Justin Boyd — OGILVIE

Justin BoydRF Akron RubberDucks

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 201 lbs AA K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .268 / .301

PA171

HR3

K%35

BB%8

MLB%2%

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.5peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-9M		$-28M	-$19M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	80	73	10	3	0	0	6	40	0	5	0	.137	.203	.178	.381	.041	.294	50	8	.179	-5	-9	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.7
2023	22	A+	Lake County Captains	62	53	6	0	0	1	7	24	1	1	0	.113	.230	.170	.399	.057	.172	39	11	.193	6	-7	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
2024	23	A+	Lake County Captains	146	132	17	5	0	1	13	59	0	4	0	.129	.207	.189	.396	.061	.222	40	9	.181	-3	-17	+1	+0	-2	+4	-1.4
2025	24	AA	2 teams	85	75	9	1	0	0	6	43	3	0	0	.120	.214	.133	.348	.013	.281	51	7	.172	-10	-11	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.9
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	CLE	171	153	30	6	1	3	14	60	2	3	1	.196	.272	.307	.579	.111	.288	35	8	.262	59	-8	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 11%	CLE	290	260	52	10	1	6	24	98	4	5	1	.200	.278	.315	.593	.115	.290	34	8	.273	67	-11	+1	+0	-3	+8	-0.5
2028	27	MLB 26%	CLE	333	297	61	11	2	8	28	110	5	6	1	.205	.285	.337	.622	.131	.290	33	8	.277	70	-11	+1	+0	-4	+9	-0.5
2029	28	MLB 38%	CLE	361	322	66	12	2	8	31	118	5	5	1	.205	.285	.329	.614	.124	.290	33	9	.278	71	-12	+1	-1	-4	+10	-0.6
2030	29	MLB 47%	CLE	369	329	68	13	2	8	32	120	5	5	1	.207	.287	.331	.618	.125	.289	33	9	.277	71	-12	+1	-1	-4	+10	-0.7
2031	30	MLB 61%	CLE	374	334	68	13	2	8	32	123	5	4	1	.204	.283	.326	.609	.123	.288	33	9	.274	68	-13	+0	-2	-4	+11	-0.9
2032	31	MLB 71%	CLE	363	324	64	12	1	8	31	121	5	2	0	.198	.278	.315	.593	.117	.286	33	9	.271	65	-14	+0	-3	-4	+10	-1.0
2033	32	MLB 89%	CLE	346	309	60	11	1	7	29	117	5	1	0	.194	.274	.304	.578	.110	.285	34	8	.266	62	-15	+0	-4	-4	+10	-1.2
2034	33	MLB	CLE	318	284	54	10	1	6	27	110	4	0	0	.190	.270	.296	.566	.106	.283	35	8	.261	58	-15	+0	-4	-3	+9	-1.4
2035	34	MLB	CLE	275	247	46	8	1	5	23	98	3	0	0	.186	.264	.287	.551	.101	.281	36	8	.254	53	-15	+0	-5	-3	+8	-1.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3573	3192	611	115	14	69	303	1241	47	41	6	.191	.271	.301	.572	.110	.285	35	8	.261	58	-170	+6	-20	-38	+101	-12.3
/ 162G	—			650	581	112	21	3	13	55	226	9	7	1	.193	.273	.306	.579	.114	.287	35	8	.261	58	-31	+1	-4	-7	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	80	71	13	4	0	8	29	0	5	.183	.266	.239	.505	.056	.302	36	10	.236	39	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	22	A+	Lake County Captains	62	50	7	0	1	10	19	1	1	.140	.295	.200	.495	.060	.194	31	16	.246	46	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	23	A+	Lake County Captains	146	127	21	7	1	18	48	0	4	.165	.269	.244	.513	.079	.256	33	12	.242	44	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	32	24	2	0	0	5	10	2	0	.083	.290	.083	.374	.000	.143	31	16	.212	20	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	53	48	10	2	0	4	23	1	0	.208	.283	.250	.533	.042	.400	43	8	.252	51	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Boyd (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	.192/.268/.301	.109	.288	3	3	35%	8%	59	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	46→50	54→55	43	.195/.275/.328	.133	.280	14	16	34%	8%	68	-0.5	.196/.270/.305	.109	.263	10	17	28%	8%	59	-1.1	.156/.241/.247	.091	.208	8	20	27%	8%	30	-1.4
✕Dustin Geiger 2017 · AA	25	40→47	45→50	47→40	41	.202/.259/.325	.123	.279	13	6	32%	7%	59	-1.1	.193/.254/.316	.123	.290	14	5	36%	6%	56	-1.3	.167/.233/.287	.119	.253	14	1	38%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Jacob Heyward 2021 · AA	25	41→40	45→50	44→50	46	.197/.288/.319	.122	.302	13	11	36%	10%	71	-0.3	.190/.272/.334	.144	.297	18	6	40%	9%	69	-0.4	.163/.247/.307	.144	.245	21	2	41%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	45→50	48→50	37	.186/.248/.306	.120	.290	14	12	39%	7%	50	-1.7	.185/.245/.287	.102	.286	9	10	36%	7%	43	-2.2	.153/.212/.244	.092	.224	3	6	32%	7%	14	-1.0
✕Cory Vaughn 2014 · AA	25	41→40	46→45	52→50	43	.206/.282/.335	.128	.284	14	13	31%	8%	72	-0.2	.191/.260/.302	.111	.275	11	13	33%	7%	55	-1.4	.162/.234/.261	.099	.235	10	12	34%	7%	30	-1.7
✕Kevin Heller 2015 · AA	25	42→47	41→40	49→50	42	.200/.278/.297	.097	.295	8	11	33%	7%	61	-1.0	.215/.294/.319	.104	.320	9	11	33%	7%	73	-0.1	.216/.299/.316	.100	.327	10	12	34%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Brandon McIlwain 2023 · AA	25	43→45	43→45	49→50	37	.204/.273/.312	.108	.326	10	12	38%	6%	63	-0.9	.216/.290/.333	.117	.303	11	15	30%	7%	76	+0.0	.214/.294/.331	.117	.290	11	17	28%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Patrick Leonard 2018 · AAA	25	44→49	43→45	50	38	.217/.270/.332	.116	.308	11	11	32%	6%	66	-0.6	.214/.265/.326	.112	.319	11	9	34%	6%	62	-0.9	.208/.262/.317	.110	.320	11	6	36%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Quincy Latimore 2014 · AA	25	40→42	46→50	43→50	39	.205/.258/.334	.128	.275	14	8	30%	6%	61	-1.0	.218/.270/.353	.135	.288	15	10	29%	6%	71	-0.3	.208/.262/.346	.138	.275	16	8	30%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Tyler Marincov 2017 · AA	25	41	45→50	45→50	40	.208/.261/.328	.120	.284	12	10	31%	6%	61	-1.0	.197/.253/.332	.135	.293	16	10	37%	6%	59	-1.1	.174/.234/.313	.139	.268	18	10	41%	7%	45	-1.2
✕José Barrero 2023 · MLB	25	40→47	46→50	50→55	35	.201/.252/.326	.125	.298	15	14	37%	5%	56	-1.3	.197/.259/.343	.146	.290	18	20	37%	6%	66	-0.6	.186/.254/.339	.153	.266	19	24	36%	6%	60	-0.6
✕Logan Hill 2018 · AA	25	40	49→50	45	39	.208/.269/.354	.146	.290	17	7	34%	6%	72	-0.2	.206/.268/.356	.150	.296	19	4	35%	7%	72	-0.2	.195/.258/.345	.150	.278	19	1	36%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Armani Smith 2023 · AA	25	45	43→50	46→45	40	.215/.278/.323	.108	.329	11	7	36%	7%	66	-0.6	.210/.274/.308	.098	.330	9	9	36%	8%	61	-1.0	.166/.233/.228	.062	.270	8	9	39%	7%	21	-0.6
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	40	43→50	51→50	47	.197/.273/.309	.112	.261	11	12	28%	8%	62	-0.9	.211/.298/.361	.150	.289	18	7	32%	9%	86	+0.8	.205/.302/.363	.158	.282	20	3	32%	10%	84	+0.3
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	37→40	46→50	51→50	38	.193/.251/.319	.126	.276	14	14	35%	6%	55	-1.4	.200/.261/.341	.141	.304	17	11	38%	7%	65	-0.7	.192/.258/.339	.147	.301	18	10	40%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Kyle Gaedele 2015 · AA	25	41→44	44→45	54→50	41	.203/.266/.324	.121	.291	10	16	32%	7%	63	-0.9	.201/.270/.341	.140	.336	15	10	42%	8%	69	-0.4	.175/.256/.327	.151	.313	18	7	46%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Jaylin Davis 2019 · AA	25	43→47	45→50	48→45	35	.209/.260/.329	.121	.321	13	7	38%	5%	61	-1.0	.225/.289/.391	.166	.316	21	9	34%	7%	90	+1.0	.205/.280/.370	.165	.287	22	7	35%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Yusniel Díaz 2022 · AAA	25	37→47	44→45	42→50	38	.189/.242/.306	.117	.272	12	5	35%	6%	47	-1.9	.217/.283/.342	.125	.290	14	11	29%	8%	74	-0.1	.232/.304/.368	.137	.293	16	11	26%	9%	87	+0.5
✕John Norwood 2018 · AA	25	45→48	44→45	45→50	41	.218/.276/.333	.114	.309	12	10	32%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.272/.331	.111	.325	11	11	33%	6%	66	-0.6	.207/.253/.305	.097	.310	8	14	34%	6%	46	-1.4
✕Jacob Nottingham 2020 · MLB	25	37→47	43→45	48→50	37	.186/.255/.296	.110	.281	10	9	36%	6%	51	-1.7	.202/.271/.348	.146	.295	18	11	36%	6%	72	-0.2	.185/.263/.338	.153	.248	21	12	34%	6%	63	-0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)