Joe Mantiply
P
Toronto Blue Jays
Age 35
LHP
6'4" / 219 lbs
MLB
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION21 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8796vR 106
ERA3.77
FIP3.78
K%19.8%
BB%4.5%
K-BB%15.3%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1088.8
Whiff%
p1016.8%
K%
p5222.5%
xwOBA vs
p330.332
CH+1.4 (28%)
SI (46%)
CU (28%)
SL (28%)
FB-1.7 (45%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 63 | 256 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 16.1% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 1.8% | 2.27 | 3.43 | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 63 | 256 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.9% | 4.7% | 15.2% | 1.6% | 2.27 | 2.88 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 61 | 1 | 62 | 257 | 71 | 13 | 3 | 2% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 5.9% | 18.6% | 0.5% | 3.34 | 2.05 | +1.8 |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 61 | 1 | 62 | 257 | 71 | 13 | 3 | 2% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 5.1% | 22.6% | 1.2% | 3.34 | 2.07 | +1.8 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 35 | 6 | 70 | 295 | 62 | 17 | 3 | 17% | 2.0 | 18.5% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 0.7% | 2.83 | 2.72 | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 35 | 6 | 70 | 295 | 62 | 17 | 3 | 17% | 2.0 | 21.0% | 5.8% | 15.3% | 1.0% | 2.83 | 2.61 | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 0 | 43 | 178 | 35 | 8 | 6 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.7% | 2.7% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 3.52 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 0 | 43 | 178 | 35 | 8 | 6 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.7% | 4.5% | 15.2% | 3.4% | 4.64 | 3.85 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.6 | 13.3% | 26.7% | -13.3% | 0.0% | 15.43 | 5.35 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.6 | 13.3% | 26.7% | -13.3% | 0.0% | 15.43 | 6.53 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 44 | 196 | 48 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 0.7 | 21.5% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 0.5% | 3.25 | 2.59 | +1.0 |
| 2021 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 44 | 196 | 48 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 0.7 | 24.5% | 7.1% | 17.3% | 1.0% | 3.25 | 2.47 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 69 | 0 | 60 | 243 | 61 | 6 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.1% | 2.5% | 22.6% | 2.4% | 2.85 | 2.59 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 69 | 0 | 60 | 243 | 61 | 6 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.1% | 2.5% | 22.6% | 2.5% | 2.85 | 2.67 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 4 levels | 49 | 4 | 56 | 232 | 45 | 13 | 6 | 8% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 3.86 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 4 levels | 49 | 4 | 56 | 232 | 45 | 13 | 6 | 8% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 5.6% | 13.8% | 2.6% | 4.79 | 3.58 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 75 | 2 | 60 | 243 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 3% | 0.8 | 21.8% | 4.5% | 17.3% | 0.4% | 3.92 | 2.05 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 75 | 2 | 60 | 243 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 3% | 0.8 | 21.8% | 4.5% | 17.3% | 0.4% | 3.92 | 2.09 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 34 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 1 | 38 | 177 | 38 | 6 | 10 | 3% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 3.0% | 16.9% | 7.4% | 7.17 | 5.83 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 34 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 1 | 38 | 177 | 38 | 6 | 10 | 3% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 3.4% | 18.1% | 5.6% | 7.17 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 19 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 5.6% | 16.9% | 1.4% | 2.11 | 2.68 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | TOR | 18 | 0 | 19 | 78 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 4.5% | 15.3% | 3.2% | 3.77 | 3.78 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | TOR | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 4.5% | 15.3% | 3.2% | 3.77 | 3.78 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 35 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 40 | 165 | 34 | 8 | 4 | — | — | 20.9% | 4.6% | 16.3% | 2.1% | 2.88 | 3.19 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 35 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 36 | 153 | 34 | 8 | 4 | — | — | 22.6% | 4.9% | 17.6% | 2.3% | 3.17 | 3.09 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 37 | 10 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 5.1% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 4.40 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | TOR | 40 | 0 | 42 | 176 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 4.73 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | TOR | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 5.12 | 5.39 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 5.1% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 4.40 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | TOR | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 4.73 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | TOR | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 5.12 | 5.39 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 388 | 5 | 354 | 1502 | 301 | 80 | 40 | 1% | 0.9 | 20.0% | 5.3% | 14.7% | 2.6% | 4.42 | 3.53 | +7.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 219 | 3 | 200 | 849 | 170 | 45 | 23 | 1% | 0.9 | 20.0% | 5.3% | 14.7% | 2.6% | 4.42 | 3.53 | +4.4 | ||
| Career | — | 474 | 14 | 520 | 2179 | 446 | 112 | 42 | 3% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 5.1% | 15.3% | 1.9% | 3.69 | 3.08 | +14.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 182 | 5 | 200 | 839 | 172 | 43 | 16 | 3% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 5.1% | 15.3% | 1.9% | 3.69 | 3.08 | +5.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joe Mantiply (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 18.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | — | 4.92 | 17.5% | 11.7% | 125 | +0.56 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.24 | 17.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | .343 | 4.29 | 18.8% | 12.9% | 81 | +0.05 | 2.35 | 306 | 74 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 72 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.09 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 166 | 67 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.56 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 117 | 66 |
| Dana Eveland L 2024 · 4.91 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.91 | 14.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.42 | 129 | 65 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.22 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.22 | 27.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .311 | 2.22 | 28.0% | 23.3% | 105 | -1.00 | 1.56 | 219 | 64 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.28 | 20.7% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .255 | 3.47 | 26.7% | 18.4% | 22 | +0.19 | 2.56 | 109 | 64 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.34 | 20.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | .192 | 3.47 | 19.6% | 12.0% | 57 | -0.87 | 2.22 | 405 | 64 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.53 | 17.0% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .418 | 4.50 | 15.7% | 5.5% | 55 | -0.03 | 4.22 | 159 | 61 |
| Manny Parra L 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.34 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.91 | 2.43 | 114 | 54 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.24 | 20.9% | 11.3% | 2.7% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 650 | 54 |
| David Price L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.96 | 17.8% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .301 | 3.85 | 22.2% | 18.0% | 40 | -0.11 | 2.65 | 922 | 53 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 53 |
| Dan Runzler L 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 127 | 51 |
| Brandon Mann L 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 50 |
| Rich Hill L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.25 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .239 | 3.22 | 29.0% | 21.2% | 379 | -0.03 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 47 |
| Adam Loewen L 2024 · 4.13 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.13 | 23.4% | 17.4% | 1.5% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 176 | 44 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.02 | 18.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .212 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 299 | 43 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.60 | 22.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 227 | 38 |
| Shawn Kelley R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.02 | 21.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 232 | 37 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 40 | 17.7% | 5.4% | 1.50 | 4.63 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Eli Morgan ('24) | 4 | 66 | 23.8% | 6.4% | 1.46 | 3.97 |