Philip Abner
P
Reno Aces
Age 24
LHP
6'1" / 230 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8291vR 100
ERA3.52
FIP3.52
K%23.8%
BB%7.9%
K-BB%15.9%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB+0.6 (73%)
CU (1%)
SL-1.3 (25%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 4 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.7% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 4 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.7% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.10 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 2 | 34 | 136 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 8% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 0.0% | 1.85 | 2.39 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 2 | 34 | 136 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 8% | 1.3 | 27.9% | 7.4% | 20.6% | 0.0% | 1.85 | 1.75 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 58 | 0 | 62 | 253 | 75 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 6.1% | 17.0% | 1.8% | 3.18 | 2.89 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 58 | 0 | 62 | 253 | 75 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.6% | 6.3% | 23.3% | 2.0% | 3.18 | 2.51 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 30 | 0 | 36 | 153 | 35 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.5% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 0.9% | 5.55 | 2.68 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | ARI | 22 | 0 | 23 | 99 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 2.6% | 3.52 | 3.52 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | ARI | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 2.6% | 3.52 | 3.52 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 59 | 252 | 59 | 21 | 6 | — | — | 23.2% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 2.2% | 4.74 | 3.02 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 31 | 130 | 59 | 21 | 6 | — | — | 45.0% | 16.0% | 29.0% | 4.3% | 9.11 | 3.68 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 30 | 0 | 31 | 132 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 4.15 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 30 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 4.15 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 60 | 0 | 64 | 274 | 62 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.01 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 186 | 0 | 200 | 856 | 193 | 78 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.01 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 118 | 2 | 139 | 571 | 127 | 43 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 22.3% | 7.5% | 14.9% | 1.0% | 3.57 | 2.72 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 170 | 3 | 200 | 824 | 184 | 61 | 8 | 2% | 1.2 | 22.3% | 7.5% | 14.9% | 1.0% | 3.57 | 2.72 | +6.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Philip Abner (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.94 | 24.0% | 7.9% | 2.7% | — | 4.15 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 31 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Easton Lucas L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .316 | 4.00 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 184 | -0.21 | 3.49 | 311 | 86 |
| Jake Palisch L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .304 | 4.85 | 11.5% | 3.4% | 236 | +0.68 | 4.17 | 278 | 80 |
| Trey Jeans L 2025 · 2.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 2.74 | 23.9% | 6.6% | 1.5% | .345 | 5.23 | 22.7% | 7.8% | 88 | +2.49 | 2.74 | 111 | 80 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2027 · 3.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.12 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 1.6% | .379 | 4.28 | 18.2% | 7.1% | 80 | +1.16 | 3.12 | 142 | 79 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2029 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 77 |
| Dylan Lee L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.46 | 19.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .277 | 2.62 | 29.0% | 25.0% | 113 | -1.84 | 1.15 | 527 | 77 |
| Tyler Webb L 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.07 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | .324 | 3.36 | 24.3% | 17.3% | 185 | -0.71 | 3.10 | 337 | 77 |
| Rodolfo Aguilar L 2028 · 2.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.81 | 22.6% | 8.3% | 1.1% | .253 | 3.58 | 15.8% | 2.7% | 65 | +0.77 | 2.81 | 115 | 77 |
| Wesley Moore L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.99 | 22.0% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.28 | 15.0% | -0.7% | 30 | +0.29 | 3.83 | 111 | 77 |
| Kirby Snead L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.03 | 20.7% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.05 | 24.6% | 15.6% | 98 | -0.98 | 2.09 | 365 | 77 |
| Brian Marconi L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 77 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.53 | 2.79 | 159 | 77 |
| Carson Skipper L 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.14 | 25.0% | 8.2% | 2.0% | .322 | 4.21 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 77 | +1.07 | 2.87 | 186 | 76 |
| David Rollins L 2027 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.82 | 17.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | .391 | 5.02 | 16.9% | 10.5% | 107 | +1.20 | 3.79 | 132 | 76 |
| Chris Cotton L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | .288 | 4.13 | 9.7% | 3.3% | 61 | +0.47 | 3.66 | 128 | 76 |
| Steven Okert L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.20 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 3.0% | .331 | 3.38 | 23.0% | 16.9% | 145 | -0.82 | 2.47 | 584 | 76 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .276 | 3.94 | 26.5% | 12.9% | 82 | -0.23 | 2.83 | 271 | 76 |
| Josh Osich L 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.47 | 21.2% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .241 | 4.69 | 18.1% | 7.1% | 137 | +1.22 | 3.47 | 315 | 76 |
| Darien Núñez L 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 26.4% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .377 | 2.59 | 34.2% | 23.5% | 78 | -0.59 | 2.50 | 122 | 76 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.08 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 1.2% | .322 | 2.54 | 27.1% | 19.7% | 82 | -0.54 | 2.17 | 310 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 31 | 23.6% | 8.1% | 1.09 | 4.06 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Trevor Gott ('23) | 4 | 51 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.79 | 3.97 |
| Sam Hentges ('24) | 4 | 52 | 25.4% | 8.4% | 0.78 | 4.18 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |