Abner Uribe
P
Milwaukee Brewers
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
MLB
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 1.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 31 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8374vR 65
ERA3.13
FIP3.03
K%28.2%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%18.9%
ROS IP31
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9098.6
Whiff%
p5626.3%
K%
p5423.0%
xwOBA vs
p900.266
SL+1.6 (34%)
SI (66%)
FB (66%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers | 12 | 0 | 19 | 76 | 21 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.8% | 16.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 3.32 | 3.60 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers | 12 | 0 | 19 | 76 | 21 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.6% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 0.0% | 3.32 | 2.47 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Brewers Blue | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 67% | 0.8 | 15.4% | 30.8% | -15.4% | 0.0% | 15.43 | 5.70 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Brewers Blue | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 67% | 0.8 | 15.4% | 30.8% | -15.4% | 0.0% | 15.43 | 6.53 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 17 | 4 | 34 | 150 | 52 | 25 | 2 | 24% | 2.0 | 25.7% | 19.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 4.01 | 4.43 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 17 | 4 | 34 | 150 | 52 | 25 | 2 | 24% | 2.0 | 34.7% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 1.3% | 4.01 | 3.01 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.7% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.23 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.7% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.43 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 54 | 0 | 54 | 224 | 80 | 36 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.8% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 0.6% | 1.84 | 2.66 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 54 | 0 | 54 | 224 | 80 | 36 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.7% | 16.1% | 19.6% | 0.4% | 1.84 | 2.37 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 23 | 104 | 21 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 15.2% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 4.70 | 4.09 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 23 | 104 | 21 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 16.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 4.70 | 4.06 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 75 | 0 | 75 | 298 | 90 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.2% | 8.4% | 21.8% | 1.4% | 1.67 | 2.38 | +2.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 75 | 0 | 75 | 298 | 90 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.2% | 8.4% | 21.8% | 1.3% | 1.67 | 2.40 | +2.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 39 | 0 | 39 | 152 | 35 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 2.0% | 2.56 | 3.32 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 132 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.2% | 9.2% | 18.9% | 2.1% | 3.13 | 3.03 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.2% | 9.2% | 18.9% | 2.0% | 3.11 | 3.01 | +0.6 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 70 | 284 | 72 | 25 | 6 | — | — | 25.4% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 2.0% | 2.82 | 3.19 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 70 | 295 | 72 | 25 | 6 | — | — | 24.5% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 1.9% | 2.80 | 3.17 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 85 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.2% | 9.3% | 19.9% | 2.1% | 3.39 | 3.36 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 82 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.1% | 9.5% | 19.6% | 2.2% | 3.42 | 3.45 | +1.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 80 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.2% | 9.3% | 19.9% | 2.1% | 3.37 | 3.34 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 77 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 9.5% | 19.6% | 2.2% | 3.40 | 3.43 | +0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 313 | 0 | 319 | 1319 | 374 | 131 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.3% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 1.7% | 2.85 | 2.90 | +9.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 196 | 0 | 200 | 827 | 234 | 82 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.3% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 1.7% | 2.85 | 2.90 | +5.9 | ||
| Career | — | 223 | 6 | 249 | 1032 | 279 | 139 | 13 | 3% | 1.1 | 27.1% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 1.2% | 2.68 | 3.21 | +6.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 179 | 5 | 200 | 830 | 225 | 112 | 10 | 3% | 1.1 | 27.1% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 1.2% | 2.68 | 3.21 | +5.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Abner Uribe (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.11 | 32.4% | 9.6% | 2.1% | — | 3.40 | 29.2% | 19.8% | 136 | +0.29 | — | — | — |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .265 | 4.48 | 17.9% | 6.5% | 61 | +1.02 | 3.46 | 173 | 78 |
| José Ramírez R 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.28 | 23.0% | 10.4% | 1.5% | .274 | 4.56 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 62 | +1.28 | 3.28 | 206 | 74 |
| Ken Giles R 2026 · 2.18 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.18 | 33.6% | 8.5% | 1.5% | .288 | 2.48 | 32.6% | 27.1% | 103 | +0.30 | 1.97 | 368 | 74 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2028 · 3.31 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.31 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .302 | 3.78 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.47 | 1.74 | 468 | 74 |
| Lou Trivino R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.47 | 27.4% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .247 | 3.83 | 22.4% | 11.8% | 157 | +0.36 | 2.39 | 579 | 73 |
| Alex Lange R 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.05 | 30.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .273 | 4.00 | 26.4% | 10.5% | 108 | +0.95 | 3.05 | 489 | 73 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.30 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .242 | 4.27 | 29.9% | 16.5% | 101 | +0.97 | 3.30 | 323 | 72 |
| Blake Wood R 2029 · 3.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.05 | 24.5% | 10.5% | 1.3% | .325 | 3.66 | 24.9% | 14.9% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.05 | 210 | 72 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 72 |
| Ryne Stanek R 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.09 | 30.4% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .311 | 3.86 | 28.9% | 18.4% | 143 | +0.77 | 2.92 | 745 | 72 |
| Tucker Healy R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.02 | 30.4% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .294 | 4.85 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 67 | +1.83 | 2.85 | 174 | 72 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.07 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.4% | .260 | 2.79 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 188 | -0.28 | 2.42 | 302 | 72 |
| Arodys Vizcaíno R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.51 | 27.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | .243 | 3.47 | 25.3% | 16.4% | 38 | -0.04 | 2.25 | 183 | 71 |
| Pierce Johnson R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.20 | 27.8% | 11.7% | 1.8% | .374 | 3.75 | 25.0% | 13.7% | 86 | +0.55 | 2.83 | 577 | 71 |
| Reyes Moronta R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.31 | 28.5% | 13.0% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.04 | 21.5% | 5.3% | 56 | +1.73 | 3.06 | 361 | 71 |
| Ben Heller R 2025 · 2.65 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.65 | 32.4% | 9.4% | 2.0% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 246 | 71 |
| Blake Treinen R 2027 · 3.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.10 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.4% | .314 | 2.59 | 26.4% | 19.2% | 223 | -0.51 | 1.51 | 544 | 71 |
| Jon Edwards R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 71 |
| Dellin Betances R 2027 · 2.14 FIP | 27 | SU | 2.14 | 39.5% | 11.4% | 1.7% | .248 | 2.01 | 41.0% | 29.6% | 199 | -0.13 | 1.58 | 308 | 71 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.21 | 24.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | .286 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 11.4% | 114 | +1.08 | 3.21 | 234 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 30.3% | 9.5% | 0.83 | 3.34 |
| Keone Kela ('19) | 5 | 43 | 30.1% | 9.4% | 0.92 | 3.23 |
| Pedro Strop ('19) | 5 | 55 | 27.7% | 9.9% | 0.75 | 3.05 |
| Diego Castillo ('22) | 5 | 52 | 28.1% | 8.9% | 1.07 | 3.12 |
| Evan Phillips ('24) | 4 | 52 | 29.5% | 7.8% | 0.70 | 2.78 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Pedro Báez ('19) | 5 | 63 | 26.1% | 8.3% | 0.97 | 3.06 |