Justin Boyd — OGILVIE

Justin BoydRF Akron RubberDucks

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 201 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .281 / .318

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP286

ISO111

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	71	13	4	0	0	8	29	0	5	0	183	266	239	505	56	302	36	10	236	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	62	50	7	0	0	1	10	19	1	1	0	140	295	200	495	60	194	31	16	246	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	146	127	21	7	0	1	18	48	0	4	0	165	269	244	513	79	256	33	12	242	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	32	24	2	0	0	0	5	10	2	0	0	83	290	83	374		143	31	16	212	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	53	48	10	2	0	0	4	23	1	0	0	208	283	250	533	42	400	43	8	252	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	73	10	3	0	0	6	39	0	5	0	137	203	178	381	41	281	49	8	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	62	53	6	0	0	1	7	23	1	1	0	113	230	170	399	57	177	37	11	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	146	132	17	5	0	1	13	60	0	4	0	129	207	189	396	61	222	41	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	32	25	2	0	0	0	4	13	2	0	0	80	258	80	338		140	41	12	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	53	49	7	1	0	0	3	30	1	0	0	143	208	163	371	20	383	57	6	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	73	10	3	0	0	6	39	0	5	0	137	203	178	381	41	286	49	8	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	71	13	4	0	0	8	29	0	5	0	183	266	239	505	56	302	36	10	236	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	62	53	6	0	0	1	7	23	1	1	0	113	230	170	399	57	167	37	11	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	62	50	7	0	0	1	10	19	1	1	0	140	295	200	495	60	194	31	16	246	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	146	132	17	5	0	1	13	60	0	4	0	129	207	189	396	61	225	41	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	146	127	21	7	0	1	18	48	0	4	0	165	269	244	513	79	256	33	12	242	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	85	74	9	1	0	0	7	42	3	0	0	122	226	135	361	14	281	49	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	85	72	12	2	0	0	9	33	3	0	0	167	286	194	480	28	308	39	11	236	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	74	10	3	0	0	6	39	0	5	0	135	203	176	378	41	281	49	8	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	62	54	6	0	0	1	7	23	1	1	0	111	230	167	396	56	177	37	11	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	146	132	17	5	0	1	13	60	0	4	0	129	207	189	396	61	222	41	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	85	75	9	1	0	0	7	42	3	0	0	120	226	133	360	13	292	49	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	146	132	17	5	0	1	13	60	0	4	0	129	207	189	396	61	222	41	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	85	75	9	1	0	0	7	42	3	0	0	120	226	133	360	13	292	49	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CLE	2%	200	179	38	7	1	4	16	60	3	3	1	207	281	319	600	112	286	30	8	272	70	-7	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	CLE	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	207	281	318	599	110	286	33	0	272	70	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CLE	27%	262	236	49	9	1	5	21	78	3	4	1	208	282	320	602	112	286	30	8	273	71	-9	+0	+0	-3	+6	-0.6
2028	27	MLB CTX	CLE	27%	70	63	13	3	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	208	282	319	602	111	286	30	9	273	71	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	70	63	13	3	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	206	286	302	587	95	293	30	9	273	43	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	121	28	0	9	56	195	9	9	0	207	286	301	587	94	294	30	9	273	43	-22	+2	+0	-7	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	805	721	123	24	2	10	67	293	9	17	2	171	250	251	501	80	268	36	8	231	43	-15	+1	+0	-5	+9	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	99	19	2	8	54	237	7	14	2	170	248	251	499	81	268	36	8	231	43	-23	+1	+0	-7	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Boyd (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	205/279/316	111	286	3	3	30%	8%	70	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2024 · MLB	26	40→30	45	46→50	48	204/282/322	118	264	14	13	28%	9%	73	-0.6	200/274/299	99	273	9	11	28%	9%	64	-1.3	159/229/234	75	220	6	10	29%	7%	30	-1.6
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	39→42	44→45	54→50	42	196/268/311	115	273	12	15	32%	7%	65	-1.2	197/262/306	109	291	11	12	34%	7%	61	-1.5	155/224/256	101	238	9	9	37%	7%	32	-1.3
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	41	45→50	48→50	46	202/290/321	119	285	13	9	32%	9%	76	-0.4	213/301/356	143	297	17	5	32%	9%	88	+0.4	207/301/369	162	278	20	1	31%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	40	42→45	44→45	46	198/280/299	102	270	11	5	30%	8%	67	-1.1	225/320/359	134	292	13	10	25%	11%	95	+1.0	219/322/357	138	284	14	11	26%	12%	93	+0.4
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→40	43→45	45→50	40	188/260/301	113	281	9	10	35%	7%	60	-1.6	193/272/299	106	298	8	13	35%	8%	64	-1.3	165/257/264	99	259	6	16	35%	9%	51	-1.0
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	42	46→40	48→55	42	209/269/335	126	284	13	14	30%	7%	70	-0.8	228/297/333	105	298	8	27	25%	8%	80	-0.2	233/309/320	88	303	5	48	23%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	36→32	48→50	43→40	42	193/258/328	135	252	17	5	31%	7%	65	-1.2	199/277/337	138	247	17	5	26%	8%	75	-0.5	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	34→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/243/305	121	244	14	10	31%	6%	54	-2.0	209/255/340	131	279	14	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB	26	41→46	46→50	50	39	210/255/341	131	269	13	12	27%	4%	66	-1.1	199/252/321	122	275	13	11	31%	5%	61	-1.5	185/242/302	117	264	13	12	34%	5%	51	-1.5
✕Quincy McAfee 2024 · AA	26	38	46→45	46→45	46	196/281/327	130	253	13	9	27%	8%	74	-0.5	203/272/330	127	250	14	11	24%	6%	71	-0.8	170/237/280	109	197	14	12	22%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	49→45	39	205/249/332	127	254	13	8	25%	4%	61	-1.5	206/259/316	110	259	11	9	24%	5%	62	-1.4	184/239/269	86	224	9	6	22%	4%	41	-1.2
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	40→38	42→50	47→30	40	197/265/297	100	289	10	5	34%	7%	60	-1.6	200/259/291	91	299	9	7	34%	7%	56	-1.9	160/219/212	52	241	7	0	35%	7%	21	-1.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	41→40	46→50	53→55	45	203/286/334	131	286	13	16	32%	8%	77	-0.3	201/278/310	109	271	10	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	161/249/251	90	216	7	20	27%	8%	42	-1.3
✕Quincy Latimore 2015 · AA	26	45→42	45→50	47→50	42	226/279/344	119	291	13	13	27%	6%	76	-0.4	211/260/340	129	277	14	8	28%	6%	68	-1.0	198/246/325	127	258	15	5	29%	5%	56	-1.4
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	47→45	52→50	42	196/260/323	127	273	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	197/275/307	110	300	10	14	35%	9%	66	-1.1	186/271/290	104	286	8	12	35%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Jason Romano 2005 · MLB	26	42	44→45	53→50	44	212/267/323	112	267	12	15	25%	7%	66	-1.1	234/284/352	118	286	11	9	21%	6%	79	-0.2	259/301/379	120	315	9	9	20%	5%	88	+0.2
✕Andrés Alvarez 2024 · AA	27	37→32	45	51→50	42	191/256/309	118	267	13	13	33%	7%	59	-1.6	214/278/326	112	303	11	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	220/290/326	106	314	9	12	31%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Tyler Marincov 2018 · AA	26	41	45→50	44→50	39	207/261/331	125	288	13	9	32%	6%	66	-1.1	197/254/334	137	295	17	11	37%	6%	65	-1.2	166/221/292	126	240	18	14	39%	6%	42	-1.8
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	40	42→40	48→50	45	193/287/295	103	289	10	10	34%	9%	70	-0.9	192/283/307	115	279	12	11	33%	10%	70	-0.8	124/235/230	107	167	13	9	33%	11%	35	-1.2
✕Brandon McIlwain 2024 · AAA	26	45→46	43→45	50	43	215/293/328	112	303	10	15	30%	7%	78	-0.3	221/290/337	116	303	11	15	29%	7%	78	-0.3	204/265/307	103	284	10	16	30%	6%	58	-0.5