Victor Simeon

P Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 160 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	ROKTEX	13	6	27	6.75	4.00	29.9%	12.6%	—	K 20.3% · BB 15.7% · FIP 5.53
2024	23	MIX3 levels	27	0	38	3.11	2.49	35.4%	16.1%	—	K 27.0% · BB 15.1% · FIP 3.22
2025	24	A+TEX	36	0	45	4.43	3.39	31.7%	21.2%	—	K 24.4% · BB 24.3% · FIP 4.39
2027PROJ	26	MLBTEX	57	0	60	5.41	5.41	25.2%	20.0%	-0.6
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBTEX	20	0	21	5.32	5.34	25.0%	19.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBTEX	31	0	33	5.30	5.34	24.8%	18.4%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Control20Command40

CompsDennis Sarfate (age 27) · Fernando Baez (age 25) · Eric Cerantola (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.41

FIP5.41

K%25.2%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%5.2%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL2020

CMD4040

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	5	0	6	33	4	11	0	0%	1.2	12.1%	33.3%	-21.2%	0.0%	15.00	6.30	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	5	0	6	33	4	11	0	0%	1.2	12.1%	33.3%	-21.2%	0.0%	15.00	7.27	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	13	6	30	127	33	14	1	46%	2.3	17.7%	13.8%	3.9%	0.9%	2.37	3.87	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	13	6	30	127	33	14	1	46%	2.3	26.0%	11.0%	15.0%	0.8%	2.37	2.74	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	10	9	42	179	45	25	1	90%	4.2	17.1%	17.5%	-0.4%	0.7%	3.83	4.24	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	10	9	42	179	45	25	1	90%	4.2	25.1%	14.0%	11.2%	0.6%	3.83	3.05	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	13	6	27	127	38	16	4	46%	2.1	20.3%	15.7%	4.6%	3.9%	6.75	5.53	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	13	6	27	127	38	16	4	46%	2.1	29.9%	12.6%	17.3%	3.1%	6.75	4.00	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	0	38	161	57	26	1	0%	1.4	27.0%	15.1%	11.9%	0.9%	3.11	3.22	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	0	38	161	57	26	1	0%	1.4	27.0%	15.1%	11.9%	0.9%	3.11	3.22	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	0	38	161	57	26	1	0%	1.4	35.4%	16.1%	19.3%	0.6%	3.11	2.49	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	36	0	45	208	66	44	1	0%	1.2	24.4%	24.3%	0.1%	0.5%	4.43	4.39	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	36	0	45	208	66	44	1	0%	1.2	24.4%	24.3%	0.1%	0.5%	4.43	4.39	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	36	0	45	208	66	44	1	0%	1.2	31.7%	21.2%	10.6%	0.5%	4.43	3.39	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	TEX	57	0	60	253	64	51	7	0%	1.1	25.2%	20.0%	5.2%	2.8%	5.41	5.41	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	56	0	59	247	62	47	7	0%	1.0	25.0%	19.0%	6.0%	2.8%	5.32	5.34	-0.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	TEX	54	0	57	240	59	44	7	0%	1.1	24.8%	18.4%	6.3%	3.0%	5.30	5.34	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	20	0	21	89	22	17	3	0%	1.1	25.0%	19.0%	6.0%	2.8%	5.32	5.34	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	TEX	31	0	33	139	34	26	4	0%	1.1	24.8%	18.4%	6.3%	3.0%	5.30	5.34	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	0	55	232	58	43	7	0%	1.1	24.9%	18.6%	6.2%	2.9%	5.31	4.96	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	211	156	25	0%	1.1	24.9%	18.6%	6.2%	2.9%	5.31	4.96	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		104	21	188	835	177	155	10	20%	1.8	21.2%	18.5%	2.7%	1.2%	4.36	4.30	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	22	200	890	189	165	10	20%	1.8	21.2%	18.5%	2.7%	1.2%	4.36	4.30	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Simeon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.41	25.2%	20.0%	2.8%	—	5.34	24.9%	6.2%	115	-0.07	—	—	—
Dennis Sarfate R 2008 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.0%	16.7%	2.2%	.263	4.81	19.8%	5.9%	23	+0.39	4.42	103	85
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	84
Eric Cerantola R 2024 · 4.65 FIP	24	SW	4.65	25.7%	16.6%	2.9%	.245	3.74	26.2%	15.9%	100	-0.91	3.37	270	79
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	78
Christopher Troye R 2024 · 5.46 FIP	25	SU	5.46	24.2%	17.0%	4.1%	.282	5.61	19.1%	-3.8%	30	+0.15	3.42	158	78
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	77
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	77
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	77
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	77
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	77
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	77
Carter Loewen R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	23.1%	15.0%	2.2%	.312	4.16	20.0%	11.9%	23	-0.10	2.67	145	77
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	24	SU	4.59	24.1%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	76
Dario Beltre R 2019 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.4%	17.0%	1.4%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	110	76
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	76
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	76
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	76
Jose De La Torre R 2013 · 5.22 FIP	27	SU	5.22	28.3%	18.9%	3.9%	.308	3.87	17.6%	6.6%	110	-1.35	2.64	141	75
Chris Perry R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.3%	19.3%	0.9%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	113	75
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	25.0%	19.2%	1.10	5.34
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*