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Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 209 | 56 | 20 | 2 | 93% | 3.9 | 18.2% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 2.14 | 3.81 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 209 | 56 | 20 | 2 | 93% | 3.9 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 1.0% | 2.14 | 2.62 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 6 | 46 | 174 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 46% | 3.6 | 17.2% | 4.7% | 12.5% | 0.8% | 0.78 | 2.67 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 6 | 46 | 174 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 46% | 3.6 | 24.7% | 5.7% | 19.0% | 0.6% | 0.78 | 2.17 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 12 | 106 | 463 | 76 | 33 | 13 | 50% | 4.4 | 12.2% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 5.08 | 4.55 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 12 | 106 | 463 | 76 | 33 | 13 | 50% | 4.4 | 16.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 5.08 | 4.19 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 6 | 73 | 311 | 61 | 36 | 3 | 20% | 2.4 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 3.58 | 3.94 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 6 | 73 | 311 | 61 | 36 | 3 | 20% | 2.4 | 19.6% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 1.0% | 3.58 | 3.44 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 39 | 0 | 60 | 260 | 53 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.7% | 13.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.02 | 5.36 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 39 | 0 | 60 | 260 | 53 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.4% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 3.02 | 3.97 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 24 | 0 | 31 | 149 | 38 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.6% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.52 | 5.31 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | STL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 38 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.6% | 14.4% | -0.8% | 2.9% | 5.72 | 5.72 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.6% | 14.4% | -0.8% | 2.9% | 5.72 | 5.72 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | STL | — | — | 98 | 433 | 76 | 57 | 13 | — | — | 17.7% | 13.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.66 | 5.59 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 13.6% | 14.4% | -0.8% | 2.9% | 5.72 | 5.34 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | STL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 45 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.5% | 13.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.40 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | STL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 48 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 12.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.32 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | STL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.5% | 13.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.40 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | STL | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 32 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 12.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.32 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 75 | 316 | 51 | 41 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.38 | 4.94 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 136 | 110 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.38 | 4.94 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 144 | 37 | 371 | 1566 | 240 | 167 | 33 | 26% | 2.6 | 15.4% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 3.52 | 4.33 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 78 | 20 | 200 | 844 | 130 | 90 | 18 | 26% | 2.6 | 15.4% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 3.52 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jawilme Ramírez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.72 | 13.6% | 14.4% | 2.9% | — | 5.33 | 16.1% | 3.1% | 136 | -0.38 | — | — | — |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.45 | 11.5% | 14.0% | 2.8% | .300 | 4.85 | 13.9% | 3.6% | 164 | -0.60 | 3.93 | 419 | 87 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.23 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.74 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.49 | 2.08 | 205 | 85 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 84 |
| Kender Villegas R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 13.3% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 131 | 84 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.40 | 15.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .229 | 4.26 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 150 | -1.14 | 3.63 | 239 | 84 |
| Cooper Adams R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 84 |
| Dylan Rheault R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.57 | 6.5% | 14.9% | 2.1% | .288 | 4.14 | 14.1% | 4.8% | 96 | -1.43 | 3.96 | 198 | 83 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.74 | 149 | 83 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.58 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .340 | 7.24 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.66 | 2.90 | 115 | 82 |
| James Pugliese R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.90 | 12.5% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .226 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 218 | 82 |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 82 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 81 |
| Tyler Barnette R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.53 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .333 | 3.99 | 10.7% | -3.5% | 13 | -0.54 | 3.53 | 173 | 81 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 81 |
| Nicholas Regalado R 2025 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 132 | 80 |
| Logan Sendelbach R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.61 | 12.3% | 13.9% | 3.3% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 340 | 80 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2027 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 80 |
| Rob Huber R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 15.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 117 | 80 |
| Jake Johansen R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.59 | 15.8% | 12.8% | 4.0% | .351 | 4.21 | 13.6% | 3.0% | 114 | -1.38 | 3.69 | 162 | 80 |
| Ryan Vanderhei R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 14.6% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.56 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 39 | -1.70 | 3.56 | 130 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 1.11 | 5.50 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |