Warming Bernabel

1B Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

AAAArb-1FA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	21	AACOL	322	.225/.271/.338	6	2	42	—	.199/.237/.294
2024	22	AACOL	506	.263/.298/.359	9	12	56	—	.233/.260/.313
2024	22	INTLLeones del Es…	20	.150/.150/.200	0	0	-9	—
2025	23	MLBCOL	146	.252/.288/.410	4	1	84	-1.1
2027PROJ10% MLB	25	MLBCOL	25	.258/.297/.387	1	0	81	-0.0
2028PROJ42% MLB	26	MLBCOL	176	.259/.300/.396	5	3	84	-0.3
2029PROJ55% MLB	27	MLBCOL	230	.258/.300/.395	6	3	84	-0.4

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031Super-2

2027Arb-1$0.5M2028Arb-2$0.5M2029Arb-3$0.5M2030Arb-4$0.7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA

K%92

Z-Con%90

Whiff%84

Max EV70

Speed48

BB%22

CompsBrent Morel (age 25) · Andy Burns (age 25) · Grant Green (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 8381vR 74

AVG/OBP/SLG.258 / .297 / .387

PA25

HR1

K%16

BB%4

BABIP293

ISO167

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT60

Whiff%

5010.9%

xAVG

450.247

POWER50

Barrel%

102.6

Avg EV

1085.4

Bat Spd

3069.2

EYE35

Chase%

1041.6%

SPEED45

Sprint

7328.4

Platoon Splits2025 · 146 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

117

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

287

310

▶R

ISO

103

173

▶▶R

BABIP

269

286

▶R

6.9%

19.7%

◀◀L

BB%

0.0%

6.0%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2025

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.5M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-2	$0.5M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-3	$0.5M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-4	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	241	212	53	13	2	4	16	29	8	3	7	250	326	387	713	137	266	12	7	316	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	94	83	17	6	0	1	7	14	3	4	1	205	290	313	604	108	232	15	7	276	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	86	74	32	5	0	6	5	12	2	5	1	432	481	743	1.225	311	426	14	6	498	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	Spokane Indians	—	109	105	32	7	0	4	2	17	0	2	2	305	315	486	801	181	329	16	2	346	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	300	262	83	19	0	10	29	39	5	21	6	317	395	504	899	187	336	13	10	393	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	58	54	6	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	111	158	185	343	74	116	19	5	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	322	302	68	14	1	6	15	68	4	2	0	225	271	338	609	113	271	21	5	273	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	36	33	11	4	0	2	1	6	2	0	0	333	389	636	1.025	303	360	17	3	444	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	506	479	126	17	1	9	18	72	6	12	4	263	298	359	657	96	292	14	4	294	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	20	20	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	150	150	200	350	50	158	5	0	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	146	139	35	8	1	4	7	25	0	1	1	252	288	410	698	158	282	17	5	308	84	-3	-0	-2	-8	+3	-1.1
2025	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	316	282	85	18	0	8	23	39	4	5	1	301	361	450	812	149	320	12	7	355	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	146	139	35	8	1	4	7	25	0	1	1	252	288	410	698	158	282	17	5	308	95	-1	-0	-2	-8	+3	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	241	216	34	8	1	2	12	35	8	3	7	157	229	231	460	74	168	15	5	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	94	85	15	5	0	1	5	20	3	4	1	176	247	271	518	94	204	21	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	86	77	26	4	0	5	2	17	2	5	1	338	370	584	955	247	312	20	2	396	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	109	107	27	6	0	3	1	24	0	2	2	252	259	393	652	140	292	22	1	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	300	271	75	16	0	9	20	55	5	21	6	277	338	435	773	159	305	18	7	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	322	306	61	12	1	5	11	79	4	2	0	199	237	294	531	95	251	25	3	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	36	33	8	3	0	1	1	9	2	0	0	242	306	424	730	182	273	25	3	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	506	485	113	13	1	8	12	89	6	12	4	233	260	313	574	80	267	18	2	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	146	139	34	8	1	4	7	25	0	1	1	245	281	403	684	158	282	17	5	293	84	-3	-0	-2	-8	+3	-1.1
2025	23	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	316	290	77	15	0	6	16	50	4	5	1	266	313	379	692	114	289	16	5	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	241	216	34	8	1	2	12	35	8	3	7	157	229	231	460	74	174	15	5	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	241	212	53	13	2	4	16	29	8	3	7	250	326	387	713	137	266	12	7	316	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	180	162	40	8	0	6	7	37	5	9	2	247	299	407	706	160	272	21	4	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	180	157	49	11	0	7	12	26	5	9	2	312	379	516	895	204	323	14	7	382	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	467	431	116	25	0	13	25	90	5	24	8	269	317	418	734	148	308	19	5	315	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	467	421	121	27	0	15	34	67	5	24	8	287	347	458	806	171	307	14	7	353	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	358	339	69	15	1	6	12	88	6	2	0	204	244	307	550	103	256	25	3	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	358	335	79	18	1	8	16	74	6	2	0	236	283	367	650	131	280	21	4	291	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	526	504	118	14	1	8	13	93	6	12	4	234	262	313	575	79	271	18	2	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	526	499	129	18	1	9	18	73	6	12	4	259	293	353	645	94	286	14	3	289	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	462	429	110	23	1	9	23	75	4	6	2	256	300	378	678	121	288	16	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	462	421	120	26	1	12	30	64	4	6	2	285	338	437	775	152	308	14	6	340	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	241	219	34	8	1	2	12	35	8	3	7	155	229	228	457	73	168	15	5	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	180	166	40	8	0	6	7	37	5	9	2	241	299	398	696	157	256	21	4	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	467	434	116	25	0	13	25	90	5	24	8	267	317	415	731	147	302	19	5	315	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	358	337	69	15	1	6	12	88	6	2	0	205	244	309	552	104	253	25	3	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	526	502	118	14	1	8	13	93	6	12	4	235	262	315	577	80	267	18	2	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	462	432	110	23	1	9	23	75	4	6	2	255	300	375	675	120	287	16	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	526	502	118	14	1	8	13	93	6	12	4	235	262	315	577	80	267	18	2	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	462	432	110	23	1	9	23	75	4	6	2	255	300	375	675	120	287	16	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	10%	380	357	88	15	1	8	16	68	4	6	1	246	286	363	649	117	281	18	4	288	81	-8	+1	-0	-7	+8	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	10%	25	24	6	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	258	297	387	684	130	293	16	4	303	81	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	42%	415	389	97	17	1	10	19	75	4	7	1	247	289	370	659	123	281	18	5	293	84	-8	+1	-0	-7	+9	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	421	394	97	17	1	10	20	78	4	6	1	246	289	370	659	123	281	19	5	293	84	-8	+1	-0	-8	+9	-0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	61%	422	394	97	17	1	10	21	79	4	5	1	244	289	367	656	122	281	19	5	292	84	-8	+1	-1	-8	+9	-0.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	62%	414	386	93	16	1	9	21	80	4	4	1	242	288	363	650	120	280	19	5	289	82	-9	+0	-2	-7	+9	-0.9
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	63%	407	379	91	16	1	9	21	80	4	2	1	239	286	357	642	118	279	20	5	286	80	-10	+0	-2	-7	+9	-1.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	42%	176	164	43	7	1	5	8	32	2	3	1	259	300	396	696	137	293	18	5	308	84	-3	+0	-0	-3	+4	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	230	215	56	10	1	6	11	42	2	3	1	258	300	395	695	137	293	18	5	308	84	-4	+0	-0	-4	+5	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	61%	257	240	62	11	1	7	13	48	2	3	1	256	300	392	692	136	293	19	5	306	84	-5	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	62%	258	241	62	11	1	7	13	50	2	2	1	254	298	387	685	134	292	19	5	304	82	-6	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.6
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	63%	257	240	59	10	1	6	13	51	2	1	0	250	296	381	677	130	291	20	5	300	80	-6	+0	-2	-5	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1324	1239	317	57	6	35	65	248	10	13	5	256	298	396	695	140	293	19	5	305	76	-25	+1	-6	-29	+29	-3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	156	28	3	17	32	122	5	6	2	257	299	396	695	140	295	19	5	305	76	-12	+0	-3	-14	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4563	4258	1020	186	10	97	205	855	56	84	29	240	283	356	640	117	276	19	4	281	76	-49	+3	-9	-50	+54	-5.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	607	145	26	1	14	29	122	8	12	4	239	283	354	637	115	275	19	4	281	76	-13	+1	-2	-13	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.0	1,349	31	14	246	286	372	+1	-14	1.3	1.3
/162	664	15	7	+0.6	-7.1	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Wally Roettger'27-'34 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,106 PA	3.2	2,106	19	4	252*	302*	386*	-17	-10	-0.1	0.7
/162	664	6	1	-5.3	-3.0	-0.0	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#5Bob Seeds'30-'40 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,137 PA	3.2	2,137	28	14	253*	313*	390*	-15	-28	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	9	4	-4.7	-8.8	-0.2	pk7: 1
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Warming Bernabel (OGILVIE)	25	60	50	45	35	244/284/360	116	281	5	4	18%	4%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brent Morel 2012 · MLB	25	52→60	46→50	46→50	44	257/293/389	132	290	13	10	17%	5%	91	+0.7	226/277/325	99	288	8	11	23%	6%	70	-0.8	233/287/343	110	305	8	12	25%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Andy Burns 2016 · AAA	25	52→59	42→50	45→55	44	252/296/361	109	300	9	12	19%	5%	85	+0.2	224/267/324	100	279	8	12	22%	5%	65	-1.2	200/276/326	126	252	14	10	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Grant Green 2013 · AAA	25	52→58	45→50	44→45	41	256/291/379	123	309	12	9	22%	4%	87	+0.4	262/298/381	119	328	10	7	22%	4%	91	+0.6	265/300/381	116	338	8	4	23%	4%	89	+0.4
✕Jordy Mercer 2012 · AAA	25	48→57	45→50	45	44	237/283/361	124	272	12	8	18%	5%	81	-0.1	249/294/380	131	292	12	7	19%	5%	89	+0.5	247/303/379	132	280	13	1	16%	7%	93	+0.7
✕Orlando Arcia 2020 · MLB	25	48→58	45→50	45→55	45	239/286/355	115	283	13	11	21%	6%	80	-0.1	236/293/382	146	268	17	8	19%	7%	90	+0.6	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Ronny Cedeno 2008 · MLB	25	54→60	45	46→50	43	269/303/392	124	312	13	11	19%	4%	95	+1.0	245/287/366	121	291	12	11	20%	5%	83	+0.1	244/284/355	111	301	7	7	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Wes Hodges 2010 · AAA	25	50→53	45→50	44→45	42	246/290/371	125	303	12	7	23%	5%	86	+0.3	226/258/342	116	286	11	4	24%	4%	67	-1.1	217/246/331	113	275	11	1	25%	3%	57	-1.2
✕Mauricio Dubón 2020 · MLB	26	50→60	47→50	47→55	42	252/286/385	133	285	16	16	18%	4%	87	+0.4	251/298/382	131	286	15	11	18%	6%	91	+0.7	258/300/366	108	281	10	7	12%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Chris Nelson 2011 · MLB	25	48→57	46→50	49→50	45	240/292/368	127	287	13	12	21%	6%	86	+0.3	255/295/390	135	313	13	8	22%	5%	92	+0.7	258/297/392	134	321	13	6	23%	5%	93	+0.6
✕Owen Miller 2022 · MLB	25	48→54	44→45	46→50	43	235/286/354	119	302	12	5	26%	6%	80	-0.1	244/297/358	114	303	10	9	22%	6%	85	+0.2	247/300/352	105	304	8	11	21%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Mitch Maier 2007 · MLB	25	50→56	46→50	47→50	42	245/283/384	138	290	12	11	20%	4%	86	+0.3	246/290/360	114	291	10	10	19%	5%	83	+0.1	256/319/358	102	302	8	10	17%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Carlos Rivero 2013 · AAA	25	51→57	44→50	41→45	42	252/291/370	118	310	11	6	23%	5%	86	+0.3	232/273/326	94	302	8	4	25%	5%	69	-0.9	225/265/360	135	267	17	1	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2022 · AAA	24	55→60	42→45	49→50	43	268/306/377	109	300	9	12	14%	4%	93	+0.8	243/292/340	97	291	7	18	18%	4%	79	-0.2	235/288/321	87	287	5	23	19%	4%	70	-0.4
✕Chris Valaika 2011 · MLB	25	52→57	41→45	43→40	39	250/279/353	103	307	8	5	22%	4%	77	-0.3	222/258/317	95	271	8	4	21%	4%	61	-1.5	211/257/312	102	265	11	2	24%	4%	59	-1.1
✕Christopher Bostick 2018 · MLB	25	51→58	42→45	46→55	43	245/297/354	108	314	8	11	24%	6%	84	+0.1	235/285/353	118	310	10	8	26%	6%	80	-0.2	226/275/346	120	300	10	7	27%	5%	71	-0.6
✕Christian Arroyo 2019 · MLB	24	50→58	43→50	41→45	42	245/289/358	113	296	9	6	20%	5%	82	+0.0	243/300/405	162	297	19	7	24%	6%	98	+1.2	254/305/408	153	304	17	7	22%	5%	100	+0.5
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2017 · MLB	25	49→59	44→50	48→50	41	241/280/363	122	296	11	11	23%	4%	80	-0.2	245/300/371	126	303	10	10	22%	7%	89	+0.5	247/308/360	113	308	7	9	21%	7%	90	+0.6
✕Yeison Asencio 2015 · AAA	25	53→57	43→45	44→45	42	258/283/370	111	287	10	6	14%	3%	82	-0.0	262/285/374	112	287	11	7	13%	2%	84	+0.1	264/290/379	115	283	12	7	12%	2%	85	+0.2
✕Luis Juarez 2015 · AAA	25	50→57	43→45	48→40	44	245/286/361	115	278	10	7	16%	5%	82	-0.0	239/287/341	102	269	9	6	14%	6%	77	-0.3	261/309/379	118	281	13	3	12%	6%	93	+0.5
✕Jamie Westbrook 2019 · AAA	24	49→54	47→50	45	42	246/282/379	133	277	14	6	17%	4%	85	+0.2	242/295/382	140	279	16	4	19%	6%	91	+0.6	238/309/362	123	276	14	4	19%	7%	89	+0.4

Warming Bernabel

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps