Josh Wolf

P Eugene Emeralds

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	MIX2 levels	24	1	46	6.11	4.81	21.2%	18.0%	—	K 16.8% · BB 19.6% · FIP 5.40
2024	23	MIX3 levels	34	2	49	4.41	3.32	29.5%	15.5%	—	K 18.4% · BB 20.1% · FIP 5.28
2025	24	A+SF	29	9	57	4.74	4.89	24.0%	20.4%	—	K 18.5% · BB 23.5% · FIP 5.77
2027PROJ	26	MLBSF	67	0	70	6.05	6.05	18.6%	20.0%	-1.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBSF	24	0	25	5.90	5.91	19.1%	19.0%	-0.4
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBSF	37	0	39	5.84	5.88	19.3%	18.4%	-0.6

Next 3 projected WAR -2.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control20Command25

CompsJesús Reyes (age 26) · Hunter Dollander (age 26) · Haden Erbe (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.05

FIP6.05

K%18.6%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-1.4%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	5	5	8	33	12	1	0	100%	1.6	36.4%	3.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.38	0.41	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Mets	5	5	8	33	12	1	0	100%	1.6	36.4%	3.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.38	0.48	—
2021	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	18	17	66	297	67	34	3	94%	3.6	16.7%	13.5%	3.2%	1.4%	5.35	4.16	—
2021	20	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	18	17	66	297	67	34	3	94%	3.6	22.6%	11.4%	11.1%	1.0%	5.35	3.21	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	5	26	118	25	21	1	42%	2.1	14.7%	21.2%	-6.5%	1.2%	5.61	5.20	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	5	26	118	25	21	1	42%	2.1	21.2%	17.8%	3.4%	0.8%	5.61	4.11	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	1	46	222	47	40	4	4%	1.9	16.8%	19.6%	-2.8%	2.2%	6.11	5.40	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	1	46	222	47	40	4	4%	1.9	21.2%	18.0%	3.2%	1.8%	6.11	4.81	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	2	49	220	65	34	3	6%	1.4	18.4%	20.1%	-1.8%	2.2%	4.41	5.28	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	2	49	220	65	34	3	6%	1.4	18.4%	20.1%	-1.8%	2.2%	4.41	5.28	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	2	49	220	65	34	3	6%	1.4	29.5%	15.5%	14.1%	1.4%	4.41	3.32	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	29	9	57	279	67	57	5	31%	2.0	18.5%	23.5%	-5.0%	2.3%	4.74	5.77	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	29	9	57	279	67	57	5	31%	2.0	18.5%	23.5%	-5.0%	2.3%	4.74	5.77	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	29	9	57	279	67	57	5	31%	2.0	24.0%	20.4%	3.6%	1.8%	4.74	4.89	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	SF	67	0	70	296	55	59	9	0%	1.0	18.6%	20.0%	-1.4%	2.9%	6.05	6.05	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SF	66	0	69	291	56	55	9	0%	1.0	19.1%	19.0%	0.1%	3.0%	5.90	5.91	-1.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	SF	64	0	67	282	54	52	9	0%	1.0	19.3%	18.4%	0.8%	3.1%	5.84	5.88	-1.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	SF	61	0	64	270	52	49	9	0%	1.0	19.2%	18.2%	1.1%	3.2%	5.86	5.93	-0.9
2028	27	MLB CTX	SF	24	0	25	106	20	20	3	0%	1.0	19.1%	19.0%	0.1%	3.0%	5.90	5.91	-0.4
2029	28	MLB CTX	SF	37	0	39	165	32	30	5	0%	1.1	19.3%	18.4%	0.8%	3.1%	5.84	5.88	-0.6
2030	29	MLB CTX	SF	43	0	45	190	37	35	6	0%	1.0	19.2%	18.2%	1.1%	3.2%	5.86	5.93	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		104	0	110	463	89	85	14	0%	1.1	19.2%	18.5%	0.7%	3.1%	5.86	5.53	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	162	155	26	0%	1.1	19.2%	18.5%	0.7%	3.1%	5.86	5.53	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		122	39	251	1169	208	220	22	32%	2.1	17.8%	18.8%	-1.0%	1.8%	5.13	4.99	-3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	31	200	931	166	175	17	32%	2.1	17.8%	18.8%	-1.0%	1.8%	5.13	4.99	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Wolf (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.05	18.6%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.91	19.2%	0.6%	200	-0.14	—	—	—
Jesús Reyes R 2019 · 5.71 FIP	26	SU	5.71	15.9%	15.7%	3.6%	.283	5.11	17.5%	5.6%	118	-0.60	3.85	554	77
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	76
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	73
Jake Eddington R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	23	SW	5.02	18.8%	24.1%	0.8%	.316	4.83	16.6%	-1.5%	105	-0.19	4.70	135	73
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	73
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	73
Will Bednar R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	24	SW	6.40	23.8%	23.1%	4.3%	.240	3.83	25.5%	9.4%	115	-2.57	3.38	202	73
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	73
Jeremy Guthrie R 2006 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	15.1%	15.1%	2.1%	.349	4.57	14.8%	8.1%	566	-0.35	4.08	1,834	72
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	72
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	72
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	72
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	72
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	71
Brady Schanuel R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	25	SW	5.51	17.9%	23.5%	1.7%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.91	132	71
Ricky Salinas R 2022 · 5.79 FIP	26	SU	5.79	14.3%	15.1%	3.6%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	274	71
Adrian Chaidez R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	24	SW	4.96	19.4%	16.3%	2.6%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	4.96	144	71
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	71
Lucas Erceg R 2021 · 5.61 FIP	26	SP-	5.61	17.1%	18.1%	3.0%	.258	3.36	25.0%	13.8%	193	-2.25	2.10	351	70
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	19.0%	18.9%	1.18	5.91
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*