Brennan Bernardino
P
Colorado Rockies
Age 34
LHP
6'4" / 216 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 15 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8897vR 106
ERA3.46
FIP3.70
K%17.9%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%9.5%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1090.5
Whiff%
p1921.0%
K%
p1016.1%
xwOBA vs
p440.318
SL+2.4 (32%)
CH+0.7 (8%)
SI (42%)
CU (31%)
FB-0.7 (48%)
CT-0.9 (12%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 56 | 253 | 49 | 20 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 14.7% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 3.72 | 3.07 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 56 | 253 | 49 | 20 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 3.72 | 2.42 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 50 | 0 | 61 | 265 | 61 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 3.71 | 4.07 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 50 | 0 | 61 | 265 | 61 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 1.9% | 3.71 | 3.35 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 38 | 0 | 40 | 180 | 42 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 4.46 | 3.99 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 38 | 0 | 40 | 180 | 42 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.04 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 21 | 0 | 20 | 88 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 14.6% | 3.3% | 6.30 | 4.01 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 21 | 0 | 20 | 88 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.3% | 6.8% | 20.5% | 2.3% | 6.30 | 2.90 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 2 | 45 | 189 | 47 | 13 | 4 | 5% | 1.2 | 25.2% | 6.2% | 19.1% | 2.3% | 3.40 | 3.02 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 2 | 45 | 189 | 47 | 13 | 4 | 5% | 1.2 | 24.9% | 6.9% | 18.0% | 2.1% | 3.40 | 3.03 | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 35 | 138 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.6% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 0.7% | 2.31 | 2.46 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 35 | 138 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.4% | 8.0% | 17.4% | 0.7% | 2.31 | 2.41 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 60 | 6 | 62 | 272 | 75 | 21 | 6 | 10% | 1.0 | 26.8% | 7.8% | 19.0% | 2.3% | 3.94 | 3.06 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 60 | 6 | 62 | 272 | 75 | 21 | 6 | 10% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 7.7% | 19.9% | 2.2% | 3.94 | 2.95 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 3 | 53 | 236 | 58 | 17 | 7 | 5% | 0.9 | 24.8% | 7.1% | 17.7% | 2.6% | 4.44 | 3.35 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 3 | 53 | 236 | 58 | 17 | 7 | 5% | 0.9 | 24.6% | 7.2% | 17.4% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 3.59 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 3 | 56 | 244 | 51 | 25 | 1 | 5% | 0.9 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 0.4% | 3.07 | 2.91 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 3 | 56 | 244 | 51 | 25 | 1 | 5% | 0.9 | 20.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 0.4% | 3.07 | 2.85 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 46 | 2 | 39 | 168 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4% | 0.9 | 16.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 1.2% | 2.97 | 3.23 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | COL | 15 | 0 | 15 | 64 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 1.9% | 3.46 | 3.70 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | COL | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 1.9% | 3.46 | 3.70 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 34 | MLB | COL | — | — | 55 | 232 | 39 | 16 | 3 | — | — | 16.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 1.4% | 3.11 | 3.36 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 34 | MLB | COL | — | — | 55 | 231 | 39 | 16 | 3 | — | — | 16.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 1.4% | 3.11 | 3.36 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | COL | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 4.16 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | COL | 41 | 0 | 43 | 183 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 4.52 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | COL | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 4.16 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | COL | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 4.52 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 310 | 14 | 294 | 1267 | 255 | 104 | 23 | 5% | 0.9 | 20.2% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 1.8% | 3.65 | 3.43 | +6.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 210 | 10 | 200 | 861 | 173 | 71 | 16 | 5% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 1.8% | 3.65 | 3.43 | +4.6 | ||
| Career | — | 435 | 16 | 466 | 2033 | 425 | 174 | 33 | 4% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 1.6% | 3.73 | 3.30 | +11.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 7 | 200 | 873 | 182 | 75 | 14 | 4% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 1.6% | 3.73 | 3.30 | +4.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brennan Bernardino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.19 | 19.4% | 9.3% | 2.2% | — | 4.56 | 16.8% | 7.6% | 92 | +0.37 | — | — | — |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 1.7% | .310 | 3.56 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 49 | -0.33 | 3.05 | 117 | 76 |
| Manny Parra L 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.34 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.91 | 2.43 | 114 | 72 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.43 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | .250 | 4.09 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 32 | -0.34 | 2.72 | 166 | 72 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 72 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 181 | 72 |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 69 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 69 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 127 | 69 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | .276 | 3.68 | 19.8% | 13.1% | 75 | -0.85 | 2.22 | 405 | 67 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.97 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 280 | 67 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.69 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | .269 | 2.57 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.12 | 2.18 | 195 | 67 |
| Brian Duensing L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.18 | 23.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | .301 | 5.68 | 11.7% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.50 | 2.59 | 198 | 66 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.88 | 14.0% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 127 | 65 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.47 | 18.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | .283 | 4.33 | 25.7% | 18.0% | 79 | +0.86 | 3.47 | 512 | 65 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 65 |
| Colt Hynes L 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.52 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 152 | 64 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.04 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.39 | 259 | 63 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.07 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 63 |
| Adam Loewen L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.13 | 23.4% | 17.4% | 1.5% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 176 | 63 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.36 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .296 | 2.53 | 29.1% | 23.7% | 120 | -0.83 | 1.56 | 219 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 49 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |