Owen Ayers

C Knoxville Smokies
Age 26 S/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTFG #263MiLBFA 2034
Scout OFP49ETA2029FG ETA2028MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202524ACHC273.238/.346/.4206757—.184/.260/.324
202524INTLMesa Solar Sox89.379/.539/.59131222—
202625AAACHC208.247/.367/.3563774—.219/.309/.301
202625AACHC278.304/.420/.591163124—.258/.344/.488
2027PROJ2% MLB26MLBCHC5.232/.318/.403001030.0
2028PROJ37% MLB27MLBCHC189.231/.317/.401631030.9
2029PROJ56% MLB28MLBCHC289.230/.315/.397941011.3
Next 3 projected WAR 2.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$6M2033Arb-3$4M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
BB%87
Chase%77
Z-Con%62
K%58
Speed57
Whiff%52
Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 9, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 80%
CompsChance Sisco (age 26) · Luis Urías (age 26) · Max Moroff (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†103
AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .318 / .403
PA5
HR0
K%20
BB%20
BABIP294
ISO182
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +1.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +4.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +5.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +1.40+1.4WAR
0.00.91.80.00.91.31.31.21.00.427282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$33M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 51
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT43
scouting grade only
POWER51
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
DEFENSE50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.9$3M+$3M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.3$9M+$8M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.3$8M+$8M
2031Arb-1$4M+1.2$7M+$4M
2032Arb-2$6M+1.0$5M+$2M
2033Arb-3$4M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $12M $34M +$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202423 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7063 12401 6141 10 190271302573 111229 209 264 23 — — — — — —
202524 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 273231 551456 31637 70 238346420766 182295 2311 339 57 — — — — — —
202524 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 8966 25503 22101 10 3795395911.130 212415 1125 496 222 — — — — — —
202625 AAAIowa Cubs — 208174 431003 32451 70 247367356723 109315 2215 333 74 — — — — — —
202625 AAKnoxville Smokies — 278230 7016116 42694 31 3044205911.012 287367 2515 436 124 — — — — — —
202625 A+South Bend Cubs — 5243 16306 8111 30 3724818601.341 488385 2115 557 174 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202423 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7065 10301 4191 10 154214246460 92202 276 202 23 — — — — — —
202524 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 273244 451145 18907 70 184260324584 139252 337 253 57 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 208183 40902 23541 70 219309301610 82293 2611 277 74 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 278244 6315113 28844 31 258344488832 230325 3010 352 124 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 5245 13205 6141 30 2893856671.051 378318 2712 426 174 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7065 10301 4191 10 154214246460 92200 276 202 23 — — — — — —
202423 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7063 12401 6141 10 190271302573 111229 209 264 23 — — — — — —
202524 A MLE2 teams — 362326 601556 241198 80 184257316573 132263 337 253 57 — — — — — —
202524 A RAW2 teams — 362297 801959 53738 80 269394458852 189324 2015 377 57 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE3 teams — 538473 11626120 561526 131 245333431764 186316 2810 330 110 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAW3 teams — 538447 12929125 821256 131 289406526931 237347 2315 408 110 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7065 10301 4191 10 154214246460 92202 276 202 23 — — — — — —
202524 A MLE2 teams — 362327 601556 241198 80 183257315572 131252 337 253 57 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE3 teams — 538471 11626120 561526 131 246333433766 187312 2810 330 110 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7065 10301 4191 10 154214246460 92202 276 202 23 — — — — — —
202524 A MLE2 teams — 362327 601556 241198 80 183257315572 131252 337 253 57 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE3 teams — 538471 11626120 561526 131 246333433766 187312 2810 330 110 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLECHC 2% 380335 7716113 381044 61 231317404721 174291 2710 321 103 +2 +1 +1 +7 +8 1.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXCHC 2% 54 1000 110 00 232318403721 172294 2020 321 103 +0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLECHC 37% 509448 10422217 511395 81 230316402718 171290 2710 320 103 +2 +1 +2 +9 +11 2.5
202928 MLB MLECHC 56% 520458 10522217 521425 71 229314397712 168289 2710 317 101 +1 +1 +1 +9 +11 2.3
203029 MLB MLECHC 62% 520459 10422117 511425 51 228312392703 164288 2710 314 99 -1 +1 +0 +9 +11 2.1
203130 MLB MLECHC 66% 520460 10322116 501425 40 225308384693 159286 2710 310 96 -3 +1 -0 +9 +11 1.9
203231 MLB MLECHC 69% 504446 9921115 481395 31 222304376680 153283 2810 304 92 -5 +0 -1 +9 +11 1.4
203332 MLB MLECHC 70% 333296 6513110 31933 20 217298362660 146279 289 297 87 -5 +0 -2 +6 +7 0.6
203433 MLB MLECHC 71% 297266 561118 27852 11 210290347637 137273 299 287 80 -7 -0 -3 +5 +6 0.1
203534 MLB MLECHC 66% 250223 45906 23732 11 201280328608 126265 299 275 72 -8 -0 -4 +4 +5 -0.3
202827 MLB CTXCHC 37% 189166 38816 19522 30 231317401718 170293 2810 320 103 +1 +1 +1 +3 +4 0.9
202928 MLB CTXCHC 56% 289255 591319 29793 40 230315397712 166292 2710 317 101 +0 +1 +1 +5 +6 1.3
203029 MLB CTXCHC 62% 324286 6514110 32883 30 229312391703 162291 2710 314 99 -1 +1 +0 +6 +7 1.3
203130 MLB CTXCHC 66% 345306 6915110 33943 30 226309384693 157289 2710 310 96 -2 +1 -0 +6 +7 1.2
203231 MLB CTXCHC 69% 346307 6915110 33953 20 223305375680 152286 2710 304 92 -3 +0 -1 +6 +7 1.0
203332 MLB CTXCHC 70% 233207 45916 22652 20 218298362660 144281 289 297 87 -4 +0 -2 +4 +5 0.4
203433 MLB CTXCHC 71% 210187 38805 19602 11 211291346637 135275 299 287 80 -5 -0 -2 +4 +5 0.1
203534 MLB CTXCHC 66% 166149 30604 15491 11 202281327608 125268 309 275 72 -5 -0 -3 +3 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 21021863 41388660 20258219 192 222304372676 150287 2810 305 92 -19 +3 -7 +38 +46 6.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650576 12827219 621806 61 222304375679 153287 2810 305 92 -6 +1 -2 +12 +14 1.9
Career— MLE — 46734140 91919716142 442131450 577 222305380685 158287 289 304 92 -26 +5 -8 +66 +80 12.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 12727220 611837 81 220303378681 158284 289 304 92 -4 +1 -1 +12 +14 2.1