Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 4 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 52.0% | 8.0% | 44.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.28 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 4 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 52.0% | 8.0% | 44.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.06 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 55 | 244 | 68 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 20.9% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 2.4% | 4.07 | 3.65 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 55 | 244 | 68 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 27.9% | 6.6% | 21.3% | 1.6% | 4.07 | 2.45 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 76 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.8 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 2.3% | 3.77 | 3.51 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 76 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.8 | 29.2% | 8.5% | 20.8% | 2.3% | 3.77 | 2.97 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 6 | 89 | 385 | 86 | 30 | 11 | 13% | 2.0 | 20.2% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 2.5% | 4.85 | 3.77 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 6 | 89 | 385 | 86 | 30 | 11 | 13% | 2.0 | 22.3% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.85 | 3.79 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 66 | 284 | 64 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 66 | 284 | 64 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.11 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 7 | 81 | 343 | 78 | 17 | 9 | 24% | 2.8 | 20.3% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.76 | 3.66 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 7 | 81 | 343 | 78 | 17 | 9 | 24% | 2.8 | 22.7% | 5.0% | 17.8% | 2.6% | 4.76 | 3.25 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 55 | 5 | 75 | 326 | 59 | 17 | 10 | 9% | 1.4 | 15.6% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 6.15 | 4.17 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | COL | 68 | 0 | 72 | 303 | 47 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.90 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | COL | 69 | 0 | 72 | 304 | 47 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.90 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | COL | — | — | 146 | 629 | 106 | 45 | 19 | — | — | 16.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 5.52 | 4.53 | +1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | COL | — | — | 74 | 315 | 106 | 45 | 19 | — | — | 33.8% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 6.0% | 10.85 | 5.32 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | COL | 68 | 0 | 71 | 300 | 47 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 4.93 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | COL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 44 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 5.05 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | COL | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 40 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.3% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.21 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | COL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 45 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 4.93 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | COL | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 42 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 5.05 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | COL | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 38 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.3% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.21 | 5.35 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 282 | 1 | 310 | 1335 | 214 | 129 | 40 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 5.06 | 4.60 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 181 | 1 | 200 | 861 | 138 | 83 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 5.06 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 245 | 18 | 434 | 1867 | 381 | 140 | 50 | 7% | 1.8 | 20.4% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 2.7% | 4.68 | 3.81 | +8.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 113 | 8 | 200 | 860 | 176 | 65 | 23 | 7% | 1.8 | 20.4% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 2.7% | 4.68 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sammy Peralta (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.90 | 15.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% | — | 5.17 | 15.6% | 5.9% | 200 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Lucas Luetge L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.89 | 14.0% | 10.4% | 3.0% | .299 | 4.27 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 87 | -0.62 | 2.52 | 430 | 83 |
| Nick Ramirez L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.27 | 14.3% | 11.9% | 1.6% | .269 | 3.81 | 21.5% | 13.4% | 162 | -0.46 | 2.93 | 478 | 73 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2027 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 73 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.04 | 15.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .324 | 4.73 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 53 | -0.31 | 3.33 | 228 | 69 |
| Aaron Fletcher L 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.26 | 11.3% | 11.5% | 3.0% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.31 | 167 | 68 |
| Donnie Hart L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.36 | 14.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 281 | 68 |
| Wei-Chung Wang L 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.76 | 16.0% | 8.7% | 3.5% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 387 | 68 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 67 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 66 |
| Danny Coulombe L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.30 | 23.0% | 7.9% | 3.9% | .326 | 3.53 | 28.3% | 21.6% | 91 | -0.77 | 2.46 | 483 | 65 |
| Josh Osich L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.01 | 21.4% | 12.9% | 3.8% | .328 | 4.42 | 21.1% | 14.1% | 143 | -0.59 | 3.47 | 315 | 65 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 65 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.93 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 244 | 65 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 64 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 64 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 64 |
| Michael Johnson L 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.99 | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 256 | 63 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 63 |
| Tristan Garnett L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.13 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 185 | 63 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 2.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 141 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.21 | 5.00 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |