Wilmer Ortega

P FCL Cardinals

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 169 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	ROKSTL	14	7	34	3.18	2.81	26.8%	6.3%	—	K 18.2% · BB 7.9% · FIP 4.01
2023	22	MIX2 levels	17	1	28	4.50	4.17	18.9%	10.2%	—	K 14.2% · BB 18.2% · FIP 6.01
2024	23	MIX2 levels	12	0	14	6.43	4.17	30.0%	6.7%	—	K 18.5% · BB 9.1% · FIP 5.55
2027PROJ	26	MLBSTL	8	0	8	4.33	4.33	23.2%	9.2%	0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBSTL	7	0	7	4.35	4.37	23.2%	9.3%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsMitch Neunborn (age 26) · Jose Samayoa (age 26) · Tyler Yates (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.33

FIP4.33

K%23.2%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%14.1%

Proj IP8

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	12	12	55	233	39	17	1	100%	4.6	11.4%	9.1%	2.3%	0.6%	2.77	3.62	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Blue	12	12	55	233	39	17	1	100%	4.6	16.7%	7.3%	9.4%	0.4%	2.77	2.85	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	11	11	39	180	39	26	2	100%	3.5	14.7%	18.1%	-3.3%	1.5%	4.85	4.95	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Red	11	11	39	180	39	26	2	100%	3.5	21.7%	14.4%	7.2%	1.1%	4.85	3.77	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	14	7	34	142	38	9	3	50%	2.4	18.2%	7.9%	10.3%	2.6%	3.18	4.01	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	14	7	34	142	38	9	3	50%	2.4	26.8%	6.3%	20.4%	2.1%	3.18	2.81	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	1	28	127	24	13	3	6%	1.6	14.2%	18.2%	-3.9%	3.3%	4.50	6.01	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	1	28	127	24	13	3	6%	1.6	18.9%	10.2%	8.7%	2.4%	4.50	4.17	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	14	60	18	4	3	0%	1.2	18.5%	9.1%	9.5%	5.2%	6.43	5.55	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	14	60	18	4	3	0%	1.2	18.5%	9.1%	9.5%	5.2%	6.43	5.55	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	14	60	18	4	3	0%	1.2	30.0%	6.7%	23.3%	5.0%	6.43	4.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	STL	8	0	8	34	8	3	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	9.2%	14.1%	3.0%	4.33	4.33	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	STL	19	0	20	84	20	8	3	0%	1.1	23.2%	9.3%	14.0%	3.1%	4.35	4.37	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	STL	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	9.3%	14.0%	3.1%	4.35	4.37	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	9.3%	14.0%	3.1%	4.35	3.99	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	83	28	0%	1.1	23.2%	9.3%	14.0%	3.1%	4.35	3.99	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		66	31	170	742	108	94	15	47%	2.6	14.6%	12.6%	2.0%	2.0%	3.91	4.58	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	36	200	871	127	110	18	47%	2.6	14.6%	12.6%	2.0%	2.0%	3.91	4.58	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilmer Ortega (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.33	23.2%	9.2%	3.0%	—	4.37	23.2%	14.0%	20	+0.04	—	—	—
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	82
Jose Samayoa R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	26	SW	3.44	16.6%	9.9%	0.9%	.286	3.79	17.3%	9.4%	226	+0.35	3.44	262	71
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	70
David Pauley R 2008 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	16.4%	7.5%	3.0%	.429	4.30	13.8%	7.3%	165	+0.00	3.51	210	70
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.65	18.4%	7.3%	248	-0.17	4.29	360	70
TJ Shook R 2024 · 4.15 FIP	26	SW	4.15	23.7%	8.7%	3.5%	.317	3.92	20.0%	11.1%	107	-0.23	3.35	452	69
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	69
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	68
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	68
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	68
John Ely R 2011 · 4.38 FIP	25	SW	4.38	23.2%	10.7%	3.4%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	113	67
Clay Condrey R 2002 · 3.18 FIP	26	SW	3.18	15.1%	6.6%	0.9%	.232	5.41	14.9%	4.8%	34	+2.23	3.18	250	67
Trennor O'Donnell R 2024 · 3.45 FIP	23	SW	3.45	18.2%	8.6%	1.5%	.326	6.32	14.2%	0.6%	44	+2.87	3.45	107	67
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	67
Alex Williams R 2024 · 4.25 FIP	24	SW	4.25	20.9%	8.3%	3.4%	.322	4.52	17.4%	6.8%	171	+0.27	3.77	336	67
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	67
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	67
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	66
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	66
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	66