Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 30 | 131 | 32 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 16.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 2.10 | 3.65 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 30 | 131 | 32 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 2.10 | 2.47 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 24 | 0 | 26 | 122 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 2.0% | 3.08 | 4.06 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.39 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 38 | 171 | 50 | 21 | 3 | — | — | 29.4% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 2.0% | 3.48 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.01 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.04 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 81 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 51 | 0 | 56 | 253 | 53 | 39 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 15.6% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 2.56 | 3.84 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 181 | 0 | 200 | 898 | 189 | 140 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 15.6% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 2.56 | 3.84 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Calvin Schapira (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.42 | 22.9% | 12.9% | 20 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 82 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.33 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.16 | 2.35 | 120 | 82 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.41 | 26.0% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .260 | 3.76 | 27.7% | 17.1% | 129 | +0.35 | 3.41 | 160 | 81 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 81 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 80 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2028 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 80 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.53 | 2.79 | 159 | 80 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.40 | 12.0% | 0.6% | 30 | +1.78 | 3.12 | 142 | 79 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 79 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .197 | 4.72 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.75 | 3.97 | 133 | 79 |
| Daniel Gibson L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 18.6% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 159 | 79 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 79 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 79 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.40 | 22.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .267 | 5.45 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 79 | +2.05 | 3.40 | 144 | 79 |
| Joey Marciano L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 24.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% | .301 | 4.73 | 20.6% | 4.5% | 102 | +0.95 | 3.78 | 330 | 79 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.71 | 23.1% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .246 | 4.16 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 121 | +0.45 | 3.20 | 194 | 78 |
| Jerry Vasto L 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.44 | 24.0% | 11.5% | 1.7% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 206 | 78 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.32 | 21.9% | 11.1% | 1.2% | .368 | 3.66 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 100 | +0.34 | 3.04 | 153 | 78 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 78 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 128 | 78 |