Kristian Cardozo

P ACL Mariners

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	ROKSEA	11	5	37	6.51	3.45	24.0%	10.8%	—	K 16.3% · BB 13.5% · FIP 4.89
2024	21	ROKSEA	12	0	15	3.68	5.01	20.0%	14.3%	—	K 13.6% · BB 17.9% · FIP 6.76
2027PROJ	24	MLBSEA	2	2	9	4.57	4.57	23.0%	10.9%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBSEA	2	2	9	4.48	4.44	23.4%	10.2%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsCasey Legumina (age 24) · Ray Gaither (age 24) · Jake Lee (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%23.0%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%12.1%

Proj IP9

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	12	11	50	210	40	19	3	92%	4.1	13.0%	11.3%	1.6%	2.0%	3.62	4.53	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	12	11	50	210	40	19	3	92%	4.1	19.0%	9.0%	10.0%	1.4%	3.62	3.42	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	10	10	36	170	38	18	0	100%	3.6	15.2%	13.2%	2.0%	0.0%	5.00	3.49	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	10	10	36	170	38	18	0	100%	3.6	22.4%	10.6%	11.8%	0.0%	5.00	2.49	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	11	5	37	167	40	18	3	45%	3.4	16.3%	13.5%	2.8%	2.7%	6.51	4.89	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	11	5	37	167	40	18	3	45%	3.4	24.0%	10.8%	13.2%	1.8%	6.51	3.45	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	12	0	15	70	14	10	2	0%	1.2	13.6%	17.9%	-4.3%	4.6%	3.68	6.76	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	12	0	15	70	14	10	2	0%	1.2	13.6%	17.9%	-4.3%	4.6%	3.68	6.76	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	12	0	15	70	14	10	2	0%	1.2	20.0%	14.3%	5.7%	2.9%	3.68	5.01	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	SEA	2	2	9	38	9	4	1	100%	4.5	23.0%	10.9%	12.1%	3.0%	4.57	4.57	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	3	3	20	84	20	9	3	100%	6.7	23.4%	10.2%	13.2%	3.0%	4.48	4.44	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	2	2	9	38	9	4	1	100%	4.5	23.4%	10.2%	13.2%	3.0%	4.48	4.44	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	9	36	8	4	1	100%	8.6	23.4%	10.2%	13.2%	3.0%	4.48	4.06	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	187	94	23	100%	5.9	23.4%	10.2%	13.2%	3.0%	4.48	4.06	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		45	26	138	617	90	81	12	58%	3.1	14.5%	13.2%	1.4%	1.9%	4.77	4.60	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	38	200	896	130	118	17	58%	3.1	14.5%	13.2%	1.4%	1.9%	4.77	4.60	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kristian Cardozo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	23.0%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.44	23.4%	13.2%	20	-0.13	—	—	—
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	85
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	85
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	81
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	81
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	81
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	80
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	80
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	80
Ryan Jennings R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP-	3.43	23.4%	11.9%	1.5%	.316	4.31	22.9%	10.2%	109	+0.88	3.43	142	79
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	78
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	77
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	76
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2014 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	20.5%	13.3%	2.3%	.208	3.88	19.8%	10.2%	210	-0.44	3.22	242	76
Keith Rogalla R 2019 · 3.52 FIP	23	SP-	3.52	21.2%	11.7%	1.3%	.344	3.68	18.0%	5.9%	65	+0.16	3.10	113	75
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	75
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	75
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	75
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	75
Michael Knorr R 2024 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP-	5.56	21.6%	12.5%	4.9%	.314	4.95	22.3%	9.7%	83	-0.61	4.30	181	74
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	74