Owen Cobb — OGILVIE

Owen CobbSS Somerset Patriots

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 195 lbs AA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION252 act + 168 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .247 / .295

PA168

HR2

SB6

K%27

BB%5

BABIP264

ISO96

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	63	56	11	3	0	0	5	23	1	7	0	196	274	250	524	54	324	37	8	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	63	54	15	4	0	0	7	15	1	7	0	278	371	352	723	74	375	24	11	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	3 teams	—	320	292	61	12	5	7	20	97	3	17	6	209	267	356	623	147	280	30	6	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	3 teams	—	320	285	83	17	4	8	23	58	3	17	6	291	346	463	809	172	335	18	7	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	NYY	—	252	234	48	13	1	3	11	70	0	11	0	205	241	308	549	103	280	28	4	230	34	-19	+2	+0	+3	+7	-0.7
YTD	25	AA	NYY	—	252	227	52	15	1	3	16	55	0	11	0	229	278	344	621	115	290	22	6	270	65	-10	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.2
ROS	25	AA	NYY	2%	168	156	31	7	1	2	9	45	1	6	0	199	247	295	542	96	258	27	5	244	45	-10	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
ROS	25	MLB	NYY	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						259	33	0	243	44	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	NYY	—	255	237	48	13	1	3	11	71	0	11	0	203	238	304	542	101	276	28	4	230	34	-19	+2	+0	+3	+7	-0.7
TOT	25	AA	NYY	—	420	390	79	20	2	5	20	115	1	17	0	203	243	303	546	100	273	27	5	236	38	-29	+3	+0	+4	+12	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	NYY	31%	301	279	56	13	1	5	17	80	2	9	1	201	252	308	560	108	260	27	6	253	52	-16	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.3
2028	27	MLB	NYY	42%	342	316	65	14	2	6	21	90	2	10	1	206	260	320	579	114	263	26	6	258	56	-17	+2	+0	+4	+10	-0.2
2029	28	MLB	NYY	48%	366	338	70	15	2	7	23	96	2	10	1	207	262	325	587	118	264	26	6	261	58	-17	+2	-1	+4	+10	-0.2
2027	26	MLB	NYY	31%	93	87	18	4	0	2	5	25	1	3	0	207	258	322	580	115	262	27	5	251	50	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	NYY	42%	144	133	28	6	1	3	9	38	1	4	0	211	266	338	604	128	264	26	6	256	54	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	28	MLB	NYY	48%	175	161	33	7	1	3	11	46	1	5	0	205	260	317	577	112	265	26	6	258	56	-9	+1	-0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	415	384	79	17	2	8	25	110	3	12	0	206	260	323	583	117	265	27	6	256	54	-22	+2	-0	+4	+12	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	124	27	3	13	39	172	5	19	0	206	260	326	587	120	265	26	6	256	54	-34	+4	-1	+7	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	1560	1437	294	64	11	27	95	431	11	59	9	205	259	321	580	116	269	28	6	259	56	-77	+8	-1	+17	+44	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	123	27	5	11	40	180	5	25	4	205	261	322	583	117	271	28	6	259	56	-32	+3	-0	+7	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	63	54	15	4	0	0	7	15	1	7	0	278	371	352	723	74	375	24	11	329	110	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	24	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	1	6	1	2	0	111	200	111	311		167	30	5	162	-18	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	24	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	148	129	40	8	3	3	12	30	1	12	3	310	368	488	856	178	370	20	8	365	137	+6	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	24	INTL	Perth Heat	—	152	138	41	9	1	5	10	22	1	3	3	297	344	486	830	188	321	14	7	361	134	+6	-1	—	—	+4	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	416	7	12	205	256	318	+4	+3	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	12	19	205	256	318	+7.1	+4.8	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Owen Cobb (OGILVIE)	25	35	38	59	42	203/243/303	100	273	5	17	27%	5%	38	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Khayyan Norfork 2014 · A	25	42→44	41→40	51→50	42	207/261/312	104	267	8	13	25%	6%	56	-1.3	213/264/291	78	288	4	12	26%	5%	52	-1.6	202/266/260	58	276	5	6	27%	6%	43	-0.8
✕Drew Jackson 2018 · AA	25	42→43	40→45	49→55	42	203/268/292	89	272	8	15	27%	6%	55	-1.4	195/266/301	106	281	11	17	32%	7%	56	-1.3	186/271/302	116	271	12	26	34%	8%	57	-0.7
✕T.J. Steele 2012 · AA	25	39→33	43→45	54→50	32	200/225/315	116	275	10	17	32%	3%	41	-2.3	201/239/311	110	284	10	15	32%	4%	46	-2.0	178/212/265	87	257	7	13	33%	3%	20	-1.1
✕Erick Monzon 2007 · AA	25	43	43→45	54→50	44	214/267/331	116	267	10	10	24%	6%	64	-0.8	196/249/301	105	262	10	11	28%	6%	48	-1.9	175/227/272	97	237	11	12	31%	6%	28	-1.4
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	39→36	40→45	54→55	41	187/268/274	87	283	7	20	34%	7%	51	-1.7	193/279/325	132	326	15	15	42%	8%	69	-0.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	33→28	45	49→50	42	177/246/290	113	244	14	18	33%	7%	46	-2.0	206/279/324	118	280	13	12	29%	9%	68	-0.5	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2013 · AA	25	42→48	39→40	53→55	38	208/243/292	84	269	7	18	25%	4%	43	-2.2	222/266/304	82	291	4	16	24%	5%	55	-1.4	232/268/302	70	292	2	12	20%	4%	51	-0.9
✕Tyler Stubblefield 2013 · A	25	42	38→45	51→50	47	200/279/278	78	260	5	12	24%	8%	56	-1.3	214/270/318	104	261	9	9	21%	6%	62	-0.9	211/252/327	117	243	9	5	17%	5%	52	-0.7
✕Andrew Cain 2015 · A	25	41→37	47→50	57→50	39	210/262/346	136	286	14	14	31%	6%	66	-0.6	190/248/314	124	316	13	9	41%	7%	52	-1.6	152/215/272	120	256	14	8	44%	7%	26	-2.1
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕T.J. White 2017 · AA	25	43→44	39→45	52→45	42	206/268/297	90	269	6	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	209/270/340	131	276	14	6	28%	6%	68	-0.5	198/262/348	150	252	18	2	29%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Brady Policelli 2019 · A	24	40→37	42→45	51→50	41	200/254/308	108	269	9	14	28%	6%	53	-1.5	194/258/312	118	268	11	14	30%	7%	56	-1.3	176/245/296	120	243	12	15	31%	7%	43	-1.5
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Casio Grider 2013 · A	25	41→40	38→40	56→55	37	195/251/284	89	291	4	18	33%	5%	45	-2.1	201/258/286	85	307	6	23	34%	6%	49	-1.8	192/251/270	78	296	5	30	35%	5%	38	-1.3
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Ryan Klosterman 2008 · AA	26	41→45	43→45	55	43	203/267/314	111	263	10	20	26%	6%	60	-1.0	210/273/315	105	278	9	15	26%	7%	63	-0.9	206/273/310	105	273	10	14	27%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→40	52→50	47	185/262/257	71	256	5	15	28%	8%	43	-2.2	191/254/274	83	276	8	10	32%	7%	44	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2