Abner Uribe
P
Milwaukee Brewers
+1.2
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
MLB
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 1.1 · 2026
ERA3.00
FIP3.41
xFIP3.68
SIERA3.39
K%28.0%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%18.5%
IP53
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2026
K†7070
FB Velo
p9099.8
Whiff%
p9032.0%
K%
p9030.2%
xwOBA vs
p900.260
SL+1.6 (37%)
SI (63%)
FB (63%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers | 12 | 0 | 19 | 76 | 21 | 10 | 0 | 18.8% | 16.4% | 0.0% | 3.32 | 3.60 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Brewers Blue | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 15.43 | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 17 | 4 | 34 | 150 | 52 | 25 | 2 | 25.7% | 19.7% | 1.8% | 4.01 | 4.40 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 54 | 0 | 54 | 224 | 80 | 36 | 1 | 32.8% | 15.9% | 0.6% | 1.84 | 2.67 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 21 | 0 | 23 | 104 | 21 | 17 | 1 | 21.2% | 15.2% | 1.3% | 4.70 | 3.95 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 75 | 0 | 75 | 298 | 90 | 25 | 4 | 30.2% | 8.4% | 1.3% | 1.67 | 2.30 | +2.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 8 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.91 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIL | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 61 | 18 | 4 | 31.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 2.90 | 3.12 | +0.9 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 53 | 222 | 69 | 19 | 4 | 31.0% | 8.6% | 1.8% | 3.18 | 2.69 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 52 | — | 52 | 220 | 68 | 20 | 4 | 31.1% | 9.0% | 1.9% | 2.97 | 3.06 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 67 | 20 | 4 | 31.0% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 3.04 | 3.09 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 65 | 19 | 4 | 30.5% | 9.1% | 2.0% | 3.12 | 3.17 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 62 | 19 | 4 | 30.0% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 3.20 | 3.26 | +0.9 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | MIL | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 58 | 19 | 4 | 29.4% | 9.3% | 2.2% | 3.30 | 3.36 | +0.8 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 55 | 18 | 4 | 28.8% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 3.41 | 3.48 | +0.8 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 51 | 18 | 4 | 28.1% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 3.53 | 3.61 | +0.7 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 41 | — | 41 | 173 | 47 | 17 | 4 | 27.4% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 3.66 | 3.74 | +0.6 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | MIL | 38 | — | 38 | 163 | 43 | 16 | 4 | 26.7% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 3.80 | 3.90 | +0.5 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | MIL | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 39 | 16 | 4 | 25.9% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 3.95 | 4.06 | +0.4 |
| 2037 | 37 | MLB | MIL | 33 | — | 33 | 141 | 35 | 15 | 4 | 25.1% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.12 | 4.23 | +0.3 |
| 2038 | 38 | MLB | MIL | 31 | — | 31 | 130 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 24.2% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 192 | 6 | 217 | 911 | 252 | 127 | 9 | 27.7% | 14.0% | 1.0% | 2.77 | 3.08 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 177 | 6 | 200 | 838 | 232 | 117 | 8 | 27.7% | 14.0% | 1.0% | 2.77 | 3.08 | +5.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Abner Uribe (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.12 | 31.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% | — | 3.11 | 30.9% | 21.8% | 154 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Ken Giles R 2026 · 2.23 FIP | 26 | SW | 2.23 | 33.6% | 8.5% | 1.6% | .288 | 2.43 | 32.6% | 27.1% | 103 | +0.20 | 1.95 | 368 | 76 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2028 · 3.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.38 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 2.1% | .265 | 4.49 | 17.9% | 6.5% | 61 | +1.11 | 3.38 | 173 | 76 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.48 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.74 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.26 | 1.69 | 468 | 72 |
| Blake Treinen R 2027 · 3.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.02 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.3% | .314 | 2.56 | 26.4% | 19.2% | 223 | -0.46 | 1.54 | 521 | 72 |
| Ryne Stanek R 2026 · 3.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.06 | 30.4% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .311 | 3.85 | 28.9% | 18.4% | 143 | +0.79 | 2.94 | 708 | 71 |
| Alex Lange R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.02 | 30.3% | 11.1% | 1.9% | .273 | 3.90 | 26.4% | 10.5% | 108 | +0.88 | 3.02 | 451 | 71 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.16 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 1.9% | .242 | 4.96 | 28.4% | 15.9% | 57 | +1.80 | 3.16 | 279 | 71 |
| José Ramírez R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.36 | 23.0% | 10.4% | 1.6% | .274 | 4.63 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 62 | +1.27 | 3.36 | 206 | 71 |
| Lou Trivino R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.60 | 27.4% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .247 | 3.85 | 22.4% | 11.8% | 157 | +0.25 | 2.39 | 550 | 71 |
| Orion Kerkering R 2024 · 3.30 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.30 | 24.4% | 9.0% | 2.0% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.89 | 165 | 71 |
| Ben Heller R 2025 · 2.93 FIP | 25 | SW | 2.93 | 32.4% | 9.4% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 246 | 71 |
| Arodys Vizcaíno R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.58 | 27.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .243 | 3.61 | 25.3% | 16.4% | 38 | +0.03 | 2.27 | 183 | 70 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 70 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 2.98 FIP | 26 | SW | 2.98 | 24.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% | .286 | 4.28 | 21.0% | 11.4% | 114 | +1.30 | 2.98 | 234 | 70 |
| Tucker Healy R 2026 · 2.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 2.83 | 30.4% | 10.5% | 1.8% | .294 | 4.61 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 67 | +1.78 | 2.83 | 174 | 70 |
| Jaden Hill R 2025 · 2.56 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.56 | 28.4% | 7.7% | 1.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 129 | 70 |
| Zach McAllister R 2027 · 2.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 2.83 | 28.1% | 6.4% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.89 | 23.5% | 16.0% | 159 | +1.06 | 2.83 | 363 | 70 |
| Blake Wood R 2029 · 2.91 FIP | 29 | SW | 2.91 | 24.5% | 10.5% | 1.0% | .325 | 3.57 | 24.9% | 14.9% | 151 | +0.66 | 2.91 | 210 | 69 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.52 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .244 | 3.73 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.21 | 3.18 | 253 | 69 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.24 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .260 | 2.93 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 188 | -0.31 | 2.59 | 302 | 69 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2023
Service 1.703 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2030
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.1 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.1 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2028 | Arb-1 | $2M | +1.1 | $9M | +$7M |
| 2029 | Arb-2 | $4M | +1.0 | $9M | +$5M |
| 2030 | Arb-3 | $6M | +0.9 | $4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $12M | $40M | +$28M | ||