Jarren Duran

LF Boston Red Sox
Age 30 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 3.901 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202427MLBBOS735.285/.343/.49221341285.5
202528MLBBOS696.256/.334/.44216241131.9
202629MLBBOS608.207/.269/.361202170-1.3
2027PROJ30MLBBOS611.246/.309/.41719341001.5
2028PROJ31MLBBOS648.241/.303/.4061928960.8
2029PROJ32MLBBOS648.234/.295/.3911820890.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 6.2  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 2.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.901First FA2030Options3
2027Arb-1$3M2028Arb-2$4M2029Arb-3$4M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Chase%90
Speed90
Bat Spd81
Whiff%79
Avg EV74
xwOBA63
Form.245/.307/.407 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .241/.302/.413
CompsWill Venable (age 29) · Leonys Martin (age 30) · Roger Bernadina (age 29)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 75100vR 109
AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .309 / .417
PA611
HR19
SB34
K%26
BB%7
BABIP307
ISO171
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +0.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+0BATRUN: +6.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+6RUNFLD: +3.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+3FLDPOS: -6.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-7POSREP: +13.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: +1.50+1.5WAR
0.01.02.01.50.80.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
Whiff%
798.0%
xAVG
500.252
POWER50
Barrel%
589.4
Avg EV
7490.8
Bat Spd
8174.6
EYE50
Chase%
9023.1%
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%23%▲▲22% over 92 PA (60d) · proj 26%
BB%7%·8% over 92 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.163·.145 over 83 AB (60d) · proj .172
HR/BB4.8%·4.8% over 63 BBE (60d) · proj 4.8%
BABIP.293▼.217 over 60 BIP (60d) · proj .299
SLASH.245/.307/.407·proj .241/.302/.413
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1524 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
461
1063
—
wRC+
79
136
▶▶R
wOBA
286
369
▶▶R
ISO
109
226
▶▶R
BABIP
310
341
▶R
K%
25.4%
22.2%
▶R
BB%
6.3%
8.4%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2021
Service   3.901 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$3M+1.5$12M+$9M
2028Arb-2$4M+0.8$3M+$0.0M (cut)
2029Arb-3$4M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $3M $15M +$9M
Options · projected decision
2027CLUB OPT$3.8M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2028CLUB OPT$8.0M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2029CLUB OPT$3.8M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201821 AGreenville Drive — 134128 47911 5221 126 367396477872 109438 164 388 95 — — — — — —
201922 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 352320 801151 23845 288 250310325635 75335 247 287 46 — — — — — —
201922 A+Salem Red Sox — 226199 771334 23443 185 3874585431.000 156480 1910 441 109 — — — — — —
201922 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 10190 24521 10200 72 267340400740 133329 2010 329 109 — — — — — —
202023 INTLPuerto Rico — 10080 23311 17212 90 287424388812 100373 2117 372 138 — — — — — —
202124 MLBBoston Red Sox — 112107 23322 4400 21 215243336580 121318 364 255 57 -6 +0 -0 +1 +2 -0.2
202124 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 283244 6311216 30668 163 258358516875 258288 2311 382 78 — — — — — —
202225 MLBBoston Red Sox — 223204 451433 14634 71 221284363647 142302 286 289 77 -6 +1 -3 +2 +5 -0.2
202225 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 307279 7916610 26732 183 283349491840 208352 248 369 91 — — — — — —
202326 MLBBoston Red Sox — 362332 983428 24903 242 295347482829 187381 257 363 121 +9 +4 -3 +1 +8 2.0
202326 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 5141 8212 10110 20 195353439792 244214 2220 354 68 — — — — — —
202427 MLBBoston Red Sox — 735671 191481421 541606 347 285343492835 207345 227 364 128 +24 +4 +8 +3 +16 5.5
202528 MLBBoston Red Sox — 696620 159411316 6016912 246 256334442776 185326 249 342 113 +11 +2 -2 -7 +15 1.9
202629 MLBBoston Red Sox — 608551 11415520 411656 214 207269361630 154252 277 278 70 -21 +3 -0 -7 +13 -1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 27362485 6301553970 19768731 11221 254316432748 178321 257 329 109 +28 +14 -1 -7 +59 9.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201821 A MLEGreenville Drive — 134130 39711 3291 126 300321392713 92381 222 309 95 — — — — — —
201922 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 352328 71841 151035 288 216261274536 58305 294 236 46 — — — — — —
201922 A+ MLESalem Red Sox — 226207 61923 15653 185 295351401752 106410 297 329 109 — — — — — —
202124 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 112107 23322 4400 21 215243336580 121318 364 253 57 -6 +0 -0 +1 +2 -0.2
202124 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 283253 52929 21788 163 206287364651 158256 287 284 78 — — — — — —
202225 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 223204 431233 14634 71 211275343618 132302 286 281 77 -6 +1 -3 +2 +5 -0.2
202225 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 307287 701267 18872 183 244293401694 157325 286 302 91 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 362334 933028 23903 242 278331452783 174381 256 348 121 +9 +4 -3 +1 +8 2.0
202326 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 5144 6111 7130 20 136255273528 136180 2514 268 68 — — — — — —
202427 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 735672 186431522 531606 347 277335484819 207345 227 357 128 +24 +4 +8 +3 +16 5.5
202528 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 696621 154361416 5916912 246 248325428753 180326 248 335 113 +11 +2 -2 -7 +15 1.9
202629 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 608554 11313621 381656 214 204263363625 159252 276 272 70 -21 +3 -0 -7 +13 -1.3
201821 A MLEGreenville Drive — 134130 39711 3291 126 300321392713 92380 222 309 95 — — — — — —
201821 A RAWGreenville Drive — 134128 47911 5221 126 367396477872 109438 164 388 95 — — — — — —
201922 AA MLE3 teams — 679630 1552075 351988 5315 246294324618 78349 295 272 70 — — — — — —
201922 AA RAW3 teams — 679609 18129106 561488 5315 297364407771 110382 228 344 70 — — — — — —
202023 INTL MLEPuerto Rico — 10080 23311 17212 90 287424388812 100373 2117 — — — — — — — —
202023 INTL RAWPuerto Rico — 10080 23311 17212 90 287424388812 100373 2117 372 138 — — — — — —
202124 AAA MLE2 teams — 395360 7512411 251188 184 208275356630 147275 306 275 72 — — — — — —
202124 AAA RAW2 teams — 395351 8614418 341068 184 245326462787 217297 279 346 72 — — — — — —
202225 AAA MLE2 teams — 530491 11324910 321506 254 230285377662 147310 286 293 85 — — — — — —
202225 AAA RAW2 teams — 530483 12430913 401366 254 257321437758 180331 268 335 85 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLE2 teams — 413378 10132310 301033 262 267326447773 180341 257 338 115 +7 +4 -3 +1 +9 2.0
202326 MLB RAW2 teams — 413373 10636310 341013 262 284348477825 193364 248 362 115 +7 +4 -3 +1 +9 2.0
202427 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 735672 186431522 531606 347 277335484819 207333 227 357 128 +24 +4 +8 +3 +16 5.5
202427 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 735671 191481421 541606 347 285343492835 207345 227 364 128 +24 +4 +8 +3 +16 5.5
202528 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 696621 154361416 5916912 246 248325428753 180314 248 335 113 +11 +2 -2 -7 +15 1.9
202528 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 696620 159411316 6016912 246 256334442776 185326 249 342 113 +11 +2 -2 -7 +15 1.9
202629 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 608554 11313621 381656 214 204263363625 159245 276 272 70 -21 +3 -0 -7 +13 -1.3
202629 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 608551 11415520 411656 214 207269361630 154252 277 278 70 -21 +3 -0 -7 +13 -1.3
201821 A MLEGreenville Drive — 134129 39711 3291 126 302321395716 93381 222 309 95 — — — — — —
201922 AA MLE3 teams — 679631 1552075 351988 5315 246294323618 78346 295 272 70 — — — — — —
202124 AAA MLE2 teams — 395359 7512411 251188 184 209275357631 148274 306 275 72 — — — — — —
202225 AAA MLE2 teams — 530487 11324910 321506 254 232285380665 148315 286 293 85 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLE2 teams — 413377 10132310 301033 262 268326448774 180356 257 338 115 — — — — — —
202427 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 735670 186431522 531606 347 278335485820 207345 227 357 128 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 696620 154361416 5916912 246 248325429754 181326 248 335 113 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 608559 11313621 381656 214 202263360622 157252 276 272 70 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202427 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 735670 186431522 531606 347 278335485820 207345 227 357 128 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 696620 154361416 5916912 246 248325429754 181326 248 335 113 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 608559 11313621 381656 214 202263360622 157252 276 272 70 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202730 MLB MLEBOS 100% 611556 13421819 431567 346 242305413718 172299 267 316 100 +0 +4 +3 -7 +13 1.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202730 MLB CTXBOS 100% 611556 13724719 431567 346 246309417726 171307 267 320 100 +0 +4 +3 -7 +13 1.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202831 MLB MLEBOS 100% 648591 14122920 451687 285 236299402700 165294 267 309 96 -3 +4 +0 -7 +14 0.8
202932 MLB MLEBOS 100% 648592 13721819 441717 204 230291387679 157288 267 300 89 -8 +2 -0 -7 +14 0.1
202831 MLB CTXBOS 100% 648591 14325819 451687 285 241303406709 165302 267 313 96 -3 +4 +0 -7 +14 0.8
202932 MLB CTXBOS 100% 648592 13923818 441717 204 234295391686 157296 267 304 89 -8 +2 -0 -7 +14 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 40323668 91220355107 286102645 16030 249311421732 173315 257 322 91 +16 +20 -1 -20 +87 10.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650591 14733917 461657 265 249310421731 173315 257 322 91 +3 +3 -0 -3 +14 1.7
Career— MLE — 61975655 137125485155 424160873 30463 242304400703 157310 267 303 91 +17 +24 +2 -27 +101 11.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650593 14427916 441698 327 243303400703 157311 267 303 91 +2 +3 +0 -4 +14 1.7