Jackson Phipps

P Stockton Ports

Age 25 LHP 6'4" / 225 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	24	AOAK	23	17	99	6.34	4.90	19.1%	14.4%	—	K 14.1% · BB 17.0% · FIP 5.89
2027PROJ	25	MLBOAK	12	12	70	5.87	5.87	16.1%	16.2%	-0.7
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBOAK	6	6	38	5.65	5.62	17.7%	15.4%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBOAK	9	9	55	5.55	5.55	18.0%	14.9%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJimmy Robbins (age 25) · Tim Berry (age 25) · Miguel Cienfuegos (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128137vR 145

ERA5.87

FIP5.87

K%16.1%

BB%16.2%

K-BB%-0.2%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	24	A MLE	Stockton Ports	23	17	99	466	89	67	12	74%	4.3	14.1%	17.0%	-2.8%	3.3%	6.34	5.89	—
2026	24	A MLE	Stockton Ports	23	17	99	466	89	67	12	74%	4.3	14.1%	17.0%	-2.8%	3.3%	6.34	5.89	—
2026	24	A RAW	Stockton Ports	23	17	99	466	89	67	12	74%	4.3	19.1%	14.4%	4.7%	2.6%	6.34	4.90	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	OAK	12	12	70	296	48	48	9	100%	5.8	16.1%	16.2%	-0.2%	3.1%	5.87	5.87	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	OAK	15	15	89	377	67	58	12	100%	6.0	17.7%	15.4%	2.3%	3.1%	5.65	5.62	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	OAK	15	15	88	372	67	55	12	100%	5.9	18.0%	14.9%	3.1%	3.1%	5.55	5.55	-0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	OAK	14	14	86	361	65	53	12	100%	6.1	18.1%	14.6%	3.4%	3.2%	5.54	5.57	-0.6
2031	29	MLB MLE	OAK	14	14	82	345	62	51	12	100%	5.8	17.9%	14.7%	3.2%	3.4%	5.60	5.67	-0.7
2032	30	MLB MLE	OAK	13	13	77	324	63	46	12	100%	5.9	19.6%	14.2%	5.4%	3.5%	5.59	5.58	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	OAK	6	6	38	160	28	25	5	100%	6.3	17.7%	15.4%	2.3%	3.1%	5.65	5.62	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	OAK	9	9	55	232	42	35	7	100%	6.1	18.0%	14.9%	3.1%	3.1%	5.55	5.55	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	OAK	11	11	64	270	49	40	9	100%	5.8	18.1%	14.6%	3.4%	3.2%	5.54	5.57	-0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	OAK	11	11	66	279	50	41	9	100%	6.0	17.9%	14.7%	3.2%	3.4%	5.60	5.67	-0.6
2032	30	MLB CTX	OAK	11	11	66	279	55	40	10	100%	6.0	19.6%	14.2%	5.4%	3.5%	5.59	5.58	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		48	48	290	1224	224	180	40	100%	6.0	18.3%	14.7%	3.6%	3.3%	5.58	5.22	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	155	124	28	100%	6.0	18.3%	14.7%	3.6%	3.3%	5.58	5.22	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		23	17	99	466	66	79	16	74%	4.3	14.1%	17.0%	-2.8%	3.3%	6.34	5.89	-3.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	34	200	938	133	159	31	74%	4.3	14.1%	17.0%	-2.8%	3.3%	6.34	5.89	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jackson Phipps (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.87	16.1%	16.2%	3.1%	—	5.58	17.9%	2.9%	263	-0.29	—	—	—
Jimmy Robbins L 2023 · 4.69 FIP	25	SP-	4.69	17.8%	15.2%	2.1%	.290	5.73	19.6%	3.8%	13	+1.04	3.85	176	84
Tim Berry L 2016 · 5.66 FIP	25	SP-	5.66	11.3%	13.5%	3.3%	.380	4.04	20.0%	1.8%	44	-1.62	4.04	196	76
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.54	14.3%	5.8%	242	-0.58	2.95	313	76
Cole Kirschsieper L 2023 · 5.07 FIP	22	SP-	5.07	15.2%	12.0%	3.2%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	105	75
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	75
Jaylen Nowlin L 2024 · 5.15 FIP	23	SP-	5.15	18.7%	12.6%	3.7%	.299	4.77	21.7%	3.2%	100	-0.38	3.45	372	73
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	73
John Koronka L 2005 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP-	4.77	13.2%	10.5%	2.6%	.304	4.81	10.5%	2.2%	135	+0.04	3.99	151	72
Brandon Claussen L 2004 · 4.80 FIP	25	SP	4.80	14.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.314	4.56	16.5%	9.2%	244	-0.24	4.41	310	72
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	72
Mark Reyes L 2017 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP	5.68	8.9%	17.0%	2.1%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	378	71
Grant Watson L 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	16.4%	10.3%	3.0%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	180	70
Lucas Gordon L 2024 · 5.61 FIP	22	SP	5.61	16.3%	15.7%	3.5%	.212	5.08	20.0%	8.1%	225	-0.53	4.44	338	70
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	12.3%	8.5%	4.0%	.327	4.78	10.7%	3.9%	181	-0.55	3.68	322	70
Brooks Gosswein L 2023 · 5.61 FIP	24	SP-	5.61	15.2%	17.9%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	165	69
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	69
J.C. Romero L 2001 · 4.89 FIP	25	SP-	4.89	13.6%	8.0%	3.5%	.285	3.46	20.7%	10.3%	218	-1.43	2.88	652	69
Mason Green L 2024 · 4.80 FIP	25	SP-	4.80	18.7%	12.6%	3.1%	.307	3.85	18.2%	6.4%	157	-0.95	3.68	450	69
Thomas Szapucki L 2021 · 4.96 FIP	25	SP	4.96	18.7%	15.2%	2.7%	.311	3.82	29.1%	18.1%	87	-1.14	2.94	245	68
Christian MacLeod L 2024 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP	4.77	21.5%	13.6%	3.2%	.269	4.50	18.0%	3.0%	128	-0.27	3.88	280	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	82	17.9%	15.0%	1.25	5.63
Seth McClung ('09)	2.2	86	16.2%	13.1%	1.28	5.46
George Smith ('26-'30, -3 WAR*)	1.7	66	22.6%*	14.5%*	1.13*	5.29*
Paul Giel ('54-'61, -4 WAR*)	1.2	60	20.2%*	12.9%*	1.20*	5.80*
Bobby Jones ('04)	1.6	81	15.1%	12.9%	1.25	5.77
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Tim Conroy ('78-'87, -3 WAR*)	2.3	78	20.8%*	13.6%*	1.12*	5.23*