Samuel Rojas — OGILVIE

Samuel RojasC FCL Tigers

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .282 / .286

PA52

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	82	75	11	2	0	0	4	20	3	0	0	147	220	173	393	27	200	24	5	171	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	82	73	16	3	0	0	6	14	3	0	0	219	305	260	565	41	271	17	7	268	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	128	114	19	6	0	1	6	41	6	0	1	167	246	246	492	79	243	32	5	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	128	110	28	10	0	1	10	28	6	0	1	255	349	373	722	118	325	22	8	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	91	76	13	3	0	0	7	19	4	1	1	171	276	211	486	39	213	21	8	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	91	71	17	5	0	0	12	13	4	1	1	239	379	310	689	70	274	14	13	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	76	63	7	1	0	1	10	19	2	1	1	111	253	175	428	63	136	25	13	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	76	56	8	1	0	1	17	13	2	1	1	143	360	214	574	71	163	17	22	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	DET	—	52	47	9	2	0	0	4	14	1	1	0	191	269	234	503	43	286	27	8	263	60	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	DET	30%	105	93	21	4	1	1	9	28	2	1	0	226	308	323	630	97	288	27	9	273	67	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	25	MLB	DET	44%	222	199	43	8	1	3	18	59	3	2	1	216	291	312	602	95	288	27	8	279	72	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2029	26	MLB	DET	51%	305	273	60	11	2	5	25	81	4	3	1	220	295	330	624	110	289	27	8	283	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.6
2030	27	MLB	DET	52%	353	315	69	12	2	6	30	93	5	4	1	219	297	327	624	108	288	26	8	284	75	-10	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.7
2031	28	MLB	DET	53%	382	342	74	13	2	6	32	101	5	4	1	216	293	319	612	102	288	26	8	283	74	-11	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.6
2032	29	MLB	DET	53%	392	350	76	14	2	6	34	105	5	4	1	217	296	320	616	103	287	27	9	281	73	-12	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.5
2033	30	MLB	DET	52%	396	354	75	13	2	6	34	107	5	3	1	212	290	311	601	99	286	27	9	278	71	-13	+0	-2	+7	+11	0.3
2034	31	MLB	DET	52%	378	338	72	13	2	6	32	103	5	3	1	213	291	317	607	104	283	27	8	274	68	-14	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.1
2027	24	MLB	DET	30%	32	29	5	1	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	172	250	207	457	34	283	28	9	258	56	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	DET	44%	98	89	18	3	1	1	8	26	1	1	0	202	276	292	568	90	284	27	8	264	60	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	26	MLB	DET	51%	155	139	29	5	1	2	13	41	2	2	1	209	286	302	588	94	284	26	8	268	63	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	27	MLB	DET	52%	185	164	35	6	1	3	16	49	3	2	1	213	295	317	612	104	284	26	9	269	64	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2031	28	MLB	DET	53%	204	182	39	7	1	3	17	54	3	2	1	214	292	313	605	99	283	26	8	268	63	-8	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.1
2032	29	MLB	DET	53%	206	183	39	7	1	3	18	55	3	2	1	213	294	311	606	98	282	27	9	266	62	-9	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.0
2033	30	MLB	DET	52%	206	183	39	7	1	3	18	56	3	2	1	213	294	311	606	98	281	27	9	264	60	-9	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.1
2034	31	MLB	DET	52%	196	174	36	6	1	3	17	53	3	1	0	207	289	305	593	98	279	27	9	260	57	-10	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1282	1143	240	42	7	18	110	343	18	12	5	210	290	306	596	96	282	27	9	265	61	-56	+0	-4	+23	+36	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	122	21	4	9	56	174	9	6	3	210	290	307	597	97	282	27	9	265	61	-28	+0	-2	+12	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	2962	2639	549	102	14	41	245	790	50	27	10	208	288	304	592	96	278	27	8	270	65	-118	+1	-7	+53	+84	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	120	22	3	9	54	173	11	6	2	207	288	302	590	95	276	27	8	270	65	-26	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	82	73	16	3	0	6	14	3	0	0	219	305	260	565	41	271	17	7	268	64	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	128	110	28	10	1	10	28	6	0	1	255	349	373	722	118	325	22	8	326	107	+1	-0	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	20	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	91	71	17	5	0	12	13	4	1	1	239	379	310	689	70	274	14	13	314	99	-0	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	21	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	76	56	8	1	1	17	13	2	1	1	143	360	214	574	71	163	17	22	291	81	-2	-0	—	—	+2	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,333	21	13	217	292	320	+24	+20	1.8	1.8
	/162	664	10	6	217	292	320	+11.9	+10.0	0.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Rojas (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	206/282/286	80	286	0	1	28%	8%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	42	40→55	50→40	43	203/279/294	91	279	7	6	28%	7%	60	-1.0	209/281/354	145	278	18	4	31%	7%	78	+0.2	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Chris Denove 2006 · A	23	44	40	46→40	46	211/286/303	92	280	7	5	26%	8%	66	-0.6	199/259/270	71	270	4	4	26%	6%	44	-2.1	244/302/337	93	298	7	3	19%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Vito Friscia 2021 · A	24	43	40→45	49→40	42	208/266/303	94	290	7	5	30%	7%	56	-1.3	208/289/325	117	317	12	4	35%	9%	72	-0.2	195/284/314	119	296	12	2	35%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Riley Adams 2019 · A	23	44→42	38→50	49→40	44	203/281/292	90	310	4	5	33%	8%	61	-1.0	211/300/353	142	324	15	5	37%	9%	85	+0.7	211/299/379	167	302	17	0	33%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A	23	38	37→40	48→45	42	185/247/254	69	274	5	6	33%	8%	36	-2.7	220/269/285	65	296	4	7	25%	6%	52	-1.6	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Sam Praytor 2022 · A	23	45	39→50	49→55	45	208/292/298	90	319	6	7	34%	9%	67	-0.5	204/279/314	110	289	10	5	31%	8%	66	-0.6	177/251/295	118	237	13	7	30%	8%	46	-0.6
✕Marco Hernandez 2021 · A	23	46	39→40	49→45	47	220/285/308	87	282	6	8	23%	7%	66	-0.6	203/292/299	96	283	8	4	29%	9%	68	-0.5	162/268/244	82	214	10	0	27%	10%	41	-0.6
✕Craig Tatum 2006 · A	23	41→46	39→45	43→30	47	197/272/288	90	271	6	5	28%	9%	56	-1.3	223/268/334	111	294	11	3	27%	5%	65	-0.7	223/264/337	114	289	12	1	27%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Robert Mullen 2019 · A	23	44	39→45	50→45	43	208/266/299	91	288	6	6	28%	7%	55	-1.4	218/262/335	117	303	13	4	31%	4%	63	-0.8	210/248/330	121	284	15	0	31%	3%	55	-0.6
✕Alex De Goti 2018 · A	23	41→47	40→45	44→50	44	198/272/290	92	289	8	7	33%	8%	56	-1.3	225/277/344	119	285	12	7	24%	6%	72	-0.2	215/285/328	114	279	10	6	25%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Nick Fortes 2021 · A	24	40→44	41→45	46→45	46	198/261/293	96	247	8	5	23%	7%	53	-1.5	224/289/353	129	259	15	8	20%	6%	80	+0.4	221/287/348	127	250	16	8	19%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	42→50	40→45	47→50	41	200/273/299	98	286	7	11	31%	6%	59	-1.1	217/287/310	93	290	7	13	26%	7%	68	-0.5	209/292/304	96	279	9	16	26%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	205/266/285	80	275	6	9	27%	7%	52	-1.6	212/262/306	94	320	8	4	34%	6%	55	-1.4	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Carter Aldrete 2021 · A	23	45→40	39→50	47→45	46	215/284/300	86	293	6	7	27%	8%	63	-0.8	207/257/338	131	294	16	6	34%	6%	62	-0.9	199/248/343	144	272	19	5	34%	6%	57	-0.8
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	39	38→50	48→40	40	191/244/271	79	266	5	4	29%	6%	38	-2.6	209/257/321	112	282	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.2	201/247/350	149	258	12	3	27%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	46→55	46	221/291/303	81	299	5	8	26%	8%	66	-0.6	220/287/340	120	289	12	13	26%	7%	75	-0.0	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41→40	36→50	47→50	41	197/258/265	68	279	4	7	29%	6%	43	-2.2	211/270/330	119	289	13	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	213/262/352	139	271	17	12	28%	4%	64	-0.4
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	49→40	43	198/254/288	90	263	6	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	192/251/307	115	278	12	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3