Luis MarinezC
ACL Athletics
Age 24
R/R
6'1" / 155 lbs
ROK
HR -6%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.5 · 2029
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .261 / .296
PA80
HR1
K%35
BB%8
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2037 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $4M | $-6M | -$10M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 80 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .106 | .253 | .273 | .526 | .167 | .125 | 40 | 11 | .229 | 33 | -6 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 138 | 126 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 91 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .048 | .130 | .103 | .234 | .056 | .121 | 66 | 7 | .119 | -51 | -24 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -1.7 |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 177 | 151 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 84 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .113 | .234 | .179 | .413 | .066 | .224 | 47 | 10 | .200 | 11 | -18 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 19 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .105 | .000 | .105 | .000 | .000 | 79 | 11 | .135 | -38 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 80 | 73 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .178 | .250 | .260 | .510 | .082 | .289 | 35 | 8 | .256 | 54 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 10% | OAK | 138 | 124 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .210 | .285 | .339 | .623 | .129 | .291 | 34 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 25% | OAK | 241 | 216 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 80 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .204 | .280 | .333 | .614 | .130 | .293 | 33 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 42% | OAK | 303 | 272 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 99 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .206 | .280 | .335 | .615 | .129 | .293 | 33 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 52% | OAK | 343 | 307 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 112 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .208 | .285 | .339 | .624 | .130 | .293 | 33 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 63% | OAK | 361 | 324 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 119 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .207 | .282 | .340 | .622 | .133 | .292 | 33 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 72% | OAK | 371 | 333 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 123 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .204 | .280 | .333 | .613 | .129 | .290 | 33 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -13 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | OAK | 356 | 319 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 120 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .204 | .280 | .329 | .610 | .125 | .289 | 34 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -14 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 333 | 298 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 114 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .201 | .279 | .322 | .601 | .121 | .287 | 34 | 8 | .267 | 62 | -14 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 299 | 269 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 104 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .190 | .266 | .297 | .563 | .108 | .285 | 35 | 8 | .262 | 58 | -14 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 253 | 227 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 90 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .189 | .267 | .300 | .566 | .110 | .283 | 36 | 8 | .255 | 54 | -13 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +7 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3492 | 3122 | 587 | 107 | 17 | 76 | 294 | 1258 | 48 | 32 | 7 | .188 | .268 | .306 | .574 | .118 | .283 | 36 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -167 | +4 | -20 | +62 | +99 | -2.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 581 | 109 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 234 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .188 | .269 | .305 | .573 | .117 | .282 | 36 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -31 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +18 | -0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 80 | 59 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .136 | .354 | .322 | .676 | .186 | .143 | 28 | 20 | .320 | 103 | +0 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | 98 | 87 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 48 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .092 | .194 | .149 | .343 | .057 | .184 | 49 | 9 | .173 | -10 | -12 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 40 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .114 | .225 | .400 | .625 | .286 | .077 | 48 | 10 | .276 | 70 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 177 | 139 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 58 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .180 | .349 | .295 | .644 | .115 | .275 | 33 | 17 | .306 | 92 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 19 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .188 | .316 | .438 | .753 | .250 | .400 | 53 | 16 | .335 | 114 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Luis Marinez (OGILVIE) | 24 | — | — | — | — | .191/.261/.296 | .106 | .289 | 1 | 1 | 35% | 8% | 54 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA |
24 | 38 | 43→50 | 49→40 | 38 | .190/.248/.301 | .111 | .281 | 11 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .209/.266/.343 | .134 | .276 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .206/.268/.347 | .141 | .262 | 15 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Carter Aldrete 2022 · A |
24 | 41→39 | 44→50 | 47→45 | 38 | .203/.256/.312 | .109 | .307 | 12 | 10 | 37% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .209/.257/.353 | .144 | .292 | 18 | 5 | 34% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .195/.241/.336 | .141 | .262 | 18 | 2 | 33% | 5% | 53 | -0.9 |
|
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A |
24 | 33→40 | 43→45 | 47→45 | 44 | .172/.252/.279 | .107 | .245 | 11 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .191/.275/.301 | .110 | .267 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .177/.269/.279 | .102 | .246 | 10 | 3 | 30% | 10% | 50 | -0.8 |
|
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A |
24 | 35 | 44→45 | 51→40 | 35 | .177/.247/.290 | .113 | .289 | 12 | 7 | 41% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .195/.252/.305 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 5 | 38% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .196/.250/.311 | .115 | .294 | 10 | 0 | 35% | 4% | 49 | -0.7 |
|
✕Chad Stevens 2023 · A |
24 | 35→45 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 34 | .178/.233/.285 | .107 | .296 | 12 | 11 | 42% | 6% | 38 | -2.6 | .188/.255/.307 | .119 | .307 | 12 | 15 | 40% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .192/.262/.316 | .124 | .298 | 13 | 16 | 37% | 7% | 56 | -1.1 |
|
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A |
24 | 37 | 42→55 | 52→40 | 39 | .188/.235/.290 | .102 | .252 | 10 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .209/.253/.332 | .123 | .291 | 13 | 5 | 32% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.236/.303 | .112 | .269 | 12 | 1 | 33% | 5% | 42 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA |
24 | 38 | 42→50 | 52→45 | 40 | .189/.250/.291 | .102 | .286 | 10 | 11 | 36% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .204/.266/.313 | .109 | .307 | 11 | 9 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .164/.224/.258 | .094 | .235 | 10 | 0 | 33% | 7% | 25 | -0.6 |
|
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A |
23 | 36→40 | 44→55 | 45→50 | 45 | .183/.265/.303 | .120 | .269 | 11 | 7 | 35% | 9% | 57 | -1.2 | .201/.280/.365 | .164 | .291 | 19 | 9 | 35% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .191/.263/.361 | .170 | .260 | 21 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A |
24 | 36 | 44→50 | 49→40 | 37 | .187/.240/.299 | .112 | .267 | 11 | 5 | 34% | 5% | 45 | -2.1 | .201/.258/.327 | .126 | .298 | 11 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.251/.324 | .130 | .293 | 12 | 3 | 36% | 5% | 53 | -0.8 |
|
✕Raul Beracierta 2022 · A |
23 | 42 | 44→50 | 50 | 38 | .206/.263/.332 | .126 | .313 | 11 | 8 | 36% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .226/.273/.356 | .130 | .336 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .235/.278/.368 | .133 | .343 | 18 | 1 | 36% | 4% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Lee Mitchell 2006 · A |
24 | 38→48 | 44→50 | 47→45 | 39 | .190/.256/.305 | .115 | .292 | 12 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .209/.278/.343 | .134 | .314 | 13 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .212/.289/.352 | .141 | .310 | 14 | 2 | 34% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Blaze Alexander 2022 · A |
23 | 38→48 | 42→50 | 52→50 | 39 | .185/.256/.288 | .103 | .292 | 11 | 14 | 38% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .218/.290/.354 | .136 | .331 | 15 | 11 | 36% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .220/.308/.345 | .126 | .328 | 13 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A |
24 | 37→44 | 42→45 | 42→50 | 40 | .183/.254/.294 | .110 | .274 | 9 | 8 | 35% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.278/.295 | .092 | .278 | 9 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .202/.282/.286 | .084 | .266 | 9 | 14 | 26% | 8% | 57 | -0.7 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A |
24 | 37→35 | 43→45 | 49→55 | 37 | .190/.236/.299 | .109 | .254 | 11 | 9 | 30% | 4% | 43 | -2.2 | .194/.260/.318 | .124 | .282 | 14 | 15 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Marcos Castañon 2022 · A |
23 | 40→49 | 42→50 | 49→40 | 35 | .195/.249/.300 | .105 | .304 | 9 | 6 | 37% | 5% | 49 | -1.8 | .213/.290/.368 | .155 | .286 | 19 | 2 | 31% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .208/.282/.358 | .150 | .271 | 19 | 1 | 30% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A |
23 | 35 | 43→50 | 43→30 | 38 | .178/.239/.287 | .110 | .282 | 10 | 6 | 39% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.269/.330 | .133 | .320 | 12 | 4 | 39% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.271/.336 | .144 | .315 | 14 | 1 | 40% | 9% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A |
23 | 38 | 41→45 | 48→30 | 32 | .190/.229/.285 | .095 | .284 | 9 | 6 | 36% | 4% | 36 | -2.7 | .195/.244/.278 | .083 | .290 | 6 | 6 | 33% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .151/.199/.200 | .049 | .234 | 0 | 0 | 33% | 2% | -2 | -1.2 |
|
✕Riley Tirotta 2023 · A |
24 | 43→46 | 41→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .198/.267/.293 | .095 | .325 | 8 | 14 | 39% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .206/.285/.333 | .127 | .321 | 13 | 13 | 37% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .209/.294/.344 | .136 | .315 | 15 | 14 | 36% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Lamar Sparks 2023 · A |
24 | 44 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 42 | .210/.272/.314 | .104 | .311 | 10 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .213/.275/.328 | .115 | .385 | 10 | 17 | 43% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .210/.271/.325 | .115 | .383 | 11 | 19 | 45% | 7% | 60 | -0.6 |