Jairo Pomares
CF Richmond Flying Squirrels| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROKACL Giants Or… | 31 | .308/.419/.385 | 0 | 0 | 45 | — | .179/.258/.214 |
| 2024 | 23 | AASF | 336 | .238/.275/.434 | 12 | 9 | 58 | — | .207/.243/.357 |
| 2025 | 24 | AASF | 299 | .209/.270/.352 | 9 | 9 | 32 | — | .176/.223/.276 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBSF | 3 | .207/.253/.325 | 0 | 0 | 64 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 27 | MLBSF | 42 | .208/.255/.326 | 1 | 1 | 65 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Giants Black | — | 167 | 155 | 57 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 368 | 406 | 542 | 948 | 174 | 422 | 16 | 6 | 411 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 104 | 103 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 269 | 505 | 774 | 243 | 328 | 32 | 1 | 335 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 224 | 199 | 74 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 15 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 372 | 434 | 693 | 1.128 | 322 | 448 | 24 | 7 | 479 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 386 | 338 | 86 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 36 | 127 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 326 | 438 | 763 | 183 | 362 | 33 | 9 | 335 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | — | 16 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 533 | 562 | 1.333 | 1.896 | 800 | 500 | 12 | 6 | 788 | 254 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | — | 31 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 419 | 385 | 804 | 77 | 471 | 29 | 16 | 371 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 336 | 311 | 74 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 84 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 238 | 275 | 434 | 710 | 196 | 288 | 25 | 4 | 307 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 299 | 273 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 80 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 209 | 270 | 352 | 622 | 143 | 258 | 27 | 7 | 277 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants Black | — | 167 | 159 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 264 | 291 | 384 | 675 | 119 | 319 | 22 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 104 | 103 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 41 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 202 | 359 | 561 | 165 | 277 | 39 | 1 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 224 | 206 | 61 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 77 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 344 | 524 | 868 | 228 | 401 | 34 | 4 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 386 | 354 | 67 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 167 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 253 | 308 | 561 | 119 | 317 | 43 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 16 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 438 | 933 | 1.371 | 533 | 349 | 19 | 6 | 544 | 254 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 31 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 258 | 214 | 472 | 36 | 352 | 42 | 10 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 336 | 319 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 100 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 207 | 243 | 357 | 600 | 150 | 269 | 30 | 3 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 299 | 279 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 96 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 176 | 223 | 276 | 499 | 100 | 234 | 32 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants Black | — | 167 | 159 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 264 | 291 | 384 | 675 | 119 | 328 | 22 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Giants Black | — | 167 | 155 | 57 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 368 | 406 | 542 | 948 | 174 | 422 | 16 | 6 | 411 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 328 | 309 | 82 | 20 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 118 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 302 | 482 | 784 | 217 | 374 | 36 | 3 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 328 | 302 | 101 | 27 | 1 | 20 | 16 | 87 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 334 | 382 | 629 | 1.011 | 295 | 409 | 27 | 5 | 433 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 370 | 74 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 170 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 260 | 346 | 606 | 146 | 326 | 42 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 402 | 353 | 94 | 23 | 0 | 17 | 37 | 129 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 335 | 476 | 811 | 210 | 368 | 32 | 9 | 353 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 31 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 258 | 214 | 472 | 36 | 333 | 42 | 10 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK RAW | ACL Giants Orange | — | 31 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 419 | 385 | 804 | 77 | 471 | 29 | 16 | 371 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 336 | 319 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 100 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 207 | 243 | 357 | 600 | 150 | 271 | 30 | 3 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 336 | 311 | 74 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 84 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 238 | 275 | 434 | 710 | 196 | 288 | 25 | 4 | 307 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 299 | 279 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 96 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 176 | 223 | 276 | 499 | 100 | 240 | 32 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 299 | 273 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 80 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 209 | 270 | 352 | 622 | 143 | 258 | 27 | 7 | 277 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants Black | — | 167 | 159 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 264 | 291 | 384 | 675 | 119 | 319 | 22 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 328 | 309 | 82 | 20 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 118 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 302 | 482 | 784 | 217 | 362 | 36 | 3 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 369 | 74 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 170 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 260 | 347 | 607 | 146 | 318 | 42 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 31 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 258 | 214 | 472 | 36 | 352 | 42 | 10 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 336 | 318 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 100 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 208 | 243 | 358 | 601 | 151 | 269 | 30 | 3 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 299 | 280 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 96 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 175 | 223 | 275 | 498 | 100 | 234 | 32 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 336 | 318 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 100 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 208 | 243 | 358 | 601 | 151 | 269 | 30 | 3 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 299 | 280 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 96 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 175 | 223 | 275 | 498 | 100 | 234 | 32 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | SF | 2% | 349 | 326 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 96 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 211 | 256 | 334 | 590 | 123 | 272 | 28 | 5 | 263 | 64 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | SF | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 253 | 325 | 578 | 118 | 268 | 33 | 0 | 258 | 64 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | SF | 27% | 157 | 147 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 212 | 258 | 335 | 594 | 123 | 273 | 27 | 5 | 264 | 65 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | SF | 27% | 42 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 255 | 326 | 581 | 118 | 269 | 29 | 5 | 259 | 65 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 42 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 238 | 325 | 563 | 125 | 259 | 29 | 5 | 259 | 67 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 619 | 123 | 31 | 0 | 15 | 31 | 186 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 199 | 237 | 321 | 558 | 123 | 258 | 29 | 5 | 259 | 67 | -27 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1867 | 1749 | 378 | 81 | 10 | 50 | 85 | 618 | 19 | 30 | 11 | 216 | 260 | 360 | 620 | 144 | 300 | 33 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 609 | 131 | 28 | 3 | 17 | 30 | 215 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 215 | 260 | 355 | 615 | 140 | 299 | 33 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -27 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 299 PAwOBA .271 → .216 (−55)K% 26.8% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.76% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.36% | ÷0.962 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.17% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 18.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.18% | ÷0.992 | ×0.860 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.66% | ÷1.183 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.07% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .271 → .216; ISO .143 → .098; BABIP .258 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 336 PAwOBA .298 → .254 (−44)K% 25.0% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.57% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 2.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.62% | ÷0.999 | ×0.970 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 17.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.37% | ÷1.110 | ×0.860 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 6.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.29% | ÷1.062 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.93% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .298 → .254; ISO .196 → .153; BABIP .288 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Giants Orange · 31 PAwOBA .362 → .234 (−128)K% 29.0% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.03% | ÷1.036 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.13% | ÷1.022 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 9.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷1.004 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 27.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.107 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 7.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.377 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 175, 1B 101, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .362 → .234; ISO .077 → .044; BABIP .471 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Eugene Emeralds · 386 PAwOBA .327 → .249 (−78)K% 32.9% → 43.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.90% | ÷1.029 | ×1.350 | — | — | 43.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.33% | ÷0.978 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.64% | ÷0.989 | ×0.910 | ×0.973 | ×1.012 | 22.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.48% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×1.012 | 8.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.820 | ×0.973 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.64% | ÷1.120 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 4.98% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 86, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .327 → .249; ISO .183 → .130; BABIP .362 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Giants Orange · 16 PAwOBA .762 → .544 (−218)K% 12.5% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.018 | ×1.440 | — | — | 17.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.970 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 3.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 12.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷0.988 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 16.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.017 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 17.26% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .762 → .544; ISO .800 → .570; BABIP .500 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ASan Jose Giants · 224 PAwOBA .471 → .369 (−102)K% 24.1% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.11% | ÷0.959 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.203 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.21% | ÷0.977 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×1.015 | 25.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.17% | ÷1.014 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.015 | 12.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.098 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.66% | ÷1.008 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 7.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 103, 3B 120, K 92, BB 141 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .471 → .369; ISO .322 → .242; BABIP .448 → .401. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Eugene Emeralds · 104 PAwOBA .324 → .240 (−84)K% 31.7% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.73% | ÷1.083 | ×1.350 | — | — | 39.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.96% | ÷0.924 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 0.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 19.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.135 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.029 | ×0.820 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 1.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.57% | ÷1.049 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 6.96% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 103, 2B 127, 3B 106, K 117, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .324 → .240; ISO .243 → .172; BABIP .328 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Giants Black · 167 PAwOBA .405 → .288 (−117)K% 15.6% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.57% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 24.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 5.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 2.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.83% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .405 → .288; ISO .174 → .120; BABIP .422 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).