38	45	43→45	36	187/251/309	122	283	13	3	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/274/313	114	267	12	6	29%	7%	63	-0.8	191/273/299	108	247	12	6	26%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Cooper Johnson 2022 · A	24	38	39→50	46→40	45	176/267/267	91	296	6	5	39%	10%	49	-1.8	176/261/281	105	305	10	5	42%	9%	50	-1.7	171/259/303	132	252	15	4	36%	10%	52	-0.7
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→31	43→50	46→50	34	189/235/299	110	285	10	11	36%	5%	42	-2.3	188/238/321	133	290	15	12	39%	5%	50	-1.8	159/216/313	154	231	21	14	41%	7%	37	-1.4
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	37	42→45	46→50	46	187/264/290	103	261	10	6	31%	9%	53	-1.5	192/262/318	126	281	14	11	35%	8%	59	-1.1	170/251/290	121	252	14	17	37%	9%	45	-0.9
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9