Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 46 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 3.05 | 4.09 | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 46 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.6% | 5.7% | 13.0% | 2.0% | 3.05 | 3.35 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 57 | 239 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 10.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 3.77 | 3.31 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 57 | 239 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 3.77 | 3.55 | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 2 | 81 | 313 | 65 | 10 | 11 | 4% | 1.6 | 18.0% | 3.4% | 14.6% | 3.4% | 2.90 | 3.89 | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 2 | 81 | 313 | 65 | 10 | 11 | 4% | 1.6 | 20.8% | 3.2% | 17.6% | 3.5% | 2.90 | 3.63 | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 70 | 0 | 68 | 284 | 58 | 8 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 2.8% | 17.6% | 1.8% | 3.42 | 2.70 | +1.6 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 70 | 0 | 68 | 284 | 58 | 8 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 2.8% | 17.6% | 1.8% | 3.42 | 2.70 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 68 | 0 | 57 | 244 | 41 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 0.8 | 16.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 4.45 | 3.92 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 68 | 0 | 57 | 244 | 41 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 0.8 | 16.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 4.45 | 3.93 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 14 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 10.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 3.97 | 3.88 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 14 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 10.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 3.97 | 3.89 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 72 | 0 | 72 | 286 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 4.2% | 13.6% | 0.7% | 2.26 | 2.51 | +1.9 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 72 | 0 | 72 | 286 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 4.2% | 13.6% | 0.7% | 2.26 | 2.54 | +1.9 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 77 | 0 | 71 | 293 | 58 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.8% | 4.1% | 15.7% | 2.0% | 2.80 | 3.07 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 77 | 0 | 71 | 293 | 58 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.8% | 4.1% | 15.7% | 2.0% | 2.80 | 3.07 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 0 | 25 | 117 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 12.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.75 | 6.43 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 0 | 25 | 117 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.75 | 6.30 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 40 | 190 | 39 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 7.03 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 40 | 190 | 39 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 7.03 | 4.06 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 35 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.7% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.92 | 5.12 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 47 | 0 | 49 | 209 | 29 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.7% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.26 | 5.49 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | LAA | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 23 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.6% | 10.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.64 | 5.89 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.7% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.26 | 5.49 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | LAA | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 19 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.6% | 10.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.64 | 5.89 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 427 | 0 | 404 | 1697 | 289 | 105 | 39 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.0% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 4.09 | 3.72 | +7.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 212 | 0 | 200 | 840 | 143 | 52 | 19 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.0% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 4.09 | 3.72 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 509 | 2 | 541 | 2262 | 384 | 118 | 53 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 2.3% | 3.65 | 3.61 | +11.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 188 | 1 | 200 | 837 | 142 | 43 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 2.3% | 3.65 | 3.61 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adam Cimber (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.12 | 14.7% | 9.3% | 3.1% | — | 5.68 | 13.2% | 2.9% | 92 | +0.56 | — | — | — |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 65 |
| Yusmeiro Petit R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.15 | 19.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | .254 | 4.78 | 12.7% | 8.7% | 90 | +0.63 | 2.64 | 517 | 63 |
| Luke Gregerson R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.59 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 192 | 62 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.76 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 244 | 62 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 61 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 61 |
| Tim Lincecum R 2025 · 5.91 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.91 | 14.4% | 15.5% | 3.8% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 166 | 61 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 61 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.44 | 19.2% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 239 | 59 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.15 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 59 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.75 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | .281 | 2.93 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.82 | 2.30 | 126 | 59 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.03 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | .303 | 3.28 | 25.5% | 17.9% | 140 | -0.75 | 2.03 | 804 | 59 |
| Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.83 | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.23 | 173 | 58 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.91 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .269 | 5.68 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.77 | 4.91 | 172 | 58 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 58 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 5.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.83 | 17.9% | 14.2% | 4.5% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 170 | 57 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.60 | 22.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 227 | 57 |
| Zack Segovia R 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 56 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 56 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2024 · 5.46 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.46 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 148 | 56 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 49 | 13.7% | 9.9% | 1.34 | 5.24 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |