Joseph King — OGILVIE

Joseph King P Springfield Cardinals

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 194 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.24

FIP4.24

K%21.4%

BB%7.1%

K-BB%14.3%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	5	92	384	81	22	13	14%	2.5	15.8%	6.7%	9.1%	4.2%	4.71	4.92	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	5	92	384	81	22	13	14%	2.5	15.8%	6.7%	9.1%	4.2%	4.71	4.92	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	5	92	384	81	22	13	14%	2.5	21.1%	5.7%	15.4%	3.4%	4.71	3.90	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	9	0	14	53	18	2	1	0%	1.6	26.2%	4.3%	21.8%	2.4%	2.51	2.75	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	9	0	14	53	18	2	1	0%	1.6	26.2%	4.3%	21.8%	2.4%	2.51	2.75	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	9	0	14	53	18	2	1	0%	1.6	34.0%	3.8%	30.2%	1.9%	2.51	1.91	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	0	15	64	23	8	3	0%	1.3	35.9%	12.5%	23.4%	4.7%	3.68	4.22	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	0	15	64	23	8	3	0%	1.3	35.9%	12.5%	23.4%	4.7%	3.68	4.22	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	0	15	64	23	8	3	0%	1.3	35.9%	12.5%	23.4%	4.7%	3.68	4.26	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	14	0	18	73	23	7	2	0%	1.3	—	—	—	—	4.50	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	14	0	18	73	23	7	2	0%	1.3	—	—	—	—	4.50	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	STL	2	0	2	7	1	2	0	0%	1.0	14.3%	28.6%	-14.3%	0.0%	0.00	5.51	—
2026	25	A RAW	STL	5	0	8	33	12	1	0	0%	1.7	36.4%	3.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.24	0.41	—
2026	25	AA RAW	STL	7	0	8	33	10	4	2	0%	1.1	30.3%	12.1%	18.2%	6.1%	7.04	5.40	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	STL	19	0	20	84	18	6	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	7.3%	14.5%	3.0%	4.23	4.22	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	STL	9	0	9	38	8	3	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	7.3%	14.5%	3.0%	4.23	4.22	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	3	1	0%	1.1	21.8%	7.3%	14.5%	3.0%	4.23	3.84	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	70	23	0%	1.1	21.8%	7.3%	14.5%	3.0%	4.23	3.84	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		70	5	139	574	121	43	22	7%	2.0	21.0%	7.5%	13.5%	3.9%	4.35	4.42	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	7	200	828	174	62	32	7%	2.0	21.0%	7.5%	13.5%	3.9%	4.35	4.42	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joseph King (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.24	21.4%	7.1%	3.0%	—	4.22	21.8%	14.5%	20	-0.02	—	—	—
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	88
Blake Goldsberry R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	23.6%	8.3%	2.3%	.257	5.26	23.6%	12.0%	44	+1.83	3.43	117	87
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.36	22.2%	13.5%	185	+0.63	3.73	223	86
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	85
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	85
Justin Courtney R 2021 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	19.0%	5.9%	4.3%	.364	6.21	17.3%	5.0%	68	+1.63	4.58	108	83
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	83
Joe Colón J R 2015 · 3.27 FIP	25	SU	3.27	19.4%	7.4%	1.6%	.312	4.07	20.7%	7.8%	65	+0.80	3.27	113	83
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	83
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	83
Matt Carasiti R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	22.2%	7.6%	2.7%	.313	3.36	23.4%	12.8%	93	-0.32	2.80	312	82
Daniel Corcino R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	25	SU	4.37	17.2%	7.5%	3.2%	.238	4.76	19.4%	8.2%	263	+0.39	3.84	299	82
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	82
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	82
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.59	20.8%	8.4%	121	+0.80	3.77	244	82
Colton Hock R 2021 · 3.77 FIP	25	SU	3.77	21.3%	7.2%	2.8%	.304	3.83	17.7%	11.7%	60	+0.06	3.29	253	82
Andres Avila R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	16.0%	5.2%	2.9%	.316	4.13	20.3%	13.9%	73	+0.15	3.98	177	81
Matt Marsh R 2016 · 3.79 FIP	25	SU	3.79	21.0%	8.2%	2.6%	.273	3.13	18.5%	5.9%	15	-0.66	3.13	143	81
Seth Frankoff R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	26	SU	4.01	19.6%	7.4%	2.9%	.312	4.29	20.0%	11.3%	177	+0.28	2.88	263	81
Will Vest R 2019 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	21.8%	8.5%	2.5%	.282	3.65	20.9%	11.9%	124	-0.06	2.56	448	81