Anthony Maldonado
P
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 28
RHP
6'4" / 220 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION22 act + 56 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.36
FIP4.55
K%24.2%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB-0.6 (48%)
SL-4.3 (52%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 10 | 0 | 11 | 43 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.9% | 2.3% | 32.6% | 0.0% | 1.59 | 0.45 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 10 | 0 | 11 | 43 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.9% | 2.3% | 32.6% | 0.0% | 1.59 | 0.72 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 21 | 2 | 29 | 127 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 10% | 1.4 | 18.6% | 5.5% | 13.0% | 1.3% | 4.30 | 2.95 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 21 | 2 | 29 | 127 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 10% | 1.4 | 26.8% | 5.5% | 21.3% | 1.6% | 4.30 | 2.38 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 62 | 251 | 86 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.5% | 8.7% | 19.9% | 3.9% | 3.03 | 3.93 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 62 | 251 | 86 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 34.3% | 8.0% | 26.3% | 3.6% | 3.03 | 3.18 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 50 | 193 | 78 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 34.7% | 11.1% | 23.6% | 2.9% | 1.62 | 3.15 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 50 | 193 | 78 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 40.4% | 9.8% | 30.6% | 2.6% | 1.62 | 2.42 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 1 | 65 | 285 | 64 | 25 | 9 | 2% | 1.3 | 20.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 4.96 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 1 | 65 | 285 | 64 | 25 | 9 | 2% | 1.3 | 22.5% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 3.2% | 4.96 | 4.08 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 54 | 240 | 67 | 27 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 3.9% | 5.87 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 54 | 240 | 67 | 27 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 5.4% | 5.87 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 20 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 20 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 17.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.86 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | HOU | 53 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 57 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | HOU | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 78 | 329 | 77 | 39 | 9 | — | — | 23.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 3.94 | 4.48 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 6 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 24.2% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.17 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 51 | 0 | 54 | 226 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 3.4% | 4.54 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 48 | 0 | 50 | 213 | 49 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 4.72 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 44 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 4.92 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 3.4% | 4.54 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 4.72 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 4.92 | 5.07 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 103 | 1 | 110 | 474 | 100 | 46 | 17 | 1% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 5.29 | 4.51 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 2 | 200 | 862 | 182 | 84 | 31 | 1% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 5.29 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 226 | 3 | 294 | 1231 | 314 | 121 | 39 | 1% | 1.3 | 25.5% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 3.2% | 3.80 | 3.92 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 2 | 200 | 837 | 213 | 82 | 26 | 1% | 1.3 | 25.5% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 3.2% | 3.80 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anthony Maldonado (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 3.3% | — | 4.86 | 22.9% | 12.4% | 151 | +0.31 | — | — | — |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 82 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 80 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 80 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 79 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.74 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .277 | 3.68 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 203 | -0.06 | 2.78 | 596 | 78 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 77 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.16 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.68 | 16.8% | 11.4% | 39 | -0.48 | 3.68 | 323 | 76 |
| Paul Sewald R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.96 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 3.2% | .325 | 3.36 | 30.7% | 24.2% | 135 | -0.60 | 2.64 | 592 | 76 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2024 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 76 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | .350 | 5.85 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 137 | +1.16 | 4.26 | 258 | 75 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.35 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 158 | 75 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 75 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 75 |
| Yennier Cano R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.45 | 23.2% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .325 | 3.13 | 23.4% | 16.2% | 191 | -1.32 | 2.37 | 363 | 74 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.60 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.16 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.44 | 2.16 | 186 | 74 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.93 | 25.1% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 4.30 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 59 | +0.37 | 2.17 | 152 | 73 |
| Shane Greene R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .253 | 3.91 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 154 | +0.37 | 2.90 | 484 | 73 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.68 | 27.1% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .389 | 4.81 | 29.1% | 19.7% | 116 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 220 | 73 |
| Kyle Barraclough R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.53 | 24.5% | 12.7% | 3.5% | .219 | 4.93 | 30.1% | 17.0% | 86 | +0.40 | 1.95 | 523 | 73 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 52 | 23.2% | 10.4% | 1.37 | 4.62 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |