Kade Bragg — OGILVIE

Kade Bragg P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 25 LHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

K%22.8%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP47

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	6	0	8	34	9	5	0	0%	1.4	26.5%	14.7%	11.8%	0.0%	1.08	2.73	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	6	0	8	34	9	5	0	0%	1.4	26.5%	14.7%	11.8%	0.0%	1.08	2.73	—
2024	23	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	6	0	8	34	9	5	0	0%	1.4	26.5%	14.7%	11.8%	0.0%	1.08	2.74	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	67	272	82	31	6	0%	1.6	23.3%	13.0%	10.3%	2.8%	2.94	4.33	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	67	272	82	31	6	0%	1.6	23.3%	13.0%	10.3%	2.8%	2.94	4.33	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	0	67	272	82	31	6	0%	1.6	30.1%	11.4%	18.8%	2.2%	2.94	3.20	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	30	1	49	216	64	41	1	3%	1.6	24.0%	20.9%	3.1%	0.6%	4.04	4.02	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	30	1	49	216	64	41	1	3%	1.6	24.0%	20.9%	3.1%	0.6%	4.04	4.02	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	MIA	30	1	49	216	64	41	1	3%	1.6	29.6%	19.0%	10.6%	0.5%	4.04	3.26	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIA	58	0	61	256	59	31	8	0%	1.0	23.0%	12.1%	11.0%	3.0%	4.72	4.71	-0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIA	57	0	60	252	58	30	8	0%	1.0	23.1%	11.9%	11.1%	3.1%	4.71	4.72	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIA	26	0	27	114	26	14	3	0%	1.0	23.0%	12.1%	11.0%	3.0%	4.72	4.71	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIA	36	0	38	160	37	19	5	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.9%	11.1%	3.1%	4.71	4.72	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		61	0	64	272	63	33	8	0%	1.1	23.0%	12.0%	11.1%	3.0%	4.71	4.34	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	196	102	25	0%	1.1	23.0%	12.0%	11.1%	3.0%	4.71	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		78	1	125	522	124	85	9	1%	1.6	23.8%	16.4%	7.4%	1.7%	3.25	4.10	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		125	2	200	837	199	137	14	1%	1.6	23.8%	16.4%	7.4%	1.7%	3.25	4.10	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kade Bragg (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	22.8%	12.4%	3.0%	—	4.71	23.0%	11.0%	120	-0.07	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	87
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	87
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	86
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	86
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	85
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	85
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	84
Jared Tobey L 2021 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	23.6%	11.8%	2.8%	.341	8.03	20.1%	1.1%	25	+3.92	3.99	158	84
Giovanni Soto L 2016 · 4.01 FIP	25	SU	4.01	21.3%	14.3%	1.6%	.348	4.18	25.6%	15.1%	25	+0.17	3.30	128	83
Tony Cingrani L 2015 · 3.60 FIP	26	SU	3.60	25.8%	12.9%	1.9%	.305	3.84	25.4%	15.7%	128	+0.24	1.68	186	83
Wesley Moore L 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	25.9%	13.2%	1.9%	.254	4.18	18.3%	5.6%	58	+0.56	3.62	111	83
Thomas Burrows L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	22.0%	10.5%	2.6%	.276	3.93	26.5%	12.9%	82	-0.06	2.67	271	83
Trey Cumbie L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SU	4.54	25.3%	15.3%	3.0%	.284	5.07	23.3%	7.2%	42	+0.53	3.44	152	83
Chazz Martinez L 2023 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	22.2%	12.7%	1.7%	.361	3.43	20.5%	7.7%	135	-0.33	3.09	199	83
Jerry Vasto L 2017 · 4.16 FIP	25	SU	4.16	22.2%	10.2%	3.0%	.382	3.52	24.0%	12.5%	38	-0.64	2.89	206	83
Keylan Killgore L 2023 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	21.7%	12.3%	4.1%	.342	3.73	24.6%	10.5%	53	-1.36	3.73	161	82
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	82
Bailey Horn L 2023 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	20.7%	10.3%	2.4%	.322	4.62	21.8%	11.1%	110	+0.65	3.96	265	82
Elvis Araujo L 2016 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	21.0%	9.8%	2.8%	.308	5.18	22.9%	11.1%	38	+1.09	2.46	120	82
Brian Flynn L 2016 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	21.3%	11.1%	2.0%	.258	4.39	16.6%	8.2%	198	+0.59	3.80	277	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	23.0%	12.1%	1.17	4.73
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82