Kirby Snead
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 31
LHP
6'1" / 218 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION22 act + 54 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118127vR 137
ERA5.02
FIP5.22
K%17.9%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%5.5%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL (21%)
SI (39%)
FB-0.7 (61%)
CH-2.2 (18%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 27 | 117 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 11.4% | 2.1% | 9.3% | 0.0% | 3.62 | 2.41 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 27 | 117 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 15.4% | 3.4% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 3.62 | 2.22 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 55 | 222 | 56 | 24 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.0% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 1.79 | 3.09 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 55 | 222 | 56 | 24 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.2% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 0.0% | 1.79 | 2.38 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 51 | 240 | 51 | 27 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.4% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.88 | 4.45 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 51 | 240 | 51 | 27 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 1.2% | 3.88 | 3.45 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 63 | 269 | 68 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 3.45 | 4.03 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 63 | 269 | 68 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.3% | 7.1% | 18.2% | 2.6% | 3.45 | 3.29 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 1 | 48 | 188 | 64 | 18 | 1 | 2% | 1.1 | 31.7% | 10.6% | 21.1% | 0.6% | 1.70 | 2.09 | +1.4 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 1 | 48 | 188 | 64 | 18 | 1 | 2% | 1.1 | 34.0% | 9.6% | 24.5% | 0.5% | 1.70 | 1.82 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 58 | 267 | 55 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 2.3% | 5.55 | 3.71 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 58 | 267 | 55 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 5.55 | 3.63 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 1 | 35 | 179 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 2% | 0.9 | 16.8% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.94 | 5.38 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 1 | 35 | 179 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 2% | 0.9 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 6.94 | 5.33 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 47 | 220 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 6.94 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 47 | 220 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 6.94 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 16 | 0 | 22 | 101 | 25 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.8% | 16.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 3.22 | 3.97 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | PHI | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 41 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.02 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | PHI | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.02 | 5.22 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 76 | 328 | 66 | 44 | 8 | — | — | 20.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 4.49 | 4.85 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 5 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 17.9% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.02 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 47 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.20 | 5.39 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 43 | 0 | 46 | 193 | 33 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.40 | 5.59 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 40 | 0 | 42 | 175 | 29 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 13.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.63 | 5.83 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.20 | 5.39 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.40 | 5.59 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 13.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.63 | 5.83 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 145 | 0 | 144 | 639 | 109 | 70 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 5.23 | 4.47 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 202 | 0 | 200 | 886 | 151 | 97 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 5.23 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 357 | 2 | 406 | 1803 | 351 | 186 | 34 | 1% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 4.08 | 3.81 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 176 | 1 | 200 | 887 | 173 | 92 | 17 | 1% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 4.08 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kirby Snead (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.22 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 3.1% | — | 5.59 | 17.2% | 4.5% | 137 | +0.37 | — | — | — |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 78 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 77 |
| Brian Duensing L 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.70 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.76 | 2.59 | 198 | 76 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 75 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2025 · 5.93 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.93 | 17.1% | 15.7% | 4.2% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 153 | 75 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.85 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 155 | 74 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 73 |
| James Jones L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .230 | 4.72 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 35 | +0.64 | 3.58 | 127 | 72 |
| Craig Breslow L 2029 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 72 |
| Scott Alexander L 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.82 | 17.3% | 15.4% | 4.1% | .212 | 3.18 | 14.5% | 11.1% | 81 | -2.64 | 2.90 | 414 | 71 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.22 | 21.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | .227 | 3.50 | 21.4% | 16.9% | 187 | -0.72 | 2.22 | 405 | 69 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 6.15 FIP | 31 | SU | 6.15 | 17.4% | 14.2% | 5.0% | .357 | 5.28 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 217 | -0.87 | 3.47 | 512 | 68 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.87 | 15.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 159 | 68 |
| Kraig Sitton L 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 14.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 166 | 68 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.75 | 20.5% | 21.1% | 1.3% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 154 | 67 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.05 | 13.8% | 18.9% | 1.3% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 134 | 67 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 20.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | .316 | 3.48 | 25.6% | 21.2% | 121 | -0.56 | 1.52 | 350 | 65 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.09 | 15.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | .382 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 183 | 64 |
| Adam Conley L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.37 | 22.5% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .210 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 674 | 63 |
| Zach Duke L 2027 · 4.18 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.18 | 25.9% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .250 | 2.81 | 22.9% | 14.7% | 131 | -1.37 | 2.44 | 215 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 17.4% | 12.6% | 1.32 | 5.29 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |