Ryan Nicholson — OGILVIE

Ryan Nicholson1B Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 25 L/L 6'4" / 226 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION270 act + 180 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .264 / .325

PA180

HR5

K%33

BB%8

BABIP270

ISO129

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	134	119	30	9	0	5	11	34	4	1	0	252	336	454	790	202	312	25	8	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	134	113	33	12	0	4	17	23	4	1	0	292	403	504	907	212	337	17	13	402	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	543	479	89	16	1	15	50	179	7	1	1	186	272	317	590	132	255	33	9	263	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	543	453	110	20	1	19	76	135	7	1	1	243	360	417	777	174	299	25	14	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	A+	LAA	—	270	249	49	9	0	8	16	93	0	1	0	197	245	329	575	133	268	34	6	254	52	-15	+0	+0	-5	+8	-1.2
YTD	25	A+	LAA	—	270	239	63	13	0	11	24	68	0	1	0	264	328	456	784	192	315	25	9	339	118	+5	+0	+0	-5	+8	0.9
ROS	25	A+	LAA	0%	180	163	32	6	0	5	14	59	1	1	0	196	264	325	589	129	274	33	8	271	66	-7	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.5
ROS	25	MLB	LAA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						273	0	0	265	61	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	A+	LAA	—	271	250	49	9	0	8	16	93	0	1	0	196	244	328	572	132	266	34	6	254	52	-15	+0	+0	-5	+8	-1.2
TOT	25	A+	LAA	—	450	412	81	15	0	13	30	152	1	2	0	197	253	328	580	131	269	34	7	261	58	-21	+0	+0	-8	+13	-1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	LAA	30%	564	511	105	20	1	17	44	180	4	4	1	205	274	348	622	143	277	32	8	279	72	-18	+0	+0	-10	+16	-1.2
2028	27	MLB	LAA	42%	579	524	110	21	1	18	46	181	4	5	1	210	279	357	636	147	278	31	8	282	74	-17	+1	+0	-10	+16	-1.0
2027	26	MLB	LAA	30%	171	155	31	6	0	5	13	55	1	1	0	200	266	335	602	135	276	32	8	273	67	-6	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.5
2028	27	MLB	LAA	42%	241	218	45	9	0	7	19	75	2	2	1	206	276	344	620	138	277	31	8	276	69	-8	+0	+0	-4	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	413	374	76	15	0	12	32	130	3	3	1	203	271	340	611	136	274	31	8	274	68	-15	+0	+0	-7	+12	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	120	24	0	19	50	205	5	5	2	204	272	341	613	138	274	32	8	274	68	-23	+0	+0	-12	+18	-1.7
Career	—			—	2000	1796	366	72	3	60	165	633	20	12	3	204	278	347	626	144	274	32	8	279	72	-64	+1	+0	-36	+57	-4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	119	23	1	20	54	206	6	4	1	204	278	349	627	146	273	32	8	279	72	-21	+0	+0	-12	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	134	113	33	12	0	4	17	23	4	1	0	292	403	504	907	212	337	17	13	402	166	+10	+0	—	—	+4	1.4
2025	24	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	143	123	23	3	0	5	18	41	0	0	0	187	291	333	624	146	231	29	13	282	74	-4	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2025	24	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	400	330	87	17	1	14	58	94	7	1	1	264	385	448	833	185	323	24	14	370	141	+19	-0	—	—	+11	3.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#1Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#2Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#3Dayan Viciedolast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA	5	1,798	66	2	254	298	424	-18	-29	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	24	1	254	298	424	-6.6	-10.7	0.1	pk7: 0
#4Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	414	13	4	209	274	354	-7	-2	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	20	6	209	274	354	-11.9	-2.4	-1.3	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Nicholson (OGILVIE)	25	45	50	40	60	197/253/328	131	269	13	2	34%	7%	58	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris McGuiness 2013 · AA	25	43→47	46→50	41→30	46	217/282/340	123	282	14	2	28%	8%	73	-0.1	214/288/341	127	269	13	2	24%	9%	76	+0.1	205/287/322	117	250	11	1	22%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Brett Bonvechio 2008 · AA	25	43→42	51→50	44→30	46	217/294/377	160	303	18	3	33%	9%	89	+0.9	219/278/348	129	302	13	7	30%	7%	73	-0.1	196/244/294	98	283	6	2	32%	5%	43	-0.6
✕Aaron Baker 2013 · AA	25	43→51	48→50	44→40	41	220/274/363	143	289	15	5	29%	6%	76	+0.0	210/260/332	122	291	10	6	30%	6%	61	-1.0	191/233/309	118	267	8	2	31%	5%	40	-1.2
✕Josh Ockimey 2021 · AAA	25	39→43	52→50	42→30	47	200/292/369	170	291	20	4	37%	11%	85	+0.7	196/284/334	138	296	16	4	36%	11%	73	-0.1	177/271/307	130	265	15	2	36%	11%	59	-0.8
✕Bryce Ball 2023 · AA	25	44→49	45	38→30	49	214/299/340	126	308	12	2	32%	11%	80	+0.4	194/265/310	116	311	11	3	38%	9%	59	-1.1	161/233/272	110	266	11	1	41%	8%	33	-1.4
✕Mike Papi 2018 · AAA	25	43→47	45	44→45	48	214/289/333	119	280	13	6	27%	9%	75	-0.0	220/292/330	110	304	10	6	28%	9%	75	-0.0	209/290/313	104	302	7	1	31%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Dustin Yount 2007 · AA	24	44→43	45	43→40	47	217/291/332	115	291	13	4	29%	9%	76	+0.0	209/282/318	109	283	12	6	28%	8%	68	-0.5	220/287/389	169	328	22	0	37%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Will Robertson 2023 · AA	25	38→42	47→55	39→45	38	193/259/328	135	287	15	4	36%	7%	61	-1.0	201/261/363	162	288	19	6	36%	7%	71	-0.3	197/260/362	165	276	20	5	35%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Erik Castro 2014 · AA	26	42→43	50	37→40	40	216/271/363	147	301	19	4	34%	7%	75	-0.0	209/271/332	123	294	14	6	32%	7%	66	-0.6	145/225/233	87	207	10	0	34%	9%	19	-1.0
✕Jake Guenther 2022 · A	25	43	45	41→40	43	215/284/333	117	280	14	6	28%	7%	72	-0.2	204/271/315	111	289	12	7	32%	7%	63	-0.9	129/204/226	97	187	12	3	37%	6%	12	-0.9
✕Luke Anders 2012 · A	25	46→52	48→50	41→30	41	230/280/375	145	309	15	2	30%	6%	81	+0.4	223/273/346	123	309	12	4	30%	6%	70	-0.3	221/263/332	111	306	11	0	30%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Marc Krauss 2013 · AAA	25	43→53	49→50	44→45	47	219/296/375	155	292	17	5	30%	9%	89	+0.9	215/290/351	136	286	14	5	28%	9%	79	+0.3	209/285/336	127	276	13	3	28%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Mike Costanzo 2009 · AAA	25	46→48	47→50	43→40	41	226/285/362	137	327	15	3	34%	7%	80	+0.4	211/268/340	129	309	13	5	34%	7%	67	-0.5	203/263/337	134	288	14	4	33%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Logan Davidson 2023 · AA	25	39→44	50	45→50	41	201/266/347	146	297	18	5	37%	8%	69	-0.4	218/280/353	135	326	15	8	35%	7%	76	+0.0	204/285/337	132	321	14	12	38%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Ronnie Mitchell 2016 · A	25	43	47→45	42→40	42	217/270/354	137	292	14	5	30%	7%	72	-0.2	225/279/336	111	296	10	6	26%	7%	70	-0.3	232/286/319	87	292	7	5	22%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Nick Schulz 2016 · A	25	40→50	49→50	38→45	46	206/283/352	146	284	17	3	32%	9%	77	+0.1	214/283/353	139	294	16	6	31%	8%	77	+0.1	204/274/339	135	281	16	6	32%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Carlos Cortes 2022 · AA	25	39→49	49→55	42→40	43	204/265/356	152	262	17	5	29%	7%	70	-0.3	206/271/354	148	268	17	4	29%	8%	72	-0.2	241/312/410	169	272	20	3	19%	9%	102	+1.0
●Brad Nelson 2008 · AAA	25	43→48	47→50	43→50	45	218/277/349	131	279	15	10	27%	7%	73	-0.1	215/277/357	142	254	17	8	22%	8%	76	+0.0	217/287/376	159	258	20	2	24%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Bobby Coyle Jr. 2014 · AA	25	45→44	49→50	43→45	40	233/269/379	146	281	18	4	25%	4%	77	+0.1	227/264/366	139	280	16	6	25%	4%	72	-0.2	237/253/380	143	274	17	0	21%	2%	71	-0.1
✕Andy Wilkins 2014 · AAA	25	42→46	52→55	44→45	45	223/281/386	163	273	21	5	27%	7%	85	+0.7	218/261/381	163	268	20	3	26%	5%	75	-0.0	164/243/338	174	220	25	3	38%	9%	56	-0.5