Owen Cobb — OGILVIE

Owen CobbSS Somerset Patriots

Age 26 R/R 6'3" / 195 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .242 / .287

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%5

BABIP255

ISO89

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	63	54	15	4	0	0	7	15	1	7	0	278	371	352	723	74	375	24	11	329	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	1	6	1	2	0	111	200	111	311		167	30	5	162	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	148	129	40	8	3	3	12	30	1	12	3	310	368	488	856	178	370	20	8	365	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Perth Heat	—	152	138	41	9	1	5	10	22	1	3	3	297	344	486	830	188	321	14	7	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	22	21	5	3	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	238	227	381	608	143	312	23	0	257	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	267	240	59	13	1	3	18	54	0	14	1	246	296	346	642	100	306	20	7	281	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	63	56	12	3	0	0	5	21	1	7	0	214	290	268	558	54	321	33	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	1	8	1	2	0	111	200	111	311		145	40	5	116	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	148	135	32	6	3	3	8	41	1	12	3	237	285	393	677	156	287	28	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	22	22	5	3	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	227	227	364	591	136	281	27	0	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	267	247	57	12	1	2	13	66	0	14	1	231	269	312	581	81	293	25	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	63	56	12	3	0	0	5	21	1	7	0	214	290	268	558	54	333	33	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	63	54	15	4	0	0	7	15	1	7	0	278	371	352	723	74	375	24	11	329	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	320	295	62	11	5	5	17	93	3	17	6	210	260	332	593	122	282	29	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	320	285	83	17	4	8	23	58	3	17	6	291	346	463	809	172	335	18	7	350	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	289	269	61	14	1	2	13	72	0	14	1	227	262	309	571	82	303	25	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	289	261	64	16	1	3	18	59	0	14	1	245	291	349	639	103	307	20	6	280	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	63	57	12	3	0	0	5	21	1	7	0	211	290	263	553	53	321	33	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	320	297	62	11	5	5	17	93	3	17	6	209	260	330	590	121	270	29	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	289	274	61	14	1	2	13	72	0	14	1	223	262	303	565	80	292	25	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	63	57	12	3	0	0	5	21	1	7	0	211	290	263	553	53	321	33	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	320	297	62	11	5	5	17	93	3	17	6	209	260	330	590	121	270	29	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	289	274	61	14	1	2	13	72	0	14	1	223	262	303	565	80	292	25	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYY	2%	329	308	61	13	2	3	16	80	2	9	1	199	241	285	526	86	255	24	5	237	46	-21	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYY	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	199	242	287	529	88	255	20	0	238	46	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYY	27%	309	289	58	13	1	3	15	76	2	8	1	201	245	289	533	88	257	25	5	240	48	-19	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.8
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYY	27%	83	79	15	3	0	1	4	20	0	2	0	201	245	291	536	90	256	24	5	241	48	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	83	79	15	3	0	1	4	20	0	2	0	190	229	266	495	76	241	24	5	241	54	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	619	117	23	0	8	31	157	0	16	0	189	228	265	493	76	240	24	5	241	54	-40	+3	+0	+7	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1231	1144	240	51	8	13	62	323	7	53	9	210	255	302	557	93	278	26	5	247	54	-35	+2	+0	+6	+12	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	127	27	4	7	33	171	4	28	5	210	256	303	559	93	278	26	5	247	54	-41	+3	+0	+7	+14	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Owen Cobb (OGILVIE)	26	43	36	59	39	198/240/283	85	255	3	7	24%	5%	46	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Rabago 2019 · AA	26	42	38→40	54→55	44	202/258/287	85	268	4	18	25%	6%	54	-2.0	194/257/283	89	268	7	14	28%	7%	53	-2.1	166/236/231	65	243	6	11	32%	7%	32	-1.2
✕Todd Hankins 2017 · AAA	26	43→49	41→40	53→55	38	208/253/304	96	290	8	18	30%	5%	56	-1.9	212/257/293	81	308	6	21	31%	5%	55	-1.9	209/254/270	61	309	4	26	32%	5%	46	-1.3
✕Granden Goetzman 2019 · AAA	26	43→45	42→45	56→55	38	213/246/326	113	279	8	18	27%	4%	58	-1.7	201/251/336	135	273	15	7	31%	6%	63	-1.3	169/224/304	136	220	18	1	33%	6%	46	-1.5
✕Ryan Lormand 2011 · AAA	25	43	36→40	53→55	39	206/248/278	72	282	3	16	27%	5%	48	-2.5	203/252/280	77	282	4	15	28%	6%	50	-2.3	153/204/188	34	219	0	19	28%	6%	8	-1.2
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	40→39	39→40	55	40	196/247/282	86	273	7	17	30%	6%	49	-2.4	224/278/352	128	274	16	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	226/273/357	131	245	21	6	18%	6%	76	-0.1
✕Joshua McCurdy 2006 · AAA	26	47	38→40	51→50	41	224/269/304	79	288	6	15	24%	5%	61	-1.5	212/251/303	91	279	8	13	26%	5%	55	-1.9	165/174/244	79	210	9	11	27%	1%	8	-1.0
✕Brantley Bell 2021 · AA	26	43	40	48→55	43	209/261/300	91	257	8	13	22%	6%	59	-1.7	197/247/277	80	280	5	14	30%	6%	47	-2.5	172/219/235	63	256	2	18	32%	5%	26	-1.3
✕Victor Mesa 2022 · AA	26	43→41	37→30	52→55	43	206/254/273	67	258	4	13	22%	5%	49	-2.4	208/259/281	73	258	6	28	21%	5%	53	-2.1	197/244/243	46	242	4	48	20%	4%	38	-1.8
✕Jack Winkler 2024 · AA	25	43→41	39→40	50→55	44	208/271/297	89	274	7	14	26%	7%	61	-1.5	188/250/281	93	257	9	22	29%	6%	51	-2.3	172/236/263	91	235	10	24	30%	6%	39	-2.2
✕Richard Lewis 2007 · AAA	27	45	37→40	51→50	42	215/264/291	76	278	4	15	24%	6%	57	-1.8	215/259/299	84	274	7	10	23%	5%	57	-1.8	202/240/270	67	256	6	4	23%	4%	42	-1.9
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	41	40	50	39	199/252/285	86	292	8	15	33%	6%	52	-2.2	206/261/299	93	307	8	12	33%	6%	59	-1.7	148/205/185	37	247	3	8	39%	6%	9	-1.0
✕Matt Lipka 2018 · AAA	26	42→52	40→45	54→60	39	204/250/300	96	267	7	18	26%	4%	55	-2.0	212/264/311	99	279	7	22	25%	6%	62	-1.4	226/277/327	102	300	8	31	26%	6%	68	-0.6
✕Robbie Hudson 2010 · AA	26	46→48	36→40	49→50	41	220/246/281	60	261	4	16	18%	3%	47	-2.5	206/234/295	89	248	7	10	20%	3%	47	-2.6	199/223/299	100	234	9	6	20%	2%	40	-1.8
✕Hunter Jones 2018 · AA	26	43→53	40	53→55	42	207/262/302	95	266	7	16	24%	5%	59	-1.6	221/276/313	92	290	7	13	25%	6%	67	-1.1	229/284/309	80	301	6	13	24%	6%	67	-0.6
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2014 · AA	26	45→50	39→40	52→55	43	217/264/304	87	279	5	19	24%	6%	60	-1.6	229/271/307	78	288	3	14	21%	5%	63	-1.4	234/270/304	70	288	2	12	19%	4%	58	-0.9
✕Carlos Martínez 2021 · AA	26	42	39→30	50→45	44	204/255/282	78	242	6	8	19%	5%	52	-2.2	219/258/325	106	286	10	8	26%	4%	63	-1.3	214/232/307	93	279	7	0	26%	0%	46	-0.6
✕Jackson Glenn 2024 · AA	26	43	42→40	51→45	41	210/260/316	106	274	9	10	27%	5%	62	-1.4	201/249/302	101	290	10	8	32%	6%	55	-2.0	160/203/236	76	250	8	4	38%	5%	20	-1.9
✕Justin Toole 2013 · AAA	26	44	35→30	49→50	38	209/244/264	55	263	2	11	21%	3%	42	-2.9	225/259/275	50	274	1	7	17%	4%	51	-2.3	233/265/272	38	280	0	5	16%	4%	49	-1.1
✕Jack López 2019 · AAA	26	43→45	39→45	50→55	34	210/241/287	78	288	8	17	30%	3%	47	-2.5	223/263/330	107	302	12	16	29%	4%	66	-1.1	196/238/306	110	282	9	19	33%	4%	48	-1.3
✕Ian Dawkins 2022 · AA	27	44→49	40	53→50	38	216/256/306	90	283	8	15	27%	4%	57	-1.8	212/259/318	106	284	10	14	28%	5%	62	-1.4	199/246/301	101	262	9	16	27%	5%	49	-1.0