Mason Barnett

P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 218 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP40-MANFG #383

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	AAOAK	26	25	133	4.20	3.05	28.5%	8.7%	—	K 23.1% · BB 9.5% · FIP 3.97
2025	24	MIX2 levels	30	28	141	6.24	4.54	21.9%	11.7%	0.6	K 19.2% · BB 10.7% · FIP 4.43
2026	25	MIX2 levels	34	20	116	5.96	5.52	19.0%	12.3%	-0.8	K 17.6% · BB 11.7% · FIP 5.50
2027PROJ	26	MLBOAK	28	28	171	5.29	5.37	19.4%	11.7%	-0.9
2028PROJ64% MLB	27	MLBOAK	18	18	111	5.25	5.30	19.6%	11.4%	-0.5
2029PROJ76% MLB	28	MLBOAK	22	22	131	5.25	5.30	19.7%	11.2%	-0.6

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -2.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo55

K%47

Whiff%29

xwOBA vs24

CompsCarlos Torres (age 26) · Alejandro Martinez (age 26) · Britt Reames (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.29

FIP5.37

K%19.4%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%7.6%

Proj IP171

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 171 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5050

CTRL3550

CMD4045

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5594.9

Whiff%

p2922.3%

p4721.8%

xwOBA vs

p240.343

SL+0.9 (33%)

CU (10%)

CH (8%)

FB (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	1	8	24	12	1	0	25%	2.0	50.0%	4.2%	45.8%	0.0%	0.00	-0.59	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	1	8	24	12	1	0	25%	2.0	50.0%	4.2%	45.8%	0.0%	0.00	0.48	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	115	476	137	50	5	100%	5.0	22.5%	12.0%	10.6%	1.3%	3.30	3.45	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	115	476	137	50	5	100%	5.0	28.8%	10.5%	18.3%	1.1%	3.30	2.59	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	26	25	133	565	161	49	13	96%	5.1	23.1%	9.5%	13.5%	2.9%	4.20	3.97	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	26	25	133	565	161	49	13	96%	5.1	23.1%	9.5%	13.5%	2.9%	4.20	3.97	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	26	25	133	565	161	49	13	96%	5.1	28.5%	8.7%	19.8%	2.3%	4.20	3.05	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	141	648	142	76	20	93%	4.7	19.2%	10.7%	8.5%	2.9%	6.24	4.43	+0.8
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	141	648	142	76	20	93%	4.7	19.2%	10.7%	8.5%	2.9%	6.24	4.43	+0.8
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	28	141	648	142	76	20	93%	4.7	21.9%	11.7%	10.2%	3.1%	6.24	4.54	+0.6
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	20	116	527	100	65	22	59%	3.4	17.6%	11.7%	6.0%	4.4%	5.96	5.50	-0.8
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	20	116	527	100	65	22	59%	3.4	17.6%	11.7%	6.0%	4.4%	5.96	5.50	-0.8
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	20	116	527	100	65	22	59%	3.4	19.0%	12.3%	6.6%	4.2%	5.96	5.52	-0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			25	11	72	333	68	40	17	44%	2.9	20.4%	12.0%	8.4%	5.1%	6.97	5.93	-1.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	OAK	28	28	171	722	140	85	27	100%	6.1	19.4%	11.7%	7.6%	3.7%	5.29	5.37	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	OAK	29	29	173	729	143	83	27	100%	6.0	19.6%	11.4%	8.2%	3.7%	5.25	5.30	-0.8
2029	28	MLB MLE	OAK	29	29	173	729	143	82	27	100%	6.0	19.7%	11.2%	8.4%	3.8%	5.25	5.30	-0.8
2030	29	MLB MLE	OAK	27	27	165	696	134	79	27	100%	6.1	19.2%	11.3%	7.9%	3.9%	5.33	5.41	-0.9
2031	30	MLB MLE	OAK	26	26	155	654	121	75	26	100%	6.0	18.6%	11.5%	7.0%	4.0%	5.47	5.59	-1.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	OAK	18	18	111	469	92	53	17	100%	6.2	19.6%	11.4%	8.2%	3.7%	5.25	5.30	-0.5
2029	28	MLB CTX	OAK	22	22	131	553	109	62	21	100%	6.0	19.7%	11.2%	8.4%	3.8%	5.25	5.30	-0.6
2030	29	MLB CTX	OAK	22	22	135	570	109	64	22	100%	6.1	19.2%	11.3%	7.9%	3.9%	5.33	5.41	-0.8
2031	30	MLB CTX	OAK	22	22	133	562	104	65	23	100%	6.0	18.6%	11.5%	7.0%	4.0%	5.47	5.59	-1.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		110	96	583	2488	483	285	100	87%	5.3	19.4%	11.4%	7.9%	4.0%	5.53	5.12	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		38	33	200	854	166	98	34	87%	5.3	19.4%	11.4%	7.9%	4.0%	5.53	5.12	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		117	97	513	2240	467	243	65	83%	4.4	20.9%	10.8%	10.0%	2.9%	4.89	4.30	-4.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	38	200	873	182	95	25	83%	4.4	20.9%	10.8%	10.0%	2.9%	4.89	4.30	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mason Barnett (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.37	19.4%	11.7%	3.7%	—	5.34	19.5%	8.2%	510	-0.03	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	72
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	72
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	71
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	71
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	70
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	69
Griffin Canning R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP	5.21	22.4%	10.1%	5.0%	.295	4.55	21.1%	13.3%	299	-0.66	3.60	809	69
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	69
André Rienzo R 2014 · 5.13 FIP	26	SP-	5.13	16.3%	10.6%	3.8%	.324	4.13	17.5%	4.8%	171	-1.00	3.53	321	69
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	69
Chance Kirby R 2021 · 5.83 FIP	26	SP-	5.83	15.1%	10.0%	5.0%	.242	4.59	18.5%	11.2%	138	-1.24	4.14	325	68
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	68
Kenten Egbert R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.34	10.8%	3.5%	133	+0.08	4.04	231	68
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	68
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	68
Jayden Murray R 2023 · 5.92 FIP	26	SP-	5.92	17.0%	13.6%	4.6%	.385	3.93	21.1%	10.2%	124	-1.99	3.74	365	68
Cody Sedlock R 2021 · 5.05 FIP	26	SP-	5.05	19.9%	10.9%	4.1%	.301	4.21	20.1%	7.1%	80	-0.84	4.21	378	67
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	67
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	67
Michael Knorr R 2024 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP-	5.56	21.6%	12.5%	4.9%	.314	4.95	22.3%	9.7%	83	-0.61	4.30	181	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.5	130	19.4%	11.5%	1.52	5.45
Don Black ('43-'48, 0 WAR*)	4.0	133	17.4%*	10.4%*	1.28*	5.32*
Gene Dale ('11-'16, -1 WAR*)	2.2	148	17.7%*	12.6%*	1.45*	5.30*
Mysterious Walker ('10-'15, -1 WAR*)	1.5	99	20.6%*	11.4%*	1.25*	5.38*
Robert Person ('03)	4.5	128	19.8%	11.2%	1.29	4.64
Armando Galarraga ('12)	2.7	108	14.6%	9.6%	1.56	4.78
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	106	20.5%	9.7%	1.30	4.61