Ryan Thompson
P
Arizona Diamondbacks
+0.3
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'5" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA3.80
FIP3.95
xFIP5.19
SIERA4.95
K%20.9%
BB%6.8%
K-BB%14.1%
IP36
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL6060
CMD4545
K†4545
FB Velo
p1091.1
Whiff%
p5025.3%
K%
p3920.6%
xwOBA vs
p660.296
SL+0.7 (25%)
SI (68%)
CU (1%)
FB-0.9 (75%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | 43 | 0 | 63 | 256 | 60 | 17 | 4 | 18.4% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 3.00 | 3.80 | +0.8 |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 43 | 0 | 75 | 314 | 65 | 19 | 3 | 16.2% | 6.8% | 0.9% | 3.35 | 3.09 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | 37 | 0 | 67 | 290 | 61 | 11 | 5 | 18.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 4.05 | 2.92 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 27 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 16 | 5 | 23 | 101 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18.0% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 2.70 | 3.32 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 1 | 26 | 114 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 20.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.44 | 4.35 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 41 | 0 | 38 | 151 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 27.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.11 | 2.72 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 48 | 0 | 44 | 185 | 40 | 10 | 4 | 21.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 3.71 | 3.14 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 46 | 0 | 53 | 208 | 49 | 19 | 3 | 21.9% | 9.4% | 1.4% | 3.42 | 3.21 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 67 | 0 | 66 | 272 | 52 | 13 | 5 | 19.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 3.26 | 3.10 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 50 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 37 | 11 | 4 | 20.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 3.74 | 3.48 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 11 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | ARI | 28 | — | 28 | 119 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 18.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 3.79 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 34 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 36 | 147 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 18.6% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 2.98 | 3.28 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | ARI | 34 | — | 34 | 143 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 17.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 4.04 | 4.26 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 32 | — | 32 | 133 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 17.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 4.27 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | ARI | 29 | — | 29 | 124 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 16.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.59 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 427 | 6 | 507 | 2100 | 413 | 133 | 39 | 19.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 3.34 | 3.25 | +11.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 169 | 2 | 200 | 829 | 163 | 52 | 15 | 19.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 3.34 | 3.25 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Thompson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.17 | 18.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% | — | 4.42 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 95 | +0.25 | — | — | — |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.37 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.37 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .312 | 4.52 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +1.15 | 3.37 | 144 | 75 |
| Hector Navarro R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 74 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 74 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.63 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .262 | 3.50 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 40 | -0.13 | 2.37 | 140 | 74 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.39 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | .282 | 4.11 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.28 | 4.11 | 186 | 73 |
| Peter Moylan R 2028 · 3.11 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.11 | 18.4% | 8.2% | 0.9% | .259 | 3.86 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 145 | +0.75 | 3.11 | 174 | 73 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 73 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.82 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .294 | 3.34 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.48 | 3.21 | 225 | 73 |
| Matt Belisle R 2027 · 3.20 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.20 | 16.8% | 8.7% | 0.8% | .300 | 3.38 | 18.8% | 13.8% | 141 | +0.18 | 2.49 | 174 | 72 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 72 |
| Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.72 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .248 | 6.54 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 25 | +2.82 | 2.87 | 141 | 72 |
| George Kontos R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.02 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 290 | 71 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.96 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.52 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.56 | 2.57 | 251 | 70 |
| Luis Ayala R 2029 · 3.03 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.03 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.25 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.22 | 3.01 | 119 | 70 |
| Rafael Martín R 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.40 | 20.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | .305 | 4.70 | 22.5% | 16.5% | 47 | +1.30 | 2.89 | 227 | 70 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.42 | 19.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | .328 | 5.41 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 20 | +1.99 | 3.42 | 365 | 69 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 69 |
| Fernando Salas R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.19 | 20.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.65 | 288 | 69 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.51 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .304 | 3.66 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -0.85 | 2.89 | 326 | 69 |
| Oscar Villarreal R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.90 | 14.4% | 7.8% | 1.9% | .325 | 5.35 | 8.7% | 0.1% | 13 | +1.45 | 2.53 | 135 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.