Ryan Nicholson
1B Tri-City Dust Devils| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | ASEA | 134 | .292/.403/.504 | 4 | 1 | 102 | — | .244/.328/.403 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA/A+LAA | 543 | .243/.360/.417 | 19 | 1 | 69 | — | .196/.285/.330 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA/A+LAA | 423 | .249/.312/.399 | 12 | 1 | 49 | — | .194/.243/.304 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBLAA | 1 | .201/.262/.322 | 0 | 0 | 64 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ26% MLB | 27 | MLBLAA | 59 | .202/.264/.323 | 1 | 0 | 65 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 134 | 113 | 33 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 292 | 403 | 504 | 907 | 212 | 337 | 17 | 13 | 402 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 143 | 123 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 291 | 333 | 624 | 146 | 231 | 29 | 13 | 282 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 400 | 330 | 87 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 58 | 94 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 264 | 385 | 448 | 833 | 185 | 323 | 24 | 14 | 370 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 81 | 73 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 278 | 397 | 676 | 178 | 260 | 27 | 7 | 293 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 342 | 305 | 78 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 320 | 400 | 720 | 144 | 321 | 25 | 8 | 317 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 134 | 119 | 29 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 328 | 403 | 732 | 160 | 305 | 25 | 8 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 143 | 129 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 155 | 227 | 271 | 498 | 116 | 203 | 34 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 400 | 347 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 124 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 306 | 352 | 658 | 141 | 277 | 31 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 81 | 75 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 215 | 293 | 509 | 120 | 229 | 32 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 342 | 316 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 199 | 249 | 307 | 556 | 108 | 274 | 34 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 134 | 119 | 29 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 328 | 403 | 732 | 160 | 313 | 25 | 8 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 134 | 113 | 33 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 292 | 403 | 504 | 907 | 212 | 337 | 17 | 13 | 402 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 543 | 476 | 93 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 53 | 174 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 285 | 330 | 615 | 134 | 267 | 32 | 10 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 543 | 453 | 110 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 76 | 135 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 243 | 360 | 417 | 777 | 174 | 299 | 25 | 14 | 347 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 423 | 391 | 76 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 142 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 194 | 243 | 304 | 547 | 110 | 271 | 34 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 423 | 378 | 94 | 21 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 108 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 249 | 312 | 399 | 712 | 151 | 309 | 26 | 8 | 313 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 134 | 118 | 29 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 246 | 328 | 407 | 735 | 161 | 305 | 25 | 8 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 543 | 478 | 93 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 53 | 174 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 285 | 328 | 614 | 134 | 258 | 32 | 10 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 423 | 395 | 76 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 142 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 243 | 301 | 544 | 109 | 265 | 34 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 134 | 118 | 29 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 246 | 328 | 407 | 735 | 161 | 305 | 25 | 8 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 543 | 478 | 93 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 53 | 174 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 285 | 328 | 614 | 134 | 258 | 32 | 10 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 423 | 395 | 76 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 142 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 243 | 301 | 544 | 109 | 265 | 34 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAA | 0% | 380 | 348 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 120 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 202 | 263 | 323 | 586 | 121 | 276 | 32 | 7 | 263 | 64 | -16 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAA | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 262 | 322 | 584 | 121 | 274 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 64 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAA | 26% | 225 | 206 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 70 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 265 | 325 | 589 | 121 | 276 | 31 | 7 | 265 | 65 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAA | 26% | 59 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 264 | 323 | 587 | 121 | 274 | 31 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 59 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 237 | 273 | 510 | 91 | 250 | 31 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 606 | 110 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 198 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 237 | 272 | 509 | 91 | 249 | 30 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -27 | +0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1480 | 1334 | 268 | 57 | 1 | 36 | 115 | 468 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 201 | 271 | 326 | 597 | 125 | 275 | 32 | 8 | 264 | 65 | -16 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +8 | -1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 117 | 25 | 0 | 16 | 51 | 206 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 271 | 324 | 595 | 125 | 273 | 32 | 8 | 264 | 65 | -27 | +0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 342 PAwOBA .314 → .242 (−71)K% 25.1% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.15% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 33.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 5.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×0.968 | 20.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×0.968 | 6.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.002 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 3.30% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .314 → .242; ISO .144 → .109; BABIP .321 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 81 PAwOBA .292 → .234 (−58)K% 27.2% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.16% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 16.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 6.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.19% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .292 → .234; ISO .178 → .132; BABIP .260 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 400 PAwOBA .364 → .288 (−76)K% 23.5% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.50% | ÷1.019 | ×1.350 | — | — | 31.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.50% | ÷0.975 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 10.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.31% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×0.978 | 20.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.20% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×0.978 | 6.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.004 | ×0.978 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 4.82% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .364 → .288; ISO .185 → .147; BABIP .323 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 143 PAwOBA .277 → .219 (−58)K% 28.7% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.67% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.59% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 8.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.29% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×0.998 | 15.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.66% | ÷0.929 | ×0.910 | ×0.998 | ×0.998 | 3.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.880 | ×0.998 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.10% | ÷1.028 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.74% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 110, 2B 86, 3B 106, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .277 → .219; ISO .146 → .118; BABIP .231 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AInland Empire 66ers · 134 PAwOBA .392 → .319 (−73)K% 17.2% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.16% | ÷0.957 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.69% | ÷1.057 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 8.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.99% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.89% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.980 | 18.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.980 | 11.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.139 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.95% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 128, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .392 → .319; ISO .212 → .178; BABIP .337 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).