Jud Fabian

CF Norfolk Tides
Age 26 R/L 6'0" / 195 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
AAAPROSPECTFG #960Pre-ArbFA 2033
FG ETA2027MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202524AAABAL431.183/.325/.34915850—.158/.257/.278
202625AAABAL451.191/.329/.33614645—.155/.256/.255
2027PROJ10% MLB26MLBBAL25.172/.264/.2911056-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB27MLBBAL104.175/.266/.2953258-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.0First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$3M2031Ext$5M2032Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
BB%88
Chase%85
Max EV57
Speed38
Z-Con%20
K%16
Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%
CompsConnor Kaiser (age 26) · Andrés Alvarez (age 27) · Jake Means (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.172 / .264 / .291
PA25
HR1
K%36
BB%12
BABIP251
ISO182
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -13.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +1.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +5.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 21 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT21
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE57
scouting grade only
SPEED58
scouting grade only
DEFENSE60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2027
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202221 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 3024 4100 580 02 167310208519 42235 2717 250 17 — — — — — —
202221 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 5244 17723 890 00 3864818411.322 455438 1715 549 175 — — — — — —
202221 ROKFCL Orioles — 1710 5100 640 10 5006886001.288 100714 2435 535 195 — — — — — —
202322 AABowie Baysox — 288238 426115 441084 122 176315399714 223233 3815 320 40 — — — — — —
202322 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 237192 541309 37612 196 281403490892 208352 2616 387 94 — — — — — —
202423 AAANorfolk Tides — 125113 18502 11510 31 159234257491 97262 419 226 8 — — — — — —
202423 AABowie Baysox — 422361 8416118 461267 135 233331432763 199296 3011 335 53 — — — — — —
202524 AAANorfolk Tides — 431350 6411115 721362 81 183325349674 166241 3217 307 50 — — — — — —
202625 AAANorfolk Tides — 451366 7011014 711384 63 191329336665 145256 3116 303 45 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202221 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 3026 4100 3110 02 154241192434 38207 3710 194 17 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 5246 15622 6120 00 3264046741.078 348376 2312 427 175 — — — — — —
202221 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 1712 5100 460 10 4175625001.062 83595 3524 456 195 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 288250 32419 321334 122 128238260498 132209 4611 228 40 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 237206 461009 23812 196 223307403710 180290 3410 307 94 — — — — — —
202423 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 125116 15401 8570 31 129185190375 60239 466 180 8 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 422375 6812111 321587 135 181258307565 125255 378 247 53 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 431374 5910111 481692 81 158257278535 120230 3911 242 50 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 451388 609010 491664 63 155256255511 101221 3711 235 45 — — — — — —
202221 A MLE3 teams — 9985 24822 12280 12 282371494865 212386 2812 361 131 — — — — — —
202221 A RAW3 teams — 9978 26923 19210 12 3334646151.079 282411 2119 456 131 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLE2 teams — 525457 7915118 542146 318 173269328597 155263 4110 264 65 — — — — — —
202322 AA RAW2 teams — 525430 9619124 811696 318 223354440794 216295 3215 350 65 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLE2 teams — 547491 8316112 402167 166 169242279521 110263 397 232 43 — — — — — —
202423 AA RAW2 teams — 547474 10221120 571777 166 215309390699 175289 3210 310 43 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 431374 5910111 481692 81 158257278535 120242 3911 242 50 — — — — — —
202524 AAA RAWNorfolk Tides — 431350 6411115 721362 81 183325349674 166241 3217 307 50 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 451388 609010 491664 63 155256255511 101230 3711 235 45 — — — — — —
202625 AAA RAWNorfolk Tides — 451366 7011014 711384 63 191329336665 145256 3116 303 45 — — — — — —
202221 A MLE3 teams — 9987 24822 12280 12 276371483854 207362 2812 361 131 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLE2 teams — 525460 7915118 542146 318 172269326595 154246 4110 264 65 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLE2 teams — 547495 8316112 402167 166 168242277518 109251 397 232 43 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 431378 5910111 481692 81 156257275532 119230 3911 242 50 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 451395 609010 491664 63 152256251507 99221 3711 235 45 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AA MLE2 teams — 547495 8316112 402167 166 168242277518 109251 397 232 43 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 431378 5910111 481692 81 156257275532 119230 3911 242 50 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 451395 609010 491664 63 152256251507 99221 3711 235 45 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEBAL 10% 380335 571019 391373 62 169261283545 115248 3610 251 56 -20 +0 +3 +1 +8 -0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXBAL 10% 2522 4101 390 00 172264291555 119251 3612 255 56 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEBAL 31% 336296 51918 341193 52 172263287550 115250 3510 253 58 -17 +0 +3 +1 +7 -0.6
202827 MLB CTXBAL 31% 10491 16303 11371 21 175266295561 120253 3611 257 58 -5 +0 +1 +0 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 10491 16303 11371 21 176272308580 132250 3611 257 55 -5 +0 +1 +0 +2 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650569 10019019 692316 126 176272309581 134249 3611 257 55 -33 +0 +5 +2 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 26392311 39273667 263100224 7123 170261293555 124256 3810 250 55 -30 +1 +4 +2 +13 -1.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650569 9718117 652476 176 170263295558 125256 3810 250 55 -33 +1 +5 +2 +14 -1.2