Julian Brock — OGILVIE

Julian BrockC Frisco RoughRiders

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 220 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION204 act + 136 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†29

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .237 / .250

PA136

HR2

K%38

BB%7

BABIP268

ISO81

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	393	362	78	14	2	5	20	151	5	7	6	215	266	307	573	91	344	38	5	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	393	351	89	17	4	6	31	111	5	7	6	254	323	376	699	123	346	28	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	310	287	57	15	0	2	15	106	5	13	7	199	251	272	523	73	302	34	5	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	310	277	64	16	0	3	25	82	5	13	7	231	306	321	627	90	313	26	8	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	TEX	—	204	184	29	5	0	4	17	86	2	2	2	158	236	250	486	92	263	42	8	219	26	-17	-0	+0	+4	+6	-0.8
YTD	25	AA	TEX	—	204	177	35	6	0	5	24	67	2	2	2	198	300	316	617	119	283	33	12	285	76	-6	-0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
ROS	25	AA	TEX	2%	136	124	21	4	0	2	9	52	2	2	1	169	237	250	487	81	272	38	7	223	29	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
ROS	25	MLB	TEX	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						274	33	0	216	24	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	TEX	—	207	187	29	5	0	4	17	87	2	2	2	155	233	246	479	91	258	42	8	219	26	-17	-0	+0	+4	+6	-0.8
TOT	25	AA	TEX	—	340	308	50	9	0	6	26	138	4	4	3	162	237	250	487	88	265	41	8	221	27	-28	-0	+0	+6	+10	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	TEX	31%	335	306	55	11	1	5	22	123	4	6	3	180	244	271	515	92	275	37	7	236	39	-23	+0	+0	+6	+9	-0.8
2028	27	MLB	TEX	42%	366	334	62	13	1	6	25	131	4	6	4	186	251	284	535	99	277	36	7	243	44	-23	-0	+0	+7	+10	-0.7
2029	28	MLB	TEX	48%	385	351	66	13	1	7	27	135	4	7	4	188	254	291	545	103	277	35	7	246	47	-23	-0	-1	+7	+11	-0.6
2030	29	MLB	TEX	53%	389	354	66	13	1	7	28	136	4	7	4	186	254	288	542	102	277	35	7	246	47	-23	-0	-1	+7	+11	-0.7
2031	30	MLB	TEX	57%	390	355	66	13	1	7	28	138	4	6	4	186	253	287	541	101	275	35	7	243	44	-24	-0	-2	+7	+11	-0.9
2027	26	MLB	TEX	31%	104	95	18	4	0	2	7	38	1	2	1	189	252	295	547	105	277	37	7	230	34	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2028	27	MLB	TEX	42%	154	140	26	5	0	3	11	55	2	3	2	186	255	286	541	100	278	36	7	237	39	-11	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.4
2029	28	MLB	TEX	48%	184	167	30	6	0	3	13	65	2	3	2	180	247	269	517	90	279	35	7	240	42	-12	-0	-0	+3	+5	-0.4
2030	29	MLB	TEX	53%	207	188	35	7	0	4	15	73	2	3	2	186	254	287	541	101	278	35	7	240	42	-14	-0	-1	+4	+6	-0.5
2031	30	MLB	TEX	57%	222	202	38	8	0	4	16	78	2	4	2	188	255	287	542	99	277	35	7	237	40	-15	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	874	795	147	30	0	16	62	310	9	15	9	185	252	283	535	98	276	35	7	237	40	-59	-1	-2	+16	+25	-2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	109	22	0	12	46	231	7	11	7	184	252	283	534	98	276	36	7	237	40	-44	-1	-2	+12	+18	-1.7
Career	—			—	2704	2473	471	96	7	41	174	972	32	54	33	190	253	285	537	94	291	36	6	242	43	-173	-2	-4	+48	+77	-5.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	114	23	2	10	42	234	8	13	8	192	255	288	543	96	293	36	6	242	43	-42	-1	-1	+12	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	393	351	89	17	4	6	31	111	5	7	6	254	323	376	699	123	346	28	8	311	96	-2	-1	—	—	+11	0.9
2025	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	65	56	18	4	0	1	7	16	1	3	2	321	406	446	853	125	425	25	11	378	148	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	24	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	245	221	46	12	0	2	18	66	4	10	5	208	280	290	569	81	284	27	7	261	58	-12	+0	—	—	+7	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	877	15	15	186	249	284	+16	+8	-1.7	-0.8
	/162	664	11	11	186	249	284	+11.9	+6.1	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Julian Brock (OGILVIE)	25	30	30	50	30	162/237/250	88	265	6	4	41%	8%	27	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Metzler 2018 · AA	25	37	36→40	50	33	172/230/239	67	312	4	12	43%	6%	24	-3.5	194/246/278	84	292	8	13	34%	6%	41	-2.3	179/231/253	74	263	8	15	34%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	36	190/233/274	83	280	6	8	33%	5%	34	-2.8	215/261/287	72	286	5	5	25%	4%	50	-1.8	229/273/258	30	292	2	0	21%	3%	43	-0.8
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	38	34→30	46→45	35	183/227/233	50	283	3	6	35%	5%	20	-3.8	189/242/261	72	274	4	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	168/225/233	65	237	3	2	29%	6%	18	-0.8
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→35	37→30	49→50	36	185/247/257	72	291	5	13	36%	5%	37	-2.7	194/252/279	85	413	7	17	51%	6%	44	-2.1	114/175/145	31	406	3	38	68%	6%	-26	-1.2
✕Travis Tartamella 2013 · AA	25	34	38→30	48→30	35	172/214/248	76	253	6	4	34%	5%	20	-3.8	181/221/241	60	273	5	3	34%	4%	20	-3.8	164/200/203	38	252	3	0	35%	4%	-1	-1.7
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	38	41→40	45	35	187/242/284	97	286	9	5	36%	5%	42	-2.3	210/261/294	84	310	6	8	32%	6%	52	-1.6	210/261/280	69	308	5	8	31%	5%	44	-0.8
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	37	184/227/263	79	255	7	15	30%	5%	29	-3.2	202/240/304	102	292	9	11	33%	4%	45	-2.1	190/214/293	103	271	9	9	33%	2%	27	-1.1
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA	25	41→39	40	48→50	39	190/264/282	92	318	8	10	40%	8%	51	-1.7	201/280/301	100	296	8	13	32%	9%	63	-0.9	184/275/280	96	259	7	16	29%	10%	53	-1.0
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	37→39	42→45	47→50	38	186/242/289	103	277	10	12	35%	6%	43	-2.2	197/252/301	104	308	9	13	37%	6%	50	-1.8	206/260/308	103	297	8	9	32%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	35→37	37→40	43→45	42	172/248/244	72	250	5	8	31%	7%	35	-2.8	192/256/268	76	294	6	7	34%	7%	43	-2.2	166/232/217	51	261	3	3	35%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Dennis Ortega 2022 · AAA	25	40	39→45	47→45	38	197/244/276	79	285	7	5	33%	5%	40	-2.4	209/261/303	94	327	8	10	36%	6%	54	-1.4	187/240/258	72	308	5	10	39%	6%	30	-1.0
✕George Soto 2011 · A	25	34	36→40	44→45	40	169/238/230	61	247	5	8	32%	6%	27	-3.3	190/261/281	91	262	7	8	28%	8%	49	-1.8	163/239/259	97	213	9	7	27%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	189/267/262	73	276	7	10	32%	7%	48	-1.9	173/266/261	88	295	8	12	40%	8%	48	-1.9	147/253/237	90	268	8	16	43%	8%	36	-1.6
✕Connor Harrell 2016 · AA	25	39→43	41→40	46→45	34	191/246/285	94	292	8	9	36%	4%	43	-2.2	209/261/307	98	311	10	9	34%	4%	56	-1.3	209/262/304	94	310	11	7	34%	4%	51	-1.1
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Eric Yang 2023 · AAA	25	38	39→40	47→40	43	183/265/268	86	275	7	6	34%	8%	48	-1.9	196/271/271	75	301	5	6	34%	8%	51	-1.7	178/263/236	57	284	5	1	35%	8%	36	-0.6
✕Jose Vinicio 2018 · AAA	25	45→30	39→40	50→55	34	217/238/299	82	292	6	13	28%	3%	41	-2.3	209/236/299	90	300	8	14	32%	3%	41	-2.3	197/215/270	74	287	6	16	33%	2%	22	-1.9