German Fajardo

P Inland Empire 66ers

Age 26 RHP 5'11" / 180 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	AModesto Nuts	35	65	5.10	3.34	23.0%	12.9%	—	K 17.0% · BB 15.3% · FIP 4.35
2025	24	MIX2 levels	5	8	0.00	2.45	25.9%	11.1%	—	K 25.9% · BB 11.1% · FIP 2.32
2026	25	ASEA	13	20	5.03	4.63	28.7%	16.0%	—	K 21.3% · BB 18.8% · FIP 5.97
2027PROJ	26	MLBSEA	15	16	5.29	5.29	21.4%	15.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBSEA	7	7	5.21	5.23	21.6%	14.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Derek Eitel (age 27) · Haden Erbe (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 117

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%21.4%

BB%15.5%

K-BB%5.9%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	4	0	3	12	5	2	0	0%	0.8	41.7%	16.7%	25.0%	0.0%	3.00	1.69	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	4	0	3	12	5	2	0	0%	0.8	41.7%	16.7%	25.0%	0.0%	3.00	1.77	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	35	0	65	317	73	41	3	0%	1.9	17.0%	15.3%	1.8%	1.4%	5.10	4.35	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	35	0	65	317	73	41	3	0%	1.9	17.0%	15.3%	1.8%	1.4%	5.10	4.35	—
2024	23	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	35	0	65	317	73	41	3	0%	1.9	23.0%	12.9%	10.1%	0.9%	5.10	3.34	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	8	27	7	3	0	0%	1.5	25.9%	11.1%	14.8%	0.0%	0.00	2.32	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	8	27	7	3	0	0%	1.5	25.9%	11.1%	14.8%	0.0%	0.00	2.32	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	0	8	27	7	3	0	0%	1.5	25.9%	11.1%	14.8%	0.0%	0.00	2.45	—
2026	25	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	13	0	20	94	27	15	3	0%	1.5	21.3%	18.8%	2.4%	4.1%	5.03	5.97	—
2026	25	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	13	0	20	94	27	15	3	0%	1.5	21.3%	18.8%	2.4%	4.1%	5.03	5.97	—
2026	25	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	13	0	20	94	27	15	3	0%	1.5	28.7%	16.0%	12.8%	3.2%	5.03	4.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	SEA	15	0	16	68	14	10	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.5%	5.9%	3.0%	5.29	5.29	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	19	0	20	84	18	13	3	0%	1.1	21.6%	14.9%	6.7%	3.1%	5.21	5.23	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	14.9%	6.7%	3.1%	5.21	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	5	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	14.9%	6.7%	3.1%	5.21	4.85	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	138	28	0%	1.1	21.6%	14.9%	6.7%	3.1%	5.21	4.85	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		57	0	96	450	86	71	8	0%	1.7	19.1%	15.8%	3.3%	1.8%	4.61	4.49	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		119	0	200	941	180	149	17	0%	1.7	19.1%	15.8%	3.3%	1.8%	4.61	4.49	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
German Fajardo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	21.4%	15.5%	3.0%	—	5.23	21.6%	6.7%	20	-0.06	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	84
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	83
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	83
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	82
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	82
Jackson Goddard R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	26	SU	4.53	21.1%	14.3%	2.5%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	149	82
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	81
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	81
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	81
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	81
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	81
Todd Wellemeyer R 2005 · 5.70 FIP	26	SU	5.70	21.9%	14.4%	4.8%	.291	4.47	16.5%	6.8%	349	-1.23	3.35	615	81
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	81
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	81
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	81
Christopher Troye R 2024 · 5.46 FIP	25	SU	5.46	24.2%	17.0%	4.1%	.282	5.61	19.1%	-3.8%	30	+0.15	3.42	158	80
Manny Barreda R 2015 · 5.04 FIP	26	SU	5.04	21.2%	14.7%	3.4%	.286	3.69	19.6%	9.5%	186	-1.35	3.30	376	80
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	80
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	80
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	80