Kade Bragg
P
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 25
LHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 47 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 122
ERA4.54
FIP4.54
K%23.1%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP47
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 6 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.5% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 1.08 | 2.73 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 6 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.5% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 1.08 | 2.74 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 67 | 272 | 82 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 2.94 | 4.40 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 67 | 272 | 82 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.6 | 30.1% | 11.4% | 18.8% | 2.2% | 2.94 | 3.20 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 28 | 1 | 45 | 195 | 57 | 38 | 1 | 4% | 1.6 | 23.7% | 21.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 4.03 | 4.15 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIA | 45 | 0 | 47 | 199 | 46 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 92 | 394 | 103 | 59 | 7 | — | — | 26.1% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 1.8% | 4.29 | 4.35 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.54 | 4.16 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 45 | 0 | 47 | 199 | 46 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 44 | 0 | 46 | 196 | 46 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 50 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.13 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 90 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 76 | 1 | 120 | 501 | 119 | 82 | 9 | 1% | 1.6 | 23.7% | 16.4% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 3.22 | 4.19 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 126 | 2 | 200 | 833 | 197 | 136 | 15 | 1% | 1.6 | 23.7% | 16.4% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 3.22 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kade Bragg (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.51 | 23.3% | 12.9% | 94 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 89 |
| Will Gilbert L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 87 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.45 | 24.0% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .355 | 5.10 | 17.6% | 4.9% | 78 | +0.65 | 4.28 | 127 | 86 |
| Sean Mellen L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 86 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .294 | 4.22 | 19.9% | 7.8% | 96 | +0.29 | 3.65 | 308 | 85 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .276 | 3.94 | 26.5% | 12.9% | 82 | -0.23 | 2.83 | 271 | 85 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.33 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.16 | 2.35 | 120 | 85 |
| Jerry Vasto L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.92 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 2.5% | .382 | 3.44 | 24.0% | 12.5% | 38 | -0.48 | 2.84 | 206 | 84 |
| Greg Nappo L 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.40 | 22.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .267 | 5.45 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 79 | +2.05 | 3.40 | 144 | 84 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 84 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.46 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 3.4% | .341 | 8.96 | 20.1% | 1.1% | 25 | +4.50 | 4.11 | 158 | 84 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.13 | 21.9% | 12.0% | 2.5% | .322 | 4.78 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 110 | +0.65 | 4.13 | 265 | 83 |
| Carson Skipper L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.65 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 2.0% | .301 | 7.84 | 8.3% | -4.8% | 10 | +4.19 | 2.87 | 186 | 83 |
| Haylen Green L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 83 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 83 |
| Michael Theofanopoulos L 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 201 | 82 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.53 | 2.79 | 159 | 82 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .269 | 4.20 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.05 | 3.46 | 145 | 82 |
| Brian Flynn L 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 82 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.98 | 21.7% | 12.3% | 3.9% | .342 | 3.82 | 24.6% | 10.5% | 53 | -1.16 | 3.82 | 161 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 47 | 23.2% | 10.5% | 1.18 | 4.52 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |