Blake Walston — OGILVIE

Blake Walston P Reno Aces

Age 25 LHP 6'5" / 175 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION13 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113121vR 129

ERA4.81

FIP5.06

K%16.7%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%5.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CMD4045

K†4045

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.5

Whiff%

p2722.1%

p4721.7%

xwOBA vs

p220.345

FB+2.0 (36%)

CT (18%)

SI (4%)

CU (13%)

SL-1.0 (16%)

CH-4.0 (16%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	3	2	5	17	11	0	0	67%	1.7	64.7%	0.0%	64.7%	0.0%	1.80	-2.36	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	3	2	5	17	11	0	0	67%	1.7	64.7%	0.0%	64.7%	0.0%	1.80	-1.30	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	19	96	406	117	33	16	100%	5.0	21.7%	9.5%	12.3%	5.2%	3.76	5.31	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	19	96	406	117	33	16	100%	5.0	28.8%	8.1%	20.7%	3.9%	3.76	3.86	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	124	532	137	46	16	100%	5.0	20.7%	9.6%	11.1%	3.3%	4.79	4.38	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	124	532	137	46	16	100%	5.0	25.8%	8.6%	17.1%	3.0%	4.79	3.68	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	30	30	149	666	104	93	9	100%	5.0	13.0%	12.6%	0.4%	1.5%	4.52	4.40	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	30	30	149	666	104	93	9	100%	5.0	13.0%	12.6%	0.4%	1.5%	4.52	4.40	—
2023	22	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	30	30	149	666	104	93	9	100%	5.0	15.6%	14.0%	1.7%	1.4%	4.52	4.36	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	15	83	376	86	40	12	71%	4.0	19.8%	9.8%	10.0%	3.2%	4.75	4.44	+0.5
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	15	83	376	86	40	12	71%	4.0	19.8%	9.8%	10.0%	3.2%	4.75	4.44	+0.5
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	15	83	376	86	40	12	71%	4.0	22.9%	10.6%	12.2%	3.2%	4.75	4.35	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			9	2	21	96	20	11	4	22%	2.4	20.8%	11.5%	9.4%	4.2%	4.22	5.21	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	9	0	13	59	11	4	2	0%	1.4	—	—	—	—	3.55	—	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	9	0	13	59	11	4	2	0%	1.4	—	—	—	—	3.55	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	ARI	7	0	10	46	9	3	2	0%	1.4	19.6%	6.5%	13.0%	4.3%	3.72	4.66	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	ARI	2	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.5	15.4%	7.7%	7.7%	0.0%	3.00	2.78	—
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	ARI	2	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.5	15.4%	7.7%	7.7%	0.0%	3.00	2.78	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	ARI	6	0	6	25	4	3	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	11.2%	5.6%	2.9%	4.81	5.06	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	ARI	6	0	6	25	4	3	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	11.2%	5.6%	2.9%	4.81	5.06	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	19	84	15	7	3	—	—	18.1%	8.1%	10.0%	3.2%	3.95	1.60	+0.7
FULL	25	MLB A+C	ARI	—	—	9	37	15	7	3	—	—	40.5%	18.1%	22.4%	7.3%	8.26	5.95	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	29	29	172	726	132	78	21	100%	5.9	18.1%	10.8%	7.3%	2.9%	4.83	4.90	0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	ARI	29	29	173	732	135	78	22	100%	6.0	18.4%	10.6%	7.8%	3.0%	4.85	4.89	+0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	ARI	29	29	173	732	135	78	22	100%	6.0	18.4%	10.6%	7.8%	3.1%	4.89	4.94	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	ARI	28	28	166	699	126	75	22	100%	5.9	17.9%	10.8%	7.2%	3.2%	5.00	5.09	-0.4
2031	30	MLB MLE	ARI	26	26	156	657	113	73	22	100%	6.0	17.2%	11.1%	6.2%	3.4%	5.18	5.29	-0.7
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	27	27	163	688	125	74	20	100%	6.0	18.1%	10.8%	7.3%	2.9%	4.83	4.90	0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	ARI	28	28	165	697	128	74	21	100%	5.9	18.4%	10.6%	7.8%	3.0%	4.85	4.89	+0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	ARI	28	28	165	697	129	74	21	100%	5.9	18.4%	10.6%	7.8%	3.1%	4.89	4.94	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	ARI	26	26	157	663	119	71	21	100%	6.0	17.9%	10.8%	7.2%	3.2%	5.00	5.09	-0.3
2031	30	MLB CTX	ARI	25	25	148	625	108	69	21	100%	5.9	17.2%	11.1%	6.2%	3.4%	5.18	5.29	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		148	135	825	3490	632	376	109	91%	5.6	18.1%	10.8%	7.3%	3.1%	4.93	4.65	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	33	200	846	153	91	26	91%	5.6	18.1%	10.8%	7.3%	3.1%	4.93	4.65	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		107	91	470	2056	381	214	62	85%	4.4	18.5%	10.4%	8.1%	3.0%	4.42	4.52	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	39	200	875	162	91	27	85%	4.4	18.5%	10.4%	8.1%	3.0%	4.42	4.52	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blake Walston (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.06	16.7%	11.2%	2.9%	—	4.91	18.3%	7.7%	519	-0.15	—	—	—
Scott DeCecco L 2015 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP-	4.55	14.5%	11.5%	2.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	125	79
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	79
Cade Gibson L 2023 · 4.57 FIP	25	SP	4.57	15.0%	8.5%	3.0%	.306	3.43	18.9%	9.4%	222	-1.14	3.13	340	78
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	76
Jeffry Antigua L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	25	SP-	4.60	11.4%	8.6%	2.5%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	133	76
Ken Waldichuk L 2023 · 5.01 FIP	25	SP-	5.01	20.7%	11.0%	4.1%	.303	5.84	21.0%	6.1%	51	+0.83	3.51	432	76
Felix Doubront L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP	3.92	18.0%	8.4%	2.3%	.304	4.12	23.7%	14.7%	42	+0.20	3.44	291	75
Bryan Radziewski L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.5%	2.0%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	106	75
Danny Duffy L 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	17.3%	9.0%	2.8%	.292	3.96	22.7%	15.3%	481	-0.33	3.29	915	75
Michael Roth L 2015 · 4.94 FIP	25	SP-	4.94	12.1%	8.3%	3.3%	.298	4.42	13.5%	6.2%	358	-0.52	3.96	483	75
Blair Walters L 2015 · 3.87 FIP	25	SP-	3.87	11.8%	8.3%	1.3%	.284	4.66	14.6%	0.4%	127	+0.79	3.87	262	74
Logan Boyd L 2017 · 4.12 FIP	23	SP-	4.12	14.9%	10.2%	1.8%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	276	73
Amir Garrett L 2017 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP	5.33	18.7%	10.1%	4.6%	.302	3.60	30.3%	19.5%	137	-1.73	3.06	712	73
Dalton Sawyer L 2017 · 4.11 FIP	23	SP-	4.11	20.6%	9.4%	2.8%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	160	73
Chad Bell L 2015 · 3.97 FIP	26	SP	3.97	15.7%	7.4%	2.3%	.326	4.07	19.0%	10.2%	252	+0.10	3.39	393	73
Darin Gorski L 2015 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP	4.93	15.2%	11.4%	3.0%	.323	4.50	15.0%	5.2%	69	-0.43	4.50	206	72
John Anderson L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	26	SP-	4.12	11.0%	8.5%	1.6%	.316	4.23	14.3%	5.6%	115	+0.11	4.12	235	72
Brandon Schaeffer L 2023 · 4.07 FIP	23	SP	4.07	16.4%	8.5%	2.3%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	134	72
Cole Kirschsieper L 2023 · 5.07 FIP	22	SP-	5.07	15.2%	12.0%	3.2%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	105	72
Eric Wooten L 2015 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	14.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	116	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.0	165	17.8%	10.8%	1.19	4.92
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32