Calvin Schapira — OGILVIE

Calvin Schapira P Everett AquaSox

Age 26 LHP 6'5" / 225 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%21.0%

BB%13.7%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	30	131	32	15	0	0%	1.1	17.7%	16.1%	1.6%	0.0%	2.10	3.65	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	30	131	32	15	0	0%	1.1	17.7%	16.1%	1.6%	0.0%	2.10	3.65	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	30	131	32	15	0	0%	1.1	24.4%	11.5%	13.0%	0.0%	2.10	2.47	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	35	0	44	208	63	27	3	0%	1.3	23.3%	14.9%	8.4%	1.8%	4.06	4.01	—
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	35	0	44	208	63	27	3	0%	1.3	23.3%	14.9%	8.4%	1.8%	4.06	4.01	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	SEA	35	0	44	208	63	27	3	0%	1.3	30.3%	13.0%	17.3%	1.4%	4.06	2.98	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SEA	41	0	43	180	38	24	5	0%	1.0	21.2%	13.3%	7.9%	2.9%	4.96	4.97	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	SEA	15	0	16	68	14	9	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	13.3%	7.9%	2.9%	4.96	4.97	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	66	14	9	2	0%	1.0	21.2%	13.3%	7.9%	2.9%	4.96	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	115	26	0%	1.1	21.2%	13.3%	7.9%	2.9%	4.96	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		62	0	74	339	72	52	4	0%	1.2	21.1%	15.4%	5.8%	1.1%	3.27	3.87	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		167	0	200	912	193	140	10	0%	1.2	21.1%	15.4%	5.8%	1.1%	3.27	3.87	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Calvin Schapira (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	21.0%	13.7%	2.9%	—	4.97	21.2%	7.9%	43	-0.03	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	87
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	86
Brendan Nail L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	22.6%	12.5%	2.7%	.311	4.39	18.9%	8.4%	53	+0.12	3.45	165	82
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	81
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	81
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	81
Andy Fisher L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.5%	15.4%	1.8%	.333	4.25	17.2%	6.3%	52	+0.05	3.13	167	80
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	80
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	80
Tom Windle L 2018 · 4.56 FIP	26	SU	4.56	19.0%	11.8%	2.9%	.269	4.37	17.2%	1.8%	74	-0.19	3.68	330	80
Adam McCreery L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	26	SU	4.29	20.7%	14.5%	2.0%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	207	79
Hunter Schryver L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	26	SU	4.88	21.0%	14.1%	3.2%	.294	4.00	17.7%	4.9%	37	-0.88	3.58	206	79
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	79
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	79
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.27	22.8%	8.8%	171	+0.08	3.22	198	78
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	78
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.90	18.7%	4.0%	103	+0.49	3.16	199	78
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	78
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	78
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	21.2%	13.4%	1.13	4.97
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99