Pedro Garcia
P
Louisville Bats
Age 31
RHP
5'11" / 220 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122112vR 103
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
K%23.8%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 2 | 16 | 61 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 33% | 2.6 | 16.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.80 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 2 | 16 | 61 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 33% | 2.6 | 26.2% | 6.6% | 19.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.82 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 71 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.9% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 3.59 | 4.14 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 71 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 31.8% | 10.3% | 21.5% | 1.8% | 3.59 | 2.70 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 56 | 241 | 66 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 1.8% | 3.20 | 3.30 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 56 | 241 | 66 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.4% | 8.3% | 19.1% | 1.7% | 3.20 | 2.74 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 50 | 233 | 78 | 39 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 18.2% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 6.30 | 6.16 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 50 | 233 | 78 | 39 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.5% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 5.2% | 6.30 | 5.44 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.5% | 37.5% | -25.0% | 12.5% | 27.00 | 13.66 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.5% | 37.5% | -25.0% | 12.5% | 27.00 | 23.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 31 | 0 | 32 | 137 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.34 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 199 | 90 | 36 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 135 | 2 | 176 | 766 | 182 | 103 | 24 | 1% | 1.3 | 23.7% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 4.05 | 4.48 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 2 | 200 | 872 | 207 | 117 | 27 | 1% | 1.3 | 23.7% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 4.05 | 4.48 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pedro Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 23.8% | 10.4% | 3.2% | — | 4.72 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 30 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 92 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 88 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 87 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 87 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 84 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 82 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 81 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 81 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 80 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 80 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 80 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 79 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 79 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 79 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 78 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 78 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.50 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.27 | 426 | 78 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 78 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 78 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 3.76 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.32 | 1.74 | 468 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 31 | 23.5% | 10.5% | 1.27 | 4.57 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |