Grades · Statcast · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates Gold | 3 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 20.7% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 3.10 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates Gold | 3 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 20.7% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 22 | 0 | 23 | 101 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 1.4% | 1.99 | 3.47 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 22 | 0 | 23 | 101 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 41.6% | 14.9% | 26.7% | 1.0% | 1.99 | 1.95 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 31 | 132 | 44 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.1% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 2.4% | 4.11 | 4.07 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 31 | 132 | 44 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.3% | 12.1% | 21.2% | 2.3% | 4.11 | 3.07 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 40 | 0 | 61 | 230 | 69 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.2% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 0.74 | 2.73 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 40 | 0 | 61 | 230 | 69 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.0% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 0.0% | 0.74 | 2.12 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 31 | 0 | 32 | 156 | 44 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.4% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 6.82 | 6.09 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PIT | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.13 | 4.13 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PIT | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.13 | 4.13 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 56 | 259 | 71 | 36 | 12 | — | — | 27.4% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 4.6% | 5.65 | 5.24 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 40 | 169 | 71 | 36 | 12 | — | — | 42.0% | 21.5% | 20.4% | 7.1% | 7.91 | 6.18 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 65 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 64 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 61 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.63 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 62 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 61 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 58 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.63 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 196 | 0 | 206 | 884 | 227 | 113 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 4.65 | 4.38 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 0 | 200 | 858 | 220 | 110 | 28 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 4.65 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 123 | 3 | 152 | 648 | 166 | 93 | 14 | 2% | 1.2 | 25.6% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 3.02 | 3.95 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 162 | 4 | 200 | 853 | 219 | 123 | 18 | 2% | 1.2 | 25.6% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 3.02 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brandan Bidois (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.24 | 26.1% | 12.6% | 2.5% | — | 4.58 | 25.7% | 13.2% | 175 | +0.34 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 84 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 84 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.72 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .282 | 4.81 | 20.3% | 2.9% | 127 | +1.09 | 3.72 | 197 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Brian Ellington R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 27.5% | 14.3% | 1.6% | .252 | 5.05 | 24.6% | 9.0% | 97 | +1.56 | 2.75 | 233 | 83 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 82 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 82 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.11 | 21.1% | 13.1% | 2.1% | .276 | 4.66 | 11.8% | -2.3% | 55 | +0.55 | 4.11 | 172 | 82 |
| Arodys Vizcaíno R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.29 | 27.5% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .321 | 3.49 | 26.4% | 17.8% | 96 | +0.20 | 2.25 | 183 | 81 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2025 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 81 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 81 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.00 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .284 | 2.56 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.44 | 1.52 | 452 | 81 |
| Trey Benton R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.68 | 23.8% | 13.9% | 3.3% | .366 | 2.92 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 31 | -1.76 | 2.92 | 139 | 80 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.05 | 26.1% | 11.5% | 1.3% | .280 | 4.18 | 22.9% | 7.4% | 77 | +1.13 | 3.05 | 134 | 80 |
| Jake Barrett R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.69 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .250 | 3.81 | 24.1% | 12.5% | 118 | +0.12 | 1.48 | 230 | 80 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 80 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 80 |
| Eduard Santos R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 28.1% | 15.2% | 1.5% | .265 | 3.62 | 24.0% | 10.0% | 79 | +0.13 | 2.04 | 138 | 80 |
| Michael Feliz R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.84 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .323 | 3.81 | 28.9% | 19.8% | 107 | -0.03 | 2.82 | 442 | 80 |
| Logan Boyer R 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.65 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .267 | 4.98 | 17.9% | 1.6% | 54 | +1.33 | 3.65 | 121 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 54 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 1.14 | 4.51 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |