Ryan Thompson
P
Arizona Diamondbacks
Age 34
RHP
6'5" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 15 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10090vR 81
ERA3.35
FIP3.50
K%18.5%
BB%5.8%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.0
Whiff%
p1620.5%
K%
p1917.7%
xwOBA vs
p720.291
SL+0.7 (31%)
SI (65%)
CU (1%)
FB-0.9 (69%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 63 | 256 | 60 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 2.2% | 3.00 | 3.77 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 63 | 256 | 60 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.4% | 6.6% | 16.8% | 1.6% | 3.00 | 2.83 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 75 | 314 | 65 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 16.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 0.8% | 3.35 | 3.03 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 75 | 314 | 65 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 14.6% | 1.0% | 3.35 | 2.65 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 67 | 290 | 61 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 18.2% | 4.5% | 13.7% | 1.4% | 4.05 | 2.89 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 67 | 290 | 61 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 21.0% | 3.8% | 17.2% | 1.7% | 4.05 | 2.74 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 5 | 23 | 101 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 31% | 1.5 | 18.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 1.6% | 2.70 | 3.38 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 5 | 23 | 101 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 31% | 1.5 | 24.8% | 5.9% | 18.8% | 1.0% | 2.70 | 2.29 | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 1 | 26 | 114 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 4% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 3.7% | 4.44 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 1 | 26 | 114 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 4% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 3.5% | 4.44 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 41 | 0 | 38 | 151 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.6% | 5.2% | 22.4% | 2.4% | 2.11 | 2.73 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 41 | 0 | 38 | 151 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.8% | 6.6% | 23.2% | 2.0% | 2.11 | 2.55 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 44 | 185 | 40 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.5% | 5.0% | 16.6% | 2.3% | 3.71 | 3.19 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 44 | 185 | 40 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.6% | 5.4% | 16.2% | 2.2% | 3.71 | 3.15 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 53 | 208 | 49 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 1.4% | 3.42 | 3.20 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 53 | 208 | 49 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 1.4% | 3.42 | 3.06 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 67 | 0 | 66 | 272 | 52 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 4.8% | 14.3% | 1.8% | 3.26 | 3.06 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 67 | 0 | 66 | 272 | 52 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 4.8% | 14.3% | 1.8% | 3.26 | 3.10 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 37 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.6% | 6.3% | 14.3% | 2.2% | 3.74 | 3.36 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 37 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.4% | 6.1% | 14.4% | 2.2% | 3.74 | 3.35 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 38 | 0 | 34 | 147 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.7% | 4.8% | 12.9% | 1.4% | 2.88 | 2.96 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | ARI | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 2.2% | 3.35 | 3.50 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | ARI | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 2.2% | 3.35 | 3.50 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 34 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 49 | 210 | 38 | 11 | 3 | — | — | 17.9% | 5.1% | 12.9% | 1.6% | 3.02 | 3.12 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 34 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 49 | 208 | 38 | 11 | 3 | — | — | 18.1% | 5.1% | 13.0% | 1.6% | 3.02 | 3.12 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | ARI | 42 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 4.01 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | ARI | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | ARI | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 4.01 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | ARI | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 404 | 1 | 393 | 1638 | 318 | 96 | 39 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 5.9% | 13.6% | 2.4% | 3.68 | 3.51 | +8.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 205 | 1 | 200 | 834 | 162 | 49 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 5.9% | 13.6% | 2.4% | 3.68 | 3.51 | +4.4 | ||
| Career | — | 454 | 6 | 533 | 2219 | 434 | 138 | 39 | 1% | 1.2 | 19.6% | 6.2% | 13.3% | 1.8% | 3.36 | 3.21 | +13.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 170 | 2 | 200 | 832 | 163 | 52 | 15 | 1% | 1.2 | 19.6% | 6.2% | 13.3% | 1.8% | 3.36 | 3.21 | +5.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Thompson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.02 | 19.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | — | 4.55 | 16.7% | 9.9% | 117 | +0.53 | — | — | — |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.49 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .262 | 3.63 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 40 | +0.14 | 2.35 | 140 | 76 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.22 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | .282 | 3.92 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.30 | 3.92 | 186 | 76 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 75 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.77 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .294 | 3.35 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.42 | 3.17 | 225 | 75 |
| Luis Ayala R 2029 · 3.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.02 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.22 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.20 | 2.99 | 119 | 74 |
| Peter Moylan R 2028 · 3.10 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.10 | 18.4% | 8.2% | 0.9% | .259 | 3.82 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 145 | +0.72 | 3.10 | 174 | 73 |
| Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .248 | 7.10 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 25 | +3.26 | 2.85 | 141 | 73 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 73 |
| Rafael Martín R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.43 | 20.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | .305 | 4.60 | 22.5% | 16.5% | 47 | +1.17 | 2.85 | 227 | 73 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.39 | 19.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | .328 | 4.71 | 25.2% | 13.8% | 37 | +1.32 | 3.39 | 382 | 72 |
| Matt Belisle R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.16 | 16.8% | 8.7% | 0.7% | .300 | 3.49 | 18.8% | 13.8% | 141 | +0.33 | 2.51 | 174 | 72 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 4.58 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.69 | 2.51 | 251 | 71 |
| Hector Navarro R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.75 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | .281 | 2.93 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.82 | 2.30 | 126 | 71 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 12.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% | .265 | 4.08 | 12.5% | 5.9% | 144 | +0.30 | 3.21 | 209 | 70 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .304 | 3.59 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -1.08 | 2.78 | 326 | 69 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.83 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.59 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.83 | 208 | 69 |
| Pat Neshek R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.65 | 22.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | .268 | 2.40 | 24.6% | 21.9% | 134 | -1.25 | 1.48 | 206 | 69 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.54 | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.3% | .328 | 3.35 | 14.8% | 10.4% | 69 | -0.19 | 3.03 | 119 | 69 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 68 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 42 | 17.4% | 6.7% | 1.09 | 4.19 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Brandon Kintzler ('21) | 6 | 50 | 16.2% | 6.3% | 0.91 | 3.57 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |