Luis Marinez

C ACL Athletics
Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 155 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202321A/ROKOAK138.098/.203/.22143-36—.047/.123/.102
202422ROKOAK177.180/.349/.2953117—.106/.229/.172
202523ROKOAK19.188/.316/.43810-22—.000/.105/.000
2027PROJMLE25MLBOAK200.180/.257/.2662249-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBOAK24.189/.266/.2860053-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
CompsCooper Johnson (age 25) · Wyatt Hendrie (age 25) · Mat Nelson (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .255 / .264
PA47
HR1
K%37
BB%8
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.10.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202220 ROKACL Athletics — 8059 8013 16224 11 136354322676 186143 2820 320 35 — — — — — —
202321 AStockton Ports — 9887 8201 9482 20 92194149343 57184 499 173 -43 — — — — — —
202321 ROKACL Athletics — 4035 4103 4191 10 114225400625 28677 4810 276 -20 — — — — — —
202422 ROKACL Athletics — 177139 25703 30586 11 180349295644 115275 3317 306 17 — — — — — —
202523 ROKACL Athletics — 1916 3101 3100 00 188316438753 250400 5316 335 -22 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202220 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 8065 6012 10324 11 92253215469 123115 4012 220 35 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEStockton Ports — 9890 5101 6662 20 56133100233 44161 676 105 -43 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 4037 1001 2271 10 27100108208 8149 685 139 -20 — — — — — —
202422 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 177151 16402 18846 11 106229172401 66200 4710 194 17 — — — — — —
202523 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 1917 0000 2150 00 105105 275 7911 135 -22 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 8065 6012 10324 11 92253215469 123125 4012 220 35 — — — — — —
202220 ROK RAWACL Athletics — 8059 8013 16224 11 136354322676 186143 2820 320 35 — — — — — —
202321 A MLE2 teams — 138126 6102 9923 30 48130103234 56125 677 115 -36 — — — — — —
202321 A RAW2 teams — 138122 12304 13673 30 98203221424 123157 499 203 -36 — — — — — —
202422 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 177151 16402 18846 11 106229172401 66209 4710 194 17 — — — — — —
202422 ROK RAWACL Athletics — 177139 25703 30586 11 180349295644 115275 3317 306 17 — — — — — —
202523 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 1917 0000 2150 00 105105 7911 135 -22 — — — — — —
202523 ROK RAWACL Athletics — 1916 3101 3100 00 188316438753 250400 5316 335 -22 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 8066 6012 10324 11 91253212465 121115 4012 220 35 — — — — — —
202321 A MLE2 teams — 138125 6102 9923 30 48130104234 56129 677 115 -36 — — — — — —
202422 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 177151 16402 18846 11 106229172401 66200 4710 194 17 — — — — — —
202523 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 1917 0000 2150 00 105105 275 7911 135 -22 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 177151 16402 18846 11 106229172401 66200 4710 194 17 — — — — — —
202523 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 1917 0000 2150 00 105105 275 7911 135 -22 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEOAK 0% 200179 32612 16743 21 180257266523 86287 378 241 49 -12 +0 +0 +4 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEOAK 30% 8073 12201 6291 10 184261277538 93287 368 247 53 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202826 MLB CTXOAK 30% 2422 4100 290 00 189266286551 96296 388 253 53 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2422 4100 290 00 182250227477 45308 388 253 13 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 1082700 542440 00 181249227476 45307 388 253 13 -36 +0 +0 +12 +14 -1.1
Career— MLE — 541474 47818 4926915 62 99206171377 72195 509 188 13 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650570 5710110 5932318 72 100207174381 74195 509 188 13 -37 +1 +0 +12 +14 -1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKACL Athletics · 19 PAwOBA .326 → .135 (−191)K% 52.6% → 77.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA52.63%÷0.983×1.440——77.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.79%÷0.971×0.620—×0.9559.63%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9550.00%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷1.039×0.820—×0.95512.56%
Doubles /BIP16.67%÷1.020×0.720—×0.95511.24%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.989×0.720—×0.9550.00%
Home runs /BIP16.67%÷0.926×0.780—×0.95513.40%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 108, 2B 104, 3B 98, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .326 → .135; ISO .250 → .081; BABIP .400 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Athletics · 177 PAwOBA .300 → .194 (−106)K% 32.8% → 47.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.77%÷0.998×1.440——47.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.38%÷0.986×0.620—×0.9659.94%
HBP% /PA3.39%—×0.720—×0.9652.36%
Singles /BIP18.52%÷1.027×0.820×1.013×0.96514.46%
Doubles /BIP8.64%÷1.124×0.720×1.013×0.9655.41%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.907×0.720×1.013×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷0.852×0.780—×0.9653.27%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 125, 3B 81, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .300 → .194; ISO .115 → .078; BABIP .275 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AStockton Ports · 98 PAwOBA .169 → .105 (−64)K% 49.0% → 66.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA48.98%÷0.996×1.360——66.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.18%÷1.004×0.690——6.31%
HBP% /PA2.04%—×0.780——1.59%
Singles /BIP12.82%÷0.979×0.920×0.971—11.70%
Doubles /BIP5.13%÷1.026×0.830×0.971—4.03%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.945×0.910×0.971—0.00%
Home runs /BIP2.56%÷0.945×0.800——2.17%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 89, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .169 → .105; ISO .057 → .030; BABIP .184 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Athletics · 40 PAwOBA .268 → .139 (−129)K% 47.5% → 67.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA47.50%÷1.018×1.440——67.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷1.030×0.620—×0.9755.87%
HBP% /PA2.50%—×0.720—×0.9751.75%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷0.974×0.820—×0.9750.00%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.051×0.720—×0.9754.18%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.149×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP18.75%÷0.989×0.780—×0.97514.41%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .268 → .139; ISO .286 → .137; BABIP .077 → .049. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Athletics · 80 PAwOBA .317 → .220 (−97)K% 27.5% → 39.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.50%÷0.997×1.440——39.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷1.017×0.620—×0.98512.01%
HBP% /PA5.00%—×0.720—×0.9853.55%
Singles /BIP10.81%÷1.007×0.820×1.050×0.9859.11%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.981×0.720×1.050×0.9850.00%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷1.011×0.720×1.050×0.9851.99%
Home runs /BIP8.11%÷0.950×0.780—×0.9856.55%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 101, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .317 → .220; ISO .186 → .143; BABIP .143 → .115. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).