Brennan Bernardino

Brennan Bernardino P Colorado Rockies

Age 34 LHP 6'4" / 216 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8593vR 101

ERA3.45

FIP3.69

K%18.3%

BB%7.7%

K-BB%10.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.6

Whiff%

p1920.9%

p1617.3%

xwOBA vs

p640.298

SL+2.4 (35%)

CH+0.7 (7%)

SI (41%)

CU (34%)

FB-0.7 (46%)

CT-0.9 (12%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	56	253	49	20	0	0%	1.4	14.7%	9.6%	5.1%	0.0%	3.72	3.07	—
2015	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	56	253	49	20	0	0%	1.4	19.4%	7.9%	11.5%	0.0%	3.72	2.42	—
2016	24	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	50	0	61	265	61	24	5	0%	1.2	17.7%	10.4%	7.3%	2.2%	3.71	4.14	—
2016	24	A+ RAW	Daytona Tortugas	50	0	61	265	61	24	5	0%	1.2	23.0%	9.1%	14.0%	1.9%	3.71	3.35	—
2017	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	38	0	40	180	42	19	5	0%	1.1	18.9%	11.6%	7.3%	2.4%	4.46	4.28	—
2017	25	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	38	0	40	180	42	19	5	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.6%	12.8%	2.8%	4.46	4.04	—
2018	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	21	0	20	88	24	6	2	0%	1.0	22.1%	7.5%	14.6%	3.0%	6.30	3.83	—
2018	26	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	21	0	20	88	24	6	2	0%	1.0	27.3%	6.8%	20.5%	2.3%	6.30	2.90	—
2019	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	2	45	189	47	13	4	5%	1.2	25.2%	6.2%	19.1%	2.4%	3.40	3.05	—
2019	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	2	45	189	47	13	4	5%	1.2	24.9%	6.9%	18.0%	2.1%	3.40	3.03	—
2022	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	35	138	35	11	1	0%	1.4	24.6%	8.4%	16.2%	0.8%	2.31	2.51	+0.9
2022	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	35	138	35	11	1	0%	1.4	25.4%	8.0%	17.4%	0.7%	2.31	2.41	+0.9
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	60	6	62	272	75	21	6	10%	1.0	26.5%	7.6%	18.9%	2.3%	3.94	3.09	+1.1
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	60	6	62	272	75	21	6	10%	1.0	26.5%	7.6%	18.9%	2.3%	3.94	3.09	+1.1
2023	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	60	6	62	272	75	21	6	10%	1.0	27.6%	7.7%	19.9%	2.2%	3.94	2.95	+1.2
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	3	53	236	58	17	7	5%	0.9	24.8%	7.1%	17.7%	2.7%	4.44	3.40	+0.7
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	3	53	236	58	17	7	5%	0.9	24.8%	7.1%	17.7%	2.7%	4.44	3.40	+0.7
2024	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	3	53	236	58	17	7	5%	0.9	24.6%	7.2%	17.4%	3.0%	4.44	3.59	+0.6
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	3	56	244	51	25	1	5%	0.9	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	0.5%	3.07	2.92	+1.1
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	3	56	244	51	25	1	5%	0.9	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	0.5%	3.07	2.92	+1.1
2025	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	3	56	244	51	25	1	5%	0.9	20.9%	10.2%	10.7%	0.4%	3.07	2.85	+1.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			238	14	215	927	200	69	16	6%	0.9	21.6%	7.4%	14.1%	1.7%	3.31	3.17	+3.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	34	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	69	2	59	248	43	14	5	3%	0.9	17.3%	5.6%	11.7%	1.8%	2.88	3.33	+0.9
YTD	34	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	69	2	59	248	43	14	5	3%	0.9	17.3%	5.6%	11.7%	1.8%	2.88	3.33	+0.9
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	34	MLB RAW	COL	69	2	59	248	43	14	5	3%	0.9	17.3%	5.6%	11.7%	2.0%	2.88	3.46	+0.8
SO FAR	34	MLB RAW	COL	69	2	59	248	43	14	5	3%	0.9	17.3%	5.6%	11.7%	2.0%	2.88	3.46	+0.8
ROS	34	MLB MLE	COL	5	0	5	21	4	2	0	0%	1.0	18.3%	7.7%	10.6%	2.1%	3.45	3.69	+0.1
ROS	34	MLB CTX	COL	5	0	5	21	4	2	0	0%	1.0	18.3%	7.7%	10.6%	2.1%	3.45	3.69	+0.1
2026 TOT	34	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	64	269	47	16	5	—	—	17.4%	5.8%	11.6%	2.0%	2.93	3.36	+1.0
FULL	34	MLB A+C	COL	—	—	64	271	47	16	5	—	—	17.3%	5.8%	11.5%	2.0%	2.93	3.47	+1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	COL	47	0	49	207	36	17	5	0%	1.0	17.6%	8.3%	9.3%	2.5%	4.16	4.39	+0.1
2028	36	MLB MLE	COL	41	0	43	183	30	16	5	0%	1.1	16.6%	8.9%	7.7%	2.8%	4.52	4.76	-0.1
2027	35	MLB CTX	COL	45	0	47	198	35	16	5	0%	1.0	17.6%	8.3%	9.3%	2.5%	4.16	4.39	+0.1
2028	36	MLB CTX	COL	36	0	38	160	27	14	5	0%	1.1	16.6%	8.9%	7.7%	2.8%	4.52	4.76	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		323	14	304	1303	265	101	26	4%	0.9	20.3%	7.7%	12.6%	2.0%	3.59	3.45	+4.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		212	9	200	857	174	66	17	4%	0.9	20.3%	7.7%	12.6%	2.0%	3.59	3.45	+2.6
Career	—	MLE		458	16	486	2113	440	177	37	3%	1.1	20.8%	8.4%	12.4%	1.7%	3.69	3.35	+3.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		188	7	200	870	181	73	15	3%	1.1	20.8%	8.4%	12.4%	1.7%	3.69	3.35	+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brennan Bernardino (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.18	19.5%	9.2%	2.2%	—	4.56	17.1%	8.5%	92	+0.38	—	—	—
Jerry Blevins L 2018 · 4.43 FIP	34	SU	4.43	21.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.250	4.09	26.2%	16.3%	32	-0.34	2.71	166	77
Mike Dunn L 2019 · 5.02 FIP	34	SU	5.02	20.0%	8.0%	4.7%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	181	74
Heriberto Ruelas L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	34	SU	3.75	15.0%	8.9%	1.4%	.310	3.42	17.2%	10.5%	49	-0.33	2.95	117	74
Tony Watson L 2019 · 4.52 FIP	34	SU	4.52	17.7%	4.8%	4.2%	.276	3.67	19.8%	13.1%	75	-0.85	2.21	405	74
Craig Breslow L 2015 · 4.94 FIP	34	SU	4.94	16.4%	6.4%	4.4%	.279	4.42	16.2%	6.5%	94	-0.52	4.22	159	73
Manny Parra L 2018 · 3.33 FIP	35	SU	3.33	18.4%	10.3%	0.9%	.351	2.43	17.3%	11.0%	27	-0.90	2.43	114	73
Neal Cotts L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	35	SU	4.66	21.6%	7.4%	4.4%	.257	3.77	21.9%	14.5%	93	-0.89	3.21	156	72
Brian Duensing L 2017 · 3.26 FIP	34	SU	3.26	23.7%	6.6%	2.4%	.301	5.80	11.7%	-0.7%	51	+2.54	2.57	198	70
Tony Sipp L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	34	SU	4.92	23.6%	8.5%	5.0%	.269	2.59	24.9%	15.9%	60	-2.33	2.22	195	70
Ross Detwiler L 2020 · 3.49 FIP	34	SU	3.49	18.5%	4.9%	2.4%	.283	4.16	25.7%	18.0%	79	+0.67	3.49	512	69
Sean Doolittle L 2021 · 4.00 FIP	34	SU	4.00	23.8%	9.0%	3.2%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	1.39	259	68
Cesár Ramos L 2017 · 4.23 FIP	33	SW	4.23	16.7%	8.3%	2.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	225	67
Brandon Mann L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	34	SU	3.59	17.8%	11.4%	1.0%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	190	67
Dan Runzler L 2019 · 4.84 FIP	34	SU	4.84	16.0%	13.0%	2.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	127	67
Alejandro Soto L 2019 · 4.03 FIP	33	SW	4.03	17.1%	6.9%	2.7%	.376	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	280	67
Oliver Pérez L 2016 · 3.36 FIP	34	SU	3.36	25.3%	9.3%	2.2%	.296	2.54	29.1%	23.7%	120	-0.82	1.58	219	65
James Jones L 2023 · 4.71 FIP	34	SU	4.71	13.2%	11.5%	2.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	127	65
Colt Hynes L 2017 · 3.75 FIP	32	SW	3.75	14.1%	4.6%	2.3%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	152	65
Ryan Buchter L 2021 · 5.24 FIP	34	SU	5.24	22.9%	13.2%	4.4%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	296	64
Boone Logan L 2018 · 5.29 FIP	33	SU	5.29	24.1%	12.1%	4.9%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.58	113	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	18.0%	8.8%	0.95	4.18
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Derek Law ('24)	1.5	60	21.5%	8.9%	0.88	3.47
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79