Julian Brock — OGILVIE

Julian BrockC Frisco RoughRiders

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 220 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION279 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP266

ISO78

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	23	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	393	351	89	17	4	6	31	111	5	7	6	254	323	376	699	123	346	28	8	311	97	-2	-1	—	—	+9	0.6
2025	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	65	56	18	4	0	1	7	16	1	3	2	321	406	446	853	125	425	25	11	378	142	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	24	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	245	221	46	12	0	2	18	66	4	10	5	208	280	290	569	81	284	27	7	261	63	-11	+0	—	—	+5	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	23	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	393	363	75	13	3	5	19	154	5	7	6	207	256	300	556	94	323	39	5	243	51	-23	-1	—	—	+9	-1.6
2025	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	65	59	17	4	0	1	4	20	1	3	2	288	344	407	751	119	401	31	6	322	104	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	245	227	38	10	0	1	12	86	4	10	5	167	222	225	447	57	259	35	5	203	24	-22	+0	—	—	+5	-1.7
2024	23	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	393	363	75	13	3	5	19	154	5	7	6	207	256	300	556	94	333	39	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	393	351	89	17	4	6	31	111	5	7	6	254	323	376	699	123	346	28	8	311	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	310	286	56	14	0	2	16	106	5	13	7	196	251	266	517	70	298	34	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	310	277	64	16	0	3	25	82	5	13	7	231	306	321	627	90	313	26	8	286	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	393	366	75	13	3	5	19	154	5	7	6	205	256	298	554	93	323	39	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	310	286	56	14	0	2	16	106	5	13	7	196	251	266	517	70	289	34	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	393	366	75	13	3	5	19	154	5	7	6	205	256	298	554	93	323	39	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	310	286	56	14	0	2	16	106	5	13	7	196	251	266	517	70	289	34	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	TEX	—	279	249	39	7	1	5	24	108	5	4	3	157	245	253	498	96	248	39	9	229	41	-20	-0	+0	+5	+6	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	TEX	—	204	177	35	6	0	5	24	67	2	2	2	198	300	316	617	119	283	33	12	285	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA RAW	TEX	—	75	61	12	3	1	2	11	20	3	2	1	197	347	377	724	180	256	27	15	333	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	TEX	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		264	33	11	230	42	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	TEX	—	288	257	40	7	1	5	25	111	5	4	3	156	244	249	493	93	246	39	9	229	41	-20	-0	+0	+5	+6	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	31%	351	318	59	12	1	6	25	120	5	6	4	186	256	286	542	101	268	34	7	243	51	-21	-0	+0	+6	+8	-0.7
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	42%	376	340	63	13	1	6	28	126	5	7	4	185	257	282	540	97	270	34	7	249	55	-20	-0	+0	+7	+8	-0.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	TEX	51%	392	355	67	14	1	7	29	129	5	7	4	189	260	293	553	104	271	33	7	252	57	-20	-0	-1	+7	+8	-0.6
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	31%	109	99	18	4	0	2	8	37	1	2	1	182	250	283	533	101	270	34	7	237	51	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	42%	158	143	26	5	0	3	12	53	2	3	2	182	255	280	534	98	272	34	8	243	55	-8	-0	+0	+3	+3	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	TEX	51%	199	179	35	7	1	4	15	66	3	3	2	196	269	313	582	117	273	33	8	246	57	-10	-0	-0	+4	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	466	421	79	16	1	9	35	156	6	8	5	188	260	295	554	107	270	33	8	243	51	-25	-0	-0	+8	+10	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	110	22	1	13	49	218	8	11	7	187	259	295	554	107	269	34	8	243	51	-35	-1	-0	+12	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1831	1670	321	66	6	26	118	638	25	40	25	192	256	286	542	93	289	35	6	244	51	-61	-1	-1	+20	+24	-1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	113	23	2	9	42	226	9	14	9	191	255	282	536	91	287	35	6	244	51	-35	-0	-0	+12	+14	-1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	473	8	8	187	256	288	+8	+4	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	11	12	+11.9	+5.6	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Julian Brock (OGILVIE)	25	30	30	50	30	172/240/255	83	264	4	6	36%	7%	42	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	188/250/263	74	259	6	6	29%	7%	46	-2.6	203/267/280	77	271	6	7	26%	7%	57	-1.8	197/264/256	59	255	4	5	23%	8%	47	-1.2
✕Ryan Metzler 2018 · AA	25	38	36→40	50	34	176/233/243	67	308	4	12	42%	6%	35	-3.4	198/251/284	86	294	8	13	33%	6%	51	-2.2	186/240/263	77	270	8	15	33%	6%	40	-1.2
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	37→40	45→40	40	178/255/248	70	259	5	5	32%	6%	46	-2.6	192/272/277	85	272	7	6	30%	7%	59	-1.7	144/248/206	63	200	4	0	27%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	37	192/235/277	84	280	6	8	33%	5%	43	-2.8	215/262/289	74	286	5	5	25%	4%	56	-1.9	229/274/261	32	293	2	0	21%	3%	51	-0.9
✕Justin Twine 2021 · AA	25	46→32	38→40	48→50	37	217/258/299	82	300	5	10	29%	4%	57	-1.8	208/251/313	105	359	9	17	42%	4%	57	-1.8	188/220/292	104	356	9	25	48%	2%	40	-1.3
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	38	186/229/264	78	254	7	15	29%	5%	38	-3.2	203/241/302	99	289	8	11	31%	4%	51	-2.3	193/216/293	100	272	7	9	31%	2%	36	-1.1
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/250/255	69	292	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	198/255/283	85	411	7	17	49%	6%	53	-2.1	129/189/164	35	426	3	38	66%	6%	-2	-1.1
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	39	35→30	46→45	36	185/230/236	51	281	3	6	34%	5%	31	-3.7	191/245/263	72	274	5	6	30%	6%	44	-2.8	172/230/237	65	240	4	2	28%	6%	31	-0.8
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	40	39→45	53→55	40	192/251/280	87	274	5	16	31%	6%	50	-2.3	188/266/297	109	283	10	16	35%	8%	61	-1.5	173/257/288	115	272	12	16	38%	8%	54	-1.2
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	43→40	37→40	53→55	41	199/268/276	76	310	4	13	34%	7%	56	-1.9	197/276/296	99	311	9	20	36%	8%	65	-1.2	190/273/288	98	292	9	24	35%	8%	59	-1.1
✕George Soto 2011 · A	25	34	36→40	44→45	40	169/238/230	61	247	5	8	32%	6%	35	-3.4	190/261/281	91	262	7	8	28%	8%	55	-2.0	163/239/259	97	213	9	7	27%	8%	44	-1.0
✕Travis Tartamella 2013 · AA	25	35	38→30	48→30	36	174/216/251	77	253	5	4	33%	5%	30	-3.8	181/221/242	61	268	5	3	33%	4%	30	-3.8	164/201/203	38	247	3	0	33%	4%	11	-1.7
✕Jose Vinicio 2018 · AAA	25	45→30	38→40	50→55	35	218/241/297	78	290	5	13	27%	3%	49	-2.4	211/240/300	89	296	7	14	30%	3%	49	-2.4	201/220/275	73	285	5	16	31%	2%	34	-1.8
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA	25	41→38	40	48→50	40	193/269/287	94	312	8	10	38%	8%	60	-1.6	198/279/295	97	292	8	13	32%	9%	65	-1.2	174/270/262	88	250	6	16	30%	10%	53	-1.4
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2008 · AAA	25	38	38→40	45→40	37	186/239/266	79	266	5	4	31%	5%	42	-2.9	207/260/286	79	287	7	4	29%	6%	55	-2.0	210/276/290	80	290	6	0	28%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	188/265/260	72	272	7	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	177/270/265	88	291	8	12	39%	8%	56	-1.9	151/256/238	88	264	7	16	41%	8%	45	-1.6
✕Dennis Ortega 2022 · AAA	25	41	38→45	47→45	39	200/250/277	77	288	6	5	32%	6%	49	-2.4	214/269/308	94	322	8	10	34%	6%	63	-1.3	201/253/274	73	312	5	10	35%	6%	46	-0.8
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→28	40→45	46→40	35	176/222/267	91	273	7	4	37%	5%	36	-3.3	194/242/306	112	292	12	4	36%	6%	53	-2.1	187/235/301	114	276	14	3	37%	5%	48	-1.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps