Steven Okert
P
Houston Astros
+0.7
WAR
Age 35
LHP
6'2" / 202 lbs
MLB
peak 0.7 · 2026
ERA3.82
FIP3.69
xFIP4.85
SIERA4.52
K%27.3%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%19.7%
IP52
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL5050
CMD6060
K†6060
SL+1.7 (69%)
FB+1.3 (31%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 52 | 0 | 61 | 270 | 69 | 28 | 7 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 3.82 | 4.17 | +0.6 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 57 | 0 | 61 | 269 | 74 | 13 | 4 | 24.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 3.67 | 2.51 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 68 | 0 | 52 | 214 | 43 | 16 | 7 | 18.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 4.47 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 43 | 0 | 39 | 171 | 51 | 8 | 4 | 26.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 3.92 | 2.88 | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 50 | 4 | 58 | 257 | 75 | 14 | 14 | 25.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.31 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 49 | 0 | 56 | 218 | 69 | 17 | 6 | 30.1% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 2.41 | 3.23 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 60 | 0 | 51 | 221 | 63 | 24 | 7 | 28.5% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 2.98 | 3.83 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 68 | 2 | 64 | 269 | 84 | 25 | 9 | 29.6% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 4.06 | 3.83 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 51 | 1 | 41 | 191 | 43 | 17 | 6 | 20.6% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 5.31 | 4.48 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | Houston Astros | 68 | 1 | 72 | 276 | 84 | 18 | 6 | 30.4% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 3.01 | 2.59 | +2.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | Houston Astros | 9 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 8 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 4.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | HOU | 43 | — | 43 | 180 | 47 | 13 | 5 | 26.2% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 3.70 | 3.80 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 35 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 52 | 213 | 55 | 17 | 6 | 25.9% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 3.75 | 3.14 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | HOU | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 51 | 17 | 6 | 25.2% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 3.93 | 4.04 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | HOU | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 46 | 16 | 6 | 24.4% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 4.10 | 4.21 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | HOU | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 41 | 15 | 6 | 23.5% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.28 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 575 | 8 | 565 | 2389 | 618 | 189 | 78 | 25.9% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 3.84 | 3.70 | +10.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 204 | 3 | 200 | 846 | 219 | 67 | 28 | 25.9% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 3.84 | 3.70 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Steven Okert (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.80 | 26.2% | 7.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.21 | 24.4% | 16.0% | 134 | +0.41 | — | — | — |
| Brooks Raley L 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.02 | 25.8% | 9.3% | 1.7% | .268 | 1.74 | 25.3% | 19.2% | 26 | -1.28 | 1.74 | 203 | 76 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 74 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.23 | 17.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | .343 | 4.25 | 18.8% | 12.9% | 81 | +0.02 | 2.38 | 306 | 70 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.28 | 20.7% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .255 | 3.38 | 26.7% | 18.4% | 22 | +0.10 | 2.57 | 109 | 69 |
| Lucas Luetge L 2026 · 2.73 FIP | 35 | SW | 2.73 | 23.9% | 6.4% | 1.5% | .345 | 3.78 | 23.6% | 15.3% | 96 | +1.05 | 2.60 | 430 | 68 |
| David Price L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.65 | 17.8% | 7.4% | 2.0% | .301 | 3.67 | 22.2% | 18.0% | 40 | +0.02 | 2.58 | 922 | 68 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.42 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 117 | 67 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.34 | 20.9% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 650 | 65 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.98 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 3.4% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.66 | 166 | 65 |
| Phil Coke L 2025 · 3.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.04 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 1.1% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 101 | 63 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 154 | 63 |
| Manny Parra L 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.33 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.90 | 2.43 | 114 | 62 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.51 | 15.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | .312 | 4.42 | 11.7% | 3.3% | 58 | +0.91 | 3.51 | 138 | 61 |
| Brandon Mann L 2025 · 3.59 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.59 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 190 | 59 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.28 | 17.0% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .418 | 4.63 | 15.7% | 5.5% | 55 | +0.35 | 4.28 | 159 | 59 |
| Orlando Lara L 2025 · 4.07 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.07 | 22.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 426 | 58 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.86 | 20.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | .192 | 3.44 | 19.6% | 12.0% | 57 | -0.42 | 2.22 | 405 | 57 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 101 | 56 |
| Adam Loewen L 2024 · 4.20 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.20 | 23.4% | 17.4% | 1.6% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 176 | 56 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2025 · 4.77 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.77 | 20.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 391 | 56 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.