Steven Okert — OGILVIE

Steven Okert P Houston Astros

Age 35 LHP 6'2" / 202 lbs MLB peak 0.5 · 2026 ILInjured 15-Day (D15)

2026 ROS PROJECTION68 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7381vR 89

ERA3.24

FIP3.23

K%26.6%

BB%6.4%

K-BB%20.2%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD6060

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.2

Whiff%

p8630.9%

p7126.1%

xwOBA vs

p900.274

SL+1.7 (67%)

FB+1.3 (33%)

SI (5%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	52	0	61	270	69	28	7	0%	1.2	22.5%	10.9%	11.6%	2.9%	3.82	4.17	—
2015	24	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	52	0	61	270	69	28	7	0%	1.2	25.6%	10.4%	15.2%	2.6%	3.82	3.70	—
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	61	269	74	13	4	0%	1.1	24.8%	5.0%	19.8%	1.6%	3.67	2.49	+1.5
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	61	269	74	13	4	0%	1.1	27.5%	4.8%	22.7%	1.5%	3.67	2.17	+1.8
2017	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	68	0	52	214	43	16	7	0%	0.8	18.9%	7.6%	11.3%	3.8%	4.47	4.57	-0.0
2017	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	68	0	52	214	43	16	7	0%	0.8	20.1%	7.5%	12.6%	3.3%	4.47	4.11	+0.3
2018	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	39	171	51	8	4	0%	0.9	26.3%	5.8%	20.4%	2.3%	3.92	2.88	+0.8
2018	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	39	171	51	8	4	0%	0.9	29.8%	4.7%	25.1%	2.3%	3.92	2.43	+1.0
2019	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	50	4	58	257	75	14	14	8%	1.2	25.7%	5.7%	20.0%	5.8%	5.31	4.86	—
2019	28	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	50	4	58	257	75	14	14	8%	1.2	29.2%	5.4%	23.7%	5.4%	5.31	4.38	—
2021	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	56	218	69	17	6	0%	1.1	30.1%	7.9%	22.2%	3.0%	2.41	3.20	+0.9
2021	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	56	218	69	17	6	0%	1.1	31.7%	7.8%	23.9%	2.8%	2.41	2.94	+1.1
2022	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	60	0	51	221	63	24	7	0%	0.9	28.5%	10.9%	17.6%	3.3%	2.98	3.90	+0.4
2022	31	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	60	0	51	221	63	24	7	0%	0.9	28.5%	10.9%	17.6%	3.2%	2.98	3.82	+0.4
2023	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	68	2	64	269	84	25	9	3%	0.9	29.6%	9.7%	19.8%	3.8%	4.06	3.94	+0.5
2023	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	68	2	64	269	84	25	9	3%	0.9	29.6%	9.7%	19.8%	3.8%	4.06	3.94	+0.5
2023	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	68	2	64	269	84	25	9	3%	0.9	31.2%	9.3%	21.9%	3.3%	4.06	3.47	+0.8
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	1	41	191	43	17	6	2%	0.8	20.6%	8.1%	12.5%	3.7%	5.31	4.44	+0.1
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	1	41	191	43	17	6	2%	0.8	20.6%	8.1%	12.5%	3.7%	5.31	4.44	+0.1
2024	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	1	41	191	43	17	6	2%	0.8	22.5%	8.9%	13.6%	3.1%	5.31	4.16	+0.2
2025	34	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	68	1	72	276	84	18	6	1%	1.1	30.4%	6.5%	23.9%	2.2%	3.01	2.58	+1.7
2025	34	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	68	1	72	276	84	18	6	1%	1.1	30.4%	6.5%	23.9%	2.2%	3.01	2.58	+1.7
2025	34	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	68	1	72	276	84	18	6	1%	1.1	30.4%	6.5%	23.9%	2.2%	3.01	2.60	+1.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			408	5	369	1510	405	118	46	1%	0.9	26.8%	7.8%	19.0%	3.0%	3.41	3.48	+4.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	35	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	68	1	68	261	68	14	7	1%	1.0	26.1%	5.4%	20.7%	2.8%	2.13	3.09	+1.2
YTD	35	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	68	1	68	261	68	14	7	1%	1.0	26.1%	5.4%	20.7%	2.8%	2.13	3.09	+1.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	35	MLB RAW	HOU	68	1	68	261	68	14	7	1%	1.0	26.1%	5.4%	20.7%	2.7%	2.13	3.05	+1.2
SO FAR	35	MLB RAW	HOU	68	1	68	261	68	14	7	1%	1.0	26.1%	5.4%	20.7%	2.7%	2.13	3.05	+1.2
ROS	35	MLB MLE	HOU	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	0.8	26.6%	6.4%	20.2%	2.9%	3.24	3.23	+0.0
ROS	35	MLB CTX	HOU	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	26.6%	6.4%	20.2%	2.9%	3.24	3.23	+0.0
2026 TOT	35	MLB MLE	HOU	—	—	68	265	69	14	7	—	—	26.1%	5.4%	20.7%	2.7%	2.14	3.09	+1.3
FULL	35	MLB A+C	HOU	—	—	68	289	69	14	7	—	—	23.8%	4.9%	18.9%	2.5%	2.14	3.06	+1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	HOU	44	0	46	193	50	14	6	0%	1.0	25.8%	7.0%	18.7%	3.2%	3.80	3.94	+0.3
2028	37	MLB MLE	HOU	38	0	40	169	42	13	6	0%	1.1	24.7%	7.7%	17.0%	3.6%	4.13	4.34	+0.1
2027	36	MLB CTX	HOU	44	0	46	194	50	14	6	0%	1.0	25.8%	7.0%	18.7%	3.2%	3.80	3.94	+0.3
2028	37	MLB CTX	HOU	38	0	40	169	42	13	6	0%	1.1	24.7%	7.7%	17.0%	3.6%	4.13	4.34	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		491	5	456	1876	497	145	58	1%	0.9	26.5%	7.7%	18.8%	3.1%	3.52	3.55	+5.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		215	2	200	823	218	64	25	1%	0.9	26.5%	7.7%	18.8%	3.1%	3.52	3.55	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		634	9	623	2617	678	199	84	1%	1.0	25.9%	7.6%	18.3%	3.2%	3.65	3.63	+5.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		203	3	200	840	218	64	27	1%	1.0	25.9%	7.6%	18.3%	3.2%	3.65	3.63	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Steven Okert (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.66	27.4%	7.2%	2.9%	—	4.13	25.3%	17.9%	86	+0.47	—	—	—
Brooks Raley L 2023 · 3.03 FIP	35	SU	3.03	25.8%	9.3%	1.7%	.268	2.93	24.2%	16.9%	77	-0.10	1.74	255	80
Lucas Luetge L 2022 · 2.71 FIP	35	SU	2.71	23.9%	6.4%	1.5%	.345	3.76	22.5%	15.1%	96	+1.05	2.53	430	73
Jerry Blevins L 2019 · 4.09 FIP	35	SU	4.09	26.2%	9.9%	3.5%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	166	69
Neal Cotts L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	35	SU	4.66	21.6%	7.4%	4.4%	.257	3.77	21.9%	14.5%	93	-0.89	3.21	156	68
Wilfredo Ledezma L 2016 · 3.28 FIP	35	SU	3.28	20.7%	8.2%	1.6%	.255	3.35	26.7%	18.4%	22	+0.07	2.58	109	64
Oliver Pérez L 2017 · 3.22 FIP	35	SU	3.22	27.3%	7.0%	2.8%	.311	2.23	28.0%	23.3%	105	-0.99	1.58	219	63
Fernando Abad L 2021 · 4.24 FIP	35	SU	4.24	17.6%	6.4%	3.3%	.343	4.24	18.2%	12.6%	81	+0.00	2.37	306	62
Tony Watson L 2020 · 4.32 FIP	35	SU	4.32	20.5%	4.1%	4.4%	.192	3.46	19.6%	12.0%	57	-0.86	2.21	405	61
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	59
David Price L 2021 · 3.82 FIP	35	SW	3.82	17.8%	7.4%	2.4%	.301	3.65	22.2%	18.0%	40	-0.17	2.65	922	54
Manny Parra L 2018 · 3.33 FIP	35	SU	3.33	18.4%	10.3%	0.9%	.351	2.43	17.3%	11.0%	27	-0.90	2.43	114	53
Francisco Liriano L 2019 · 4.34 FIP	35	SU	4.34	20.9%	11.3%	2.9%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	650	52
Craig Breslow L 2016 · 4.26 FIP	35	SU	4.26	17.0%	9.2%	2.6%	.418	4.54	15.7%	5.5%	55	+0.28	4.22	159	51
Cesár Ramos L 2017 · 4.23 FIP	33	SW	4.23	16.7%	8.3%	2.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	225	50
Rich Hill L 2015 · 3.27 FIP	35	SW	3.27	26.8%	10.9%	1.9%	.239	3.07	29.0%	21.2%	379	-0.20	2.05	1,030	49
Adam Loewen L 2017 · 4.22 FIP	33	SU	4.22	23.4%	17.4%	1.6%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	176	47
Brandon Mann L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	34	SU	3.59	17.8%	11.4%	1.0%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	190	47
Dana Eveland L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	33	SW	4.67	14.7%	4.7%	4.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.42	129	46
Sam Freeman L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	35	SU	4.01	18.5%	13.1%	1.5%	.212	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	299	45
Dan Runzler L 2019 · 4.84 FIP	34	SU	4.84	16.0%	13.0%	2.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	127	42

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	44	26.0%	7.3%	1.24	3.85
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Adbert Alzolay ('23)	1.1	70	26.1%	7.0%	1.32	3.84
Erik Swanson ('24)	1.3	51	26.2%	6.5%	1.57	3.70
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97