Elliot Johnstone
Elliot Johnstone
P
St. Lucie Mets
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 203 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION28 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.1%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.7%
IP28
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 27 | 0 | 47 | 216 | 52 | 25 | 6 | 17.8% | 13.7% | 2.3% | 6.32 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 28 | — | 28 | 118 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 27 | — | 27 | 115 | 26 | 11 | 4 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 27 | 0 | 47 | 216 | 38 | 30 | 5 | 17.8% | 13.7% | 2.3% | 6.32 | 4.61 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 0 | 200 | 919 | 162 | 128 | 21 | 17.8% | 13.7% | 2.3% | 6.32 | 4.61 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Elliot Johnstone (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.44 | 23.0% | 13.5% | 27 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.85 | 24.1% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 138 | 85 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 84 |
| Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.39 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .237 | 2.64 | 33.1% | 24.9% | 88 | -0.75 | 2.45 | 386 | 84 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 83 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 83 |
| David Hernandez R 2029 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 83 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.29 | 18.7% | 12.7% | 59 | -1.70 | 1.94 | 131 | 82 |
| Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.30 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .276 | 6.16 | 27.5% | 9.3% | 50 | +2.86 | 2.80 | 155 | 82 |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.52 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .243 | 3.63 | 24.8% | 17.1% | 57 | -0.89 | 3.56 | 198 | 82 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 28.2% | 9.7% | 3.7% | .277 | 4.66 | 17.4% | 3.6% | 29 | +0.67 | 3.44 | 147 | 81 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 25.2% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 111 | 81 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.47 | 22.2% | 4.5% | 29 | -0.61 | 2.74 | 178 | 81 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.29 | 27.9% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .301 | 3.49 | 23.6% | 14.3% | 70 | +0.20 | 2.59 | 156 | 81 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 81 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 81 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 80 |
| Kaleb Fleck R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.53 | 21.6% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .340 | 3.99 | 21.8% | 13.6% | 94 | +0.46 | 2.67 | 177 | 80 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 80 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 80 |
| José Cisnero R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 80 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.