Kellen Strahm

RF Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	28	AAATEX	429	.242/.350/.344	8	32	68	—	.215/.293/.297
2026	29	AAAHOU	218	.226/.333/.339	3	13	53	—	.195/.273/.282
2027PROJ10% MLB	30	MLBHOU	23	.231/.305/.325	0	1	78	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	31	MLBHOU	59	.227/.301/.319	1	2	75	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed92

Chase%82

Whiff%77

BB%72

Z-Con%57

K%51

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJonathan Davis (age 31) · Billy Hamilton (age 30) · John Andreoli (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .305 / .325

PA23

HR0

K%26

BB%9

BABIP302

ISO48

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	228	192	54	10	2	6	32	60	2	5	0	281	389	448	837	167	378	26	14	373	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	433	354	98	16	0	10	65	95	6	11	1	277	398	407	804	130	345	22	15	361	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	60	50	9	1	0	0	7	17	3	1	0	180	317	200	517	20	273	28	12	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	517	438	108	18	3	5	74	115	2	9	3	247	358	336	694	89	323	22	14	320	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	166	136	36	5	3	1	26	37	1	14	0	265	387	368	754	103	347	22	16	341	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	300	262	73	10	2	5	35	61	1	15	1	279	366	389	755	111	343	20	12	341	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	429	363	88	13	0	8	59	91	1	32	5	242	350	344	694	102	299	21	14	317	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	218	186	42	8	2	3	28	50	2	13	2	226	333	339	672	113	289	23	13	307	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	228	201	44	7	2	5	23	82	2	5	0	219	305	348	654	129	335	36	10	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	433	374	95	14	0	9	45	115	6	11	1	254	344	364	707	110	324	27	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	517	460	101	18	3	4	52	139	2	9	3	220	302	298	599	78	300	27	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	166	145	38	5	3	1	17	42	1	14	0	262	344	359	702	97	335	25	10	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	300	274	65	8	2	4	22	74	1	15	1	237	295	325	620	88	303	25	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	429	381	82	13	0	6	41	100	1	32	5	215	293	297	590	81	267	23	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	218	195	38	7	2	2	19	60	2	13	2	195	273	282	555	87	255	28	9	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	228	201	44	7	2	5	23	82	2	5	0	219	305	348	654	129	339	36	10	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	228	192	54	10	2	6	32	60	2	5	0	281	389	448	837	167	378	26	14	373	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	493	425	108	16	0	10	51	131	9	12	1	254	346	362	709	108	338	27	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	493	404	107	17	0	10	72	112	9	12	1	265	388	381	769	116	337	23	15	349	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	517	460	101	18	3	4	52	139	2	9	3	220	302	298	599	78	305	27	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	517	438	108	18	3	5	74	115	2	9	3	247	358	336	694	89	323	22	14	320	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	466	420	102	13	5	4	39	115	2	29	1	243	310	326	636	83	320	25	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	466	398	109	15	5	6	61	98	2	29	1	274	373	382	755	108	344	21	13	341	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	429	381	82	13	0	6	41	100	1	32	5	215	293	297	590	81	272	23	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	—	429	363	88	13	0	8	59	91	1	32	5	242	350	344	694	102	299	21	14	317	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	218	195	38	7	2	2	19	60	2	13	2	195	273	282	555	87	267	28	9	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	218	186	42	8	2	3	28	50	2	13	2	226	333	339	672	113	289	23	13	307	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	228	201	44	7	2	5	23	82	2	5	0	219	305	348	654	129	335	36	10	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	493	430	108	16	0	10	51	131	9	12	1	251	346	358	705	107	324	27	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	517	458	101	18	3	4	52	139	2	9	3	221	302	299	601	79	300	27	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	466	422	102	13	5	4	39	115	2	29	1	242	310	325	635	83	314	25	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	429	384	82	13	0	6	41	100	1	32	5	214	293	294	587	81	267	23	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	218	195	38	7	2	2	19	60	2	13	2	195	273	282	555	87	255	28	9	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	466	422	102	13	5	4	39	115	2	29	1	242	310	325	635	83	314	25	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	429	384	82	13	0	6	41	100	1	32	5	214	293	294	587	81	267	23	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	218	195	38	7	2	2	19	60	2	13	2	195	273	282	555	87	255	28	9	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	HOU	10%	268	241	54	9	1	3	24	66	1	13	2	228	303	321	624	93	298	25	9	284	78	-7	+2	+0	-3	+6	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	HOU	10%	23	21	5	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	231	305	325	631	94	302	26	9	287	78	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	HOU	27%	215	193	43	7	1	3	19	54	1	8	1	224	298	315	613	90	294	25	9	279	75	-6	+1	-3	-2	+5	-0.6
2028	31	MLB CTX	HOU	27%	59	54	12	2	0	1	5	15	0	2	0	227	301	319	620	92	298	25	8	282	75	-2	+0	-1	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	59	54	12	2	0	1	5	15	0	2	0	222	288	315	603	93	289	25	8	282	76	-2	+0	-1	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	132	22	0	11	55	165	0	22	0	222	288	314	602	92	289	25	8	282	76	-19	+4	-8	-7	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2794	2479	565	89	14	37	265	737	20	119	15	228	308	320	627	92	306	26	9	281	76	-12	+3	-3	-5	+10	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	132	21	3	9	62	171	5	28	3	229	309	322	632	94	306	26	10	281	76	-18	+4	-4	-7	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kellen Strahm (OGILVIE)	30	45	40	60	60	226/300/318	92	298	3	11	25%	9%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2023 · MLB	31	46→52	40→45	57→55	51	219/314/311	92	297	8	27	27%	10%	82	+0.0	218/293/335	117	304	10	17	29%	8%	79	-0.2	204/277/324	120	289	10	14	31%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Billy Hamilton 2021 · MLB	30	46→56	39→40	59→70	49	220/285/307	86	285	5	34	24%	8%	69	-0.9	195/248/294	99	291	8	34	33%	6%	52	-2.2	158/208/235	77	253	4	47	37%	6%	22	-1.0
✕John Andreoli 2019 · MLB	29	46→56	42→45	56→60	47	218/295/331	113	309	9	25	30%	9%	79	-0.2	203/292/326	123	314	12	15	35%	11%	77	-0.3	159/263/282	124	258	14	17	41%	12%	56	-1.2
✕Tyler Graham 2014 · AAA	30	47→54	39→40	60→65	45	225/290/311	86	287	6	33	23%	6%	72	-0.7	228/274/303	75	282	6	28	21%	5%	63	-1.3	230/270/276	46	284	3	38	19%	4%	52	-1.6
✕Darin Mastroianni 2015 · MLB	29	46→56	39→40	55→60	45	222/279/303	81	282	7	26	23%	6%	66	-1.1	216/264/288	72	272	5	22	21%	5%	56	-1.9	211/255/267	56	266	2	24	21%	5%	45	-1.7
✕Jason Repko 2011 · MLB	30	45→47	46→50	53→55	44	227/289/353	126	282	13	20	24%	6%	82	-0.0	216/274/336	120	278	13	17	26%	6%	72	-0.7	194/250/302	108	252	12	18	27%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Delino DeShields 2023 · MLB	30	45→55	36→45	56→65	52	205/300/272	67	298	4	31	29%	11%	68	-1.0	214/295/288	74	313	5	23	30%	10%	70	-0.9	227/304/279	52	363	0	11	34%	9%	65	-0.3
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	47→50	42→45	60	41	224/281/335	111	303	8	29	28%	6%	74	-0.5	210/272/317	107	307	10	20	33%	7%	68	-1.0	148/218/218	71	242	7	18	39%	7%	24	-1.2
✕Wynton Bernard 2021 · AAA	30	45→55	42→45	56→60	44	219/268/327	108	277	8	25	24%	6%	68	-1.0	229/277/348	119	287	10	29	23%	6%	76	-0.4	245/290/364	119	296	10	37	20%	5%	81	-0.1
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2013 · MLB	30	51→57	38→40	59→60	48	241/293/329	88	291	4	28	18%	7%	76	-0.4	227/289/299	72	274	4	17	17%	8%	68	-1.0	215/282/271	56	256	2	15	15%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Tim Locastro 2022 · MLB	30	46→53	44→45	55→60	46	225/314/344	120	268	11	23	20%	6%	91	+0.6	211/292/333	122	261	12	24	23%	5%	80	-0.2	210/293/320	110	261	10	36	22%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Brian Bogusevic 2013 · MLB	29	47→54	43→45	56→55	49	227/302/341	114	290	10	22	24%	9%	84	+0.1	244/308/373	129	307	13	18	23%	8%	93	+0.8	252/309/379	126	316	13	19	23%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Darren Ford 2016 · AAA	30	45→53	41→45	57→65	43	218/270/309	91	280	9	39	25%	6%	64	-1.3	218/270/298	80	283	6	24	24%	6%	61	-1.5	212/261/258	46	279	1	23	23%	6%	45	-1.9
✕Craig Gentry 2016 · MLB	32	48→55	37→40	57→60	46	228/284/295	67	282	5	29	20%	6%	65	-1.2	218/278/298	80	277	6	24	22%	7%	64	-1.3	218/282/291	73	279	4	29	22%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Sam Fuld 2012 · MLB	30	50→57	41→45	58→60	56	236/307/346	110	262	6	26	12%	9%	86	+0.3	225/295/323	98	259	7	25	15%	9%	76	-0.4	222/296/310	88	257	6	28	15%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2017 · MLB	30	47→50	38→45	56→60	45	225/275/311	86	269	5	25	18%	5%	66	-1.1	217/276/332	115	282	12	23	26%	7%	72	-0.7	195/259/314	118	266	13	23	31%	7%	60	-0.9
✕Matt Lipka 2022 · AAA	30	50→52	44→45	58→60	39	239/287/355	116	329	11	31	30%	5%	81	-0.1	222/281/328	106	323	9	34	32%	7%	72	-0.7	188/256/263	75	291	4	59	34%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Eric Bruntlett 2008 · MLB	30	50→51	38→40	52→55	54	233/308/313	80	281	4	20	18%	9%	79	-0.2	212/276/299	87	259	6	16	19%	7%	64	-1.3	190/248/275	85	236	7	13	22%	6%	47	-1.2
✕Todd Donovan 2009 · AAA	30	49→52	36→40	61→65	48	232/291/301	69	291	3	38	21%	7%	70	-0.9	224/300/306	82	289	5	31	22%	10%	75	-0.5	214/305/285	71	275	3	38	21%	11%	71	-0.6
✕Mike McCoy 2012 · MLB	31	51→58	39→40	57→60	56	240/320/324	84	285	6	31	17%	10%	86	+0.3	214/291/288	74	262	6	27	19%	10%	68	-1.0	196/274/257	61	242	4	26	19%	9%	52	-1.4