Brennan Bernardino
P
Colorado Rockies
+0.3
WAR
Age 34
LHP
6'4" / 216 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA3.68
FIP3.82
xFIP3.04
SIERA2.87
K%22.1%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%13.4%
IP46
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†4545
SL+2.4 (26%)
CH+0.7 (8%)
SI (46%)
CU (26%)
FB-0.7 (54%)
CT-0.9 (12%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 39 | 0 | 56 | 253 | 49 | 20 | 0 | 14.7% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 3.72 | 3.07 | +1.2 |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 50 | 0 | 61 | 265 | 61 | 24 | 5 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 2.2% | 3.71 | 4.13 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 38 | 0 | 40 | 180 | 42 | 19 | 5 | 18.9% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 4.46 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 21 | 0 | 20 | 88 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 6.30 | 3.79 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | 38 | 2 | 45 | 189 | 47 | 13 | 4 | 25.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 3.40 | 3.04 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 25 | 0 | 35 | 138 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 24.6% | 8.4% | 0.8% | 2.31 | 2.52 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 60 | 6 | 62 | 272 | 75 | 21 | 6 | 26.8% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 3.94 | 3.15 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 59 | 3 | 53 | 236 | 58 | 17 | 7 | 24.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 3.44 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 59 | 3 | 56 | 244 | 51 | 25 | 1 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 0.4% | 3.07 | 2.91 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 9 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.29 | — | — |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | COL | 38 | — | 38 | 163 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 3.82 | 4.32 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 34 | MLB | COL | — | — | 46 | 192 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 18.4% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 3.43 | 3.66 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | COL | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 4.14 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | COL | 40 | — | 40 | 169 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 16.9% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 4.39 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | COL | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 25 | 16 | 4 | 16.1% | 10.0% | 2.5% | 4.60 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 398 | 15 | 434 | 1894 | 403 | 165 | 33 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 3.76 | 3.37 | +9.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 184 | 7 | 200 | 873 | 186 | 76 | 15 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 3.76 | 3.37 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brennan Bernardino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 2.2% | — | 4.56 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 120 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Francisley Bueno L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 3.99 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.21 | 3.51 | 138 | 76 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.75 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .310 | 3.42 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 49 | -0.33 | 2.97 | 117 | 75 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.48 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 3.98 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 32 | -0.50 | 2.66 | 166 | 74 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.83 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.6% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 127 | 71 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.97 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 181 | 71 |
| Manny Parra L 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.33 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.90 | 2.43 | 114 | 70 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.04 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.48 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.56 | 4.28 | 159 | 69 |
| Colt Hynes L 2024 · 3.79 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.79 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 152 | 69 |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 69 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.59 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 190 | 68 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.89 | 14.0% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 127 | 68 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.84 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | .269 | 2.55 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.29 | 2.19 | 195 | 67 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.03 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 280 | 67 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.02 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 66 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 154 | 65 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.57 | 17.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | .276 | 3.54 | 19.8% | 13.1% | 75 | -1.03 | 2.22 | 405 | 65 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.02 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 259 | 65 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.89 | 16.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 424 | 64 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.45 | 18.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | .283 | 4.23 | 25.7% | 18.0% | 79 | +0.78 | 3.45 | 512 | 64 |
| Brian Duensing L 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.17 | 23.7% | 6.6% | 2.2% | .301 | 5.84 | 11.7% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.67 | 2.63 | 198 | 64 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.