Ryan Nicholson1B
Tri-City Dust Devils
Age 25
L/L
6'4" / 226 lbs
A+
HR -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
wRC+†71
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .291 / .354
PA320
HR10
K%32
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
50→50
SPD
40→40
EYE
52↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.1peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-1.0M | $-21M | -$20M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 134 | 118 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .254 | .343 | .441 | .784 | .186 | .317 | 24 | 9 | .332 | 112 | +2 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | 2 teams | 543 | 479 | 91 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 50 | 181 | 7 | 1 | 1 | .190 | .276 | .328 | .604 | .138 | .261 | 33 | 9 | .263 | 59 | -25 | -0 | +0 | -10 | +15 | -2.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 56 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .259 | .280 | .539 | .080 | .265 | 30 | 7 | .238 | 40 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAA | 264 | 236 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .212 | .290 | .360 | .650 | .148 | .283 | 32 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +7 | -0.4 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | LAA | 320 | 286 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 101 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .210 | .285 | .346 | .631 | .136 | .285 | 32 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +9 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 10% | LAA | 365 | 323 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 100 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .217 | .301 | .365 | .666 | .149 | .277 | 27 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 25% | LAA | 388 | 343 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 106 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .219 | .304 | .362 | .665 | .143 | .278 | 27 | 10 | .301 | 89 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 37% | LAA | 401 | 355 | 78 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 109 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .304 | .369 | .673 | .149 | .278 | 27 | 10 | .301 | 89 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | LAA | 400 | 354 | 78 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 109 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .305 | .370 | .675 | .150 | .278 | 27 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 55% | LAA | 398 | 352 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 110 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .213 | .299 | .352 | .651 | .139 | .276 | 28 | 10 | .297 | 85 | -7 | +0 | -2 | -7 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | LAA | 387 | 342 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 109 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .216 | .302 | .360 | .662 | .143 | .275 | 28 | 10 | .293 | 82 | -8 | +1 | -3 | -7 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 83% | LAA | 370 | 328 | 69 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 106 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .210 | .294 | .348 | .642 | .137 | .273 | 29 | 10 | .288 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -4 | -7 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 341 | 302 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 100 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .205 | .290 | .338 | .628 | .132 | .272 | 29 | 10 | .283 | 74 | -10 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +10 | -1.0 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 298 | 264 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .201 | .287 | .326 | .613 | .125 | .270 | 30 | 10 | .276 | 69 | -10 | +0 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -1.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4289 | 3796 | 805 | 154 | 11 | 122 | 412 | 1236 | 46 | 32 | 7 | .212 | .297 | .355 | .652 | .143 | .278 | 29 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -95 | +4 | -20 | -77 | +122 | -6.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 122 | 23 | 2 | 18 | 62 | 187 | 7 | 5 | 1 | .212 | .296 | .353 | .649 | .141 | .279 | 29 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +1 | -3 | -12 | +18 | -1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 134 | 113 | 33 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .292 | .403 | .504 | .907 | .212 | .337 | 17 | 13 | .402 | 166 | +10 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 143 | 123 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .187 | .291 | .333 | .624 | .146 | .231 | 29 | 13 | .282 | 74 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 400 | 330 | 87 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 58 | 94 | 7 | 1 | 1 | .264 | .385 | .448 | .833 | .185 | .323 | 24 | 14 | .370 | 141 | +19 | -0 | — | — | +11 | 3.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ryan Nicholson (OGILVIE) | 25 | 45 | 50 | 40 | 60 | .207/.291/.354 | .146 | .285 | 10 | 3 | 32% | 9% | 82 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Marc Krauss 2013 · AAA |
25 | 44→52 | 51→55 | 43→45 | 47 | .224/.297/.386 | .162 | .297 | 18 | 5 | 30% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .216/.292/.355 | .139 | .284 | 15 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .210/.286/.334 | .125 | .274 | 13 | 3 | 27% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Brett Bonvechio 2008 · AA |
25 | 43→42 | 50 | 43→30 | 46 | .213/.292/.369 | .155 | .306 | 18 | 3 | 34% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .218/.277/.348 | .130 | .301 | 13 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .196/.244/.294 | .098 | .283 | 6 | 2 | 32% | 5% | 43 | -0.6 |
|
✕Chris McGuiness 2013 · AA |
25 | 43→49 | 47→50 | 41→30 | 47 | .217/.285/.347 | .130 | .277 | 15 | 3 | 27% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .215/.288/.339 | .124 | .271 | 12 | 2 | 24% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .208/.287/.317 | .109 | .256 | 9 | 1 | 21% | 9% | 67 | -0.4 |
|
✕Marvin Lowrance 2009 · AA |
25 | 45→49 | 49→55 | 41→40 | 46 | .228/.296/.377 | .149 | .291 | 17 | 3 | 27% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .228/.287/.377 | .149 | .290 | 18 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .228/.284/.374 | .145 | .282 | 18 | 4 | 25% | 6% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
●Allan Dykstra 2012 · AA |
25 | 41→50 | 49→50 | 39→30 | 51 | .207/.308/.356 | .149 | .291 | 17 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 89 | +1.0 | .229/.333/.388 | .159 | .333 | 18 | 3 | 33% | 12% | 108 | +2.3 | .228/.344/.393 | .165 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 31% | 14% | 112 | +1.7 |
|
●Carlos Cortes 2022 · AA |
25 | 40→50 | 48→55 | 42→40 | 44 | .208/.270/.353 | .144 | .266 | 15 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .205/.269/.349 | .144 | .268 | 17 | 3 | 29% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .223/.296/.393 | .171 | .258 | 21 | 3 | 22% | 9% | 91 | +0.7 |
|
✕Josh Ockimey 2021 · AAA |
25 | 38→46 | 53→50 | 42→30 | 47 | .200/.290/.373 | .173 | .291 | 21 | 3 | 37% | 11% | 86 | +0.8 | .198/.289/.346 | .148 | .296 | 18 | 4 | 36% | 11% | 79 | +0.3 | .181/.279/.320 | .139 | .267 | 17 | 2 | 36% | 12% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
✕Tommy Giles 2009 · AA |
25 | 42→41 | 51→55 | 43→40 | 41 | .221/.272/.385 | .164 | .284 | 19 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .220/.282/.386 | .166 | .288 | 20 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .207/.275/.378 | .171 | .263 | 23 | 2 | 30% | 8% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Andy Wilkins 2014 · AAA |
25 | 42→45 | 51→55 | 44→45 | 45 | .223/.279/.383 | .160 | .270 | 20 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .220/.264/.384 | .164 | .268 | 20 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .167/.244/.340 | .173 | .224 | 25 | 3 | 38% | 9% | 56 | -0.5 |
|
✕Dustin Majewski 2007 · AA |
25 | 44→50 | 50 | 44→40 | 50 | .225/.300/.386 | .161 | .278 | 18 | 6 | 26% | 10% | 93 | +1.3 | .225/.302/.361 | .136 | .280 | 13 | 5 | 23% | 10% | 87 | +0.8 | .225/.303/.344 | .119 | .276 | 10 | 4 | 21% | 10% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Kody Hinze 2012 · AA |
25 | 44→46 | 51→50 | 39→30 | 46 | .226/.298/.385 | .159 | .295 | 20 | 2 | 30% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .213/.279/.357 | .144 | .294 | 19 | 4 | 32% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .162/.224/.273 | .111 | .228 | 17 | 2 | 36% | 7% | 31 | -1.5 |
|
✕Tyler Dearden 2023 · AA |
25 | 44→34 | 51→50 | 41→30 | 43 | .220/.297/.376 | .156 | .320 | 20 | 3 | 36% | 9% | 89 | +1.0 | .227/.291/.340 | .113 | .330 | 11 | 3 | 32% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .227/.286/.320 | .093 | .324 | 8 | 2 | 30% | 6% | 66 | -0.2 |
|
✕Aaron Baker 2013 · AA |
25 | 43→50 | 50 | 43→40 | 40 | .220/.273/.374 | .154 | .285 | 18 | 4 | 29% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .213/.264/.344 | .131 | .291 | 13 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .194/.241/.311 | .117 | .268 | 9 | 2 | 30% | 6% | 43 | -1.1 |
|
✕Matthew Whitney 2009 · AA |
25 | 44→49 | 48→50 | 42→30 | 42 | .222/.278/.364 | .142 | .292 | 17 | 2 | 30% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .233/.298/.366 | .133 | .297 | 14 | 4 | 25% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .239/.311/.370 | .131 | .306 | 13 | 3 | 25% | 8% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
✕Erik Castro 2014 · AA |
26 | 43 | 50 | 37→40 | 41 | .221/.281/.373 | .152 | .309 | 19 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .210/.273/.336 | .126 | .295 | 14 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .144/.224/.225 | .080 | .207 | 9 | 0 | 33% | 9% | 16 | -1.1 |
|
✕Chris Gittens 2019 · AA |
25 | 39→45 | 50→55 | 42→30 | 41 | .202/.276/.353 | .151 | .302 | 19 | 4 | 38% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .223/.306/.386 | .163 | .340 | 22 | 3 | 37% | 10% | 96 | +1.5 | .224/.320/.409 | .185 | .323 | 26 | 0 | 36% | 12% | 104 | +1.2 |
|
✕Cooper Hummel 2021 · AA |
26 | 42→49 | 48→50 | 41→55 | 47 | .208/.302/.346 | .138 | .292 | 16 | 6 | 32% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .225/.320/.376 | .151 | .301 | 14 | 11 | 27% | 11% | 98 | +1.6 | .217/.330/.365 | .148 | .295 | 13 | 19 | 28% | 12% | 98 | +1.1 |
|
✕Bryce Ball 2023 · AA |
25 | 43→48 | 45 | 39→30 | 48 | .211/.291/.338 | .128 | .299 | 12 | 2 | 32% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 | .197/.268/.314 | .117 | .304 | 11 | 3 | 36% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .167/.240/.276 | .109 | .269 | 10 | 1 | 39% | 8% | 37 | -1.3 |
|
✕Jabari Henry 2016 · AA |
25 | 38→41 | 51→55 | 45 | 47 | .200/.282/.366 | .166 | .265 | 19 | 7 | 32% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .191/.260/.336 | .145 | .273 | 18 | 6 | 35% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .166/.233/.298 | .132 | .227 | 20 | 2 | 36% | 6% | 40 | -1.6 |
|
●Matt Clark 2012 · AAA |
25 | 44→45 | 54→60 | 41→30 | 42 | .228/.286/.399 | .170 | .298 | 23 | 2 | 31% | 7% | 90 | +1.0 | .230/.286/.392 | .162 | .298 | 21 | 2 | 29% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .226/.284/.410 | .184 | .271 | 25 | 0 | 26% | 7% | 93 | +0.9 |