Pedro Garcia — OGILVIE

Pedro Garcia P Louisville Bats

Age 31 RHP 5'11" / 220 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%24.6%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%11.7%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	2	16	61	16	4	0	33%	2.6	16.7%	8.8%	7.9%	0.0%	0.00	2.80	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	2	16	61	16	4	0	33%	2.6	26.2%	6.6%	19.7%	0.0%	0.00	1.82	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	53	223	71	23	4	0%	1.6	22.9%	13.6%	9.4%	2.2%	3.59	4.09	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	53	223	71	23	4	0%	1.6	31.8%	10.3%	21.5%	1.8%	3.59	2.70	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	56	241	66	20	4	0%	1.1	22.9%	9.1%	13.8%	1.8%	3.20	3.29	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	56	241	66	20	4	0%	1.1	27.4%	8.3%	19.1%	1.7%	3.20	2.74	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	50	233	78	39	12	0%	1.1	27.2%	17.4%	9.9%	5.8%	6.30	6.18	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	50	233	78	39	12	0%	1.1	27.2%	17.4%	9.9%	5.8%	6.30	6.18	—
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	50	233	78	39	12	0%	1.1	33.5%	16.7%	16.7%	5.2%	6.30	5.44	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	1	0	1	8	1	3	1	0%	1.0	12.5%	37.5%	-25.0%	12.5%	27.00	13.66	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	1	0	1	8	1	3	1	0%	1.0	12.5%	37.5%	-25.0%	12.5%	27.00	13.66	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	1	0	1	8	1	3	1	0%	1.0	12.5%	37.5%	-25.0%	12.5%	27.00	23.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	CIN	3	0	3	13	3	2	0	0%	1.0	24.6%	12.9%	11.7%	3.2%	4.77	4.77	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	CIN	29	0	30	127	31	16	4	0%	1.0	24.1%	12.9%	11.1%	3.4%	4.86	4.95	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	CIN	10	0	11	46	11	6	2	0%	1.1	24.1%	12.9%	11.1%	3.4%	4.86	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	47	11	6	2	0%	1.0	24.1%	12.9%	11.1%	3.4%	4.86	4.57	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	199	108	36	0%	1.1	24.1%	12.9%	11.1%	3.4%	4.86	4.57	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		135	2	176	766	181	101	24	1%	1.3	23.6%	13.2%	10.4%	3.1%	4.05	4.47	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	2	200	872	206	115	27	1%	1.3	23.6%	13.2%	10.4%	3.1%	4.05	4.47	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Pedro Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	24.6%	12.9%	3.2%	—	4.95	24.1%	11.1%	30	+0.18	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	88
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	86
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	84
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	83
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	80
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	79
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	79
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	78
Adam Ottavino R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	25.9%	15.2%	2.9%	.296	2.60	33.3%	22.0%	162	-1.84	2.10	488	77
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	77
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	76
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	76
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	74
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	73
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	73
Cody Hall R 2018 · 3.92 FIP	30	SU	3.92	25.9%	17.5%	1.5%	.244	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	134	72
Brad Boxberger R 2019 · 4.46 FIP	31	SU	4.46	22.1%	13.9%	2.7%	.293	3.44	27.6%	18.2%	147	-1.02	3.01	363	72
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	71
Joakim Soria R 2015 · 3.70 FIP	31	SU	3.70	23.5%	6.6%	3.2%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.79	2.01	380	71
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	24.3%	12.9%	1.27	4.81
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64