Ryan Thompson — OGILVIE

Ryan Thompson P Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 34 RHP 6'5" / 210 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10597vR 88

ERA3.60

FIP3.76

K%17.5%

BB%5.9%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP49

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 41 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD4545

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.3

Whiff%

p1019.2%

p1015.6%

xwOBA vs

p510.311

SL+0.7 (33%)

SI (63%)

CU (1%)

FB-0.9 (67%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	63	256	60	17	4	0%	1.5	18.4%	8.0%	10.4%	2.3%	3.00	3.81	—
2015	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	63	256	60	17	4	0%	1.5	23.4%	6.6%	16.8%	1.6%	3.00	2.83	—
2016	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	75	314	65	19	3	0%	1.8	16.2%	6.8%	9.4%	1.0%	3.35	3.11	—
2016	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	75	314	65	19	3	0%	1.8	20.7%	6.1%	14.6%	1.0%	3.35	2.65	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	67	290	61	11	5	0%	1.8	18.2%	4.5%	13.7%	1.4%	4.05	2.91	—
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	67	290	61	11	5	0%	1.8	21.0%	3.8%	17.2%	1.7%	4.05	2.74	—
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	5	23	101	25	6	1	31%	1.5	18.0%	7.3%	10.7%	1.4%	2.70	3.30	—
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	5	23	101	25	6	1	31%	1.5	24.8%	5.9%	18.8%	1.0%	2.70	2.29	—
2020	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	25	1	26	114	23	8	4	4%	1.1	20.2%	7.0%	13.2%	3.6%	4.44	4.27	+0.1
2020	28	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	25	1	26	114	23	8	4	4%	1.1	20.2%	7.0%	13.2%	3.5%	4.44	4.24	+0.1
2021	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	0	38	151	45	10	3	0%	0.9	27.6%	5.2%	22.4%	2.3%	2.11	2.69	+0.9
2021	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	41	0	38	151	45	10	3	0%	0.9	29.8%	6.6%	23.2%	2.0%	2.11	2.55	+0.9
2022	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	44	185	40	10	4	0%	0.9	21.5%	5.0%	16.6%	2.3%	3.71	3.16	+0.7
2022	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	44	185	40	10	4	0%	0.9	21.6%	5.4%	16.2%	2.2%	3.71	3.15	+0.7
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	53	208	49	19	3	0%	1.1	21.3%	8.6%	12.7%	1.5%	3.42	3.23	+0.8
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	53	208	49	19	3	0%	1.1	21.3%	8.6%	12.7%	1.5%	3.42	3.23	+0.8
2023	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	53	208	49	19	3	0%	1.1	23.6%	9.1%	14.4%	1.4%	3.42	3.06	+0.9
2024	32	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	67	0	66	272	52	13	5	0%	1.0	19.1%	4.8%	14.3%	1.9%	3.26	3.16	+1.1
2024	32	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	67	0	66	272	52	13	5	0%	1.0	19.1%	4.8%	14.3%	1.9%	3.26	3.16	+1.1
2024	32	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	67	0	66	272	52	13	5	0%	1.0	19.1%	4.8%	14.3%	1.8%	3.26	3.10	+1.1
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	43	181	37	11	4	0%	0.9	20.6%	6.3%	14.3%	2.4%	3.74	3.49	+0.5
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	43	181	37	11	4	0%	0.9	20.6%	6.3%	14.3%	2.4%	3.74	3.49	+0.5
2025	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	43	181	37	11	4	0%	0.9	20.4%	6.1%	14.4%	2.2%	3.74	3.35	+0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			300	1	282	1183	237	66	26	0%	0.9	20.0%	5.6%	14.5%	2.2%	3.67	3.32	+4.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	34	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	46	0	41	186	29	10	3	0%	0.9	15.6%	5.4%	10.2%	1.7%	4.43	3.40	+0.6
YTD	34	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	46	0	41	186	29	10	3	0%	0.9	15.6%	5.4%	10.2%	1.7%	4.43	3.40	+0.6
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	34	MLB RAW	ARI	46	0	41	186	29	10	3	0%	0.9	15.6%	5.4%	10.2%	1.6%	4.43	3.35	+0.6
SO FAR	34	MLB RAW	ARI	46	0	41	186	29	10	3	0%	0.9	15.6%	5.4%	10.2%	1.6%	4.43	3.35	+0.6
ROS	34	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.5%	5.9%	11.6%	2.5%	3.60	3.76	—
ROS	34	MLB CTX	ARI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.5%	5.9%	11.6%	2.5%	3.60	3.76	—
2026 TOT	34	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	41	186	29	10	3	—	—	15.6%	5.4%	10.2%	1.6%	4.43	3.40	+0.6
FULL	34	MLB A+C	ARI	—	—	41	172	29	10	3	—	—	16.9%	5.8%	11.1%	1.7%	4.43	3.37	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	ARI	42	0	44	187	31	12	5	0%	1.1	16.8%	6.4%	10.4%	2.7%	4.14	4.34	+0.1
2027	35	MLB CTX	ARI	40	0	42	177	30	11	5	0%	1.1	16.8%	6.4%	10.4%	2.7%	4.14	4.34	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		340	1	324	1360	267	77	31	0%	1.0	19.6%	5.7%	13.9%	2.3%	3.73	3.40	+4.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		210	1	200	840	165	48	19	0%	1.0	19.6%	5.7%	13.9%	2.3%	3.73	3.40	+2.7
Career	—	MLE		462	6	540	2258	436	140	42	1%	1.2	19.3%	6.2%	13.1%	1.9%	3.47	3.28	+4.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	2	200	837	162	52	16	1%	1.2	19.3%	6.2%	13.1%	1.9%	3.47	3.28	+2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Thompson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.07	19.1%	6.1%	2.6%	—	4.34	16.8%	10.4%	44	+0.27	—	—	—
Jean Machi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	34	SU	4.36	18.3%	6.6%	3.6%	.282	4.12	18.6%	12.0%	67	-0.24	4.12	186	78
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	76
Ramon E Ramirez R 2016 · 3.60 FIP	34	SU	3.60	18.4%	6.0%	2.4%	.262	3.49	14.0%	8.2%	40	-0.11	2.37	140	76
Carlos Torres R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	34	SU	4.51	17.4%	9.9%	3.0%	.304	3.66	19.8%	11.6%	113	-0.85	2.89	326	75
Francisco Rodríguez R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	34	SU	3.77	22.1%	8.5%	2.7%	.248	6.90	19.5%	11.0%	25	+3.13	2.71	141	75
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	75
George Kontos R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	34	SU	5.01	15.4%	9.0%	3.8%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	290	74
Zack Segovia R 2016 · 3.33 FIP	33	SU	3.33	20.2%	5.9%	2.2%	.312	4.55	17.6%	4.0%	57	+1.22	3.33	144	74
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	74
Peter Moylan R 2015 · 3.11 FIP	36	SU	3.11	18.4%	8.2%	0.9%	.259	3.84	18.2%	9.1%	145	+0.73	3.11	174	74
Jim Johnson R 2017 · 3.89 FIP	34	SU	3.89	23.8%	8.6%	3.1%	.309	4.48	16.8%	9.0%	63	+0.59	2.56	251	74
Matt Belisle R 2015 · 3.18 FIP	35	SU	3.18	16.8%	8.7%	0.7%	.300	3.50	18.8%	13.8%	141	+0.32	2.51	174	73
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	72
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	72
Fernando Salas R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	34	SU	4.28	20.8%	5.3%	4.1%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	288	72
Blaine Boyer R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	34	SU	3.79	12.3%	5.6%	1.9%	.265	4.07	12.5%	5.9%	144	+0.28	3.24	209	72
Luis Ayala R 2015 · 3.03 FIP	37	SU	3.03	19.7%	5.0%	1.7%	.270	3.27	12.1%	5.9%	57	+0.24	3.03	119	72
Rafael Martín R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	33	SU	3.40	20.4%	5.1%	2.5%	.305	4.71	22.5%	16.5%	47	+1.31	2.94	227	71
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	12.4%	6.0%	1.1%	.328	3.26	14.8%	10.4%	69	-0.17	2.99	119	70
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	45	18.0%	6.3%	1.02	4.02
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Alex Claudio ('21)	1.5	59	16.3%	6.1%	0.76	3.66
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Brandon Kintzler ('21)	1.5	50	16.2%	6.3%	0.91	3.57
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38